Tropical Storm 02C
Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon 20141013 234745 -4.5 N/A 16.4% 122.21 4.47 30.0 TRMM 12.9 143.4 12.9 143.4 13.1 142.5 Analysis Plot 20141014 021000 -5.4 N/A 4.1% 122.21 5.41 35.0 SSMI16 12.8 142.4 12.8 142.4 13.0 142.5 Analysis Plot 20141014 051900 -3.6 N/A 21.9% 177.76 3.61 35.0 SSMI18 13.1 142.7 13.1 142.7 13.6 142.9 Analysis Plot 20141014 130021 -15.6 N/A 75.3% 22.22 15.60 40.0 SSMI15 13.4 143.2 13.4 143.2 13.7 143.3 Analysis Plot 20141014 144800 -24.4 N/A 87.7% 33.33 9.44 45.0 SSMI16 13.4 143.3 13.4 143.3 13.8 143.7 Analysis Plot 20141014 152300 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 45.0 SSMI17 13.4 143.4 13.4 143.4 13.8 143.6 Analysis Plot 20141014 175700 -6.5 N/A 64.4% 33.33 6.47 45.0 SSMI18 13.5 143.5 13.5 143.5 13.9 144.1 Analysis Plot 20141014 224742 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 TRMM 14.1 144.4 14.1 144.4 13.8 144.8 Analysis Plot 20141015 015800 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 SSMI16 14.2 144.6 14.2 144.6 13.9 145.3 Analysis Plot 20141015 050700 20.6 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 5.55 55.0 SSMI18 14.0 145.6 14.0 145.6 13.5 145.2 Analysis Plot 20141015 125605 -930.0 N/A N/A 22.22 1236.3 60.0 SSMI15 14.2 146.6 14.2 146.6 13.6 146.6 Analysis Plot 20141015 133645 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 TRMM 14.3 146.2 14.3 146.2 13.4 146.6 Analysis Plot 20141015 143400 -930.0 N/A N/A 222.20 1276.6 60.0 SSMI16 14.3 146.5 14.3 146.5 14.9 146.5 Analysis Plot 20141016 040200 35.8 >65 kts 100.0% 99.99 20.85 55.0 SSMI17 14.1 148.7 14.1 148.7 13.2 148.5 Analysis Plot 20141016 045600 -930.0 N/A N/A 222.20 1266.6 55.0 SSMI18 14.2 148.8 14.2 148.8 14.2 148.8 Analysis Plot 20141016 142300 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 50.0 SSMI16 14.1 150.3 14.1 150.3 14.0 149.6 Analysis Plot 20141016 163800 -3.4 N/A 28.8% 99.99 3.37 50.0 SSMI17 14.2 150.6 14.2 150.6 14.0 150.5 Analysis Plot 20141016 222436 -6.2 N/A N/A 77.77 6.21 50.0 TRMM 14.4 151.2 14.4 151.2 14.4 151.3 Analysis Plot 20141017 034900 -31.0 N/A 90.4% 44.44 16.04 50.0 SSMI17 14.7 152.2 14.7 152.2 14.8 152.1 Analysis Plot 20141017 131325 6.5 N/A 47.9% 111.10 6.48 60.0 TRMM 15.5 153.8 15.5 153.8 15.5 153.7 Analysis Plot 20141017 162500 9.9 N/A 34.2% 33.33 9.86 60.0 SSMI17 15.9 154.5 15.9 154.5 16.1 154.6 Analysis Plot 20141018 030100 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 70.0 SSMI16 16.9 156.5 16.9 156.5 17.0 156.4 Analysis Plot 20141018 061200 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 70.0 SSMI18 17.4 157.2 17.4 157.2 17.4 156.9 Analysis Plot 20141018 135015 8.4 N/A 32.9% 33.33 8.37 75.0 TRMM 18.3 158.0 18.6 157.8 18.6 157.8 Analysis Plot 20141018 153500 5.3 N/A 30.1% 88.88 5.31 70.0 SSMI16 18.6 158.3 18.6 157.8 18.6 157.8 Analysis Plot 20141018 184700 4.3 N/A N/A 211.09 4.26 70.0 SSMI18 18.9 158.6 18.9 158.6 19.0 158.9 Analysis Plot 20141018 215927 -930.0 N/A N/A 188.87 1267.9 70.0 TRMM 19.5 159.1 19.5 159.1 19.3 159.1 Analysis Plot 20141019 024900 13.8 N/A 39.7% 55.55 13.79 70.0 SSMI16 19.8 159.1 19.8 158.9 19.8 158.9 Analysis Plot 20141019 060100 0.3 N/A 20.5% 55.55 .33 70.0 SSMI18 20.1 159.6 20.1 159.6 19.9 159.1 Analysis Plot 20141019 125012 -930.0 N/A N/A 44.44 1270.0 70.0 TRMM 20.5 159.8 20.5 159.4 20.5 159.4 Analysis Plot 20141019 152200 43.1 >65 kts 100.0% 66.66 28.09 70.0 SSMI16 20.6 159.8 20.6 159.8 20.7 159.6 Analysis Plot 20141019 183400 11.5 N/A 68.5% 44.44 11.48 70.0 SSMI18 20.8 160.1 20.8 160.1 20.6 159.9 Analysis Plot 20141019 205951 9.8 N/A 5.5% 122.21 9.77 65.0 TRMM 20.7 160.5 20.7 160.5 20.5 160.7 Analysis Plot 20141020 023800 -930.0 N/A N/A 111.10 1274.5 60.0 SSMI16 20.8 161.1 20.8 161.1 20.4 161.2 Analysis Plot 20141020 045300 3.6 N/A 30.1% 166.65 3.62 60.0 SSMI17 20.8 161.7 20.8 161.7 20.3 161.4 Analysis Plot 20141020 055000 4.3 N/A 23.3% 155.54 4.29 60.0 SSMI18 20.8 161.8 20.8 161.8 20.2 161.7 Analysis Plot 20141020 132713 3.9 N/A 67.1% 33.33 3.89 60.0 TRMM 20.6 163.0 20.6 163.0 20.8 162.7 Analysis Plot 20141020 172500 1.1 N/A 15.1% 33.33 1.12 60.0 SSMI17 20.6 163.7 20.6 163.7 20.9 162.9 Analysis Plot 20141020 182300 2.9 N/A N/A 66.66 2.91 60.0 SSMI18 20.7 163.8 20.7 163.8 20.9 163.8 Analysis Plot 20141023 034000 -4.7 N/A N/A 222.20 4.69 35.0 SSMI16 24.8 167.9 24.8 167.9 24.5 168.2 Analysis Plot 20141023 065500 -3.9 N/A 15.1% 188.87 3.92 35.0 SSMI18 25.4 168.3 25.4 168.3 25.1 168.5 Analysis Plot 20141023 161000 -6.8 N/A 2.7% 88.88 6.82 45.0 SSMI16 26.9 169.0 26.9 169.0 26.8 169.3 Analysis Plot 20141023 192400 -2.0 N/A 23.3% 44.44 2.03 45.0 SSMI18 26.9 169.6 26.9 169.6 26.6 169.6 Analysis Plot 20141024 032800 -1.1 N/A N/A 44.44 1.15 45.0 SSMI16 27.2 170.2 27.2 170.2 27.1 170.2 Analysis Plot 20141024 032800 -930.0 N/A N/A 77.77 1268.8 45.0 SSMI16 27.4 170.3 27.4 170.3 27.9 170.2 Analysis Plot 20141024 064300 -3.0 N/A 31.5% 55.55 3.03 45.0 SSMI18 27.8 170.2 27.8 170.2 27.5 170.1 Analysis Plot 20141024 155700 -3.4 N/A 37.0% 33.33 3.42 50.0 SSMI16 28.8 169.7 28.8 169.7 28.9 169.4 Analysis Plot 20141024 181300 -36.8 N/A 100.0% 33.33 21.82 50.0 SSMI17 29.2 169.5 29.2 169.5 29.2 169.4 Analysis Plot 20141025 031600 36.3 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 21.32 65.0 SSMI16 30.9 167.9 31.0 167.6 31.0 167.6 Analysis Plot 20141025 031600 36.0 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 20.98 65.0 SSMI16 31.3 167.5 31.0 167.6 31.0 167.6 Analysis Plot 20141025 063200 9.0 N/A 46.6% 55.55 9.03 65.0 SSMI18 32.0 166.3 31.7 166.4 31.7 166.4 Analysis Plot 20141025 154200 6.4 N/A 41.1% 55.55 6.40 65.0 SSMI16 34.7 162.9 34.5 163.0 34.5 163.0 Analysis Plot 20141025 175800 -930.0 N/A N/A 133.32 1272.4 65.0 SSMI17 35.3 161.9 35.3 161.9 35.5 162.4 Analysis Plot 20141025 185700 2.7 N/A 21.9% 122.21 2.71 65.0 SSMI18 35.6 161.5 35.6 161.5 35.2 161.7 Analysis Plot 20141026 030500 5.2 N/A 8.2% 211.09 5.24 60.0 SSMI16 37.8 157.9 37.8 157.9 37.7 157.9 Analysis Plot 20141026 033900 2.9 N/A 9.6% 199.98 2.91 60.0 SSMI17 38.0 157.5 38.0 157.5 38.1 157.4 Analysis Plot 20141026 033900 3.0 N/A 11.0% 88.88 2.98 60.0 SSMI17 38.6 156.6 38.6 156.6 38.0 156.6 Analysis Plot 20141026 125704 -930.0 N/A N/A 211.09 1271.1 50.0 SSMI15 41.6 149.1 41.6 149.1 40.7 148.6 Analysis Plot 20141026 152500 -5.5 N/A N/A 144.43 5.50 50.0 SSMI16 42.6 147.3 42.6 147.3 42.6 147.9 Analysis Plot 20141026 160000 -4.2 N/A N/A 144.43 4.17 50.0 SSMI17 42.7 147.0 42.7 147.0 42.8 147.2 Analysis Plot 20141026 184400 -930.0 N/A N/A 222.20 1269.3 50.0 SSMI18 43.6 145.8 43.6 145.8 44.3 145.4 Analysis Plot 20141027 032800 -930.0 N/A N/A 111.10 1264.2 50.0 SSMI17 46.3 143.3 46.3 143.3 47.8 143.6 Analysis Plot 20141027 032800 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 50.0 SSMI17 46.8 142.8 46.8 142.8 47.9 143.1 Analysis Plot 20141027 042900 -2.0 N/A N/A 111.10 2.01 50.0 SSMI18 47.1 142.6 47.1 142.6 48.1 143.2 Analysis Plot |
Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |