Tropical Depression 15S
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Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target
Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon
20160315 193900 -55.6 N/A 100.0% 44.44 40.64 40.0 AMSR2 -11.2 -85.8 -11.1 -85.7 -11.1 -85.7 Analysis Plot
20160316 003200 -15.0 N/A 84.9% 44.44 15.03 40.0 SSMI17 -11.2 -85.7 -10.9 -85.4 -10.9 -85.4 Analysis Plot
20160316 075440 53.7 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 38.66 55.0 AMSR2 -10.7 -84.8 -10.8 -84.8 -10.8 -84.8 Analysis Plot
20160316 131100 35.9 >65 kts 100.0% 11.11 20.87 55.0 SSMI17 -10.6 -84.6 -10.6 -84.6 -10.7 -84.6 Analysis Plot
20160316 212133 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 90.0 GMI -10.6 -84.2 -10.5 -84.1 -10.5 -84.1 Analysis Plot
20160316 212141 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 90.0 GMI -10.6 -84.2 -10.6 -84.2 -10.6 -84.4 Analysis Plot
20160317 001900 49.4 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 34.39 90.0 SSMI17 -10.6 -84.1 -10.3 -84.3 -10.3 -84.3 Analysis Plot
20160317 014200 69.2 >85 kts 100.0% 22.22 54.21 90.0 SSMI18 -10.6 -84.1 -10.4 -84.2 -10.4 -84.2 Analysis Plot
20160317 085037 75.3 >85 kts 100.0% 22.22 60.27 125.0 GMI -10.4 -84.0 -10.6 -83.9 -10.6 -83.9 Analysis Plot
20160317 125700 30.4 >65 kts 90.4% 22.22 15.42 125.0 SSMI17 -10.4 -83.9 -10.8 -83.9 -10.8 -83.9 Analysis Plot
20160317 192721 43.6 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 28.60 115.0 AMSR2 -10.5 -83.9 -10.3 -83.9 -10.3 -83.9 Analysis Plot
20160317 214909 4.9 N/A N/A 177.76 4.87 115.0 SSMI15 -10.5 -83.9 -10.5 -83.7 -10.5 -83.7 Analysis Plot
20160317 234500 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 115.0 SSMI16 -10.5 -83.9 -10.5 -83.7 -10.5 -83.7 Analysis Plot
20160318 000700 5.1 N/A 3.0% 166.65 5.14 115.0 SSMI17 -10.6 -84.0 -10.4 -84.0 -10.4 -84.0 Analysis Plot
20160318 012900 0.5 N/A N/A 155.54 .48 115.0 SSMI18 -10.6 -84.0 -10.3 -83.9 -10.3 -83.9 Analysis Plot
20160318 075833 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 85.0 GMI -10.1 -84.6 -10.4 -85.2 -10.4 -85.2 Analysis Plot
20160318 124400 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 85.0 SSMI17 -10.1 -84.9 -10.3 -85.2 -10.3 -85.2 Analysis Plot
20160318 213233 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 SSMI15 -10.3 -86.1 -10.3 -86.1 -10.4 -86.3 Analysis Plot
20160318 234100 15.7 N/A 100.0% 11.11 .75 60.0 SSMI16 -10.3 -86.2 -10.5 -86.5 -10.5 -86.5 Analysis Plot
20160318 235300 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 SSMI17 -10.4 -86.3 -10.4 -86.3 -10.6 -86.8 Analysis Plot
20160319 011700 21.0 >65 kts 89.0% 77.77 5.99 60.0 SSMI18 -10.4 -86.4 -10.4 -86.5 -10.4 -86.5 Analysis Plot
20160319 123100 50.5 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 35.46 70.0 SSMI17 -10.7 -87.1 -10.7 -87.3 -10.7 -87.3 Analysis Plot
20160319 135600 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 70.0 SSMI18 -10.7 -87.1 -11.2 -87.1 -11.2 -87.1 Analysis Plot
20160319 201906 2.2 N/A 72.6% 33.33 2.20 75.0 GMI -10.9 -87.4 -10.9 -87.5 -10.9 -87.5 Analysis Plot
20160319 211707 34.5 >65 kts 98.6% 33.33 19.49 75.0 SSMI15 -10.9 -87.4 -10.9 -87.4 -10.9 -87.4 Analysis Plot
20160319 232700 5.8 N/A 57.5% 33.33 5.78 75.0 SSMI16 -10.9 -87.4 -10.8 -87.4 -10.8 -87.4 Analysis Plot
20160320 010500 32.2 >65 kts 97.3% 66.66 17.17 75.0 SSMI18 -11.0 -87.4 -10.6 -87.5 -10.6 -87.5 Analysis Plot
20160320 073027 8.3 N/A 52.1% 33.33 8.30 70.0 AMSR2 -11.0 -87.4 -11.0 -87.3 -11.0 -87.3 Analysis Plot
20160320 104253 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 70.0 SSMI15 -11.1 -87.4 -11.1 -87.4 -11.0 -87.3 Analysis Plot
20160320 121700 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 70.0 SSMI17 -11.2 -87.3 -11.4 -87.3 -11.4 -87.3 Analysis Plot
20160320 134300 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 70.0 SSMI18 -11.2 -87.3 -11.7 -87.2 -11.7 -87.2 Analysis Plot
20160320 212120 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 SSMI15 -11.2 -86.9 -11.2 -86.9 -11.9 -86.4 Analysis Plot
20160320 222100 -920.0 N/A 100.0% 33.33 .25 60.0 SSMI16 -11.2 -86.9 -11.2 -86.9 -11.9 -86.2 Analysis Plot
20160321 005300 -920.0 N/A 100.0% 22.22 1.05 60.0 SSMI18 -11.4 -86.6 -11.4 -86.6 -12.1 -86.2 Analysis Plot
20160321 065523 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 GMI -11.6 -86.1 -11.6 -86.1 -11.2 -87.0 Analysis Plot
20160321 081312 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 AMSR2 -11.8 -85.9 -11.8 -85.9 -12.8 -86.0 Analysis Plot
20160321 102604 0.4 N/A 5.5% 111.10 .37 55.0 SSMI15 -11.8 -85.8 -11.8 -85.8 -12.5 -85.7 Analysis Plot
20160321 133000 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 SSMI18 -11.9 -85.4 -11.9 -85.4 -13.1 -85.4 Analysis Plot
20160322 005500 -4.6 N/A N/A 55.55 4.56 35.0 SSMI17 -12.6 -85.2 -12.6 -85.2 -12.0 -86.1 Analysis Plot
20160322 094920 -1.6 N/A N/A 22.22 1.61 30.0 SSMI15 -11.0 -86.0 -11.0 -86.0 -11.0 -85.9 Analysis Plot
20160322 110300 -0.8 N/A N/A 44.44 .81 30.0 SSMI16 -11.0 -85.8 -11.0 -85.8 -10.9 -85.5 Analysis Plot
20160322 131800 -3.0 N/A N/A 222.20 2.98 30.0 SSMI18 -10.9 -85.6 -10.9 -85.6 -11.0 -85.5 Analysis Plot
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Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |
