Tropical Storm 18W
Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon 20140928 181800 -11.0 N/A 61.6% 55.55 11.02 25.0 SSMI16 12.5 -153.2 12.5 -153.2 12.1 -153.4 Analysis Plot 20140928 211500 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 25.0 SSMI18 12.8 -152.7 12.8 -152.7 12.6 -153.0 Analysis Plot 20140929 074600 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 SSMI17 13.3 -150.8 13.3 -150.8 13.1 -150.8 Analysis Plot 20140929 110152 -4.2 N/A 11.0% 55.55 4.16 35.0 TRMM 13.7 -150.2 13.7 -150.2 13.6 -150.6 Analysis Plot 20140929 202300 -930.0 N/A N/A 311.08 1277.1 45.0 SSMI17 14.4 -149.0 14.4 -149.0 15.4 -149.3 Analysis Plot 20140930 015138 -0.0 N/A 20.5% 55.55 .01 45.0 TRMM 15.5 -148.1 15.5 -148.1 15.9 -148.1 Analysis Plot 20140930 073500 -1.9 N/A 5.5% 133.32 1.91 40.0 SSMI17 16.7 -147.0 16.7 -147.0 16.1 -147.3 Analysis Plot 20140930 095600 -4.6 N/A 24.7% 122.21 4.58 40.0 SSMI18 16.9 -146.6 16.9 -146.6 16.3 -146.4 Analysis Plot 20140930 095600 -4.6 N/A 24.7% 122.21 4.58 40.0 SSMI18 16.9 -146.6 16.9 -146.6 16.3 -146.4 Analysis Plot 20140930 193200 -8.3 N/A 67.1% 22.22 8.28 50.0 SSMI16 16.7 -144.1 16.7 -144.1 16.6 -143.9 Analysis Plot 20140930 201000 -5.2 N/A 57.5% 22.22 5.19 50.0 SSMI17 16.7 -144.0 16.7 -144.0 16.5 -144.0 Analysis Plot 20140930 223100 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 50.0 SSMI18 16.7 -143.6 16.8 -143.7 16.8 -143.7 Analysis Plot 20141001 022926 -930.0 N/A N/A 311.08 1278.1 65.0 TRMM 16.8 -143.1 17.4 -143.2 17.4 -143.2 Analysis Plot 20141001 104000 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 65.0 TRMM 18.3 -141.7 18.4 -141.5 18.4 -141.5 Analysis Plot 20141001 191800 8.8 N/A 60.3% 177.76 8.79 75.0 SSMI16 19.1 -140.0 19.1 -139.9 19.1 -139.9 Analysis Plot 20141001 221800 9.7 N/A 42.5% 177.76 9.67 75.0 SSMI18 19.4 -139.4 19.3 -139.3 19.3 -139.3 Analysis Plot 20141002 085000 36.3 >65 kts 100.0% 144.43 21.34 115.0 SSMI17 20.0 -137.9 20.1 -137.6 20.1 -137.6 Analysis Plot 20141002 094015 38.9 >65 kts 100.0% 155.54 23.94 115.0 TRMM 20.2 -137.7 20.2 -137.6 20.2 -137.6 Analysis Plot 20141002 175627 -930.0 N/A N/A 333.30 1276.8 110.0 SSMI15 21.3 -136.8 21.3 -136.8 21.2 -136.4 Analysis Plot 20141002 212200 53.8 >65 kts 100.0% 122.21 38.78 110.0 SSMI17 22.2 -135.8 22.0 -135.7 22.0 -135.7 Analysis Plot 20141003 020859 46.7 >65 kts 100.0% 111.10 31.67 110.0 TRMM 22.6 -135.3 22.6 -135.3 22.6 -135.3 Analysis Plot 20141003 084004 -930.0 N/A N/A 99.99 1284.3 110.0 TRMM 23.6 -134.4 23.6 -134.5 23.6 -134.5 Analysis Plot 20141003 110300 58.5 >65 kts 100.0% 99.99 43.48 110.0 SSMI18 24.0 -134.1 23.9 -134.0 23.9 -134.0 Analysis Plot 20141003 203300 60.3 >85 kts 100.0% 122.21 45.28 115.0 SSMI16 25.2 -133.2 25.1 -133.0 25.1 -133.0 Analysis Plot 20141003 210900 64.4 >85 kts 100.0% 122.21 49.43 115.0 SSMI17 25.3 -133.2 25.2 -133.1 25.2 -133.1 Analysis Plot 20141003 233300 -930.0 N/A N/A 133.32 1272.7 115.0 SSMI18 25.6 -133.0 26.3 -133.6 26.3 -133.6 Analysis Plot 20141004 024728 26.3 >65 kts 38.4% 133.32 26.25 130.0 TRMM 26.2 -132.7 25.9 -132.6 25.9 -132.6 Analysis Plot 20141004 082700 51.6 >65 kts 100.0% 211.09 36.59 120.0 SSMI17 26.7 -132.2 26.5 -132.3 26.5 -132.3 Analysis Plot 20141004 105100 7.1 N/A 16.4% 111.10 7.12 120.0 SSMI18 27.1 -132.2 26.8 -131.9 26.8 -131.9 Analysis Plot 20141004 201800 42.0 >65 kts 100.0% 222.20 27.00 110.0 SSMI16 28.6 -131.8 28.4 -131.3 28.4 -131.3 Analysis Plot 20141004 232000 60.8 >85 kts 100.0% 222.20 45.81 110.0 SSMI18 29.2 -132.0 28.9 -131.3 28.9 -131.3 Analysis Plot 20141005 014812 -930.0 N/A N/A 311.08 1277.7 100.0 TRMM 29.1 -131.6 29.1 -131.6 28.9 -131.3 Analysis Plot 20141005 032600 14.5 N/A 11.0% 99.99 14.52 100.0 TRMM 29.4 -131.9 29.6 -131.6 29.6 -131.6 Analysis Plot 20141005 073800 41.4 >65 kts 100.0% 88.88 26.40 90.0 SSMI16 30.5 -132.2 30.2 -132.3 30.2 -132.3 Analysis Plot 20141005 081500 -930.0 N/A N/A 111.10 1274.8 90.0 SSMI17 31.0 -132.8 30.5 -132.6 30.5 -132.6 Analysis Plot 20141005 200400 28.0 >65 kts 87.7% 44.44 13.02 80.0 SSMI16 33.6 -136.9 33.6 -136.9 34.1 -136.7 Analysis Plot 20141005 204100 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 80.0 SSMI17 33.8 -137.3 33.8 -137.3 34.0 -137.4 Analysis Plot 20141005 230600 -930.0 N/A N/A 333.30 1278.3 80.0 SSMI18 34.5 -138.8 34.5 -138.8 33.6 -136.9 Analysis Plot 20141006 022925 1.3 N/A N/A 22.22 1.26 70.0 TRMM 35.4 -139.8 35.4 -139.8 36.2 -140.2 Analysis Plot 20141006 040711 7.2 N/A N/A 88.88 7.19 70.0 TRMM 35.9 -140.9 35.9 -140.9 36.7 -141.8 Analysis Plot 20141006 080200 4.1 N/A N/A 211.09 4.07 70.0 SSMI17 37.3 -143.9 37.3 -143.9 38.0 -143.8 Analysis Plot 20141006 202500 2.2 N/A N/A 144.43 2.17 70.0 SSMI17 40.6 -153.6 40.6 -153.6 40.3 -154.0 Analysis Plot |
Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |