Tropical Storm 19P


Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 8.1.4 (experimental)
 

         Overpass     Inten           Ring    Ring          Wind           Forecast        Final        Target  
       Date    Time   Score  Meaning   Pct    Diam  BTdiff   Est   Sat    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon              
     20130307 151618   -5.0      N/A  21.2% 277.75    4.98  35.0   TRMM -15.4 -156.9  -15.4 -156.9  -15.3 -156.3 Analysis Plot     
     20130307 174349   -4.2      N/A  29.4% 277.75    4.16  35.0 SSMI15 -15.4 -157.0  -15.4 -157.0  -15.3 -156.4 Analysis Plot     
     20130307 193000   -4.5      N/A  12.3% 244.42    4.49  35.0 SSMI17 -15.3 -157.1  -15.3 -157.1  -15.1 -157.0 Analysis Plot     
     20130307 212000   -5.4      N/A   9.6% 266.64    5.42  35.0 SSMI18 -15.3 -157.3  -15.3 -157.3  -15.0 -157.2 Analysis Plot     
     20130307 232827  -15.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    8.37  35.0   TRMM -15.2 -157.3  -15.2 -157.3  -14.8 -156.9 Analysis Plot     
     20130308 063505    N/A      N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A  45.0 SSMI15 -14.8 -156.8  -14.8 -156.8  -14.3 -156.4 Analysis Plot     
     20130308 064200    N/A      N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A  45.0 SSMI16 -14.8 -156.9  -14.8 -156.9  -14.4 -156.3 Analysis Plot     
     20130308 095700    N/A      N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A  45.0 SSMI18 -14.8 -157.1  -14.8 -157.1  -14.3 -157.1 Analysis Plot     
     20130308 142050    N/A      N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A  60.0   TRMM -15.0 -157.8  -14.8 -157.7  -14.8 -157.7 Analysis Plot     
     20130308 171619    5.9      N/A  35.6%  77.77    5.90  60.0 SSMI15 -15.0 -158.0  -15.3 -157.9  -15.3 -157.9 Analysis Plot     
     20130308 191600    1.0      N/A  49.3% 133.32    1.04  60.0 SSMI17 -15.1 -158.2  -15.3 -157.9  -15.3 -157.9 Analysis Plot     
     20130308 210800   10.1      N/A  52.1% 133.32   10.05  60.0 SSMI18 -15.1 -158.3  -15.2 -158.0  -15.2 -158.0 Analysis Plot     
     20130309 054601    3.4      N/A  26.0% 211.09    3.43  65.0 SSMI15 -15.5 -158.6  -15.6 -158.6  -15.6 -158.6 Analysis Plot     
     20130309 063000    8.0      N/A  37.3% 111.10    8.04  65.0 SSMI16 -15.5 -158.7  -15.5 -158.9  -15.5 -158.9 Analysis Plot     
     20130309 075300   15.0      N/A   N/A     N/A   13.24  65.0 SSMI17 -15.6 -158.8  -15.7 -159.2  -15.7 -159.2 Analysis Plot     
     20130309 094500   40.6  >65 kts 100.0% 111.10   25.58  65.0 SSMI18 -15.7 -158.9  -15.5 -159.3  -15.5 -159.3 Analysis Plot     
     20130309 165244   15.0      N/A   N/A     N/A   13.27  65.0 SSMI15 -15.9 -159.9  -15.9 -159.6  -15.9 -159.6 Analysis Plot     
     20130309 190300   44.5  >65 kts 100.0% 155.54   29.52  65.0 SSMI17 -16.0 -160.1  -16.0 -160.0  -16.0 -160.0 Analysis Plot     
     20130309 205700   14.8      N/A  79.5% 155.54   14.84  65.0 SSMI18 -16.1 -160.2  -15.8 -160.0  -15.8 -160.0 Analysis Plot     
     20130310 053028   59.7  >65 kts 100.0%  99.99   44.70  85.0 SSMI15 -16.2 -160.8  -16.2 -160.7  -16.2 -160.7 Analysis Plot     
     20130310 073900   61.1  >85 kts 100.0% 133.32   46.08  85.0 SSMI17 -16.4 -161.0  -16.3 -160.9  -16.3 -160.9 Analysis Plot     
     20130310 093200   15.0      N/A   N/A     N/A   44.74  85.0 SSMI18 -16.5 -161.1  -16.5 -161.1  -16.7 -160.9 Analysis Plot     
     20130310 140737   15.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    6.64 110.0   TRMM -16.7 -161.2  -16.7 -161.2  -17.0 -161.1 Analysis Plot     
     20130310 185100   40.8  >65 kts 100.0% 111.10   25.78 110.0 SSMI17 -17.1 -161.5  -16.9 -161.3  -16.9 -161.3 Analysis Plot     
     20130310 204500   12.9      N/A  79.5%  88.88   12.86 110.0 SSMI18 -17.3 -161.6  -17.1 -161.4  -17.1 -161.4 Analysis Plot     
     20130310 221940   16.0      N/A  61.6%  77.77   16.02 110.0   TRMM -17.4 -161.7  -17.1 -161.4  -17.1 -161.4 Analysis Plot     
     20130311 054714    N/A      N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A 105.0 SSMI15 -17.5 -161.8  -17.9 -161.3  -17.9 -161.3 Analysis Plot     
     20130311 072500    N/A      N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A 105.0 SSMI17 -17.8 -162.0  -18.1 -161.6  -18.1 -161.6 Analysis Plot     
     20130311 092000    N/A      N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A 105.0 SSMI18 -18.0 -162.0  -18.3 -161.3  -18.3 -161.3 Analysis Plot     
     20130311 131259    N/A      N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A  90.0   TRMM -18.3 -162.0  -18.9 -161.6  -18.9 -161.6 Analysis Plot     
     20130311 185700   15.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    4.80  90.0 SSMI16 -18.9 -162.1  -19.6 -161.6  -19.6 -161.6 Analysis Plot     
     20130311 203400   15.0      N/A   N/A     N/A   12.67  90.0 SSMI18 -19.1 -162.1  -19.2 -161.9  -19.2 -161.9 Analysis Plot     
     20130311 212417    5.1      N/A  23.3%  99.99    5.07  90.0   TRMM -19.1 -162.1  -19.5 -161.8  -19.5 -161.8 Analysis Plot     
     20130312 071200    2.2      N/A  11.0% 177.76    2.24  90.0 SSMI17 -20.2 -162.3  -20.7 -162.0  -20.7 -162.0 Analysis Plot     
     20130312 090700    4.7      N/A   8.2% 199.98    4.67  90.0 SSMI18 -20.4 -162.4  -20.4 -162.4  -20.9 -161.9 Analysis Plot     
     20130312 182700    2.2      N/A   N/A  111.10    2.23  75.0 SSMI17 -23.0 -161.9  -23.0 -161.9  -22.5 -161.9 Analysis Plot     
     20130312 184500   15.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    3.22  75.0 SSMI16 -23.0 -161.9  -23.0 -161.9  -22.1 -161.6 Analysis Plot     
     20130312 202754    3.4      N/A   N/A  122.21    3.37  75.0   TRMM -23.2 -161.9  -23.2 -161.9  -23.2 -161.8 Analysis Plot     
     20130313 071600    2.4      N/A   N/A  277.75    2.43  55.0 SSMI16 -24.7 -161.5  -24.7 -161.5  -24.7 -161.6 Analysis Plot     
     20130313 130005   -3.3      N/A   N/A  277.75    3.33  45.0   TRMM -26.1 -162.0  -26.1 -162.0  -25.8 -161.9 Analysis Plot     
     20130313 181600    N/A      N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A  45.0 SSMI17 -27.3 -162.0  -27.3 -162.0  -27.1 -162.0 Analysis Plot     
     20130313 193128  -15.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    2.07  45.0   TRMM -27.5 -162.0  -27.5 -162.0  -27.5 -162.0 Analysis Plot     
 
 
Legend:

  - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position.

  - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere.

  - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km).

  - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater.
  - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85.

  - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall.

  - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <50 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs.

  - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -909 is a failure to process (bad input data).