Tropical Storm 19W


Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 8.2.1
 

         Overpass     Inten           Ring    Ring          Wind           Forecast        Final        Target  
       Date    Time   Score  Meaning   Pct    Diam  BTdiff   Est   Sat    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon              
     20141002 225734   -7.3      N/A   N/A   44.44    7.26  30.0   TRMM   8.1 -159.9    8.1 -159.9    8.7 -159.7 Analysis Plot     
     20141003 061600   -5.4      N/A  38.4% 122.21    5.36  35.0 SSMI16   8.5 -158.6    8.5 -158.6    8.4 -158.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141003 065400 -930.0      N/A   N/A  111.10  1268.4  35.0 SSMI17   8.6 -158.5    8.6 -158.5    8.6 -158.7 Analysis Plot     
     20141003 091600  -30.9      N/A  91.8% 122.21   15.91  35.0 SSMI18   8.6 -158.1    8.6 -158.1    8.7 -157.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141003 193100  -29.5      N/A  89.0% 188.87   14.55  45.0 SSMI17   9.3 -156.0    9.7 -156.1    9.7 -156.1 Analysis Plot     
     20141003 215700  -37.6      N/A 100.0%  55.55   22.59  45.0 SSMI18   9.5 -155.6    9.8 -155.4    9.8 -155.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141004 060300   44.9  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   29.92  55.0 SSMI16  10.2 -154.1   10.2 -154.1   10.5 -154.2 Analysis Plot     
     20141004 090500    6.9      N/A  65.8%  66.66    6.94  65.0 SSMI18  10.7 -153.4   10.7 -153.4   10.9 -153.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141004 092440 -930.0      N/A   N/A   99.99  1277.4  65.0   TRMM  10.7 -153.2   10.7 -153.2   11.0 -153.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141004 184100   12.0      N/A  67.1%  22.22   11.95  65.0 SSMI16  12.0 -151.4   12.1 -151.3   12.1 -151.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141004 214300   63.0  >85 kts 100.0%  33.33   48.01  65.0 SSMI18  12.3 -150.7   12.3 -150.5   12.3 -150.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141004 223530 -930.0      N/A   N/A  244.42  1279.3  65.0   TRMM  12.3 -150.6   12.3 -150.6   11.7 -150.8 Analysis Plot     
     20141005 082431    0.4      N/A  38.4%  55.55     .38  90.0   TRMM  13.6 -147.3   13.5 -147.5   13.5 -147.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141005 204500   36.3  >65 kts 100.0% 111.10   21.27  90.0 SSMI17  14.7 -144.3   14.7 -144.2   14.7 -144.2 Analysis Plot     
     20141005 231324    2.3      N/A   1.4%  33.33    2.25  90.0   TRMM  15.0 -143.5   15.1 -143.3   15.1 -143.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141006 072439   16.8      N/A  53.4% 111.10   16.81  80.0 SSMI15  15.5 -141.9   15.8 -141.5   15.8 -141.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141006 075800   17.8      N/A  40.9%  66.66   17.81  90.0 SSMI17  16.0 -141.3   16.1 -141.1   16.1 -141.1 Analysis Plot     
     20141006 182930   36.1  >65 kts 100.0%  99.99   21.12  90.0 SSMI15  17.0 -138.1   16.8 -138.0   16.8 -138.0 Analysis Plot     
     20141006 195500   47.4  >65 kts 100.0%  66.66   32.37  90.0 SSMI16  16.8 -137.5   16.9 -137.6   16.9 -137.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141006 203300   57.2  >65 kts 100.0%  66.66   42.18  90.0 SSMI17  16.8 -137.3   16.9 -137.4   16.9 -137.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141006 225800   70.4  >85 kts 100.0%  66.66   55.39  90.0 SSMI18  16.9 -136.8   17.0 -136.7   17.0 -136.7 Analysis Plot     
     20141006 235032   65.3  >85 kts 100.0%  55.55   50.33  90.0   TRMM  16.9 -136.7   17.0 -136.5   17.0 -136.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141007 064222   85.1  >85 kts 100.0%  55.55   70.08 100.0 SSMI15  17.2 -135.5   17.2 -135.4   17.2 -135.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141007 070800   87.5  >85 kts 100.0%  55.55   72.53 120.0 SSMI16  17.3 -135.1   17.2 -135.1   17.2 -135.1 Analysis Plot     
     20141007 080052   92.1  >85 kts 100.0%  55.55   77.14 120.0   TRMM  17.4 -134.9   17.2 -134.9   17.2 -134.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141007 101200   92.6  >85 kts 100.0%  55.55   77.58 120.0 SSMI18  17.4 -134.6   17.3 -134.5   17.3 -134.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141007 182245   92.3  >85 kts 100.0%  55.55   77.26 135.0 SSMI15  17.6 -133.1   17.7 -133.1   17.7 -133.1 Analysis Plot     
     20141007 194300   90.4  >85 kts 100.0%  55.55   75.40 155.0 SSMI16  17.7 -133.0   17.8 -132.9   17.8 -132.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141007 225018 -930.0      N/A   N/A  288.86  1276.3 155.0   TRMM  17.8 -132.7   17.8 -132.7   17.4 -132.7 Analysis Plot     
     20141008 091200   87.5  >85 kts 100.0%  55.55   72.51 145.0 SSMI17  18.4 -131.2   18.2 -131.2   18.2 -131.2 Analysis Plot     
     20141008 214600   81.4  >85 kts 100.0%  55.55   66.38 145.0 SSMI17  18.9 -130.1   19.1 -130.3   19.1 -130.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141008 232845   76.9  >85 kts 100.0%  55.55   61.95 145.0   TRMM  19.1 -130.0   19.2 -130.2   19.2 -130.2 Analysis Plot     
     20141009 080948 -930.0      N/A   N/A  277.75  1275.2 145.0 SSMI15  19.5 -129.6   19.5 -129.6   19.9 -129.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141009 090000   66.0  >85 kts 100.0%  55.55   51.02 135.0 SSMI17  20.0 -129.7   19.9 -129.7   19.9 -129.7 Analysis Plot     
     20141009 213200   41.8  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   26.78 130.0 SSMI17  21.3 -129.4   21.2 -129.4   21.2 -129.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141009 222916 -930.0      N/A   N/A  311.08  1282.0 130.0   TRMM  21.3 -129.4   21.3 -129.4   21.4 -129.2 Analysis Plot     
     20141010 083048   17.9      N/A  60.3% 255.53   17.86 125.0 SSMI15  22.2 -129.4   22.3 -129.4   22.3 -129.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141010 084800   35.3  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   20.29 120.0 SSMI17  22.6 -129.3   22.7 -129.5   22.7 -129.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141010 111800   13.6      N/A  24.7%  33.33   13.56 115.0 SSMI18  23.1 -129.3   22.9 -129.2   22.9 -129.2 Analysis Plot     
     20141010 204300    2.8      N/A  32.9%  55.55    2.79 110.0 SSMI16  24.2 -128.8   24.0 -128.8   24.0 -128.8 Analysis Plot     
     20141010 211900    5.4      N/A  34.2% 199.98    5.39 110.0 SSMI17  24.3 -128.8   24.1 -128.9   24.1 -128.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141010 230816    8.4      N/A  13.7%  44.44    8.44 110.0   TRMM  24.4 -128.7   24.3 -128.8   24.3 -128.8 Analysis Plot     
     20141011 053921    0.8      N/A  16.4%  99.99     .80 100.0   TRMM  25.1 -128.5   24.9 -128.6   24.9 -128.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141011 074002   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00 100.0 SSMI15  25.1 -128.5   25.3 -128.5   25.3 -128.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141011 080000    7.2      N/A  63.0%  11.11    7.20  85.0 SSMI16  25.4 -128.6   25.4 -128.4   25.4 -128.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141011 083700 -930.0      N/A   N/A   11.11  1224.3  85.0 SSMI17  25.7 -128.5   25.7 -128.7   25.7 -128.7 Analysis Plot     
     20141011 185048 -930.0      N/A   N/A  299.97  1284.9  65.0 SSMI15  27.1 -128.0   27.1 -128.0   26.6 -129.0 Analysis Plot     
     20141011 202800    3.1      N/A   2.7% 177.76    3.09  65.0 SSMI16  27.4 -128.0   27.4 -128.0   27.1 -127.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141011 233500    0.8      N/A   N/A  188.87     .82  65.0 SSMI18  27.8 -127.9   27.8 -127.9   27.5 -127.0 Analysis Plot     
     20141012 043928 -930.0      N/A   N/A  333.30  1286.4  60.0   TRMM  28.7 -127.7   28.7 -127.7   28.0 -127.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141012 072740 -930.0      N/A   N/A  333.30  1286.5  60.0 SSMI15  28.6 -127.7   28.6 -127.7   28.2 -127.1 Analysis Plot     
     20141012 074700    1.5      N/A  13.7% 211.09    1.51  60.0 SSMI16  29.1 -127.3   29.1 -127.3   28.8 -127.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141012 105400 -930.0      N/A   N/A  311.08  1281.3  60.0 SSMI18  29.6 -127.7   29.6 -127.7   29.0 -128.7 Analysis Plot     
     20141012 201500    2.0      N/A  11.0% 177.76    1.99  55.0 SSMI16  31.1 -129.4   31.1 -129.4   30.8 -130.1 Analysis Plot     
     20141012 224754    4.2      N/A  12.3% 166.65    4.18  55.0   TRMM  31.5 -129.9   31.5 -129.9   31.1 -130.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141012 232200 -930.0      N/A   N/A  244.42  1280.7  55.0 SSMI18  31.7 -130.3   31.7 -130.3   31.3 -130.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141013 002515 -930.0      N/A   N/A  188.87  1287.0  55.0   TRMM  31.8 -130.4   31.8 -130.4   31.4 -131.8 Analysis Plot     
     20141013 020303   -1.0      N/A  13.7% 144.43    1.01  50.0   TRMM  31.8 -131.0   31.8 -131.0   32.5 -130.8 Analysis Plot     
     20141013 034013 -930.0      N/A   N/A   77.77  1287.4  50.0   TRMM  32.1 -131.6   32.1 -131.6   32.1 -131.2 Analysis Plot     
     20141013 065737   -1.8      N/A   N/A   55.55    1.81  50.0 SSMI15  32.5 -132.3   32.5 -132.3   32.1 -132.2 Analysis Plot     
     20141013 073600   -2.8      N/A   5.5% 333.30    2.81  45.0 SSMI16  33.3 -133.2   33.3 -133.2   32.8 -133.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141013 081200 -930.0      N/A   N/A  333.30  1280.7  45.0 SSMI17  33.8 -134.1   33.8 -134.1   33.1 -134.0 Analysis Plot     
     20141013 182136 -930.0      N/A   N/A  333.30  1283.0  35.0 SSMI15  36.6 -139.2   36.6 -139.2   35.9 -139.2 Analysis Plot     
     20141013 195900 -930.0      N/A   N/A  266.64  1280.3  35.0 SSMI16  37.3 -140.4   37.3 -140.4   36.8 -139.7 Analysis Plot     
     20141013 203600 -930.0      N/A   N/A  322.19  1282.0  35.0 SSMI17  37.5 -140.7   37.5 -140.7   37.7 -140.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141013 230800   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  35.0 SSMI18  38.3 -142.0   38.3 -142.0   37.6 -141.8 Analysis Plot     
     20141014 054400 -930.0      N/A   N/A  188.87  1273.4  35.0 SSMI16  41.0 -145.8   41.0 -145.8   40.6 -145.7 Analysis Plot     
     20141014 080000   -5.0      N/A   N/A   77.77    5.03  35.0 SSMI17  41.7 -147.0   41.7 -147.0   41.1 -147.1 Analysis Plot     
     20141014 085200   -4.5      N/A   N/A  111.10    4.51  35.0 SSMI18  41.9 -147.4   41.9 -147.4   41.2 -147.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141014 175426   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  35.0 SSMI15  45.3 -153.2   45.3 -153.2   44.9 -153.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141014 194500 -930.0      N/A   N/A  211.09  1266.4  35.0 SSMI16  46.1 -154.6   46.1 -154.6   45.7 -153.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141014 201900 -930.0      N/A   N/A  322.19  1269.2  35.0 SSMI17  46.3 -155.1   46.3 -155.1   46.4 -155.1 Analysis Plot     
     20141014 211200 -930.0      N/A   N/A  311.08  1268.2  35.0 SSMI18  46.6 -155.6   46.6 -155.6   46.7 -156.2 Analysis Plot     
 
 
Legend:

  - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position.

  - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere.

  - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km).

  - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater.
  - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85.

  - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall.

  - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs.

  - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data.