WXTLIST WMO=ABPW10
ABPW10 PGTW 120600                                              2018316 0616
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/120600Z-130600ZNOV2018//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98C) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 10.6N 165.9E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 161.1E, APPROXIMATELY
420 NM NORTHWEST OF KWAJALEIN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND 120437Z SSMI 85 GHZ IMAGE DEPICT A DISORGANIZED LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS SHOWS 98C IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LOW (5-10 KNOTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES
(28-30 CELSIUS) REMAIN FAVORABLE IN THE SURROUNDING AREA. GLOBAL
MODELS ARE GENERAL AGREEMENT SHOWING A WESTWARD TRAJECTORY WITH
WEAK, SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE 48-72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 5.4S 156.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.9S 160.0E, APPROXIMATELY
783 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A PARTIAL 110435Z SSMI 85GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION(LLC).
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF
LOW (10-15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DUAL OUTFLOW. A RECENT
ASCAT PASS REVEALS AN ASYMMETRIC CIRCULATION WITH A SWATH OF 20-25
KNOT WINDS TO THE NORTHEAST. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-30
CELSIUS) IN THE REGION REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT.
GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A SOUTHERN TRAJECTORY OVER THE NEXT 48-72
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.//
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