Tropical Storm 06S
Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.1.5 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon 20131229 140400 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 SSMI16 -10.5 -52.5 -10.5 -52.5 -10.4 -52.3 Analysis Plot 20131229 150844 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 TRMM -10.5 -52.4 -10.5 -52.4 -10.3 -52.3 Analysis Plot 20131230 011200 -5.6 N/A 37.0% 166.65 5.62 40.0 SSMI16 -10.6 -52.7 -10.8 -52.8 -10.8 -52.8 Analysis Plot 20131230 021400 -16.1 N/A 100.0% 11.11 1.07 40.0 SSMI17 -10.7 -52.7 -10.9 -53.0 -10.9 -53.0 Analysis Plot 20131230 042100 -2.4 N/A 12.3% 177.76 2.38 40.0 SSMI18 -10.7 -52.7 -11.1 -53.0 -11.1 -53.0 Analysis Plot 20131230 115106 2.5 N/A 19.2% 155.54 2.51 60.0 SSMI15 -11.6 -52.9 -11.6 -52.9 -11.9 -53.0 Analysis Plot 20131230 135000 18.6 N/A 98.6% 77.77 3.56 60.0 SSMI16 -11.8 -52.9 -12.3 -52.8 -12.3 -52.8 Analysis Plot 20131230 145200 18.1 N/A 89.0% 77.77 3.13 60.0 SSMI17 -11.8 -53.0 -12.2 -52.8 -12.2 -52.8 Analysis Plot 20131230 170100 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 SSMI18 -12.0 -53.0 -12.3 -52.7 -12.3 -52.7 Analysis Plot 20131231 000434 57.6 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 42.60 90.0 TRMM -12.9 -52.8 -12.6 -53.2 -12.6 -53.2 Analysis Plot 20131231 020100 33.3 >65 kts 93.2% 22.22 18.31 90.0 SSMI17 -13.1 -52.8 -12.8 -53.3 -12.8 -53.3 Analysis Plot 20131231 041000 40.7 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 25.74 90.0 SSMI18 -13.3 -52.8 -13.1 -53.3 -13.1 -53.3 Analysis Plot 20131231 113443 11.7 N/A 28.8% 133.32 11.71 105.0 SSMI15 -14.0 -53.4 -14.3 -53.7 -14.3 -53.7 Analysis Plot 20131231 133600 38.1 >65 kts 100.0% 155.54 23.15 105.0 SSMI16 -14.2 -53.5 -14.8 -53.7 -14.8 -53.7 Analysis Plot 20131231 143800 4.3 N/A 50.7% 11.11 4.27 105.0 SSMI17 -14.4 -53.5 -14.8 -53.6 -14.8 -53.6 Analysis Plot 20131231 145551 14.9 N/A 20.5% 22.22 14.88 105.0 TRMM -14.4 -53.5 -14.8 -53.6 -14.8 -53.6 Analysis Plot 20131231 164700 11.7 N/A 76.7% 22.22 11.68 105.0 SSMI18 -14.6 -53.5 -15.1 -53.5 -15.1 -53.5 Analysis Plot 20140101 132200 17.4 N/A 54.8% 33.33 17.43 90.0 SSMI16 -18.0 -53.4 -18.5 -53.5 -18.5 -53.5 Analysis Plot 20140101 142400 42.1 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 27.05 90.0 SSMI17 -18.1 -53.5 -18.6 -53.5 -18.6 -53.5 Analysis Plot 20140101 163400 52.5 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 37.50 90.0 SSMI18 -18.4 -53.5 -19.0 -53.6 -19.0 -53.6 Analysis Plot 20140101 221259 45.7 >65 kts 100.0% 66.66 30.72 105.0 TRMM -19.5 -53.9 -19.6 -53.8 -19.6 -53.8 Analysis Plot 20140102 013900 17.6 N/A 65.8% 33.33 17.63 105.0 SSMI17 -20.0 -54.0 -20.1 -54.1 -20.1 -54.1 Analysis Plot 20140102 034800 42.7 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 27.74 105.0 SSMI18 -20.2 -54.1 -20.3 -54.2 -20.3 -54.2 Analysis Plot 20140102 130900 82.2 >85 kts 100.0% 55.55 67.22 110.0 SSMI16 -21.1 -54.7 -21.6 -54.9 -21.6 -54.9 Analysis Plot 20140102 141000 49.8 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 34.79 110.0 SSMI17 -21.2 -54.8 -21.7 -55.1 -21.7 -55.1 Analysis Plot 20140102 144349 19.9 N/A 61.6% 22.22 19.86 110.0 TRMM -21.3 -54.8 -21.8 -55.2 -21.8 -55.2 Analysis Plot 20140102 162100 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 110.0 SSMI18 -21.4 -54.9 -22.3 -55.3 -22.3 -55.3 Analysis Plot 20140102 211727 4.9 N/A 5.5% 22.22 4.89 90.0 TRMM -22.2 -55.3 -22.2 -55.6 -22.2 -55.6 Analysis Plot 20140103 012700 1.1 N/A 13.7% 133.32 1.10 90.0 SSMI17 -22.6 -55.5 -22.7 -56.0 -22.7 -56.0 Analysis Plot 20140103 033700 3.3 N/A 26.0% 177.76 3.28 90.0 SSMI18 -22.7 -55.5 -22.9 -56.1 -22.9 -56.1 Analysis Plot 20140103 125600 -930.0 N/A N/A 155.54 6.01 75.0 SSMI16 -23.7 -55.9 -23.7 -55.9 -23.4 -56.2 Analysis Plot 20140103 135700 0.9 N/A N/A 22.22 .86 75.0 SSMI17 -23.8 -55.9 -23.8 -55.9 -23.7 -55.7 Analysis Plot 20140103 160800 1.9 N/A N/A 222.20 1.85 75.0 SSMI18 -23.9 -55.9 -24.1 -55.9 -24.1 -55.9 Analysis Plot 20140103 202129 7.5 N/A 20.5% 22.22 7.48 60.0 TRMM -24.2 -54.9 -24.2 -54.9 -24.4 -55.2 Analysis Plot 20140104 143041 -4.3 N/A N/A 199.98 4.31 45.0 TRMM -26.0 -52.7 -26.0 -52.7 -26.4 -52.8 Analysis Plot 20140104 192442 -3.2 N/A 6.8% 144.43 3.20 45.0 TRMM -26.8 -51.8 -26.8 -51.8 -27.1 -52.0 Analysis Plot 20140104 232548 -930.0 N/A N/A 222.20 2.34 45.0 SSMI15 -27.5 -51.0 -27.5 -51.0 -27.0 -50.9 Analysis Plot 20140105 014100 -4.3 N/A N/A 133.32 4.29 45.0 SSMI16 -27.9 -50.5 -27.9 -50.5 -28.0 -50.2 Analysis Plot 20140105 024200 -5.6 N/A 20.5% 188.87 5.64 45.0 SSMI17 -28.1 -50.3 -28.1 -50.3 -28.2 -50.0 Analysis Plot 20140105 115303 -930.0 N/A N/A 133.32 8.58 40.0 SSMI15 -30.4 -47.7 -30.4 -47.7 -30.6 -46.6 Analysis Plot 20140105 140800 -12.4 N/A 15.1% 88.88 12.42 40.0 SSMI16 -31.1 -47.0 -31.1 -47.0 -31.6 -45.9 Analysis Plot 20140105 151000 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 40.0 SSMI17 -31.3 -46.8 -31.3 -46.8 -32.2 -45.5 Analysis Plot 20140105 151204 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 40.0 TRMM -31.5 -46.7 -31.5 -46.7 -32.2 -45.6 Analysis Plot 20140105 182729 -1.0 N/A 4.1% 144.43 1.01 40.0 TRMM -32.3 -45.9 -32.3 -45.9 -32.5 -45.0 Analysis Plot 20140106 012900 -1.3 N/A N/A 155.54 1.30 40.0 SSMI16 -34.3 -43.8 -34.3 -43.8 -34.5 -43.5 Analysis Plot 20140106 023100 -3.4 N/A N/A 199.98 3.37 40.0 SSMI17 -34.5 -43.6 -34.5 -43.6 -34.7 -43.6 Analysis Plot |
Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |