WXTLIST WMO=ABPW10
ABPW10 PGTW 010600                                              2020092 0612
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/010600Z-020600ZAPR2020//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 9.7S 143.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.4S 146.0E, APPROXIMATELY 85
NM SOUTHWEST OF PORT MORESBY. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH SCATTERED
FLARING CONVECTION AT THE PERIPHERY. A 010436Z GMI 89GHZ PARTIAL
MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS FRAGMENTED DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTH AND
SOUTH OF THE LLC. A 302357Z METOP-C PARTIAL ASCAT PASS SHOWS THE LLC
WITH SMALL SWATHS 20 TO 25 KNOT WIND BARBS TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
98P IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH EXCELLENT POLEWARD
OUTFLOW, LOW (5 TO 15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29 TO 30
CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THAT 98P WILL TRACK GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD AND DISSIPATE.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 8.7S 153.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.4S 153.8E, APPROXIMATELY 400
NM EAST OF PORT MORESBY. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH SCATTERED, FLARING CONVECTION. A
010318Z AMSR2 GW1 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS GENERALLY
DISORGANIZED SCATTERED FRAGMENTED DEEP CONVECTION AND POTENTIAL
FORMATIVE BANDING TO THE SOUTH. A 312333Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS
PREDOMINANTLY SHOWS TROUGHING WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS ON THE
WESTERN SIDE. 90P IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD
DUAL CHANNEL OUTFLOW, LOW (<15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM
(29 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN
GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 90P WILL TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHEASTWARD WITH
CONTINUING INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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WXTLIST: done