Tropical Depression 15E


Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 8.2.1
 

         Overpass     Inten           Ring    Ring          Wind           Forecast        Final        Target  
       Date    Time   Score  Meaning   Pct    Diam  BTdiff   Est   Sat    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon              
     20140910 100620   -4.6      N/A  35.6%  44.44    4.62  30.0 SSMI15  14.4  102.5   14.4  102.5   14.9  103.0 Analysis Plot     
     20140910 120100   -1.7      N/A  11.0%  77.77    1.68  30.0 SSMI16  14.5  102.5   14.5  102.5   14.2  103.2 Analysis Plot     
     20140910 132849   -5.3      N/A  11.0%  44.44    5.30  30.0   TRMM  14.5  102.5   14.5  102.5   14.5  103.3 Analysis Plot     
     20140910 144500   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  35.0 SSMI18  14.9  102.9   14.9  102.9   15.4  103.5 Analysis Plot     
     20140910 231200   -4.4      N/A  15.1%  99.99    4.36  35.0 SSMI16  15.3  103.2   15.3  103.2   14.8  103.6 Analysis Plot     
     20140911 015800 -930.0      N/A   N/A   55.55  1273.2  35.0 SSMI18  15.4  103.3   15.4  103.3   15.0  103.7 Analysis Plot     
     20140911 041921   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  40.0   TRMM  15.5  103.6   15.5  103.6   15.1  104.1 Analysis Plot     
     20140911 100214 -930.0      N/A   N/A  199.98  1278.6  45.0 SSMI15  15.5  104.0   15.5  104.0   15.1  103.8 Analysis Plot     
     20140911 114800   -4.6      N/A  15.1% 211.09    4.57  45.0 SSMI16  15.5  104.1   15.5  104.1   15.7  104.3 Analysis Plot     
     20140911 143300   -5.2      N/A  16.4% 211.09    5.20  45.0 SSMI18  15.3  104.2   15.3  104.2   15.6  104.8 Analysis Plot     
     20140911 230100 -930.0      N/A   N/A  222.20  1276.6  50.0 SSMI16  15.1  104.8   15.1  104.8   15.3  104.4 Analysis Plot     
     20140912 012000 -930.0      N/A   N/A  222.20  1277.8  50.0 SSMI17  15.1  104.8   15.1  104.8   15.5  104.8 Analysis Plot     
     20140912 113500   -3.2      N/A  37.0% 211.09    3.18  50.0 SSMI16  15.5  105.0   15.5  105.0   15.6  105.4 Analysis Plot     
     20140912 131054   -4.9      N/A  37.0% 222.20    4.92  50.0   TRMM  15.5  105.0   15.5  105.0   15.1  105.3 Analysis Plot     
     20140912 142200 -930.0      N/A   N/A  222.20  1265.4  55.0 SSMI18  15.5  105.0   15.5  105.0   15.4  105.3 Analysis Plot     
     20140913 010700    5.2      N/A  31.5% 222.20    5.23  55.0 SSMI17  15.6  105.0   15.6  105.0   15.8  105.4 Analysis Plot     
     20140913 040144   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  55.0   TRMM  16.3  105.4   16.3  105.4   16.0  104.9 Analysis Plot     
     20140913 112300 -930.0      N/A   N/A   77.77  1270.8  60.0 SSMI16  16.5  105.8   16.5  105.6   16.5  105.6 Analysis Plot     
     20140913 121247   10.9      N/A  37.0%  66.66   10.89  60.0   TRMM  16.5  105.8   16.3  105.8   16.3  105.8 Analysis Plot     
     20140913 134200   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  65.0 SSMI17  16.5  105.9   16.4  105.7   16.4  105.7 Analysis Plot     
     20140914 005300   54.8  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   39.76  75.0 SSMI17  17.4  106.5   17.5  106.3   17.5  106.3 Analysis Plot     
     20140914 030300   58.6  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   43.57  90.0 SSMI18  18.0  106.6   17.8  106.6   17.8  106.6 Analysis Plot     
     20140914 030421   62.2  >85 kts 100.0%  33.33   47.16  90.0   TRMM  18.0  106.6   17.9  106.6   17.9  106.6 Analysis Plot     
     20140914 111433   18.9      N/A  75.3%  22.22   18.92 115.0   TRMM  19.4  107.5   19.3  107.6   19.3  107.6 Analysis Plot     
     20140914 132800   49.8  >65 kts 100.0%  99.99   34.83 115.0 SSMI17  19.8  108.0   19.8  107.9   19.8  107.9 Analysis Plot     
     20140914 153700   67.8  >85 kts 100.0%  88.88   52.80 115.0 SSMI18  20.2  108.4   20.1  108.3   20.1  108.3 Analysis Plot     
     20140915 000300   72.0  >85 kts 100.0%  77.77   57.01 110.0 SSMI16  21.5  109.2   21.8  109.3   21.8  109.3 Analysis Plot     
     20140915 004200    0.8      N/A   N/A  133.32     .85 110.0 SSMI17  21.6  109.3   22.6  109.2   22.6  109.2 Analysis Plot     
     20140915 025100   72.7  >85 kts 100.0%  77.77   57.72 110.0 SSMI18  22.7  109.7   22.4  109.6   22.4  109.6 Analysis Plot     
     20140915 034345   65.2  >85 kts 100.0%  66.66   50.20 110.0   TRMM  22.8  109.7   22.6  109.7   22.6  109.7 Analysis Plot     
     20140915 101542   13.5      N/A  80.8%  33.33   13.49 105.0   TRMM  23.8  110.5   23.9  110.7   23.9  110.7 Analysis Plot     
     20140915 123500   42.3  >65 kts 100.0%  66.66   27.26 105.0 SSMI16  24.4  111.0   24.5  111.0   24.5  111.0 Analysis Plot     
     20140915 131400   30.9  >65 kts  87.7%  66.66   15.91  90.0 SSMI17  24.5  111.2   24.4  111.0   24.4  111.0 Analysis Plot     
     20140915 152300   10.5      N/A  80.8%  44.44   10.54  90.0 SSMI18  24.8  111.4   24.8  111.3   24.8  111.3 Analysis Plot     
     20140915 235200   27.5  >65 kts  87.7%  44.44   12.52  80.0 SSMI16  25.8  112.0   26.1  111.9   26.1  111.9 Analysis Plot     
     20140916 024100    7.8      N/A   N/A   33.33    7.78  60.0 SSMI18  26.7  112.1   26.7  112.1   26.5  112.3 Analysis Plot     
     20140916 042334    8.4      N/A  21.9%  99.99    8.44  60.0   TRMM  26.8  112.3   26.6  112.5   26.6  112.5 Analysis Plot     
     20140916 091709    5.6      N/A  34.2%  99.99    5.57  55.0   TRMM  27.4  112.7   27.6  113.1   27.6  113.1 Analysis Plot     
     20140916 122100    5.2      N/A   N/A  122.21    5.23  55.0 SSMI16  27.9  113.0   27.9  113.0   27.8  113.4 Analysis Plot     
     20140916 151000   -1.2      N/A  12.3%  88.88    1.23  50.0 SSMI18  28.5  113.2   28.5  113.2   28.4  113.2 Analysis Plot     
     20140916 234000   -0.8      N/A  23.3%  77.77     .79  45.0 SSMI16  29.3  113.5   29.3  113.5   29.4  113.6 Analysis Plot     
     20140917 023000   -1.7      N/A  21.9%  44.44    1.70  45.0 SSMI18  29.6  113.6   29.6  113.6   29.8  113.0 Analysis Plot     
     20140917 050340   -1.4      N/A  60.3%  66.66    1.40  45.0   TRMM  29.9  113.6   29.9  113.6   30.0  113.3 Analysis Plot     
     20140917 081856   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  45.0   TRMM  30.0  113.5   30.0  113.5   30.0  113.5 Analysis Plot     
     20140917 120800   -0.4      N/A  11.0% 166.65     .40  45.0 SSMI16  30.4  113.3   30.4  113.3   30.2  113.1 Analysis Plot     
     20140917 142700   -2.0      N/A   N/A   99.99    1.99  40.0 SSMI17  30.6  113.3   30.6  113.3   30.3  112.9 Analysis Plot     
     20140917 232800   -1.5      N/A   N/A   99.99    1.53  30.0 SSMI16  31.4  112.4   31.4  112.4   32.0  112.8 Analysis Plot     
     20140918 021900 -930.0      N/A   N/A  211.09  1285.9  30.0 SSMI18  31.6  112.1   31.6  112.1   30.9  112.1 Analysis Plot     
 
 
Legend:

  - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position.

  - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere.

  - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km).

  - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater.
  - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85.

  - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall.

  - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs.

  - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data.