WTIO32 PGTW 220300 2001142 0139 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01A WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 13.9N3 70.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 70.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 14.3N8 71.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 14.8N3 72.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 15.5N1 72.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 16.3N0 72.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 17.4N2 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION NEAR 14.0N5 70.8E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01A HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ENHANCED INFRARED ANIMATION DEPICTS SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING INDICATIVE OF DEEP CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVER THE VORTEX CENTER. IMAGERY ALSO REVEALS FORMATION OF A BANDING FEATURE PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF INDIA. TC 01A IS FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THEN, AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY, A MID- LEVEL RIDGE SHOULD BUILD OVER SOUTHERN INDIA CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO TRACK INCREASINGLY NORTHWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3, 221500Z0, 222100Z7 AND 230300Z8.// wxtlist.k: done