WXTLIST WMO=ABIO10 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 2025037 1752 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z-071800ZFEB2025// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060752ZFEB2025// REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060751ZFEB2025// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 06FEB25 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (VINCE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3S 82.5E, APPROXIMATELY 936 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 060900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 06FEB25 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9S 103.8E, APPROXIMATELY 434 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS33 PGTW 060900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 19.9S 41.0E, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF EUROPA ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ELONGATED AREA OF TURNING WITH DISORGANIZED FLARING CONVECTION JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER. A NEARBY SHIP OBSERVATION AT 061600Z SHOWS A BELT OF SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL WITH CYCLONIC ROTATION. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT MOVING FORWARD WITH LOW (5-10 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER, A LACK OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND A RELATIVELY DRY ENVIRONMENT IS CURRENTLY HINDERING THE SYSTEM FROM DEVELOPMENT. WHILE GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS DO NOT YET FAVOR THIS SYSTEM, ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE SHOWING SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION ON A WESTWARD TRACK TOWARDS THE COAST OF CENTRAL MOZAMBIQUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN WXTLIST: done