Tropical Storm 23W
Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.1.5 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon 20131003 221900 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 30.0 SSMI18 16.0 -146.6 16.0 -146.6 15.8 -147.0 Analysis Plot 20131004 013941 -0.5 N/A N/A 22.22 .46 30.0 TRMM 16.2 -146.1 16.2 -146.1 16.1 -146.5 Analysis Plot 20131004 082900 -10.6 N/A 34.2% 44.44 10.57 30.0 SSMI17 16.5 -145.2 16.5 -145.2 17.0 -145.7 Analysis Plot 20131004 195500 -2.5 N/A 41.1% 199.98 2.46 45.0 SSMI16 18.0 -143.4 18.0 -143.4 18.0 -143.4 Analysis Plot 20131004 210400 -930.0 N/A N/A 322.19 17.85 45.0 SSMI17 18.1 -143.1 18.3 -143.4 18.3 -143.4 Analysis Plot 20131004 220700 -930.0 N/A N/A 99.99 2.76 45.0 SSMI18 18.2 -142.9 18.2 -142.9 17.8 -143.2 Analysis Plot 20131005 074404 -7.8 N/A 82.2% 44.44 7.82 50.0 SSMI15 18.7 -141.2 18.7 -141.2 18.9 -141.0 Analysis Plot 20131005 081600 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 SSMI17 19.1 -140.5 19.1 -140.5 19.3 -140.4 Analysis Plot 20131005 171259 8.1 N/A 31.5% 177.76 8.08 65.0 TRMM 20.0 -138.2 20.3 -138.1 20.3 -138.1 Analysis Plot 20131005 185219 9.6 N/A 74.0% 111.10 9.58 70.0 SSMI15 20.4 -137.9 20.6 -138.1 20.6 -138.1 Analysis Plot 20131005 194200 20.0 >65 kts 100.0% 77.77 4.96 70.0 SSMI16 20.6 -137.6 20.6 -137.5 20.6 -137.5 Analysis Plot 20131005 205000 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 70.0 SSMI17 20.7 -137.3 20.7 -137.2 20.7 -137.2 Analysis Plot 20131006 012320 47.8 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 32.84 80.0 TRMM 21.3 -136.1 21.3 -135.9 21.3 -135.9 Analysis Plot 20131006 080600 -930.0 N/A N/A 199.98 4.34 85.0 SSMI17 22.3 -134.6 22.3 -134.6 22.2 -134.5 Analysis Plot 20131006 105000 69.0 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 54.02 85.0 SSMI18 22.7 -133.9 22.6 -133.6 22.6 -133.6 Analysis Plot 20131006 175409 75.0 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 60.05 95.0 TRMM 23.7 -132.2 23.9 -131.7 23.9 -131.7 Analysis Plot 20131006 210900 74.7 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 59.73 105.0 SSMI16 24.8 -130.8 24.6 -130.9 24.6 -130.9 Analysis Plot 20131007 002550 75.3 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 60.26 115.0 TRMM 25.6 -129.8 25.4 -129.9 25.4 -129.9 Analysis Plot 20131007 082600 60.3 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 45.35 125.0 SSMI16 27.0 -128.6 27.3 -128.2 27.3 -128.2 Analysis Plot 20131007 093500 55.9 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 40.87 125.0 SSMI17 27.3 -128.4 27.6 -128.2 27.6 -128.2 Analysis Plot 20131007 104000 58.0 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 42.99 125.0 SSMI18 27.9 -128.1 27.9 -127.9 27.9 -127.9 Analysis Plot 20131007 183538 7.2 N/A 23.3% 155.54 7.22 120.0 TRMM 29.5 -127.3 29.2 -127.1 29.2 -127.1 Analysis Plot 20131007 205400 3.9 N/A 32.4% 166.65 3.95 100.0 SSMI16 30.5 -127.3 29.9 -127.1 29.9 -127.1 Analysis Plot 20131007 215043 -930.0 N/A N/A 55.55 19.60 100.0 TRMM 30.5 -127.3 30.5 -127.3 30.5 -127.3 Analysis Plot 20131007 220300 5.9 N/A 22.1% 155.54 5.90 100.0 SSMI17 30.8 -127.4 30.2 -127.0 30.2 -127.0 Analysis Plot 20131007 232855 2.5 N/A 13.7% 88.88 2.48 100.0 TRMM 31.0 -127.4 30.9 -126.9 30.9 -126.9 Analysis Plot 20131008 081500 3.5 N/A 6.8% 222.20 3.46 65.0 SSMI16 33.2 -128.2 33.2 -128.2 33.2 -128.2 Analysis Plot 20131008 092400 5.8 N/A 2.7% 199.98 5.77 65.0 SSMI17 33.4 -128.5 33.4 -128.5 33.6 -128.6 Analysis Plot 20131008 195240 4.0 N/A N/A 44.44 4.00 55.0 SSMI15 36.3 -132.4 36.3 -132.4 36.1 -132.4 Analysis Plot 20131008 205430 4.5 N/A N/A 55.55 4.50 55.0 TRMM 36.5 -132.9 36.5 -132.9 36.4 -133.3 Analysis Plot 20131008 214700 2.3 N/A 4.1% 222.20 2.27 55.0 SSMI17 36.9 -133.5 36.9 -133.5 36.7 -133.6 Analysis Plot 20131008 225400 2.9 N/A N/A 44.44 2.88 55.0 SSMI18 37.1 -134.0 37.1 -134.0 37.3 -134.4 Analysis Plot |
Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |