Tropical Storm 17W
Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.1.5 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon 20130916 184135 -4.9 N/A 6.3% 255.53 4.89 25.0 SSMI15 17.6 -132.1 17.6 -132.1 17.6 -132.6 Analysis Plot 20130916 202500 -2.6 N/A 4.1% 222.20 2.62 25.0 SSMI16 17.6 -131.9 17.6 -131.9 18.0 -132.1 Analysis Plot 20130916 213500 -3.2 N/A 17.8% 311.08 3.24 25.0 SSMI17 17.6 -131.9 17.6 -131.9 17.7 -131.8 Analysis Plot 20130917 023823 -930.0 N/A N/A 33.33 4.58 30.0 TRMM 17.5 -131.5 17.9 -131.1 17.9 -131.1 Analysis Plot 20130917 023825 -930.0 N/A N/A 122.21 4.66 30.0 TRMM 17.5 -131.4 17.5 -131.4 17.3 -131.7 Analysis Plot 20130917 084700 -5.9 N/A 21.9% 233.31 5.92 35.0 SSMI17 17.6 -131.1 17.6 -131.1 17.8 -130.9 Analysis Plot 20130917 104948 -5.4 N/A 14.1% 122.21 5.37 35.0 TRMM 17.5 -130.9 17.5 -130.9 17.5 -131.7 Analysis Plot 20130917 201200 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 50.0 SSMI16 17.6 -130.1 17.6 -130.1 17.3 -130.6 Analysis Plot 20130917 235400 -2.4 N/A 57.5% 122.21 2.40 50.0 SSMI18 17.3 -130.3 17.3 -130.3 17.0 -130.4 Analysis Plot 20130918 083500 13.4 N/A 68.5% 77.77 13.43 55.0 SSMI17 17.3 -129.8 17.2 -129.8 17.2 -129.8 Analysis Plot 20130918 110600 39.0 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 23.97 55.0 SSMI18 17.3 -129.5 17.3 -129.7 17.3 -129.7 Analysis Plot 20130918 113123 -930.0 N/A N/A 266.64 1.89 55.0 TRMM 17.3 -129.4 17.3 -129.4 17.2 -129.3 Analysis Plot 20130918 210900 52.8 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 37.77 90.0 SSMI17 17.3 -128.2 16.8 -128.4 16.8 -128.4 Analysis Plot 20130918 234100 77.0 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 62.00 90.0 SSMI18 17.4 -127.8 16.9 -128.4 16.9 -128.4 Analysis Plot 20130919 022419 -930.0 N/A N/A 33.33 64.19 90.0 TRMM 17.1 -127.9 17.0 -128.3 17.0 -128.3 Analysis Plot 20130919 022424 -930.0 N/A N/A 22.22 33.91 90.0 TRMM 17.2 -127.7 17.2 -128.4 17.2 -128.4 Analysis Plot 20130919 083414 73.0 >85 kts 100.0% 22.22 58.00 90.0 SSMI15 17.7 -127.1 17.8 -128.0 17.8 -128.0 Analysis Plot 20130919 085300 80.0 >85 kts 100.0% 22.22 65.00 120.0 SSMI16 17.8 -127.7 17.9 -127.7 17.9 -127.7 Analysis Plot 20130919 105500 73.8 >85 kts 100.0% 22.22 58.78 120.0 SSMI18 18.0 -127.4 18.1 -127.4 18.1 -127.4 Analysis Plot 20130919 200907 45.1 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 30.12 140.0 SSMI15 18.8 -126.2 18.8 -126.2 18.8 -126.2 Analysis Plot 20130919 212700 58.0 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 42.99 140.0 SSMI16 19.0 -125.8 18.9 -125.9 18.9 -125.9 Analysis Plot 20130919 232900 72.0 >85 kts 100.0% 22.22 56.97 140.0 SSMI18 19.1 -125.5 19.2 -125.6 19.2 -125.6 Analysis Plot 20130920 083333 61.0 >85 kts 100.0% 22.22 46.00 140.0 SSMI15 19.7 -124.6 19.9 -124.4 19.9 -124.4 Analysis Plot 20130920 084100 53.8 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 38.83 135.0 SSMI16 19.9 -124.2 19.8 -124.1 19.8 -124.1 Analysis Plot 20130920 195304 40.2 >65 kts 100.0% 133.32 25.20 130.0 SSMI15 20.5 -122.5 20.2 -122.4 20.2 -122.4 Analysis Plot 20130920 211400 41.0 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 25.96 130.0 SSMI16 20.6 -122.2 20.4 -122.2 20.4 -122.2 Analysis Plot 20130920 222400 31.2 >65 kts 100.0% 11.11 16.16 130.0 SSMI17 20.7 -122.0 20.5 -122.0 20.5 -122.0 Analysis Plot 20130921 020944 21.4 >65 kts 84.9% 122.21 21.39 120.0 TRMM 20.7 -121.7 20.7 -121.3 20.7 -121.3 Analysis Plot 20130921 082900 44.5 >65 kts 100.0% 155.54 29.46 120.0 SSMI16 21.0 -120.6 21.3 -120.5 21.3 -120.5 Analysis Plot 20130921 093700 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 120.0 SSMI17 20.9 -120.2 21.1 -120.0 21.1 -120.0 Analysis Plot 20130921 121300 16.4 N/A 38.4% 177.76 16.35 120.0 SSMI18 21.0 -119.7 21.3 -119.9 21.3 -119.9 Analysis Plot 20130921 210200 30.6 >65 kts 91.8% 99.99 15.58 100.0 SSMI16 21.5 -118.4 21.6 -118.3 21.6 -118.3 Analysis Plot 20130921 221000 45.7 >65 kts 100.0% 99.99 30.65 100.0 SSMI17 21.6 -118.2 21.6 -118.1 21.6 -118.1 Analysis Plot 20130922 004500 38.7 >65 kts 100.0% 88.88 23.70 100.0 SSMI18 21.8 -117.7 21.8 -117.8 21.8 -117.8 Analysis Plot 20130922 091742 41.6 >65 kts 100.0% 77.77 26.65 95.0 SSMI15 22.5 -116.6 22.6 -116.6 22.6 -116.6 Analysis Plot 20130922 092600 23.7 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 8.72 95.0 SSMI17 22.6 -116.2 22.7 -116.0 22.7 -116.0 Analysis Plot 20130922 205757 5.4 N/A N/A 33.33 5.43 80.0 SSMI15 23.4 -113.4 23.4 -113.4 23.6 -113.6 Analysis Plot 20130923 003200 3.8 N/A N/A 111.10 3.79 80.0 SSMI18 23.6 -112.4 23.6 -112.4 23.9 -112.4 Analysis Plot 20130923 015411 4.0 N/A N/A 33.33 3.98 80.0 TRMM 23.7 -112.3 23.7 -112.3 24.2 -112.3 Analysis Plot 20130923 082603 4.8 N/A 2.7% 111.10 4.79 80.0 TRMM 24.0 -110.8 24.0 -110.8 24.7 -111.3 Analysis Plot 20130923 094500 2.5 N/A 8.2% 77.77 2.54 80.0 SSMI16 24.0 -110.8 24.0 -110.8 24.9 -111.1 Analysis Plot |
Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |