Tropical Storm 06S


Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 8.1.5
 

         Overpass     Inten           Ring    Ring          Wind           Forecast        Final        Target  
       Date    Time   Score  Meaning   Pct    Diam  BTdiff   Est   Sat    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon              
     20131229 140400   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  35.0 SSMI16 -10.5  -52.5  -10.5  -52.5  -10.4  -52.3 Analysis Plot     
     20131229 150844   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  35.0   TRMM -10.5  -52.4  -10.5  -52.4  -10.3  -52.3 Analysis Plot     
     20131230 011200   -5.6      N/A  37.0% 166.65    5.62  40.0 SSMI16 -10.6  -52.7  -10.8  -52.8  -10.8  -52.8 Analysis Plot     
     20131230 021400  -16.1      N/A 100.0%  11.11    1.07  40.0 SSMI17 -10.7  -52.7  -10.9  -53.0  -10.9  -53.0 Analysis Plot     
     20131230 042100   -2.4      N/A  12.3% 177.76    2.38  40.0 SSMI18 -10.7  -52.7  -11.1  -53.0  -11.1  -53.0 Analysis Plot     
     20131230 115106    2.5      N/A  19.2% 155.54    2.51  60.0 SSMI15 -11.6  -52.9  -11.6  -52.9  -11.9  -53.0 Analysis Plot     
     20131230 135000   18.6      N/A  98.6%  77.77    3.56  60.0 SSMI16 -11.8  -52.9  -12.3  -52.8  -12.3  -52.8 Analysis Plot     
     20131230 145200   18.1      N/A  89.0%  77.77    3.13  60.0 SSMI17 -11.8  -53.0  -12.2  -52.8  -12.2  -52.8 Analysis Plot     
     20131230 170100   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  60.0 SSMI18 -12.0  -53.0  -12.3  -52.7  -12.3  -52.7 Analysis Plot     
     20131231 000434   57.6  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   42.60  90.0   TRMM -12.9  -52.8  -12.6  -53.2  -12.6  -53.2 Analysis Plot     
     20131231 020100   33.3  >65 kts  93.2%  22.22   18.31  90.0 SSMI17 -13.1  -52.8  -12.8  -53.3  -12.8  -53.3 Analysis Plot     
     20131231 041000   40.7  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   25.74  90.0 SSMI18 -13.3  -52.8  -13.1  -53.3  -13.1  -53.3 Analysis Plot     
     20131231 113443   11.7      N/A  28.8% 133.32   11.71 105.0 SSMI15 -14.0  -53.4  -14.3  -53.7  -14.3  -53.7 Analysis Plot     
     20131231 133600   38.1  >65 kts 100.0% 155.54   23.15 105.0 SSMI16 -14.2  -53.5  -14.8  -53.7  -14.8  -53.7 Analysis Plot     
     20131231 143800    4.3      N/A  50.7%  11.11    4.27 105.0 SSMI17 -14.4  -53.5  -14.8  -53.6  -14.8  -53.6 Analysis Plot     
     20131231 145551   14.9      N/A  20.5%  22.22   14.88 105.0   TRMM -14.4  -53.5  -14.8  -53.6  -14.8  -53.6 Analysis Plot     
     20131231 164700   11.7      N/A  76.7%  22.22   11.68 105.0 SSMI18 -14.6  -53.5  -15.1  -53.5  -15.1  -53.5 Analysis Plot     
     20140101 132200   17.4      N/A  54.8%  33.33   17.43  90.0 SSMI16 -18.0  -53.4  -18.5  -53.5  -18.5  -53.5 Analysis Plot     
     20140101 142400   42.1  >65 kts 100.0%  44.44   27.05  90.0 SSMI17 -18.1  -53.5  -18.6  -53.5  -18.6  -53.5 Analysis Plot     
     20140101 163400   52.5  >65 kts 100.0%  44.44   37.50  90.0 SSMI18 -18.4  -53.5  -19.0  -53.6  -19.0  -53.6 Analysis Plot     
     20140101 221259   45.7  >65 kts 100.0%  66.66   30.72 105.0   TRMM -19.5  -53.9  -19.6  -53.8  -19.6  -53.8 Analysis Plot     
     20140102 013900   17.6      N/A  65.8%  33.33   17.63 105.0 SSMI17 -20.0  -54.0  -20.1  -54.1  -20.1  -54.1 Analysis Plot     
     20140102 034800   42.7  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   27.74 105.0 SSMI18 -20.2  -54.1  -20.3  -54.2  -20.3  -54.2 Analysis Plot     
     20140102 130900   82.2  >85 kts 100.0%  55.55   67.22 110.0 SSMI16 -21.1  -54.7  -21.6  -54.9  -21.6  -54.9 Analysis Plot     
     20140102 141000   49.8  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   34.79 110.0 SSMI17 -21.2  -54.8  -21.7  -55.1  -21.7  -55.1 Analysis Plot     
     20140102 144349   19.9      N/A  61.6%  22.22   19.86 110.0   TRMM -21.3  -54.8  -21.8  -55.2  -21.8  -55.2 Analysis Plot     
     20140102 162100   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00 110.0 SSMI18 -21.4  -54.9  -22.3  -55.3  -22.3  -55.3 Analysis Plot     
     20140102 211727    4.9      N/A   5.5%  22.22    4.89  90.0   TRMM -22.2  -55.3  -22.2  -55.6  -22.2  -55.6 Analysis Plot     
     20140103 012700    1.1      N/A  13.7% 133.32    1.10  90.0 SSMI17 -22.6  -55.5  -22.7  -56.0  -22.7  -56.0 Analysis Plot     
     20140103 033700    3.3      N/A  26.0% 177.76    3.28  90.0 SSMI18 -22.7  -55.5  -22.9  -56.1  -22.9  -56.1 Analysis Plot     
     20140103 125600 -930.0      N/A   N/A  155.54    6.01  75.0 SSMI16 -23.7  -55.9  -23.7  -55.9  -23.4  -56.2 Analysis Plot     
     20140103 135700    0.9      N/A   N/A   22.22     .86  75.0 SSMI17 -23.8  -55.9  -23.8  -55.9  -23.7  -55.7 Analysis Plot     
     20140103 160800    1.9      N/A   N/A  222.20    1.85  75.0 SSMI18 -23.9  -55.9  -24.1  -55.9  -24.1  -55.9 Analysis Plot     
     20140103 202129    7.5      N/A  20.5%  22.22    7.48  60.0   TRMM -24.2  -54.9  -24.2  -54.9  -24.4  -55.2 Analysis Plot     
     20140104 143041   -4.3      N/A   N/A  199.98    4.31  45.0   TRMM -26.0  -52.7  -26.0  -52.7  -26.4  -52.8 Analysis Plot     
     20140104 192442   -3.2      N/A   6.8% 144.43    3.20  45.0   TRMM -26.8  -51.8  -26.8  -51.8  -27.1  -52.0 Analysis Plot     
     20140104 232548 -930.0      N/A   N/A  222.20    2.34  45.0 SSMI15 -27.5  -51.0  -27.5  -51.0  -27.0  -50.9 Analysis Plot     
     20140105 014100   -4.3      N/A   N/A  133.32    4.29  45.0 SSMI16 -27.9  -50.5  -27.9  -50.5  -28.0  -50.2 Analysis Plot     
     20140105 024200   -5.6      N/A  20.5% 188.87    5.64  45.0 SSMI17 -28.1  -50.3  -28.1  -50.3  -28.2  -50.0 Analysis Plot     
     20140105 115303 -930.0      N/A   N/A  133.32    8.58  40.0 SSMI15 -30.4  -47.7  -30.4  -47.7  -30.6  -46.6 Analysis Plot     
     20140105 140800  -12.4      N/A  15.1%  88.88   12.42  40.0 SSMI16 -31.1  -47.0  -31.1  -47.0  -31.6  -45.9 Analysis Plot     
     20140105 151000   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  40.0 SSMI17 -31.3  -46.8  -31.3  -46.8  -32.2  -45.5 Analysis Plot     
     20140105 151204   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  40.0   TRMM -31.5  -46.7  -31.5  -46.7  -32.2  -45.6 Analysis Plot     
     20140105 182729   -1.0      N/A   4.1% 144.43    1.01  40.0   TRMM -32.3  -45.9  -32.3  -45.9  -32.5  -45.0 Analysis Plot     
     20140106 012900   -1.3      N/A   N/A  155.54    1.30  40.0 SSMI16 -34.3  -43.8  -34.3  -43.8  -34.5  -43.5 Analysis Plot     
     20140106 023100   -3.4      N/A   N/A  199.98    3.37  40.0 SSMI17 -34.5  -43.6  -34.5  -43.6  -34.7  -43.6 Analysis Plot     
 
 
Legend:

  - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position.

  - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere.

  - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km).

  - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater.
  - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85.

  - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall.

  - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs.

  - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data.