Tropical Storm 19E


Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 8.2.1
 

         Overpass     Inten           Ring    Ring          Wind           Forecast        Final        Target  
       Date    Time   Score  Meaning   Pct    Diam  BTdiff   Est   Sat    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon              
     20151015 065428 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  30.0    GMI   9.8  118.8    9.8  118.8   10.0  118.3 Analysis Plot     
     20151015 150100   -2.6      N/A  15.1% 222.20    2.57  30.0 SSMI18  10.2  119.6   10.2  119.6   10.4  119.4 Analysis Plot     
     20151016 025800   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  30.0 SSMI19  10.2  122.1   10.2  122.1   10.2  122.1 Analysis Plot     
     20151016 035200   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  30.0 SSMI18  10.2  122.1   10.2  122.1    9.7  122.8 Analysis Plot     
     20151016 035100 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  30.0 SSMI18  10.2  122.4   10.2  122.4   10.9  122.3 Analysis Plot     
     20151016 115317   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  25.0 SSMI15  10.1  124.1   10.1  124.1    9.6  124.0 Analysis Plot     
     20151017 024400   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  35.0 SSMI19   9.7  127.4    9.7  127.4    9.4  127.6 Analysis Plot     
     20151017 024500   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  35.0 SSMI17   9.7  127.4    9.7  127.4    9.4  127.6 Analysis Plot     
     20151017 033800   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  35.0 SSMI18   9.7  127.6    9.7  127.6    9.6  127.9 Analysis Plot     
     20151017 112919 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  45.0 SSMI15   9.5  128.9    9.5  128.9    9.3  128.9 Analysis Plot     
     20151017 152200   -0.0      N/A  56.2%  22.22     .04  50.0 SSMI19   9.4  129.6    9.4  129.6    9.4  129.4 Analysis Plot     
     20151017 152400 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  50.0 SSMI17   9.4  129.7    9.4  129.7    9.1  129.0 Analysis Plot     
     20151017 161700   -0.3      N/A  68.5%  33.33     .29  50.0 SSMI18   9.4  129.8    9.4  129.8    9.4  129.8 Analysis Plot     
     20151018 023200    6.0      N/A  38.4%  66.66    6.00  55.0 SSMI17   9.2  130.9    9.2  130.9    9.2  130.9 Analysis Plot     
     20151018 032700 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  55.0 SSMI18   9.2  130.9    8.9  131.0    8.9  131.0 Analysis Plot     
     20151018 032800 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  55.0 SSMI18   9.2  131.2    8.9  131.0    8.9  131.0 Analysis Plot     
     20151018 150900    0.7      N/A  41.1%  22.22     .67  65.0 SSMI19   9.5  133.3    9.5  133.3    9.5  133.3 Analysis Plot     
     20151018 151000    0.3      N/A  56.2%  22.22     .32  65.0 SSMI17   9.5  133.3    9.6  133.3    9.6  133.3 Analysis Plot     
     20151018 160500   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  65.0 SSMI18   9.5  133.4    9.4  133.4    9.4  133.4 Analysis Plot     
     20151019 035900   43.0  >65 kts 100.0%  33.33   27.99  85.0 SSMI19   9.7  135.4    9.8  135.5    9.8  135.5 Analysis Plot     
     20151019 145800 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  95.0 SSMI17   9.9  137.8    9.9  137.6    9.9  137.6 Analysis Plot     
     20151020 034500   35.0  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   20.02 115.0 SSMI19  10.1  139.5   10.1  139.6   10.1  139.6 Analysis Plot     
     20151020 034700   44.0  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   29.02 115.0 SSMI17  10.1  139.5   10.1  139.7   10.1  139.7 Analysis Plot     
     20151020 044300   34.3  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   19.30 115.0 SSMI18  10.2  139.9   10.0  139.8   10.0  139.8 Analysis Plot     
     20151020 231602   80.9  >85 kts 100.0%  33.33   65.93 130.0  AMSR2  10.9  142.4   10.8  142.5   10.8  142.5 Analysis Plot     
     20151021 021600   55.7  >65 kts 100.0%  33.33   40.67 125.0 SSMI16  10.9  142.7   10.9  142.9   10.9  142.9 Analysis Plot     
     20151021 033400   63.5  >85 kts 100.0%  33.33   48.52 125.0 SSMI17  11.1  143.1   11.0  142.9   11.0  142.9 Analysis Plot     
     20151021 043100 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00 125.0 SSMI18  11.1  143.2   11.1  143.2   10.8  143.0 Analysis Plot     
     20151021 043100   46.3  >65 kts 100.0%  33.33   31.25 125.0 SSMI18  11.3  143.4   11.1  143.1   11.1  143.1 Analysis Plot     
     20151021 113104 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00 115.0  AMSR2  11.7  144.1   11.7  144.1   12.1  145.1 Analysis Plot     
     20151021 160900   59.3  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   44.28 105.0 SSMI19  12.0  144.5   11.9  144.6   11.9  144.6 Analysis Plot     
     20151021 161100   63.8  >85 kts 100.0%  55.55   48.81 105.0 SSMI17  12.1  144.6   11.9  144.6   11.9  144.6 Analysis Plot     
     20151021 170900   67.0  >85 kts 100.0%  55.55   52.00 105.0 SSMI18  12.1  144.6   12.0  144.7   12.0  144.7 Analysis Plot     
     20151021 193907   43.8  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   28.79 105.0    GMI  12.3  144.9   12.1  144.9   12.1  144.9 Analysis Plot     
     20151022 032200   41.0  >65 kts 100.0%  44.44   25.99 105.0 SSMI17  12.6  145.6   12.6  145.4   12.6  145.4 Analysis Plot     
     20151022 042000 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00 105.0 SSMI18  12.8  145.8   12.8  145.8   12.6  145.4 Analysis Plot     
     20151022 070641 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00 105.0    GMI  12.9  145.9   12.9  145.9   12.4  146.1 Analysis Plot     
     20151022 154500   49.0  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   34.02 100.0 SSMI16  13.4  146.3   13.4  146.2   13.4  146.2 Analysis Plot     
     20151022 155700 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00 100.0 SSMI19  13.6  146.4   13.3  146.2   13.3  146.2 Analysis Plot     
     20151022 165600   35.9  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   20.93 100.0 SSMI18  13.7  146.4   13.5  146.2   13.5  146.2 Analysis Plot     
     20151022 230404   14.7      N/A  53.4%  66.66   14.72  95.0  AMSR2  14.0  146.5   14.0  146.4   14.0  146.4 Analysis Plot     
     20151023 014800   14.3      N/A  68.5%  55.55   14.34  95.0 SSMI16  14.1  146.5   14.2  146.3   14.2  146.3 Analysis Plot     
     20151023 061310 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  95.0    GMI  14.9  146.3   14.9  146.3   14.5  145.9 Analysis Plot     
     20151023 131240   10.0      N/A  30.1%  55.55    9.99 105.0 SSMI15  15.7  146.2   15.8  146.3   15.8  146.3 Analysis Plot     
     20151023 144700   13.1      N/A  42.5%  44.44   13.08 105.0 SSMI16  15.8  146.2   16.1  146.2   16.1  146.2 Analysis Plot     
     20151023 154400   13.1      N/A  41.1%  55.55   13.08 105.0 SSMI17  16.0  146.2   16.2  146.2   16.2  146.2 Analysis Plot     
     20151023 164400   10.6      N/A  50.7%  55.55   10.57 105.0 SSMI18  16.1  146.2   16.5  146.2   16.5  146.2 Analysis Plot     
     20151023 193026   22.1  >65 kts  53.4%  77.77   22.06 105.0    GMI  16.4  146.1   16.8  146.3   16.8  146.3 Analysis Plot     
     20151024 013100   51.4  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   36.40 105.0 SSMI16  17.6  146.2   17.7  146.0   17.7  146.0 Analysis Plot     
     20151024 043600   47.1  >65 kts 100.0%  77.77   32.11 105.0 SSMI19  18.5  145.7   18.2  145.9   18.2  145.9 Analysis Plot     
     20151024 125003   13.3      N/A  12.3%  55.55   13.27 105.0 SSMI15  19.1  145.4   19.1  145.5   19.1  145.5 Analysis Plot     
     20151024 150300    9.3      N/A  67.1%  99.99    9.34 105.0 SSMI16  19.2  145.4   19.2  145.3   19.2  145.3 Analysis Plot     
     20151024 225316    7.5      N/A  13.7%  55.55    7.50  95.0  AMSR2  20.0  144.9   20.2  144.5   20.2  144.5 Analysis Plot     
     20151025 042300   48.1  >65 kts 100.0%  77.77   33.12  85.0 SSMI19  21.0  144.1   20.7  144.3   20.7  144.3 Analysis Plot     
     20151025 110339   24.6  >65 kts  72.6%  88.88   24.64  80.0  AMSR2  21.5  143.6   21.3  143.9   21.3  143.9 Analysis Plot     
     20151025 123335   12.3      N/A  53.4%  77.77   12.29  80.0 SSMI15  21.6  143.5   21.5  143.8   21.5  143.8 Analysis Plot     
     20151025 165500 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  80.0 SSMI19  21.9  143.4   21.9  143.4   22.1  143.5 Analysis Plot     
     20151026 051025    5.7      N/A   9.6% 222.20    5.72  70.0    GMI  23.9  142.2   23.9  142.2   23.5  142.5 Analysis Plot     
     20151026 122012 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  60.0 SSMI15  24.6  141.3   24.6  141.3   23.8  140.9 Analysis Plot     
     20151026 164100   -3.7      N/A   N/A  222.20    3.73  50.0 SSMI19  24.8  141.2   24.8  141.2   24.5  142.1 Analysis Plot     
     20151026 183106   -9.6      N/A   N/A   11.11    9.62  50.0    GMI  25.0  141.0   25.0  141.0   25.7  141.7 Analysis Plot     
     20151026 224226  -10.6      N/A  16.4% 188.87   10.60  50.0  AMSR2  25.8  137.8   25.8  137.8   25.8  137.7 Analysis Plot     
     20151027 041757   -8.0      N/A   N/A  144.43    8.00  45.0    GMI  26.4  137.1   26.4  137.1   26.3  136.7 Analysis Plot     
     20151027 115256   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  40.0 SSMI15  26.5  135.5   26.5  135.5   26.9  135.8 Analysis Plot     
     20151027 144000   -2.1      N/A   N/A   22.22    2.07  40.0 SSMI16  26.6  135.3   26.6  135.3   27.0  135.1 Analysis Plot     
     20151027 173937  -12.0      N/A   N/A   22.22   11.99  40.0    GMI  26.8  134.8   26.8  134.8   26.8  134.8 Analysis Plot     
     20151027 214751   -2.7      N/A   N/A   11.11    2.65  40.0  AMSR2  26.9  134.5   26.9  134.5   27.2  134.5 Analysis Plot     
 
 
Legend:

  - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position.

  - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere.

  - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km).

  - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater.
  - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85.

  - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall.

  - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs.

  - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data.