Tropical Depression 17E
Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.1.5 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon 20131019 235500 -17.4 N/A 89.0% 22.22 2.40 30.0 SSMI17 13.9 100.3 13.9 100.3 13.6 100.4 Analysis Plot 20131020 024900 -6.4 N/A 58.9% 44.44 6.38 30.0 SSMI18 13.9 100.4 13.9 100.4 14.0 100.8 Analysis Plot 20131020 025000 -7.5 N/A 57.5% 77.77 7.48 30.0 SSMI18 14.0 100.5 14.0 100.5 13.9 100.9 Analysis Plot 20131020 101805 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 TRMM 14.6 101.3 14.6 101.3 14.6 101.3 Analysis Plot 20131020 123000 -1.0 N/A 37.0% 222.20 1.03 35.0 SSMI17 14.8 101.4 14.8 101.4 14.8 101.7 Analysis Plot 20131020 152600 -930.0 N/A N/A 88.88 20.42 45.0 SSMI18 15.0 101.7 15.0 101.7 15.1 101.3 Analysis Plot 20131021 001600 -930.0 N/A N/A 33.33 45.48 55.0 SSMI16 15.8 101.8 15.8 101.8 15.8 101.9 Analysis Plot 20131021 023700 56.3 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 41.26 80.0 SSMI18 15.9 102.0 15.9 102.0 15.9 102.0 Analysis Plot 20131021 023700 55.8 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 40.82 80.0 SSMI18 15.9 102.0 15.8 102.0 15.8 102.0 Analysis Plot 20131021 092220 65.7 >85 kts 100.0% 22.22 50.73 95.0 TRMM 16.0 102.2 16.0 102.2 16.0 102.2 Analysis Plot 20131021 151300 37.5 >65 kts 100.0% 11.11 22.52 105.0 SSMI18 16.3 102.2 16.2 102.1 16.2 102.1 Analysis Plot 20131021 220245 50.9 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 35.87 110.0 SSMI15 16.3 102.2 16.4 102.0 16.4 102.0 Analysis Plot 20131022 000300 66.4 >85 kts 100.0% 33.33 51.37 110.0 SSMI16 16.3 102.2 16.3 101.9 16.3 101.9 Analysis Plot 20131022 022500 48.5 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 33.52 110.0 SSMI18 16.4 101.9 16.4 101.8 16.4 101.8 Analysis Plot 20131022 022600 50.6 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 35.60 110.0 SSMI18 16.4 101.9 16.4 101.8 16.4 101.8 Analysis Plot 20131022 104843 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 100.0 SSMI15 16.5 102.0 16.3 101.8 16.3 101.8 Analysis Plot 20131022 123900 -930.0 N/A N/A 222.20 4.89 100.0 SSMI16 16.5 102.0 16.5 102.0 16.5 102.0 Analysis Plot 20131022 234900 10.3 N/A 64.4% 44.44 10.31 75.0 SSMI16 16.3 102.0 16.3 102.0 16.1 101.8 Analysis Plot 20131023 005700 13.7 N/A 68.5% 33.33 13.68 75.0 SSMI17 16.3 102.0 16.3 102.0 16.1 101.8 Analysis Plot 20131023 021400 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 75.0 SSMI18 16.2 102.0 16.2 102.0 16.1 101.8 Analysis Plot 20131023 021400 4.2 N/A 19.2% 33.33 4.17 65.0 SSMI18 16.2 101.8 16.2 101.8 16.1 101.8 Analysis Plot 20131023 090814 11.7 N/A 6.8% 188.87 11.70 65.0 TRMM 16.0 101.9 16.0 101.9 15.7 102.4 Analysis Plot 20131023 103226 4.5 N/A N/A 155.54 4.53 65.0 SSMI15 15.9 102.0 15.9 102.0 15.7 102.5 Analysis Plot 20131023 122500 2.8 N/A N/A 33.33 2.77 65.0 SSMI16 15.9 102.2 15.9 102.2 15.8 102.8 Analysis Plot 20131023 144900 4.9 N/A N/A 166.65 4.86 55.0 SSMI18 15.4 103.0 15.4 103.0 15.3 103.1 Analysis Plot 20131023 233700 -1.2 N/A 15.1% 88.88 1.15 45.0 SSMI16 14.9 104.0 14.9 104.0 14.7 103.5 Analysis Plot 20131024 004300 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 45.0 SSMI17 14.9 104.2 14.9 104.2 14.1 103.6 Analysis Plot 20131024 004300 -2.0 N/A 15.1% 177.76 1.95 40.0 SSMI17 14.7 104.4 14.7 104.4 14.1 103.7 Analysis Plot 20131024 081249 -930.0 N/A N/A 211.09 8.44 40.0 TRMM 14.7 105.1 14.7 105.1 15.1 104.8 Analysis Plot 20131024 102526 -6.1 N/A 9.6% 111.10 6.15 40.0 SSMI15 14.7 105.5 14.7 105.5 14.8 105.2 Analysis Plot 20131024 121200 -3.1 N/A N/A 144.43 3.09 40.0 SSMI16 14.7 105.8 14.7 105.8 14.8 105.9 Analysis Plot 20131024 131900 -3.1 N/A N/A 33.33 3.08 40.0 SSMI17 14.8 105.7 14.8 105.7 14.9 105.9 Analysis Plot 20131025 003100 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 40.0 SSMI17 14.8 107.2 14.8 107.2 14.2 107.7 Analysis Plot 20131025 003100 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 40.0 SSMI17 14.7 107.4 14.7 107.4 14.2 107.7 Analysis Plot 20131025 033100 -2.7 N/A 9.6% 155.54 2.68 50.0 SSMI18 14.6 107.9 14.6 107.9 14.3 108.3 Analysis Plot 20131025 085422 -930.0 N/A N/A 111.10 4.52 45.0 TRMM 14.2 108.4 14.2 108.4 14.5 109.0 Analysis Plot 20131025 120100 -930.0 N/A N/A 222.20 6.85 45.0 SSMI16 14.1 109.1 14.1 109.1 14.7 108.7 Analysis Plot 20131025 130700 -15.2 N/A 100.0% 66.66 .16 45.0 SSMI17 13.7 108.9 13.7 108.9 13.5 108.2 Analysis Plot 20131026 031700 -14.3 N/A 67.1% 55.55 14.25 45.0 SSMI18 12.9 110.7 12.9 110.7 13.1 110.8 Analysis Plot 20131026 031700 -14.1 N/A 63.0% 55.55 14.13 45.0 SSMI18 12.9 111.0 12.9 111.0 13.1 110.8 Analysis Plot 20131026 075810 -8.1 N/A 32.9% 77.77 8.15 45.0 TRMM 13.1 111.6 13.1 111.6 12.9 111.4 Analysis Plot 20131026 222339 -3.8 N/A 17.8% 77.77 3.79 45.0 SSMI15 13.1 113.7 13.1 113.7 13.3 113.6 Analysis Plot 20131027 003900 -10.3 N/A 42.5% 77.77 10.26 45.0 SSMI16 13.1 113.9 13.4 114.0 13.4 114.0 Analysis Plot 20131027 014600 -6.3 N/A 46.6% 77.77 6.34 45.0 SSMI17 13.1 114.0 13.6 114.2 13.6 114.2 Analysis Plot 20131027 030500 11.5 N/A 39.7% 66.66 11.51 55.0 SSMI18 13.2 114.2 13.4 114.5 13.4 114.5 Analysis Plot 20131027 030600 31.5 >65 kts 87.7% 55.55 16.52 55.0 SSMI18 13.2 114.4 13.4 114.5 13.4 114.5 Analysis Plot 20131027 111648 40.7 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 25.70 65.0 SSMI15 13.7 115.5 13.8 115.5 13.8 115.5 Analysis Plot 20131027 131500 30.5 >65 kts 91.8% 44.44 15.49 75.0 SSMI16 14.1 115.9 14.1 115.9 13.9 115.9 Analysis Plot 20131027 154200 35.1 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 20.08 75.0 SSMI18 14.3 116.1 14.1 116.1 14.1 116.1 Analysis Plot 20131028 002600 12.0 N/A 75.3% 22.22 11.95 80.0 SSMI16 14.7 116.8 15.0 116.9 15.0 116.9 Analysis Plot 20131028 013300 11.5 N/A 75.3% 22.22 11.52 90.0 SSMI17 15.2 116.8 15.1 116.8 15.1 116.8 Analysis Plot 20131028 074505 1.1 N/A N/A 33.33 1.05 90.0 TRMM 15.8 116.9 15.4 117.3 15.4 117.3 Analysis Plot 20131028 130200 0.8 N/A 41.1% 133.32 .84 90.0 SSMI16 16.4 116.9 16.0 116.5 16.0 116.5 Analysis Plot 20131028 140900 0.6 N/A 47.9% 55.55 .57 80.0 SSMI17 16.4 117.0 16.4 117.0 16.5 116.5 Analysis Plot 20131028 153000 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 80.0 SSMI18 16.5 117.0 16.5 117.0 16.5 116.6 Analysis Plot 20131029 001500 5.8 N/A N/A 155.54 5.76 65.0 SSMI16 17.0 116.9 17.0 116.9 16.9 117.0 Analysis Plot 20131029 012100 9.0 N/A 1.4% 211.09 9.00 55.0 SSMI17 17.1 117.0 17.1 117.0 17.0 116.9 Analysis Plot 20131029 064935 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 TRMM 17.5 116.9 17.5 116.9 17.9 116.6 Analysis Plot 20131029 124800 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 50.0 SSMI16 17.9 117.0 17.9 117.0 18.7 116.0 Analysis Plot 20131029 135500 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 45.0 SSMI17 18.3 116.9 18.3 116.9 18.6 116.7 Analysis Plot 20131029 214225 -0.7 N/A N/A 11.11 .68 40.0 TRMM 18.6 116.6 18.6 116.6 18.8 117.0 Analysis Plot 20131030 055400 -4.7 N/A N/A 33.33 4.71 40.0 TRMM 19.3 116.1 19.3 116.1 19.1 115.9 Analysis Plot 20131030 123500 -2.2 N/A N/A 55.55 2.17 30.0 SSMI16 19.8 115.5 19.8 115.5 20.4 115.2 Analysis Plot 20131030 134100 -2.7 N/A N/A 22.22 2.68 30.0 SSMI17 19.9 115.5 19.9 115.5 20.5 115.3 Analysis Plot 20131031 005600 -930.0 N/A N/A 211.09 1.85 30.0 SSMI17 20.3 115.1 20.3 115.1 20.2 115.1 Analysis Plot 20131031 005600 -0.7 N/A N/A 122.21 .70 30.0 SSMI17 20.4 115.1 20.4 115.1 21.0 114.6 Analysis Plot |
Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |