Tropical Depression 15E
Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon 20140910 100620 -4.6 N/A 35.6% 44.44 4.62 30.0 SSMI15 14.4 102.5 14.4 102.5 14.9 103.0 Analysis Plot 20140910 120100 -1.7 N/A 11.0% 77.77 1.68 30.0 SSMI16 14.5 102.5 14.5 102.5 14.2 103.2 Analysis Plot 20140910 132849 -5.3 N/A 11.0% 44.44 5.30 30.0 TRMM 14.5 102.5 14.5 102.5 14.5 103.3 Analysis Plot 20140910 144500 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 SSMI18 14.9 102.9 14.9 102.9 15.4 103.5 Analysis Plot 20140910 231200 -4.4 N/A 15.1% 99.99 4.36 35.0 SSMI16 15.3 103.2 15.3 103.2 14.8 103.6 Analysis Plot 20140911 015800 -930.0 N/A N/A 55.55 1273.2 35.0 SSMI18 15.4 103.3 15.4 103.3 15.0 103.7 Analysis Plot 20140911 041921 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 40.0 TRMM 15.5 103.6 15.5 103.6 15.1 104.1 Analysis Plot 20140911 100214 -930.0 N/A N/A 199.98 1278.6 45.0 SSMI15 15.5 104.0 15.5 104.0 15.1 103.8 Analysis Plot 20140911 114800 -4.6 N/A 15.1% 211.09 4.57 45.0 SSMI16 15.5 104.1 15.5 104.1 15.7 104.3 Analysis Plot 20140911 143300 -5.2 N/A 16.4% 211.09 5.20 45.0 SSMI18 15.3 104.2 15.3 104.2 15.6 104.8 Analysis Plot 20140911 230100 -930.0 N/A N/A 222.20 1276.6 50.0 SSMI16 15.1 104.8 15.1 104.8 15.3 104.4 Analysis Plot 20140912 012000 -930.0 N/A N/A 222.20 1277.8 50.0 SSMI17 15.1 104.8 15.1 104.8 15.5 104.8 Analysis Plot 20140912 113500 -3.2 N/A 37.0% 211.09 3.18 50.0 SSMI16 15.5 105.0 15.5 105.0 15.6 105.4 Analysis Plot 20140912 131054 -4.9 N/A 37.0% 222.20 4.92 50.0 TRMM 15.5 105.0 15.5 105.0 15.1 105.3 Analysis Plot 20140912 142200 -930.0 N/A N/A 222.20 1265.4 55.0 SSMI18 15.5 105.0 15.5 105.0 15.4 105.3 Analysis Plot 20140913 010700 5.2 N/A 31.5% 222.20 5.23 55.0 SSMI17 15.6 105.0 15.6 105.0 15.8 105.4 Analysis Plot 20140913 040144 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 TRMM 16.3 105.4 16.3 105.4 16.0 104.9 Analysis Plot 20140913 112300 -930.0 N/A N/A 77.77 1270.8 60.0 SSMI16 16.5 105.8 16.5 105.6 16.5 105.6 Analysis Plot 20140913 121247 10.9 N/A 37.0% 66.66 10.89 60.0 TRMM 16.5 105.8 16.3 105.8 16.3 105.8 Analysis Plot 20140913 134200 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 65.0 SSMI17 16.5 105.9 16.4 105.7 16.4 105.7 Analysis Plot 20140914 005300 54.8 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 39.76 75.0 SSMI17 17.4 106.5 17.5 106.3 17.5 106.3 Analysis Plot 20140914 030300 58.6 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 43.57 90.0 SSMI18 18.0 106.6 17.8 106.6 17.8 106.6 Analysis Plot 20140914 030421 62.2 >85 kts 100.0% 33.33 47.16 90.0 TRMM 18.0 106.6 17.9 106.6 17.9 106.6 Analysis Plot 20140914 111433 18.9 N/A 75.3% 22.22 18.92 115.0 TRMM 19.4 107.5 19.3 107.6 19.3 107.6 Analysis Plot 20140914 132800 49.8 >65 kts 100.0% 99.99 34.83 115.0 SSMI17 19.8 108.0 19.8 107.9 19.8 107.9 Analysis Plot 20140914 153700 67.8 >85 kts 100.0% 88.88 52.80 115.0 SSMI18 20.2 108.4 20.1 108.3 20.1 108.3 Analysis Plot 20140915 000300 72.0 >85 kts 100.0% 77.77 57.01 110.0 SSMI16 21.5 109.2 21.8 109.3 21.8 109.3 Analysis Plot 20140915 004200 0.8 N/A N/A 133.32 .85 110.0 SSMI17 21.6 109.3 22.6 109.2 22.6 109.2 Analysis Plot 20140915 025100 72.7 >85 kts 100.0% 77.77 57.72 110.0 SSMI18 22.7 109.7 22.4 109.6 22.4 109.6 Analysis Plot 20140915 034345 65.2 >85 kts 100.0% 66.66 50.20 110.0 TRMM 22.8 109.7 22.6 109.7 22.6 109.7 Analysis Plot 20140915 101542 13.5 N/A 80.8% 33.33 13.49 105.0 TRMM 23.8 110.5 23.9 110.7 23.9 110.7 Analysis Plot 20140915 123500 42.3 >65 kts 100.0% 66.66 27.26 105.0 SSMI16 24.4 111.0 24.5 111.0 24.5 111.0 Analysis Plot 20140915 131400 30.9 >65 kts 87.7% 66.66 15.91 90.0 SSMI17 24.5 111.2 24.4 111.0 24.4 111.0 Analysis Plot 20140915 152300 10.5 N/A 80.8% 44.44 10.54 90.0 SSMI18 24.8 111.4 24.8 111.3 24.8 111.3 Analysis Plot 20140915 235200 27.5 >65 kts 87.7% 44.44 12.52 80.0 SSMI16 25.8 112.0 26.1 111.9 26.1 111.9 Analysis Plot 20140916 024100 7.8 N/A N/A 33.33 7.78 60.0 SSMI18 26.7 112.1 26.7 112.1 26.5 112.3 Analysis Plot 20140916 042334 8.4 N/A 21.9% 99.99 8.44 60.0 TRMM 26.8 112.3 26.6 112.5 26.6 112.5 Analysis Plot 20140916 091709 5.6 N/A 34.2% 99.99 5.57 55.0 TRMM 27.4 112.7 27.6 113.1 27.6 113.1 Analysis Plot 20140916 122100 5.2 N/A N/A 122.21 5.23 55.0 SSMI16 27.9 113.0 27.9 113.0 27.8 113.4 Analysis Plot 20140916 151000 -1.2 N/A 12.3% 88.88 1.23 50.0 SSMI18 28.5 113.2 28.5 113.2 28.4 113.2 Analysis Plot 20140916 234000 -0.8 N/A 23.3% 77.77 .79 45.0 SSMI16 29.3 113.5 29.3 113.5 29.4 113.6 Analysis Plot 20140917 023000 -1.7 N/A 21.9% 44.44 1.70 45.0 SSMI18 29.6 113.6 29.6 113.6 29.8 113.0 Analysis Plot 20140917 050340 -1.4 N/A 60.3% 66.66 1.40 45.0 TRMM 29.9 113.6 29.9 113.6 30.0 113.3 Analysis Plot 20140917 081856 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 45.0 TRMM 30.0 113.5 30.0 113.5 30.0 113.5 Analysis Plot 20140917 120800 -0.4 N/A 11.0% 166.65 .40 45.0 SSMI16 30.4 113.3 30.4 113.3 30.2 113.1 Analysis Plot 20140917 142700 -2.0 N/A N/A 99.99 1.99 40.0 SSMI17 30.6 113.3 30.6 113.3 30.3 112.9 Analysis Plot 20140917 232800 -1.5 N/A N/A 99.99 1.53 30.0 SSMI16 31.4 112.4 31.4 112.4 32.0 112.8 Analysis Plot 20140918 021900 -930.0 N/A N/A 211.09 1285.9 30.0 SSMI18 31.6 112.1 31.6 112.1 30.9 112.1 Analysis Plot |
Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |