Tropical Depression 06B
Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.1.5 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon 20131206 003400 -2.2 N/A 4.1% 155.54 2.17 35.0 SSMI17 9.8 -83.8 9.8 -83.8 9.8 -84.1 Analysis Plot 20131206 022400 -4.5 N/A 6.8% 122.21 4.52 35.0 SSMI18 9.8 -83.7 9.8 -83.7 9.6 -83.9 Analysis Plot 20131206 114400 -2.6 N/A 32.9% 122.21 2.55 35.0 SSMI17 10.3 -83.6 10.0 -84.0 10.0 -84.0 Analysis Plot 20131206 231800 -9.7 N/A 33.8% 222.20 9.73 45.0 SSMI16 10.0 -83.9 10.6 -84.2 10.6 -84.2 Analysis Plot 20131207 021200 -1.8 N/A 42.5% 222.20 1.75 45.0 SSMI18 10.5 -83.8 10.5 -83.8 10.8 -84.1 Analysis Plot 20131207 123852 -930.0 N/A N/A 66.66 17.19 60.0 TRMM 11.1 -84.5 10.8 -84.4 10.8 -84.4 Analysis Plot 20131207 230500 16.6 N/A 30.1% 55.55 16.58 60.0 SSMI16 11.7 -84.5 11.7 -84.5 11.9 -84.6 Analysis Plot 20131208 000800 17.2 N/A 84.9% 44.44 17.21 60.0 SSMI17 11.8 -84.5 11.8 -84.5 12.0 -84.6 Analysis Plot 20131208 020000 6.4 N/A 57.5% 66.66 6.42 65.0 SSMI18 12.0 -84.5 12.1 -84.6 12.1 -84.6 Analysis Plot 20131208 213430 -930.0 N/A N/A 22.22 8.43 65.0 TRMM 13.6 -84.6 13.6 -84.6 13.8 -84.6 Analysis Plot 20131208 235500 45.8 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 30.75 65.0 SSMI17 13.8 -84.6 13.9 -84.6 13.9 -84.6 Analysis Plot 20131209 090315 21.2 >65 kts 42.5% 55.55 21.21 60.0 SSMI15 14.5 -84.7 14.5 -84.7 14.4 -84.7 Analysis Plot 20131209 114400 37.8 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 22.82 60.0 SSMI16 14.6 -84.7 14.6 -84.7 14.6 -84.7 Analysis Plot 20131209 144000 -930.0 N/A N/A 99.99 3.42 60.0 SSMI18 14.7 -84.8 14.7 -84.8 14.7 -84.8 Analysis Plot 20131209 203819 51.7 >65 kts 100.0% 66.66 36.69 60.0 TRMM 15.0 -84.8 15.0 -84.8 14.9 -85.0 Analysis Plot 20131209 213708 43.5 >65 kts 100.0% 77.77 28.49 60.0 SSMI15 15.0 -84.8 15.0 -84.8 15.0 -85.1 Analysis Plot 20131210 113000 6.1 N/A N/A 122.21 6.11 70.0 SSMI16 15.6 -85.2 15.6 -85.2 15.1 -84.8 Analysis Plot 20131210 123400 3.3 N/A N/A 133.32 3.34 60.0 SSMI17 15.1 -84.9 15.1 -84.9 15.0 -84.5 Analysis Plot 20131210 142700 2.1 N/A N/A 77.77 2.07 60.0 SSMI18 15.0 -84.8 15.0 -84.8 14.7 -84.5 Analysis Plot 20131210 194251 -3.9 N/A N/A 144.43 3.92 50.0 TRMM 14.6 -84.6 14.6 -84.6 14.9 -84.3 Analysis Plot 20131211 000700 -930.0 N/A N/A 155.54 4.30 50.0 SSMI16 14.3 -84.3 14.3 -84.3 14.5 -83.9 Analysis Plot 20131211 030400 -930.0 N/A N/A 166.65 6.35 45.0 SSMI18 14.2 -83.9 14.2 -83.9 14.3 -83.8 Analysis Plot 20131211 111700 -3.2 N/A 13.7% 222.20 3.18 40.0 SSMI16 13.4 -83.1 13.4 -83.1 13.5 -82.8 Analysis Plot 20131211 141400 -2.4 N/A N/A 88.88 2.39 40.0 SSMI18 13.2 -82.9 13.2 -82.9 12.8 -82.8 Analysis Plot 20131211 235400 -2.5 N/A N/A 199.98 2.47 35.0 SSMI16 12.3 -81.9 12.3 -81.9 12.1 -81.6 Analysis Plot 20131212 005800 -3.1 N/A N/A 155.54 3.13 35.0 SSMI17 12.1 -81.8 12.1 -81.8 11.8 -81.5 Analysis Plot 20131212 025100 -1.1 N/A 5.5% 211.09 1.12 35.0 SSMI18 11.9 -81.5 11.9 -81.5 11.7 -81.3 Analysis Plot 20131212 093932 -2.1 N/A 2.7% 188.87 2.08 35.0 TRMM 11.1 -80.5 11.1 -80.5 10.4 -80.3 Analysis Plot 20131212 110500 -930.0 N/A N/A 211.09 2.94 35.0 SSMI16 11.1 -80.4 11.1 -80.4 10.4 -79.7 Analysis Plot 20131212 120700 -3.1 N/A N/A 44.44 3.06 35.0 SSMI17 10.9 -80.3 10.9 -80.3 10.5 -79.8 Analysis Plot 20131212 140200 -930.0 N/A N/A 111.10 7.07 35.0 SSMI18 10.7 -80.0 10.7 -80.0 10.6 -79.4 Analysis Plot 20131212 193033 -2.2 N/A N/A 122.21 2.24 35.0 TRMM 10.2 -79.0 10.2 -79.0 10.1 -78.8 Analysis Plot |
Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |