WTPZ43 KNHC 150232                                              2004197 0232
TCDEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT WED JUL 14 2004
THE SYSTEM IS OVER WATERS COOLER THAN 22 DEG C AND CONSISTS OF A
LARGE SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH A FEW SHOWERS WELL TO THE NORTH OF
THE CENTER.  BLAS IS DISSIPATING AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...ALTHOUGH
THE REMNANT LOW WILL PROBABLY LINGER ON FOR A FEW DAYS.
THE CYCLONE CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 12 KT...AND A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST.
THIS IS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST NOGAPS GUIDANCE.
THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON BLAS.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THE
REMNANT LOW CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO
HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.
FORECASTER PASCH

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      15/0300Z 23.1N 119.8W    25 KT
 12HR VT     15/1200Z 23.6N 121.5W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 24HR VT     16/0000Z 24.0N 123.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     16/1200Z 24.0N 125.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     17/0000Z 24.0N 126.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     18/0000Z 24.0N 129.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     19/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
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