WTPZ45 KNHC 031430                                              2005276 1430
TCDEP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OTIS DISCUSSION NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT MON OCT 03 2005

DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED CONSIDERABLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS
AND THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS LOCATED SOUTH OF AN AREA OF A
FEW THUNDERSTORM CELLS. INITIAL INTENISTY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 30
KNOTS AND FURTHER WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED.
OTIS APPEARS TO BE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6
KNOTS AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL
DISSIPATION IN A DAY OR TWO. OTIS COULD STILL GENERATE SPORADIC
BURTS OF CONVECTION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

FORECASTER AVILA

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      03/1500Z 25.2N 112.9W    30 KT
 12HR VT     04/0000Z 25.6N 113.3W    25 KT
 24HR VT     04/1200Z 26.5N 114.0W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 36HR VT     05/0000Z 27.0N 114.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     05/1200Z 27.5N 115.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     06/1200Z 28.0N 116.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
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