Tropical Depression 03S
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Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.1.5 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target
Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon
20131216 204427 -7.6 N/A N/A 22.22 7.65 35.0 TRMM -15.8 -71.9 -15.8 -71.9 -15.8 -72.1 Analysis Plot
20131217 004000 -930.0 N/A N/A 66.66 7.98 35.0 SSMI16 -15.8 -71.7 -15.8 -71.7 -15.1 -71.1 Analysis Plot
20131217 045552 -930.0 N/A N/A 211.09 4.11 35.0 TRMM -15.8 -71.4 -15.8 -71.4 -15.8 -72.3 Analysis Plot
20131217 101123 -22.3 N/A 54.8% 66.66 22.25 35.0 SSMI15 -15.6 -72.0 -15.6 -72.0 -15.9 -71.9 Analysis Plot
20131218 002600 -4.7 N/A 46.6% 77.77 4.72 50.0 SSMI16 -16.1 -70.8 -15.9 -71.0 -15.9 -71.0 Analysis Plot
20131218 012900 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 50.0 SSMI17 -16.1 -70.6 -16.1 -70.6 -14.6 -70.4 Analysis Plot
20131218 032800 -36.0 N/A 100.0% 77.77 21.04 50.0 SSMI18 -16.2 -70.5 -15.9 -70.9 -15.9 -70.9 Analysis Plot
20131218 130200 54.5 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 39.52 80.0 SSMI16 -16.0 -70.2 -16.7 -70.2 -16.7 -70.2 Analysis Plot
20131218 203013 46.5 >65 kts 100.0% 66.66 31.52 100.0 TRMM -16.9 -69.7 -16.9 -69.4 -16.9 -69.4 Analysis Plot
20131219 001300 10.4 N/A 67.1% 55.55 10.36 100.0 SSMI16 -17.0 -69.3 -16.9 -69.1 -16.9 -69.1 Analysis Plot
20131219 011600 14.3 N/A 67.1% 55.55 14.25 100.0 SSMI17 -17.0 -69.2 -17.0 -68.9 -17.0 -68.9 Analysis Plot
20131219 031500 46.4 >65 kts 100.0% 66.66 31.38 100.0 SSMI18 -17.1 -69.0 -17.1 -68.6 -17.1 -68.6 Analysis Plot
20131219 044211 16.3 N/A 20.5% 66.66 16.30 100.0 TRMM -17.1 -68.9 -17.1 -68.5 -17.1 -68.5 Analysis Plot
20131219 124800 54.3 >65 kts 100.0% 77.77 39.26 105.0 SSMI16 -17.6 -67.4 -17.9 -67.4 -17.9 -67.4 Analysis Plot
20131219 135000 48.8 >65 kts 100.0% 66.66 33.83 105.0 SSMI17 -17.7 -67.3 -17.9 -67.3 -17.9 -67.3 Analysis Plot
20131219 155000 59.5 >65 kts 100.0% 88.88 44.54 105.0 SSMI18 -17.8 -67.0 -18.0 -66.9 -18.0 -66.9 Analysis Plot
20131219 193406 56.4 >65 kts 100.0% 88.88 41.44 105.0 TRMM -18.0 -66.4 -18.0 -66.3 -18.0 -66.3 Analysis Plot
20131219 223141 65.4 >85 kts 100.0% 77.77 50.37 105.0 SSMI15 -18.1 -66.0 -18.0 -65.9 -18.0 -65.9 Analysis Plot
20131220 000100 71.6 >85 kts 100.0% 77.77 56.63 105.0 SSMI16 -18.2 -65.8 -18.0 -65.9 -18.0 -65.9 Analysis Plot
20131220 010300 64.7 >85 kts 100.0% 77.77 49.67 105.0 SSMI17 -18.2 -65.7 -18.0 -65.7 -18.0 -65.7 Analysis Plot
20131220 030400 56.0 >65 kts 100.0% 77.77 41.02 105.0 SSMI18 -18.3 -65.5 -18.0 -65.6 -18.0 -65.6 Analysis Plot
20131220 034536 47.7 >65 kts 100.0% 77.77 32.69 105.0 TRMM -18.3 -65.5 -18.1 -65.6 -18.1 -65.6 Analysis Plot
20131220 123500 50.9 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 35.86 110.0 SSMI16 -18.6 -64.7 -18.8 -64.8 -18.8 -64.8 Analysis Plot
20131220 133700 57.3 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 42.33 110.0 SSMI17 -18.7 -64.6 -18.9 -64.7 -18.9 -64.7 Analysis Plot
20131220 153800 69.2 >85 kts 100.0% 77.77 54.21 110.0 SSMI18 -18.8 -64.5 -19.0 -64.5 -19.0 -64.5 Analysis Plot
20131220 201553 -930.0 N/A N/A 66.66 55.88 115.0 TRMM -19.3 -64.2 -19.5 -64.4 -19.5 -64.4 Analysis Plot
20131221 005200 -930.0 N/A N/A 77.77 66.89 115.0 SSMI17 -19.5 -64.1 -19.7 -64.3 -19.7 -64.3 Analysis Plot
20131221 104810 44.7 >65 kts 100.0% 77.77 29.73 130.0 SSMI15 -20.4 -64.5 -20.6 -64.8 -20.6 -64.8 Analysis Plot
20131221 122300 -930.0 N/A N/A 77.77 57.81 130.0 SSMI16 -20.5 -64.6 -20.8 -64.9 -20.8 -64.9 Analysis Plot
20131221 132400 65.8 >85 kts 100.0% 77.77 50.75 130.0 SSMI17 -20.6 -64.6 -20.9 -65.1 -20.9 -65.1 Analysis Plot
20131221 152600 49.7 >65 kts 100.0% 77.77 34.71 130.0 SSMI18 -20.8 -64.7 -21.2 -65.3 -21.2 -65.3 Analysis Plot
20131221 192136 46.3 >65 kts 100.0% 66.66 31.30 120.0 TRMM -21.3 -65.7 -21.5 -65.8 -21.5 -65.8 Analysis Plot
20131222 103209 3.8 N/A 12.3% 144.43 3.77 90.0 SSMI15 -22.2 -67.0 -22.2 -67.0 -22.4 -67.3 Analysis Plot
20131222 151300 6.8 N/A N/A 155.54 6.83 90.0 SSMI18 -22.4 -67.2 -22.4 -67.2 -22.5 -67.7 Analysis Plot
20131222 182626 -930.0 N/A N/A 222.20 10.10 60.0 TRMM -22.8 -68.0 -22.8 -68.0 -22.4 -67.7 Analysis Plot
20131223 125800 -930.0 N/A N/A 166.65 3.95 35.0 SSMI17 -22.8 -68.7 -22.8 -68.7 -22.1 -69.2 Analysis Plot
20131223 150100 -930.0 N/A N/A 155.54 1.41 35.0 SSMI18 -22.8 -68.9 -22.8 -68.9 -22.3 -69.1 Analysis Plot
20131223 190839 -930.0 N/A N/A 211.09 3.00 35.0 TRMM -22.8 -69.1 -22.8 -69.1 -23.6 -69.7 Analysis Plot
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Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |
