Tropical Storm 23W


Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 8.1.5
 

         Overpass     Inten           Ring    Ring          Wind           Forecast        Final        Target  
       Date    Time   Score  Meaning   Pct    Diam  BTdiff   Est   Sat    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon              
     20131003 221900   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  30.0 SSMI18  16.0 -146.6   16.0 -146.6   15.8 -147.0 Analysis Plot     
     20131004 013941   -0.5      N/A   N/A   22.22     .46  30.0   TRMM  16.2 -146.1   16.2 -146.1   16.1 -146.5 Analysis Plot     
     20131004 082900  -10.6      N/A  34.2%  44.44   10.57  30.0 SSMI17  16.5 -145.2   16.5 -145.2   17.0 -145.7 Analysis Plot     
     20131004 195500   -2.5      N/A  41.1% 199.98    2.46  45.0 SSMI16  18.0 -143.4   18.0 -143.4   18.0 -143.4 Analysis Plot     
     20131004 210400 -930.0      N/A   N/A  322.19   17.85  45.0 SSMI17  18.1 -143.1   18.3 -143.4   18.3 -143.4 Analysis Plot     
     20131004 220700 -930.0      N/A   N/A   99.99    2.76  45.0 SSMI18  18.2 -142.9   18.2 -142.9   17.8 -143.2 Analysis Plot     
     20131005 074404   -7.8      N/A  82.2%  44.44    7.82  50.0 SSMI15  18.7 -141.2   18.7 -141.2   18.9 -141.0 Analysis Plot     
     20131005 081600   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  55.0 SSMI17  19.1 -140.5   19.1 -140.5   19.3 -140.4 Analysis Plot     
     20131005 171259    8.1      N/A  31.5% 177.76    8.08  65.0   TRMM  20.0 -138.2   20.3 -138.1   20.3 -138.1 Analysis Plot     
     20131005 185219    9.6      N/A  74.0% 111.10    9.58  70.0 SSMI15  20.4 -137.9   20.6 -138.1   20.6 -138.1 Analysis Plot     
     20131005 194200   20.0  >65 kts 100.0%  77.77    4.96  70.0 SSMI16  20.6 -137.6   20.6 -137.5   20.6 -137.5 Analysis Plot     
     20131005 205000   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  70.0 SSMI17  20.7 -137.3   20.7 -137.2   20.7 -137.2 Analysis Plot     
     20131006 012320   47.8  >65 kts 100.0%  33.33   32.84  80.0   TRMM  21.3 -136.1   21.3 -135.9   21.3 -135.9 Analysis Plot     
     20131006 080600 -930.0      N/A   N/A  199.98    4.34  85.0 SSMI17  22.3 -134.6   22.3 -134.6   22.2 -134.5 Analysis Plot     
     20131006 105000   69.0  >85 kts 100.0%  44.44   54.02  85.0 SSMI18  22.7 -133.9   22.6 -133.6   22.6 -133.6 Analysis Plot     
     20131006 175409   75.0  >85 kts 100.0%  44.44   60.05  95.0   TRMM  23.7 -132.2   23.9 -131.7   23.9 -131.7 Analysis Plot     
     20131006 210900   74.7  >85 kts 100.0%  44.44   59.73 105.0 SSMI16  24.8 -130.8   24.6 -130.9   24.6 -130.9 Analysis Plot     
     20131007 002550   75.3  >85 kts 100.0%  44.44   60.26 115.0   TRMM  25.6 -129.8   25.4 -129.9   25.4 -129.9 Analysis Plot     
     20131007 082600   60.3  >85 kts 100.0%  44.44   45.35 125.0 SSMI16  27.0 -128.6   27.3 -128.2   27.3 -128.2 Analysis Plot     
     20131007 093500   55.9  >65 kts 100.0%  44.44   40.87 125.0 SSMI17  27.3 -128.4   27.6 -128.2   27.6 -128.2 Analysis Plot     
     20131007 104000   58.0  >65 kts 100.0%  44.44   42.99 125.0 SSMI18  27.9 -128.1   27.9 -127.9   27.9 -127.9 Analysis Plot     
     20131007 183538    7.2      N/A  23.3% 155.54    7.22 120.0   TRMM  29.5 -127.3   29.2 -127.1   29.2 -127.1 Analysis Plot     
     20131007 205400    3.9      N/A  32.4% 166.65    3.95 100.0 SSMI16  30.5 -127.3   29.9 -127.1   29.9 -127.1 Analysis Plot     
     20131007 215043 -930.0      N/A   N/A   55.55   19.60 100.0   TRMM  30.5 -127.3   30.5 -127.3   30.5 -127.3 Analysis Plot     
     20131007 220300    5.9      N/A  22.1% 155.54    5.90 100.0 SSMI17  30.8 -127.4   30.2 -127.0   30.2 -127.0 Analysis Plot     
     20131007 232855    2.5      N/A  13.7%  88.88    2.48 100.0   TRMM  31.0 -127.4   30.9 -126.9   30.9 -126.9 Analysis Plot     
     20131008 081500    3.5      N/A   6.8% 222.20    3.46  65.0 SSMI16  33.2 -128.2   33.2 -128.2   33.2 -128.2 Analysis Plot     
     20131008 092400    5.8      N/A   2.7% 199.98    5.77  65.0 SSMI17  33.4 -128.5   33.4 -128.5   33.6 -128.6 Analysis Plot     
     20131008 195240    4.0      N/A   N/A   44.44    4.00  55.0 SSMI15  36.3 -132.4   36.3 -132.4   36.1 -132.4 Analysis Plot     
     20131008 205430    4.5      N/A   N/A   55.55    4.50  55.0   TRMM  36.5 -132.9   36.5 -132.9   36.4 -133.3 Analysis Plot     
     20131008 214700    2.3      N/A   4.1% 222.20    2.27  55.0 SSMI17  36.9 -133.5   36.9 -133.5   36.7 -133.6 Analysis Plot     
     20131008 225400    2.9      N/A   N/A   44.44    2.88  55.0 SSMI18  37.1 -134.0   37.1 -134.0   37.3 -134.4 Analysis Plot     
 
 
Legend:

  - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position.

  - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere.

  - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km).

  - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater.
  - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85.

  - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall.

  - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs.

  - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data.