Hurricane 12L


UW-CIMSS Automated Satellite-Based
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 9.1
 
Current Intensity Analysis
 


                     UW - CIMSS                     
              ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE       
                    ADT-Version 9.1                
         Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm       

             ----- Current Analysis ----- 
     Date :  07 OCT 2024    Time :   005020 UTC
      Lat :   38:02:02 N     Lon :   44:50:12 W

     
                CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
                3.4 / 969.9mb/ 53.0kt

     
             Final T#  Adj T#  Raw T# 
                2.9     2.7     2.4

 Center Temp : +10.1C    Cloud Region Temp :  -5.8C

 Scene Type : SHEAR (0.48^ TO DG) 

 Subtropical Adjustment : OFF 

 Extratropical Adjustment : OFF 

 Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION 

 Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC      
 Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method  

 Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : 1.0T/6hr 
                   Weakening Flag : ON    
           Rapid Dissipation Flag : ON    

 C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
  - Average 34 knot radii :  232nmi
  - Environmental MSLP    : 1003mb

 Satellite Name :  GOES16 
 Satellite Viewing Angle : 54.2 degrees 

****************************************************

History File Listing
Threshold
All Basins = 12.0
ARCHER Information
PMW Information
Wind Radii Estimates
(based on Knaff et al. 2016)

(naut.mi.) R34 R50 R64
NE 115.0  45.0  0.0 
SE 140.0  55.0  0.0 
SW 130.0  50.0  0.0 
NW 70.0  0.0  0.0 
Parameters Used
RMW derived from Climatology
TC current intensity from ADT = 53.0 (kts)
TC forward speed from Forecast Interpolation = 23.6 (kts)
TC heading from Forecast Interpolation = 46.0 (deg)
Historical listing of wind radii values
Timeline plots of Wind Radii : 34kt   50kt   64kt
Satellite Imagery
Time Series
HTML5 Movie