Tropical Storm 21S


Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 8.2.1
 

         Overpass     Inten           Ring    Ring          Wind           Forecast        Final        Target  
       Date    Time   Score  Meaning   Pct    Diam  BTdiff   Est   Sat    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon              
     20180428 093111 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  35.0 SSMI15  -9.1  -92.1   -9.1  -92.1   -8.9  -91.4 Analysis Plot     
     20180428 123500 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  40.0 SSMI18  -9.6  -90.8   -9.6  -90.8   -9.6  -90.8 Analysis Plot     
     20180428 190231  -48.3      N/A 100.0%  22.22   33.30  45.0  AMSR2 -10.4  -89.5  -10.3  -89.9  -10.3  -89.9 Analysis Plot     
     20180429 071821 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  45.0  AMSR2 -11.8  -88.2  -11.8  -88.2  -12.1  -87.6 Analysis Plot     
     20180429 105601   25.9  >65 kts  37.0%  44.44   25.85  55.0    GMI -12.6  -87.0  -12.8  -86.5  -12.8  -86.5 Analysis Plot     
     20180429 122000   30.2  >65 kts  86.3%  33.33   15.17  55.0 SSMI18 -12.8  -86.8  -12.8  -86.8  -13.0  -86.3 Analysis Plot     
     20180429 132100   30.6  >65 kts  90.4%  33.33   15.62  60.0 SSMI17 -12.9  -86.2  -12.8  -86.0  -12.8  -86.0 Analysis Plot     
     20180429 194530  -14.6      N/A  27.4% 222.20   14.63  45.0  AMSR2 -13.7  -85.5  -14.0  -85.5  -14.0  -85.5 Analysis Plot     
     20180429 222259   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  45.0    GMI -13.9  -85.3  -13.9  -85.3  -14.0  -85.5 Analysis Plot     
     20180430 075920   47.8  >65 kts 100.0%  77.77   32.76  65.0  AMSR2 -15.1  -84.4  -15.4  -84.5  -15.4  -84.5 Analysis Plot     
     20180430 112357   43.0  >65 kts 100.0%  77.77   28.04  65.0 SSMI15 -15.2  -84.3  -15.6  -84.5  -15.6  -84.5 Analysis Plot     
     20180430 120700   15.2      N/A  68.5%  66.66   15.24  65.0 SSMI18 -15.5  -84.1  -16.1  -84.6  -16.1  -84.6 Analysis Plot     
     20180430 130600   11.0      N/A  50.7%  66.66   10.99  70.0 SSMI17 -15.7  -84.3  -16.2  -84.5  -16.2  -84.5 Analysis Plot     
     20180430 232100 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  70.0 SSMI16 -16.8  -84.1  -16.8  -84.1  -17.7  -84.1 Analysis Plot     
     20180501 110653   -0.3      N/A   N/A   22.22     .32  50.0 SSMI15 -17.7  -83.9  -17.7  -83.9  -17.3  -83.7 Analysis Plot     
     20180501 113800 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  50.0 SSMI16 -17.8  -83.9  -17.8  -83.9  -17.6  -83.7 Analysis Plot     
     20180501 193439   -3.0      N/A   N/A  166.65    2.95  40.0  AMSR2 -18.4  -84.3  -18.4  -84.3  -18.0  -83.9 Analysis Plot     
     20180502 074609   -1.0      N/A   N/A   33.33    1.00  40.0  AMSR2 -19.7  -84.9  -19.7  -84.9  -19.2  -85.7 Analysis Plot     
     20180502 093627   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  40.0 SSMI15 -19.9  -85.0  -19.9  -85.0  -19.4  -86.2 Analysis Plot     
     20180502 111000   -1.3      N/A   N/A  155.54    1.34  40.0 SSMI16 -20.1  -85.1  -20.1  -85.1  -19.8  -86.1 Analysis Plot     
     20180502 123800   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  40.0 SSMI17 -20.4  -85.3  -20.4  -85.3  -20.1  -86.2 Analysis Plot     
     20180502 211746   -1.8      N/A   N/A   33.33    1.83  40.0    GMI -21.8  -86.3  -21.8  -86.3  -21.0  -85.4 Analysis Plot     
     20180502 225500   -1.3      N/A   N/A   77.77    1.33  40.0 SSMI16 -21.8  -86.3  -21.8  -86.3  -21.2  -85.5 Analysis Plot     
 
 
Legend:

  - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position.

  - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere.

  - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km).

  - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater.
  - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85.

  - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall.

  - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs.

  - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data.