Tropical Storm 18W


Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 8.2.1
 

         Overpass     Inten           Ring    Ring          Wind           Forecast        Final        Target  
       Date    Time   Score  Meaning   Pct    Diam  BTdiff   Est   Sat    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon              
     20140928 181800  -11.0      N/A  61.6%  55.55   11.02  25.0 SSMI16  12.5 -153.2   12.5 -153.2   12.1 -153.4 Analysis Plot     
     20140928 211500   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  25.0 SSMI18  12.8 -152.7   12.8 -152.7   12.6 -153.0 Analysis Plot     
     20140929 074600   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  35.0 SSMI17  13.3 -150.8   13.3 -150.8   13.1 -150.8 Analysis Plot     
     20140929 110152   -4.2      N/A  11.0%  55.55    4.16  35.0   TRMM  13.7 -150.2   13.7 -150.2   13.6 -150.6 Analysis Plot     
     20140929 202300 -930.0      N/A   N/A  311.08  1277.1  45.0 SSMI17  14.4 -149.0   14.4 -149.0   15.4 -149.3 Analysis Plot     
     20140930 015138   -0.0      N/A  20.5%  55.55     .01  45.0   TRMM  15.5 -148.1   15.5 -148.1   15.9 -148.1 Analysis Plot     
     20140930 073500   -1.9      N/A   5.5% 133.32    1.91  40.0 SSMI17  16.7 -147.0   16.7 -147.0   16.1 -147.3 Analysis Plot     
     20140930 095600   -4.6      N/A  24.7% 122.21    4.58  40.0 SSMI18  16.9 -146.6   16.9 -146.6   16.3 -146.4 Analysis Plot     
     20140930 095600   -4.6      N/A  24.7% 122.21    4.58  40.0 SSMI18  16.9 -146.6   16.9 -146.6   16.3 -146.4 Analysis Plot     
     20140930 193200   -8.3      N/A  67.1%  22.22    8.28  50.0 SSMI16  16.7 -144.1   16.7 -144.1   16.6 -143.9 Analysis Plot     
     20140930 201000   -5.2      N/A  57.5%  22.22    5.19  50.0 SSMI17  16.7 -144.0   16.7 -144.0   16.5 -144.0 Analysis Plot     
     20140930 223100   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  50.0 SSMI18  16.7 -143.6   16.8 -143.7   16.8 -143.7 Analysis Plot     
     20141001 022926 -930.0      N/A   N/A  311.08  1278.1  65.0   TRMM  16.8 -143.1   17.4 -143.2   17.4 -143.2 Analysis Plot     
     20141001 104000   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  65.0   TRMM  18.3 -141.7   18.4 -141.5   18.4 -141.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141001 191800    8.8      N/A  60.3% 177.76    8.79  75.0 SSMI16  19.1 -140.0   19.1 -139.9   19.1 -139.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141001 221800    9.7      N/A  42.5% 177.76    9.67  75.0 SSMI18  19.4 -139.4   19.3 -139.3   19.3 -139.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141002 085000   36.3  >65 kts 100.0% 144.43   21.34 115.0 SSMI17  20.0 -137.9   20.1 -137.6   20.1 -137.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141002 094015   38.9  >65 kts 100.0% 155.54   23.94 115.0   TRMM  20.2 -137.7   20.2 -137.6   20.2 -137.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141002 175627 -930.0      N/A   N/A  333.30  1276.8 110.0 SSMI15  21.3 -136.8   21.3 -136.8   21.2 -136.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141002 212200   53.8  >65 kts 100.0% 122.21   38.78 110.0 SSMI17  22.2 -135.8   22.0 -135.7   22.0 -135.7 Analysis Plot     
     20141003 020859   46.7  >65 kts 100.0% 111.10   31.67 110.0   TRMM  22.6 -135.3   22.6 -135.3   22.6 -135.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141003 084004 -930.0      N/A   N/A   99.99  1284.3 110.0   TRMM  23.6 -134.4   23.6 -134.5   23.6 -134.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141003 110300   58.5  >65 kts 100.0%  99.99   43.48 110.0 SSMI18  24.0 -134.1   23.9 -134.0   23.9 -134.0 Analysis Plot     
     20141003 203300   60.3  >85 kts 100.0% 122.21   45.28 115.0 SSMI16  25.2 -133.2   25.1 -133.0   25.1 -133.0 Analysis Plot     
     20141003 210900   64.4  >85 kts 100.0% 122.21   49.43 115.0 SSMI17  25.3 -133.2   25.2 -133.1   25.2 -133.1 Analysis Plot     
     20141003 233300 -930.0      N/A   N/A  133.32  1272.7 115.0 SSMI18  25.6 -133.0   26.3 -133.6   26.3 -133.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141004 024728   26.3  >65 kts  38.4% 133.32   26.25 130.0   TRMM  26.2 -132.7   25.9 -132.6   25.9 -132.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141004 082700   51.6  >65 kts 100.0% 211.09   36.59 120.0 SSMI17  26.7 -132.2   26.5 -132.3   26.5 -132.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141004 105100    7.1      N/A  16.4% 111.10    7.12 120.0 SSMI18  27.1 -132.2   26.8 -131.9   26.8 -131.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141004 201800   42.0  >65 kts 100.0% 222.20   27.00 110.0 SSMI16  28.6 -131.8   28.4 -131.3   28.4 -131.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141004 232000   60.8  >85 kts 100.0% 222.20   45.81 110.0 SSMI18  29.2 -132.0   28.9 -131.3   28.9 -131.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141005 014812 -930.0      N/A   N/A  311.08  1277.7 100.0   TRMM  29.1 -131.6   29.1 -131.6   28.9 -131.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141005 032600   14.5      N/A  11.0%  99.99   14.52 100.0   TRMM  29.4 -131.9   29.6 -131.6   29.6 -131.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141005 073800   41.4  >65 kts 100.0%  88.88   26.40  90.0 SSMI16  30.5 -132.2   30.2 -132.3   30.2 -132.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141005 081500 -930.0      N/A   N/A  111.10  1274.8  90.0 SSMI17  31.0 -132.8   30.5 -132.6   30.5 -132.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141005 200400   28.0  >65 kts  87.7%  44.44   13.02  80.0 SSMI16  33.6 -136.9   33.6 -136.9   34.1 -136.7 Analysis Plot     
     20141005 204100   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  80.0 SSMI17  33.8 -137.3   33.8 -137.3   34.0 -137.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141005 230600 -930.0      N/A   N/A  333.30  1278.3  80.0 SSMI18  34.5 -138.8   34.5 -138.8   33.6 -136.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141006 022925    1.3      N/A   N/A   22.22    1.26  70.0   TRMM  35.4 -139.8   35.4 -139.8   36.2 -140.2 Analysis Plot     
     20141006 040711    7.2      N/A   N/A   88.88    7.19  70.0   TRMM  35.9 -140.9   35.9 -140.9   36.7 -141.8 Analysis Plot     
     20141006 080200    4.1      N/A   N/A  211.09    4.07  70.0 SSMI17  37.3 -143.9   37.3 -143.9   38.0 -143.8 Analysis Plot     
     20141006 202500    2.2      N/A   N/A  144.43    2.17  70.0 SSMI17  40.6 -153.6   40.6 -153.6   40.3 -154.0 Analysis Plot     
 
 
Legend:

  - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position.

  - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere.

  - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km).

  - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater.
  - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85.

  - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall.

  - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs.

  - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data.