Tropical Depression 21E
Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon 20141030 111900 -3.0 N/A 15.1% 155.54 3.02 30.0 SSMI16 11.0 100.4 11.0 100.4 11.4 100.9 Analysis Plot 20141030 143800 -0.6 N/A 5.5% 155.54 .63 30.0 SSMI18 11.5 100.9 11.5 100.9 11.3 101.5 Analysis Plot 20141031 004300 -930.0 N/A N/A 222.20 1263.9 35.0 SSMI17 10.9 101.2 10.9 101.2 11.6 101.8 Analysis Plot 20141031 014900 -930.0 N/A N/A 211.09 1267.6 35.0 SSMI18 10.8 101.3 10.8 101.3 10.6 101.4 Analysis Plot 20141031 014900 -930.0 N/A N/A 211.09 1267.7 40.0 SSMI18 10.8 101.3 10.8 101.3 10.7 101.4 Analysis Plot 20141031 101110 -2.3 N/A 2.7% 33.33 2.34 40.0 SSMI15 10.4 101.1 10.4 101.1 10.8 100.4 Analysis Plot 20141031 110600 -0.9 N/A 2.7% 55.55 .94 40.0 SSMI16 10.4 101.2 10.4 101.2 10.3 100.8 Analysis Plot 20141031 132200 -930.0 N/A N/A 66.66 1270.7 40.0 SSMI17 10.1 100.7 10.1 100.7 10.4 100.6 Analysis Plot 20141031 142600 -3.4 N/A 21.9% 55.55 3.45 40.0 SSMI18 10.1 100.8 10.1 100.8 10.3 100.6 Analysis Plot 20141101 003000 -2.6 N/A N/A 22.22 2.61 40.0 SSMI17 9.4 101.7 9.4 101.7 9.4 101.6 Analysis Plot 20141101 130800 -3.8 N/A 20.5% 22.22 3.75 35.0 SSMI17 9.5 103.0 9.5 103.0 9.6 102.9 Analysis Plot 20141101 141500 -0.7 N/A N/A 22.22 .67 35.0 SSMI18 9.6 103.1 9.6 103.1 9.7 102.9 Analysis Plot 20141101 234300 -7.9 N/A 74.0% 33.33 7.87 40.0 SSMI16 10.3 104.8 10.1 104.8 10.1 104.8 Analysis Plot 20141101 234300 -8.4 N/A 80.8% 33.33 8.41 40.0 SSMI16 10.4 105.1 10.1 104.8 10.1 104.8 Analysis Plot 20141102 030500 -930.0 N/A N/A 66.66 1246.6 45.0 SSMI18 10.1 105.3 10.1 105.3 10.5 105.3 Analysis Plot 20141102 030500 -9.4 N/A 78.1% 44.44 9.41 45.0 SSMI18 10.3 105.6 10.3 105.6 10.5 105.3 Analysis Plot 20141102 122200 17.2 N/A 93.2% 22.22 2.19 70.0 SSMI16 11.6 107.1 11.5 107.2 11.5 107.2 Analysis Plot 20141102 220619 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 75.0 SSMI15 13.1 108.9 13.0 109.1 13.0 109.1 Analysis Plot 20141102 233100 23.1 >65 kts 100.0% 11.11 8.11 75.0 SSMI16 13.1 108.9 13.0 109.2 13.0 109.2 Analysis Plot 20141103 025300 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 90.0 SSMI18 13.5 109.5 13.4 109.8 13.4 109.8 Analysis Plot 20141103 025300 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 90.0 SSMI18 13.8 109.7 13.4 109.4 13.4 109.4 Analysis Plot 20141103 120700 43.5 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 28.46 90.0 SSMI16 15.1 110.5 14.9 110.5 14.9 110.5 Analysis Plot 20141103 232000 1.8 N/A 43.8% 88.88 1.77 95.0 SSMI16 16.6 110.8 16.6 110.5 16.6 110.5 Analysis Plot 20141104 013300 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 95.0 SSMI17 17.0 110.7 16.9 110.1 16.9 110.1 Analysis Plot 20141104 104333 4.6 N/A N/A 33.33 4.56 90.0 SSMI15 18.7 109.8 18.2 109.7 18.2 109.7 Analysis Plot 20141104 115300 -930.0 N/A N/A 177.76 1272.8 90.0 SSMI16 18.9 109.7 18.9 109.7 18.0 109.6 Analysis Plot 20141104 140900 -930.0 N/A N/A 222.20 1269.5 85.0 SSMI17 19.2 109.6 19.2 109.6 19.4 109.6 Analysis Plot 20141104 151600 5.2 N/A 12.3% 111.10 5.21 85.0 SSMI18 19.4 109.5 19.4 109.5 19.5 109.3 Analysis Plot 20141104 230800 3.0 N/A N/A 22.22 3.03 60.0 SSMI16 20.9 108.3 20.9 108.3 20.6 108.5 Analysis Plot 20141105 012100 4.5 N/A N/A 88.88 4.50 60.0 SSMI17 21.1 108.3 21.1 108.3 20.7 108.3 Analysis Plot 20141105 023000 -3.1 N/A N/A 66.66 3.10 45.0 SSMI18 21.2 108.1 21.2 108.1 20.8 108.0 Analysis Plot 20141105 102644 -7.1 N/A N/A 66.66 7.10 30.0 SSMI15 22.1 106.6 22.1 106.6 22.3 106.3 Analysis Plot 20141105 113900 -930.0 N/A N/A 166.65 1280.7 30.0 SSMI16 22.3 106.4 22.3 106.4 22.6 105.1 Analysis Plot 20141105 135400 -930.0 N/A N/A 99.99 1280.3 30.0 SSMI17 22.6 105.8 22.6 105.8 22.8 105.4 Analysis Plot 20141105 150200 -7.8 N/A N/A 66.66 7.81 30.0 SSMI18 22.7 105.7 22.7 105.7 22.7 105.4 Analysis Plot 20141105 225500 -3.1 N/A N/A 22.22 3.07 30.0 SSMI16 23.1 105.0 23.1 105.0 22.4 104.4 Analysis Plot |
Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |