Tropical Storm 06L
Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon 20140911 171851 -4.6 N/A N/A 22.22 4.58 30.0 SSMI15 16.5 37.6 16.5 37.6 15.8 37.7 Analysis Plot 20140911 201400 -1.7 N/A N/A 77.77 1.70 30.0 SSMI17 16.7 37.8 16.7 37.8 16.2 38.4 Analysis Plot 20140911 222100 -3.6 N/A 22.7% 222.20 3.58 30.0 SSMI18 17.1 38.3 17.1 38.3 16.3 38.2 Analysis Plot 20140912 002145 -4.1 N/A 38.4% 122.21 4.09 30.0 TRMM 17.3 38.8 17.3 38.8 16.9 40.0 Analysis Plot 20140912 062312 -3.7 N/A 19.2% 222.20 3.67 35.0 SSMI15 17.6 40.0 17.6 40.0 18.2 40.4 Analysis Plot 20140912 083156 -3.6 N/A 34.2% 144.43 3.63 35.0 TRMM 17.6 41.5 17.6 41.5 17.7 41.6 Analysis Plot 20140912 084900 -3.7 N/A 34.2% 144.43 3.71 35.0 SSMI17 17.6 41.8 17.6 41.8 17.7 41.7 Analysis Plot 20140912 105600 -1.0 N/A 24.7% 155.54 1.04 35.0 SSMI18 17.8 42.2 17.8 42.2 17.8 42.0 Analysis Plot 20140912 192400 -4.1 N/A 24.7% 122.21 4.06 40.0 SSMI16 18.8 43.7 18.8 43.7 19.0 43.6 Analysis Plot 20140912 221000 -2.2 N/A 35.6% 133.32 2.18 40.0 SSMI18 19.5 44.2 19.5 44.2 19.4 43.5 Analysis Plot 20140913 073313 -7.0 N/A N/A 88.88 7.02 45.0 TRMM 20.5 45.8 20.5 45.8 21.1 45.8 Analysis Plot 20140913 075600 -2.1 N/A 23.3% 99.99 2.07 45.0 SSMI16 20.6 46.1 20.6 46.1 21.3 45.8 Analysis Plot 20140913 104300 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 45.0 SSMI18 20.9 46.5 20.9 46.5 21.3 46.0 Analysis Plot 20140913 191200 -4.6 N/A 34.2% 22.22 4.59 45.0 SSMI16 22.1 47.4 22.1 47.4 22.4 47.2 Analysis Plot 20140913 191200 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 50.0 SSMI16 22.4 47.3 22.4 47.3 22.4 47.2 Analysis Plot 20140914 000241 -7.9 N/A 49.3% 44.44 7.90 50.0 TRMM 22.9 48.0 22.9 48.0 22.9 47.9 Analysis Plot 20140914 063444 -930.0 N/A N/A 188.87 1276.8 55.0 TRMM 23.9 49.2 23.9 49.2 23.6 48.9 Analysis Plot 20140914 074400 9.6 N/A 46.6% 22.22 9.59 60.0 SSMI16 23.9 49.5 23.9 49.2 23.9 49.2 Analysis Plot 20140914 100200 41.2 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 26.22 60.0 SSMI17 24.2 50.0 24.2 50.0 24.1 49.9 Analysis Plot 20140914 194941 15.5 N/A 75.3% 22.22 15.45 70.0 SSMI15 25.0 51.3 25.1 51.6 25.1 51.6 Analysis Plot 20140914 211900 27.9 >65 kts 91.8% 55.55 12.91 75.0 SSMI17 25.4 52.0 25.5 52.1 25.5 52.1 Analysis Plot 20140915 004146 39.9 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 24.88 75.0 TRMM 25.8 52.9 25.9 53.1 25.9 53.1 Analysis Plot 20140915 091100 -930.0 N/A N/A 133.32 1274.5 90.0 SSMI16 27.0 54.6 26.8 54.7 26.8 54.7 Analysis Plot 20140915 094900 42.3 >65 kts 100.0% 77.77 27.29 90.0 SSMI17 27.1 54.7 26.8 54.9 26.8 54.9 Analysis Plot 20140915 115800 46.7 >65 kts 100.0% 77.77 31.66 90.0 SSMI18 27.3 55.0 27.0 55.2 27.0 55.2 Analysis Plot 20140915 210700 41.2 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 26.19 95.0 SSMI17 27.9 56.4 28.1 56.3 28.1 56.3 Analysis Plot 20140915 231700 34.6 >65 kts 93.2% 44.44 19.64 95.0 SSMI18 28.2 56.7 28.4 56.6 28.4 56.6 Analysis Plot 20140915 231600 34.3 >65 kts 93.2% 44.44 19.34 95.0 SSMI18 28.5 56.8 28.4 56.6 28.4 56.6 Analysis Plot 20140916 012116 18.9 N/A 52.1% 44.44 18.91 95.0 TRMM 28.8 56.8 28.7 56.9 28.7 56.9 Analysis Plot 20140916 043716 -930.0 N/A N/A 211.09 1278.6 95.0 TRMM 29.3 57.0 29.3 57.0 29.5 56.9 Analysis Plot 20140916 061422 17.6 N/A 52.1% 44.44 17.55 95.0 TRMM 29.5 57.1 29.6 57.0 29.6 57.0 Analysis Plot 20140916 085600 55.7 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 40.65 95.0 SSMI16 30.3 57.3 30.1 57.4 30.1 57.4 Analysis Plot 20140916 093600 -930.0 N/A N/A 22.22 1249.8 95.0 SSMI17 30.4 57.3 30.2 57.3 30.2 57.3 Analysis Plot 20140916 114500 54.6 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 39.57 95.0 SSMI18 30.7 57.4 30.6 57.6 30.6 57.6 Analysis Plot 20140916 201700 15.0 N/A 50.7% 33.33 14.95 95.0 SSMI16 32.0 57.6 32.0 57.6 32.0 57.6 Analysis Plot 20140916 205600 11.6 N/A 1.4% 44.44 11.64 95.0 SSMI17 32.1 57.6 32.1 57.3 32.1 57.3 Analysis Plot 20140916 230600 4.2 N/A 12.3% 44.44 4.23 95.0 SSMI18 32.9 57.2 32.6 57.1 32.6 57.1 Analysis Plot 20140917 002412 -930.0 N/A N/A 44.44 1280.4 95.0 TRMM 33.0 57.1 32.9 57.0 32.9 57.0 Analysis Plot 20140917 020116 17.5 N/A 12.3% 33.33 17.53 80.0 TRMM 33.3 56.6 33.3 56.8 33.3 56.8 Analysis Plot 20140917 033852 11.1 N/A 15.1% 33.33 11.13 80.0 TRMM 33.7 56.3 33.7 56.5 33.7 56.5 Analysis Plot 20140917 084200 34.8 >65 kts 95.9% 33.33 19.79 80.0 SSMI16 35.2 55.3 35.2 55.3 35.2 55.3 Analysis Plot 20140917 113100 37.2 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 22.17 80.0 SSMI18 35.9 54.5 35.7 54.5 35.7 54.5 Analysis Plot 20140917 200500 11.5 N/A 54.8% 166.65 11.46 80.0 SSMI16 37.4 51.7 37.3 51.4 37.3 51.4 Analysis Plot 20140917 204300 15.2 N/A 28.8% 144.43 15.24 80.0 SSMI17 37.6 51.6 37.5 51.0 37.5 51.0 Analysis Plot 20140917 225500 11.6 N/A 38.4% 155.54 11.64 80.0 SSMI18 38.3 50.1 37.9 50.0 37.9 50.0 Analysis Plot 20140918 010556 -930.0 N/A N/A 144.43 1279.9 75.0 TRMM 38.5 49.0 38.3 49.1 38.3 49.1 Analysis Plot 20140918 061801 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 75.0 SSMI15 39.2 46.6 39.2 46.6 38.6 47.0 Analysis Plot 20140918 082700 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 75.0 SSMI16 39.6 45.3 39.6 45.3 39.6 45.1 Analysis Plot 20140918 090600 4.4 N/A 1.4% 44.44 4.38 75.0 SSMI17 39.7 45.0 39.5 45.3 39.5 45.3 Analysis Plot 20140918 111700 3.0 N/A 1.4% 77.77 3.05 75.0 SSMI18 39.8 44.2 39.8 44.2 39.5 44.2 Analysis Plot 20140918 181300 -930.0 N/A N/A 166.65 1252.8 70.0 SSMI16 40.0 41.3 40.0 41.3 40.0 40.7 Analysis Plot 20140918 203000 0.3 N/A 15.1% 199.98 .34 65.0 SSMI17 39.9 41.7 39.9 41.7 39.8 41.0 Analysis Plot 20140919 081400 -930.0 N/A N/A 177.76 1277.7 55.0 SSMI16 39.8 38.5 39.8 38.5 39.2 38.5 Analysis Plot 20140919 085200 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 SSMI17 39.8 38.4 39.8 38.4 39.8 38.4 Analysis Plot 20140919 110500 1.4 N/A N/A 88.88 1.37 55.0 SSMI18 39.7 38.2 39.7 38.2 39.3 38.0 Analysis Plot 20140919 201700 -1.9 N/A N/A 55.55 1.92 45.0 SSMI17 39.5 37.8 39.5 37.8 38.9 37.2 Analysis Plot |
Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |