Tropical Storm 04S
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Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.1.5 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target
Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon
20131217 224200 -4.5 N/A 45.2% 122.21 4.54 35.0 SSMI16 -10.2 -96.3 -10.0 -96.3 -10.0 -96.3 Analysis Plot
20131217 234500 -5.8 N/A 64.4% 177.76 5.78 35.0 SSMI17 -10.4 -96.2 -10.5 -96.0 -10.5 -96.0 Analysis Plot
20131218 014400 -35.2 N/A 100.0% 122.21 20.19 35.0 SSMI18 -10.6 -96.0 -10.6 -96.0 -10.6 -96.0 Analysis Plot
20131218 040704 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 TRMM -10.8 -95.8 -10.8 -95.8 -11.3 -95.3 Analysis Plot
20131218 223000 47.0 >65 kts 100.0% 111.10 32.03 60.0 SSMI16 -11.8 -93.5 -12.0 -93.2 -12.0 -93.2 Analysis Plot
20131218 233200 -930.0 N/A N/A 211.09 1.55 60.0 SSMI17 -11.8 -93.3 -11.8 -93.3 -11.8 -92.9 Analysis Plot
20131219 013200 36.9 >65 kts 100.0% 111.10 21.93 60.0 SSMI18 -11.9 -93.0 -11.9 -92.6 -11.9 -92.6 Analysis Plot
20131219 031020 22.1 >65 kts 54.8% 122.21 22.08 60.0 TRMM -12.0 -92.8 -12.2 -92.5 -12.2 -92.5 Analysis Plot
20131219 110700 50.6 >65 kts 100.0% 99.99 35.59 75.0 SSMI16 -12.4 -91.3 -12.7 -91.3 -12.7 -91.3 Analysis Plot
20131219 121000 68.1 >85 kts 100.0% 99.99 53.15 75.0 SSMI17 -12.4 -91.2 -12.7 -91.2 -12.7 -91.2 Analysis Plot
20131219 141000 77.8 >85 kts 100.0% 88.88 62.80 90.0 SSMI18 -12.7 -90.9 -12.9 -90.9 -12.9 -90.9 Analysis Plot
20131219 180113 68.7 >85 kts 100.0% 99.99 53.71 90.0 TRMM -12.8 -90.3 -13.0 -90.3 -13.0 -90.3 Analysis Plot
20131219 204839 72.8 >85 kts 100.0% 88.88 57.84 90.0 SSMI15 -12.9 -89.8 -13.1 -89.9 -13.1 -89.9 Analysis Plot
20131219 232100 75.7 >85 kts 100.0% 77.77 60.74 90.0 SSMI17 -13.0 -89.4 -13.2 -89.6 -13.2 -89.6 Analysis Plot
20131220 012100 79.8 >85 kts 100.0% 77.77 64.80 110.0 SSMI18 -13.3 -89.5 -13.3 -89.3 -13.3 -89.3 Analysis Plot
20131220 105500 85.5 >85 kts 100.0% 66.66 70.50 110.0 SSMI16 -13.8 -87.9 -13.8 -87.5 -13.8 -87.5 Analysis Plot
20131220 115700 77.4 >85 kts 100.0% 66.66 62.37 110.0 SSMI17 -13.9 -87.7 -13.8 -87.3 -13.8 -87.3 Analysis Plot
20131220 135800 69.9 >85 kts 100.0% 55.55 54.87 125.0 SSMI18 -13.9 -87.2 -14.0 -87.0 -14.0 -87.0 Analysis Plot
20131221 025510 59.8 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 44.78 135.0 TRMM -14.8 -84.5 -14.6 -84.4 -14.6 -84.4 Analysis Plot
20131221 174645 65.7 >85 kts 100.0% 77.77 50.73 135.0 TRMM -16.4 -81.2 -16.2 -80.8 -16.2 -80.8 Analysis Plot
20131221 233400 72.2 >85 kts 100.0% 77.77 57.19 135.0 SSMI16 -17.2 -80.2 -16.8 -79.8 -16.8 -79.8 Analysis Plot
20131222 003700 60.4 >85 kts 100.0% 77.77 45.44 140.0 SSMI17 -17.0 -79.9 -17.0 -79.7 -17.0 -79.7 Analysis Plot
20131222 015812 55.2 >65 kts 100.0% 77.77 40.22 140.0 TRMM -17.2 -79.8 -17.3 -79.4 -17.3 -79.4 Analysis Plot
20131222 023800 54.8 >65 kts 100.0% 66.66 39.81 140.0 SSMI18 -17.4 -79.7 -17.3 -79.3 -17.3 -79.3 Analysis Plot
20131222 151300 15.2 N/A 50.7% 66.66 15.18 110.0 SSMI18 -19.7 -77.9 -19.7 -77.9 -19.7 -77.9 Analysis Plot
20131222 182824 20.4 >65 kts 54.8% 66.66 20.37 110.0 TRMM -20.4 -77.5 -20.4 -77.7 -20.4 -77.7 Analysis Plot
20131222 214451 23.3 >65 kts 34.2% 55.55 23.27 110.0 SSMI15 -21.1 -77.4 -21.0 -77.6 -21.0 -77.6 Analysis Plot
20131222 232300 12.9 N/A 57.5% 66.66 12.88 110.0 SSMI16 -21.5 -77.4 -21.5 -77.7 -21.5 -77.7 Analysis Plot
20131223 002400 8.3 N/A 56.2% 55.55 8.33 110.0 SSMI17 -21.8 -77.4 -21.7 -77.7 -21.7 -77.7 Analysis Plot
20131223 010144 7.5 N/A 58.9% 44.44 7.55 105.0 TRMM -21.7 -77.7 -21.9 -77.8 -21.9 -77.8 Analysis Plot
20131223 022800 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 105.0 SSMI18 -22.2 -77.8 -22.5 -78.1 -22.5 -78.1 Analysis Plot
20131223 101454 0.1 N/A 12.3% 77.77 .07 105.0 SSMI15 -24.4 -78.0 -24.5 -78.3 -24.5 -78.3 Analysis Plot
20131223 115400 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 105.0 SSMI16 -24.9 -78.1 -25.0 -79.2 -25.0 -79.2 Analysis Plot
20131223 125600 8.3 N/A 50.7% 166.65 8.33 80.0 SSMI17 -24.6 -78.4 -24.6 -78.4 -25.5 -78.4 Analysis Plot
20131223 145900 2.3 N/A 1.4% 166.65 2.34 80.0 SSMI18 -25.2 -78.7 -25.2 -78.7 -25.9 -78.4 Analysis Plot
20131223 191120 -930.0 N/A N/A 222.20 5.83 80.0 TRMM -26.3 -79.1 -26.3 -79.1 -27.2 -78.8 Analysis Plot
20131223 213044 4.7 N/A N/A 222.20 4.73 80.0 SSMI15 -27.2 -79.4 -27.2 -79.4 -27.7 -79.0 Analysis Plot
20131223 231200 6.9 N/A N/A 222.20 6.90 80.0 SSMI16 -27.7 -79.7 -27.7 -79.7 -28.0 -79.4 Analysis Plot
20131224 000611 4.8 N/A N/A 199.98 4.77 80.0 TRMM -27.8 -79.7 -27.8 -79.7 -28.3 -79.6 Analysis Plot
20131224 001400 4.3 N/A N/A 211.09 4.26 65.0 SSMI17 -28.5 -79.3 -28.5 -79.3 -28.4 -79.5 Analysis Plot
20131224 021700 3.7 N/A N/A 222.20 3.70 65.0 SSMI18 -29.0 -80.0 -29.0 -80.0 -28.9 -80.0 Analysis Plot
20131224 095720 2.2 N/A N/A 222.20 2.22 65.0 SSMI15 -30.9 -82.4 -30.9 -82.4 -31.0 -82.7 Analysis Plot
20131224 113900 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 65.0 SSMI16 -31.3 -83.1 -31.3 -83.1 -31.4 -83.4 Analysis Plot
20131224 124100 -2.9 N/A N/A 222.20 2.91 40.0 SSMI17 -31.6 -83.7 -31.6 -83.7 -31.6 -83.9 Analysis Plot
20131224 195619 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 40.0 TRMM -32.4 -87.1 -32.4 -87.1 -33.0 -86.4 Analysis Plot
20131224 211635 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 40.0 SSMI15 -32.6 -87.9 -32.6 -87.9 -32.5 -88.3 Analysis Plot
20131224 213427 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 40.0 TRMM -32.6 -87.7 -32.6 -87.7 -32.4 -88.6 Analysis Plot
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Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |
