WXTLIST WMO=ABPW10
ABPW10 PGTW 160600                                              2019016 0546
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/160600Z-170600ZJAN2019//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (RMNTS 01W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
4.6N 152.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.7N 149.8E, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ARC OF FLARING CONVECTION OVER 100 NM
NORTH OF A BROAD, PARTIALLY EXPOSED LLC. A 152334Z ASCAT PARTIAL PASS
SHOWS LARGELY STRAIGHT-LINE SURFACE FLOW EAST OF THE 160000Z JTWC BEST
TRACK POSITION. THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS OVERALL FAVORABLE
WITH LOW (5-10KT) VWS AND BROAD WESTWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW. SSTS
REMAIN FAVORABLE (28-30C) IN THIS REGION OF THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC.
THERE REMAINS STRONG CONSENSUS AMONG GLOBAL MODELS THAT THE SYSTEM
WILL DEVELOP BETWEEN TAU 24-48 AS TRACK WEST-NORTHWEST TOWARDS THE
PHILIPPINES. THE JGSM IS THE SOLE OUTLIER, FORECASTING NO
DEVELOPMENT BY TAU 72.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
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WXTLIST: done