Hurricane 14L


Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 8.2.1
 

         Overpass     Inten           Ring    Ring          Wind           Forecast        Final        Target  
       Date    Time   Score  Meaning   Pct    Diam  BTdiff   Est   Sat    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon              
     20160928 172900   -4.2      N/A  35.6%  88.88    4.16  50.0  AMSR2  13.5   61.3   13.5   61.3   14.1   61.4 Analysis Plot     
     20160928 185506   -1.0      N/A   N/A   33.33    1.00  50.0 SSMI15  13.8   61.7   13.8   61.7   14.0   62.5 Analysis Plot     
     20160928 230100   -5.1      N/A  21.9% 222.20    5.13  50.0 SSMI18  13.8   62.3   13.8   62.3   13.9   62.6 Analysis Plot     
     20160928 230200   -5.6      N/A  27.4% 199.98    5.58  50.0 SSMI18  13.9   62.8   13.9   62.8   14.0   62.7 Analysis Plot     
     20160929 054318    6.3      N/A  15.1% 222.20    6.28  55.0  AMSR2  13.9   64.1   13.9   64.1   14.2   64.3 Analysis Plot     
     20160929 085300    8.9      N/A  17.8% 177.76    8.92  55.0 SSMI16  14.0   64.5   14.0   64.5   14.4   64.9 Analysis Plot     
     20160929 104800    7.3      N/A  15.1% 211.09    7.28  55.0 SSMI17  14.0   65.2   14.0   65.2   14.1   65.6 Analysis Plot     
     20160929 113800    7.0      N/A  16.4% 155.54    7.03  60.0 SSMI18  14.1   65.5   14.1   65.5   14.4   65.8 Analysis Plot     
     20160929 184034   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  65.0 SSMI15  14.1   67.5   14.1   67.5   14.5   66.9 Analysis Plot     
     20160929 225000   37.9  >65 kts 100.0%  44.44   22.94  65.0 SSMI18  14.1   68.0   14.4   67.8   14.4   67.8 Analysis Plot     
     20160929 225100   37.6  >65 kts 100.0%  44.44   22.56  65.0 SSMI18  14.1   68.4   14.4   67.8   14.4   67.8 Analysis Plot     
     20160930 074741   56.1  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   41.12  85.0 SSMI15  14.0   69.6   14.1   69.7   14.1   69.7 Analysis Plot     
     20160930 094848   58.0  >65 kts 100.0%  44.44   43.02  85.0    GMI  14.0   70.1   13.9   70.1   13.9   70.1 Analysis Plot     
     20160930 112600   48.6  >65 kts 100.0%  33.33   33.63  85.0 SSMI18  13.9   70.4   13.9   70.3   13.9   70.3 Analysis Plot     
     20160930 211600   85.6  >85 kts 100.0%  33.33   70.60 110.0    GMI  13.5   71.6   13.5   71.6   13.5   71.6 Analysis Plot     
     20160930 211700   84.7  >85 kts 100.0%  33.33   69.70 110.0 SSMI16  13.5   71.4   13.5   71.7   13.5   71.7 Analysis Plot     
     20160930 232800   69.0  >85 kts 100.0%  33.33   53.99 110.0 SSMI17  13.5   71.8   13.5   71.8   13.5   71.8 Analysis Plot     
     20160930 232800   63.5  >85 kts 100.0%  22.22   48.52 135.0 SSMI17  13.4   72.0   13.4   71.8   13.4   71.8 Analysis Plot     
     20161002 000600   35.1  >65 kts 100.0%  11.11   20.13 125.0 SSMI18  13.6   73.5   13.4   73.5   13.4   73.5 Analysis Plot     
     20161002 000700   32.8  >65 kts 100.0%  11.11   17.79 130.0 SSMI18  13.6   73.5   13.5   73.5   13.5   73.5 Analysis Plot     
     20161002 061441   53.9  >65 kts 100.0%  11.11   38.94 130.0  AMSR2  13.7   73.9   13.8   73.9   13.8   73.9 Analysis Plot     
     20161002 093841   52.2  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   37.23 130.0    GMI  13.9   74.1   14.0   74.1   14.0   74.1 Analysis Plot     
     20161002 095100   38.4  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   23.36 130.0 SSMI16  13.9   74.1   14.0   74.2   14.0   74.2 Analysis Plot     
     20161002 115000   12.1      N/A  83.6%  22.22   12.13 125.0 SSMI17  14.0   74.4   14.0   74.4   14.0   74.4 Analysis Plot     
     20161002 184354   80.2  >85 kts 100.0%  22.22   65.15 125.0  AMSR2  14.3   74.7   14.3   74.7   14.3   74.7 Analysis Plot     
     20161002 235300   44.3  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   29.27 125.0 SSMI18  14.8   74.8   14.3   74.9   14.3   74.9 Analysis Plot     
     20161002 235400 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00 125.0 SSMI18  14.5   75.0   14.5   75.0   14.5   74.8 Analysis Plot     
     20161003 083414   55.0  >65 kts 100.0%  33.33   39.97 115.0 SSMI15  15.1   74.9   15.1   74.9   15.1   74.9 Analysis Plot     
     20161003 094900   45.9  >65 kts 100.0%  33.33   30.88 115.0 SSMI16  15.2   74.9   15.2   74.9   15.2   74.9 Analysis Plot     
     20161003 113600   38.6  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   23.56 120.0 SSMI17  15.4   74.9   15.4   74.8   15.4   74.8 Analysis Plot     
     20161003 123100   35.7  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   20.68 120.0 SSMI18  15.5   74.9   15.5   74.9   15.5   74.9 Analysis Plot     
     20161003 201234   42.1  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   27.14 120.0    GMI  16.2   74.7   16.1   74.7   16.1   74.7 Analysis Plot     
     20161003 224900   55.2  >65 kts 100.0%  44.44   40.22 120.0 SSMI17  16.4   74.7   16.6   74.6   16.6   74.6 Analysis Plot     
     20161003 234100   59.2  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   44.23 120.0 SSMI18  16.5   74.6   16.6   74.5   16.6   74.5 Analysis Plot     
     20161003 234100   57.2  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   42.20 125.0 SSMI18  16.6   74.6   16.6   74.6   16.6   74.6 Analysis Plot     
     20161004 081611   78.0  >85 kts 100.0%  44.44   62.95 125.0 SSMI15  17.7   74.4   17.7   74.4   17.7   74.4 Analysis Plot     
     20161004 092927   94.7  >85 kts 100.0%  44.44   79.73 125.0    GMI  17.9   74.4   17.9   74.2   17.9   74.2 Analysis Plot     
     20161004 100800   95.5  >85 kts 100.0%  44.44   80.53 125.0 SSMI16  17.8   74.4   17.9   74.2   17.9   74.2 Analysis Plot     
     20161004 112200   84.3  >85 kts 100.0%  44.44   69.32 125.0 SSMI17  18.2   74.3   18.4   74.2   18.4   74.2 Analysis Plot     
     20161004 121700   54.5  >65 kts 100.0%  33.33   39.54 125.0 SSMI18  18.6   74.3   18.5   74.3   18.5   74.3 Analysis Plot     
     20161004 190550   66.6  >85 kts 100.0%  55.55   51.63 125.0 SSMI15  19.6   74.3   19.5   74.3   19.5   74.3 Analysis Plot     
     20161004 213100   65.0  >85 kts 100.0%  55.55   50.00 125.0 SSMI16  19.7   74.3   19.5   74.1   19.5   74.1 Analysis Plot     
     20161004 223700 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00 125.0 SSMI17  19.9   74.3   19.8   74.1   19.8   74.1 Analysis Plot     
     20161004 233000   71.8  >85 kts 100.0%  44.44   56.77 125.0 SSMI18  20.0   74.3   19.9   74.3   19.9   74.3 Analysis Plot     
     20161004 233000   72.1  >85 kts 100.0%  44.44   57.07 120.0 SSMI18  20.1   74.3   19.9   74.3   19.9   74.3 Analysis Plot     
     20161005 064259   22.2  >65 kts  49.3%  66.66   22.19 110.0  AMSR2  20.9   74.5   20.9   74.5   20.9   74.5 Analysis Plot     
     20161005 080419    9.2      N/A  50.7%  44.44    9.15 110.0 SSMI15  21.0   74.5   21.0   74.5   21.0   74.5 Analysis Plot     
     20161005 090200   37.7  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   22.71 110.0 SSMI16  21.0   74.6   21.2   74.5   21.2   74.5 Analysis Plot     
     20161005 110800   43.5  >65 kts 100.0%  66.66   28.51 110.0 SSMI17  21.4   74.8   21.3   74.6   21.3   74.6 Analysis Plot     
     20161005 120300   48.7  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   33.66 100.0 SSMI18  21.5   74.9   21.5   74.7   21.5   74.7 Analysis Plot     
     20161005 231900    9.7      N/A  84.9%  33.33    9.70 105.0 SSMI18  23.0   76.1   22.9   75.8   22.9   75.8 Analysis Plot     
     20161006 092035   61.9  >85 kts 100.0%  33.33   46.90 110.0    GMI  24.2   77.1   24.2   77.1   24.2   77.1 Analysis Plot     
     20161006 115100   44.5  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   29.45 110.0 SSMI18  24.7   77.6   24.6   77.3   24.6   77.3 Analysis Plot     
     20161006 190654   51.0  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   36.04 120.0    GMI  25.9   78.4   25.8   78.3   25.8   78.3 Analysis Plot     
     20161006 235300 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00 120.0 SSMI17  26.5   78.9   26.6   78.9   26.6   78.9 Analysis Plot     
     20161006 235300   28.8  >65 kts  86.3%  22.22   13.82 115.0 SSMI17  26.7   79.0   26.6   78.8   26.6   78.8 Analysis Plot     
     20161007 090329   17.2      N/A  42.5%  77.77   17.18 105.0 SSMI15  28.2   80.0   28.2   80.0   28.2   80.0 Analysis Plot     
     20161007 111300   37.5  >65 kts 100.0%  77.77   22.48 105.0 SSMI16  28.3   80.1   28.5   80.1   28.5   80.1 Analysis Plot     
     20161007 122100   41.9  >65 kts 100.0%  66.66   26.87 105.0 SSMI17  29.0   80.3   28.8   80.3   28.8   80.3 Analysis Plot     
     20161007 190735 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00 100.0  AMSR2  29.8   80.7   29.8   80.7   29.9   80.8 Analysis Plot     
     20161007 212600    2.4      N/A   6.8% 122.21    2.44 100.0 SSMI16  30.0   80.7   29.7   80.9   29.7   80.9 Analysis Plot     
     20161007 234000 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00 100.0 SSMI17  30.8   80.8   29.9   80.9   29.9   80.9 Analysis Plot     
     20161008 071058    1.6      N/A  12.3% 122.21    1.64  90.0  AMSR2  31.8   80.6   31.5   80.6   31.5   80.6 Analysis Plot     
     20161008 091203 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  90.0    GMI  32.0   80.5   31.4   80.6   31.4   80.6 Analysis Plot     
     20161008 111900 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  90.0 SSMI16  32.1   80.5   31.4   79.9   31.4   79.9 Analysis Plot     
     20161008 120600    0.7      N/A   N/A  144.43     .75  65.0 SSMI17  32.6   79.8   32.6   79.8   31.9   79.6 Analysis Plot     
     20161008 130400   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  65.0 SSMI18  32.8   79.6   32.8   79.6   32.1   80.2 Analysis Plot     
     20161008 194711    2.1      N/A   N/A  188.87    2.13  65.0 SSMI15  33.8   78.3   33.8   78.3   33.0   78.8 Analysis Plot     
     20161008 232700    2.7      N/A   N/A   66.66    2.68  65.0 SSMI17  34.1   77.5   34.1   77.5   33.7   77.5 Analysis Plot     
     20161009 082029    3.1      N/A   N/A  199.98    3.14  65.0    GMI  34.9   75.3   34.9   75.3   34.6   75.5 Analysis Plot     
     20161009 083445    3.1      N/A   N/A  188.87    3.10  65.0 SSMI15  34.9   75.2   34.9   75.2   34.6   75.7 Analysis Plot     
     20161009 093900    1.8      N/A   N/A   22.22    1.78  65.0 SSMI16  34.9   75.0   34.9   75.0   34.9   75.7 Analysis Plot     
     20161009 115200    0.4      N/A   N/A  177.76     .38  65.0 SSMI17  35.1   74.3   35.1   74.3   35.1   74.7 Analysis Plot     
     20161009 125200 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  65.0 SSMI18  35.2   74.1   35.2   74.1   35.6   74.5 Analysis Plot     
     20161009 180239    3.2      N/A   N/A   55.55    3.20  65.0    GMI  35.3   72.9   35.3   72.9   35.3   72.9 Analysis Plot     
     20161009 193241    3.8      N/A   N/A   33.33    3.81  65.0 SSMI15  35.3   72.2   35.3   72.2   35.5   72.3 Analysis Plot     
     20161009 231600    3.1      N/A   N/A   11.11    3.13  65.0 SSMI17  35.7   71.1   35.7   71.1   35.4   71.1 Analysis Plot     
 
 
Legend:

  - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position.

  - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere.

  - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km).

  - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater.
  - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85.

  - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall.

  - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs.

  - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data.