Tropical Storm 02C


Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 8.2.1
 

         Overpass     Inten           Ring    Ring          Wind           Forecast        Final        Target  
       Date    Time   Score  Meaning   Pct    Diam  BTdiff   Est   Sat    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon              
     20141013 234745   -4.5      N/A  16.4% 122.21    4.47  30.0   TRMM  12.9  143.4   12.9  143.4   13.1  142.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141014 021000   -5.4      N/A   4.1% 122.21    5.41  35.0 SSMI16  12.8  142.4   12.8  142.4   13.0  142.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141014 051900   -3.6      N/A  21.9% 177.76    3.61  35.0 SSMI18  13.1  142.7   13.1  142.7   13.6  142.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141014 130021  -15.6      N/A  75.3%  22.22   15.60  40.0 SSMI15  13.4  143.2   13.4  143.2   13.7  143.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141014 144800  -24.4      N/A  87.7%  33.33    9.44  45.0 SSMI16  13.4  143.3   13.4  143.3   13.8  143.7 Analysis Plot     
     20141014 152300   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  45.0 SSMI17  13.4  143.4   13.4  143.4   13.8  143.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141014 175700   -6.5      N/A  64.4%  33.33    6.47  45.0 SSMI18  13.5  143.5   13.5  143.5   13.9  144.1 Analysis Plot     
     20141014 224742   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  55.0   TRMM  14.1  144.4   14.1  144.4   13.8  144.8 Analysis Plot     
     20141015 015800   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  55.0 SSMI16  14.2  144.6   14.2  144.6   13.9  145.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141015 050700   20.6  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22    5.55  55.0 SSMI18  14.0  145.6   14.0  145.6   13.5  145.2 Analysis Plot     
     20141015 125605 -930.0      N/A   N/A   22.22  1236.3  60.0 SSMI15  14.2  146.6   14.2  146.6   13.6  146.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141015 133645   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  60.0   TRMM  14.3  146.2   14.3  146.2   13.4  146.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141015 143400 -930.0      N/A   N/A  222.20  1276.6  60.0 SSMI16  14.3  146.5   14.3  146.5   14.9  146.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141016 040200   35.8  >65 kts 100.0%  99.99   20.85  55.0 SSMI17  14.1  148.7   14.1  148.7   13.2  148.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141016 045600 -930.0      N/A   N/A  222.20  1266.6  55.0 SSMI18  14.2  148.8   14.2  148.8   14.2  148.8 Analysis Plot     
     20141016 142300   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  50.0 SSMI16  14.1  150.3   14.1  150.3   14.0  149.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141016 163800   -3.4      N/A  28.8%  99.99    3.37  50.0 SSMI17  14.2  150.6   14.2  150.6   14.0  150.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141016 222436   -6.2      N/A   N/A   77.77    6.21  50.0   TRMM  14.4  151.2   14.4  151.2   14.4  151.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141017 034900  -31.0      N/A  90.4%  44.44   16.04  50.0 SSMI17  14.7  152.2   14.7  152.2   14.8  152.1 Analysis Plot     
     20141017 131325    6.5      N/A  47.9% 111.10    6.48  60.0   TRMM  15.5  153.8   15.5  153.8   15.5  153.7 Analysis Plot     
     20141017 162500    9.9      N/A  34.2%  33.33    9.86  60.0 SSMI17  15.9  154.5   15.9  154.5   16.1  154.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141018 030100   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  70.0 SSMI16  16.9  156.5   16.9  156.5   17.0  156.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141018 061200   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  70.0 SSMI18  17.4  157.2   17.4  157.2   17.4  156.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141018 135015    8.4      N/A  32.9%  33.33    8.37  75.0   TRMM  18.3  158.0   18.6  157.8   18.6  157.8 Analysis Plot     
     20141018 153500    5.3      N/A  30.1%  88.88    5.31  70.0 SSMI16  18.6  158.3   18.6  157.8   18.6  157.8 Analysis Plot     
     20141018 184700    4.3      N/A   N/A  211.09    4.26  70.0 SSMI18  18.9  158.6   18.9  158.6   19.0  158.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141018 215927 -930.0      N/A   N/A  188.87  1267.9  70.0   TRMM  19.5  159.1   19.5  159.1   19.3  159.1 Analysis Plot     
     20141019 024900   13.8      N/A  39.7%  55.55   13.79  70.0 SSMI16  19.8  159.1   19.8  158.9   19.8  158.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141019 060100    0.3      N/A  20.5%  55.55     .33  70.0 SSMI18  20.1  159.6   20.1  159.6   19.9  159.1 Analysis Plot     
     20141019 125012 -930.0      N/A   N/A   44.44  1270.0  70.0   TRMM  20.5  159.8   20.5  159.4   20.5  159.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141019 152200   43.1  >65 kts 100.0%  66.66   28.09  70.0 SSMI16  20.6  159.8   20.6  159.8   20.7  159.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141019 183400   11.5      N/A  68.5%  44.44   11.48  70.0 SSMI18  20.8  160.1   20.8  160.1   20.6  159.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141019 205951    9.8      N/A   5.5% 122.21    9.77  65.0   TRMM  20.7  160.5   20.7  160.5   20.5  160.7 Analysis Plot     
     20141020 023800 -930.0      N/A   N/A  111.10  1274.5  60.0 SSMI16  20.8  161.1   20.8  161.1   20.4  161.2 Analysis Plot     
     20141020 045300    3.6      N/A  30.1% 166.65    3.62  60.0 SSMI17  20.8  161.7   20.8  161.7   20.3  161.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141020 055000    4.3      N/A  23.3% 155.54    4.29  60.0 SSMI18  20.8  161.8   20.8  161.8   20.2  161.7 Analysis Plot     
     20141020 132713    3.9      N/A  67.1%  33.33    3.89  60.0   TRMM  20.6  163.0   20.6  163.0   20.8  162.7 Analysis Plot     
     20141020 172500    1.1      N/A  15.1%  33.33    1.12  60.0 SSMI17  20.6  163.7   20.6  163.7   20.9  162.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141020 182300    2.9      N/A   N/A   66.66    2.91  60.0 SSMI18  20.7  163.8   20.7  163.8   20.9  163.8 Analysis Plot     
     20141023 034000   -4.7      N/A   N/A  222.20    4.69  35.0 SSMI16  24.8  167.9   24.8  167.9   24.5  168.2 Analysis Plot     
     20141023 065500   -3.9      N/A  15.1% 188.87    3.92  35.0 SSMI18  25.4  168.3   25.4  168.3   25.1  168.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141023 161000   -6.8      N/A   2.7%  88.88    6.82  45.0 SSMI16  26.9  169.0   26.9  169.0   26.8  169.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141023 192400   -2.0      N/A  23.3%  44.44    2.03  45.0 SSMI18  26.9  169.6   26.9  169.6   26.6  169.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141024 032800   -1.1      N/A   N/A   44.44    1.15  45.0 SSMI16  27.2  170.2   27.2  170.2   27.1  170.2 Analysis Plot     
     20141024 032800 -930.0      N/A   N/A   77.77  1268.8  45.0 SSMI16  27.4  170.3   27.4  170.3   27.9  170.2 Analysis Plot     
     20141024 064300   -3.0      N/A  31.5%  55.55    3.03  45.0 SSMI18  27.8  170.2   27.8  170.2   27.5  170.1 Analysis Plot     
     20141024 155700   -3.4      N/A  37.0%  33.33    3.42  50.0 SSMI16  28.8  169.7   28.8  169.7   28.9  169.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141024 181300  -36.8      N/A 100.0%  33.33   21.82  50.0 SSMI17  29.2  169.5   29.2  169.5   29.2  169.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141025 031600   36.3  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   21.32  65.0 SSMI16  30.9  167.9   31.0  167.6   31.0  167.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141025 031600   36.0  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   20.98  65.0 SSMI16  31.3  167.5   31.0  167.6   31.0  167.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141025 063200    9.0      N/A  46.6%  55.55    9.03  65.0 SSMI18  32.0  166.3   31.7  166.4   31.7  166.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141025 154200    6.4      N/A  41.1%  55.55    6.40  65.0 SSMI16  34.7  162.9   34.5  163.0   34.5  163.0 Analysis Plot     
     20141025 175800 -930.0      N/A   N/A  133.32  1272.4  65.0 SSMI17  35.3  161.9   35.3  161.9   35.5  162.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141025 185700    2.7      N/A  21.9% 122.21    2.71  65.0 SSMI18  35.6  161.5   35.6  161.5   35.2  161.7 Analysis Plot     
     20141026 030500    5.2      N/A   8.2% 211.09    5.24  60.0 SSMI16  37.8  157.9   37.8  157.9   37.7  157.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141026 033900    2.9      N/A   9.6% 199.98    2.91  60.0 SSMI17  38.0  157.5   38.0  157.5   38.1  157.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141026 033900    3.0      N/A  11.0%  88.88    2.98  60.0 SSMI17  38.6  156.6   38.6  156.6   38.0  156.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141026 125704 -930.0      N/A   N/A  211.09  1271.1  50.0 SSMI15  41.6  149.1   41.6  149.1   40.7  148.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141026 152500   -5.5      N/A   N/A  144.43    5.50  50.0 SSMI16  42.6  147.3   42.6  147.3   42.6  147.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141026 160000   -4.2      N/A   N/A  144.43    4.17  50.0 SSMI17  42.7  147.0   42.7  147.0   42.8  147.2 Analysis Plot     
     20141026 184400 -930.0      N/A   N/A  222.20  1269.3  50.0 SSMI18  43.6  145.8   43.6  145.8   44.3  145.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141027 032800 -930.0      N/A   N/A  111.10  1264.2  50.0 SSMI17  46.3  143.3   46.3  143.3   47.8  143.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141027 032800   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  50.0 SSMI17  46.8  142.8   46.8  142.8   47.9  143.1 Analysis Plot     
     20141027 042900   -2.0      N/A   N/A  111.10    2.01  50.0 SSMI18  47.1  142.6   47.1  142.6   48.1  143.2 Analysis Plot     
 
 
Legend:

  - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position.

  - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere.

  - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km).

  - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater.
  - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85.

  - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall.

  - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs.

  - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data.