Tropical Storm 02B

Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 8.1.5


         Overpass     Inten           Ring    Ring          Wind           Forecast        Final        Target  
       Date    Time   Score  Meaning   Pct    Diam  BTdiff   Est   Sat    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon              
     20131009 112100 -930.0      N/A   N/A  144.43    2.29  40.0 SSMI16  13.7  -92.3   13.7  -92.3   13.9  -92.3 Analysis Plot     
     20131009 133500  -23.2      N/A 100.0%  33.33    8.21  40.0 SSMI18  13.8  -92.1   13.8  -92.1   13.9  -92.3 Analysis Plot     
     20131009 181013  -61.4      N/A 100.0%  44.44   46.36  50.0   TRMM  14.1  -91.6   14.1  -91.9   14.1  -91.9 Analysis Plot     
     20131010 022306   61.0  >85 kts 100.0%  33.33   46.00  55.0   TRMM  14.5  -91.1   14.6  -91.1   14.6  -91.1 Analysis Plot     
     20131010 110800   62.5  >85 kts 100.0%  22.22   47.45  65.0 SSMI16  15.2  -90.5   15.3  -90.2   15.3  -90.2 Analysis Plot     
     20131010 171453   81.0  >85 kts 100.0%  22.22   65.96 100.0   TRMM  15.7  -89.7   15.6  -89.4   15.6  -89.4 Analysis Plot     
     20131011 015900   40.0  >65 kts 100.0%  11.11   25.05 135.0 SSMI18  15.9  -88.5   15.8  -88.5   15.8  -88.5 Analysis Plot     
     20131011 110051   25.1  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   10.09 135.0 SSMI15  16.3  -88.1   16.6  -88.0   16.6  -88.0 Analysis Plot     
     20131011 120300   38.3  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   23.26 135.0 SSMI17  16.5  -87.8   16.7  -87.6   16.7  -87.6 Analysis Plot     
     20131011 175647   96.6  >85 kts 104.3%  33.33   81.58 140.0   TRMM  17.2  -87.1   16.8  -87.0   16.8  -87.0 Analysis Plot     
     20131011 222711   66.0  >85 kts 100.0%  22.22   50.96 140.0 SSMI15  17.3  -86.7   17.2  -86.6   17.2  -86.6 Analysis Plot     
     20131011 232900   59.3  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   44.31 140.0 SSMI16  17.5  -86.5   17.4  -86.4   17.4  -86.4 Analysis Plot     
     20131012 003800   61.4  >85 kts 100.0%  33.33   46.41 140.0 SSMI17  17.5  -86.4   17.4  -86.3   17.4  -86.3 Analysis Plot     
     20131012 020808   65.2  >85 kts 100.0%  33.33   50.20 140.0   TRMM  17.6  -86.3   17.8  -86.2   17.8  -86.2 Analysis Plot     
     20131012 103501   34.2  >65 kts  93.2%  22.22   19.19 130.0 SSMI15  18.3  -85.5   18.6  -85.4   18.6  -85.4 Analysis Plot     
     20131012 104400   36.6  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   21.64 130.0 SSMI16  18.4  -85.4   18.6  -85.2   18.6  -85.2 Analysis Plot     
     20131012 115100    8.9      N/A  82.2%  22.22    8.91 130.0 SSMI17  18.5  -85.3   18.7  -85.2   18.7  -85.2 Analysis Plot     
     20131012 170058   60.7  >85 kts 100.0%  22.22   45.73 120.0   TRMM  19.4  -84.8   19.4  -84.9   19.4  -84.9 Analysis Plot     
     20131012 221911    1.6      N/A  12.3% 199.98    1.60 100.0 SSMI15  20.1  -84.6   20.0  -84.5   20.0  -84.5 Analysis Plot     
     20131012 231700   12.2      N/A  15.1% 211.09   12.17 100.0 SSMI16  20.3  -84.5   20.4  -84.3   20.4  -84.3 Analysis Plot     
     20131013 002400   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00 100.0 SSMI17  20.5  -84.4   20.7  -84.3   20.7  -84.3 Analysis Plot     
     20131013 011142    8.1      N/A   2.7% 188.87    8.08 100.0   TRMM  20.5  -84.4   21.0  -84.3   21.0  -84.3 Analysis Plot     
     20131013 113900    1.1      N/A   N/A   33.33    1.06 100.0 SSMI17  21.9  -83.5   22.6  -83.7   22.6  -83.7 Analysis Plot     
     20131013 143000    2.1      N/A   N/A  188.87    2.08 100.0 SSMI18  22.3  -83.3   22.3  -83.3   22.7  -83.3 Analysis Plot

Legend:

  - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position.

  - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere.

  - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km).

  - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater.
  - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85.

  - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall.

  - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs.

  - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data.