Tropical Depression 15S
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Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.1.5 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target
Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon
20140218 145100 -3.3 N/A 35.6% 177.76 3.31 35.0 SSMI16 -18.6 -40.2 -18.6 -40.2 -18.7 -40.3 Analysis Plot
20140218 154800 -1.6 N/A 39.7% 133.32 1.56 35.0 SSMI17 -18.8 -40.2 -18.8 -40.2 -19.0 -40.3 Analysis Plot
20140218 165400 -4.6 N/A 5.5% 144.43 4.64 35.0 SSMI18 -18.9 -40.2 -18.9 -40.2 -18.3 -40.5 Analysis Plot
20140219 020400 -4.2 N/A 26.0% 144.43 4.18 45.0 SSMI16 -19.8 -39.8 -19.8 -39.8 -19.6 -39.9 Analysis Plot
20140219 142944 -930.0 N/A N/A 211.09 1282.4 60.0 TRMM -21.4 -39.6 -22.0 -39.7 -22.0 -39.7 Analysis Plot
20140219 153400 10.7 N/A 45.2% 122.21 10.65 60.0 SSMI17 -21.5 -39.6 -21.7 -39.8 -21.7 -39.8 Analysis Plot
20140220 015200 16.4 N/A 57.5% 144.43 16.44 65.0 SSMI16 -23.4 -39.0 -23.7 -38.9 -23.7 -38.9 Analysis Plot
20140220 024900 37.1 >65 kts 100.0% 133.32 22.12 65.0 SSMI17 -23.5 -39.0 -23.9 -38.8 -23.9 -38.8 Analysis Plot
20140220 053900 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 65.0 SSMI18 -24.0 -38.9 -24.0 -38.9 -24.0 -40.3 Analysis Plot
20140220 142300 16.9 N/A 38.4% 144.43 16.85 65.0 SSMI16 -26.5 -38.5 -26.9 -38.6 -26.9 -38.6 Analysis Plot
20140220 152000 12.1 N/A 46.6% 133.32 12.13 65.0 SSMI17 -26.7 -38.4 -27.2 -38.7 -27.2 -38.7 Analysis Plot
20140220 180900 6.1 N/A 37.0% 88.88 6.11 65.0 SSMI18 -27.3 -38.4 -27.9 -38.1 -27.9 -38.1 Analysis Plot
20140220 200606 -930.0 N/A N/A 144.43 1283.9 65.0 TRMM -27.8 -38.4 -28.0 -38.2 -28.0 -38.2 Analysis Plot
20140221 014100 4.8 N/A 27.4% 77.77 4.81 65.0 SSMI16 -28.7 -38.6 -29.0 -38.7 -29.0 -38.7 Analysis Plot
20140221 023800 1.5 N/A 6.8% 122.21 1.50 65.0 SSMI17 -28.8 -38.6 -29.2 -38.7 -29.2 -38.7 Analysis Plot
20140221 052700 1.4 N/A 4.1% 77.77 1.41 65.0 SSMI18 -29.3 -38.8 -29.3 -38.8 -29.7 -38.7 Analysis Plot
20140221 150700 -930.0 N/A N/A 177.76 1277.1 60.0 SSMI17 -31.4 -39.4 -31.4 -39.4 -31.3 -39.6 Analysis Plot
20140221 175500 2.1 N/A 15.1% 166.65 2.09 60.0 SSMI18 -31.7 -39.5 -31.7 -39.5 -31.9 -39.8 Analysis Plot
20140221 191100 -2.3 N/A N/A 155.54 2.29 45.0 TRMM -32.0 -40.3 -32.0 -40.3 -31.6 -39.9 Analysis Plot
20140222 012900 -15.6 N/A 100.0% 22.22 .56 45.0 SSMI16 -32.8 -41.2 -32.8 -41.2 -33.3 -41.4 Analysis Plot
20140222 022700 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 45.0 SSMI17 -33.0 -41.3 -33.0 -41.3 -33.1 -41.9 Analysis Plot
20140222 051600 -1.9 N/A 31.7% 166.65 1.87 45.0 SSMI18 -33.4 -41.8 -33.4 -41.8 -33.1 -41.9 Analysis Plot
20140222 135500 -15.0 N/A 100.0% 11.11 .02 35.0 SSMI16 -34.0 -43.0 -34.0 -43.0 -33.6 -43.6 Analysis Plot
20140222 145300 -930.0 N/A N/A 222.20 1273.8 35.0 SSMI17 -34.1 -43.3 -34.1 -43.3 -33.7 -44.0 Analysis Plot
20140222 150031 -930.0 N/A N/A 222.20 1280.1 35.0 TRMM -34.3 -43.4 -34.3 -43.4 -33.8 -44.1 Analysis Plot
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Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |
