Tropical Depression 21E


Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 8.2.1
 

         Overpass     Inten           Ring    Ring          Wind           Forecast        Final        Target  
       Date    Time   Score  Meaning   Pct    Diam  BTdiff   Est   Sat    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon              
     20141030 111900   -3.0      N/A  15.1% 155.54    3.02  30.0 SSMI16  11.0  100.4   11.0  100.4   11.4  100.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141030 143800   -0.6      N/A   5.5% 155.54     .63  30.0 SSMI18  11.5  100.9   11.5  100.9   11.3  101.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141031 004300 -930.0      N/A   N/A  222.20  1263.9  35.0 SSMI17  10.9  101.2   10.9  101.2   11.6  101.8 Analysis Plot     
     20141031 014900 -930.0      N/A   N/A  211.09  1267.6  35.0 SSMI18  10.8  101.3   10.8  101.3   10.6  101.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141031 014900 -930.0      N/A   N/A  211.09  1267.7  40.0 SSMI18  10.8  101.3   10.8  101.3   10.7  101.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141031 101110   -2.3      N/A   2.7%  33.33    2.34  40.0 SSMI15  10.4  101.1   10.4  101.1   10.8  100.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141031 110600   -0.9      N/A   2.7%  55.55     .94  40.0 SSMI16  10.4  101.2   10.4  101.2   10.3  100.8 Analysis Plot     
     20141031 132200 -930.0      N/A   N/A   66.66  1270.7  40.0 SSMI17  10.1  100.7   10.1  100.7   10.4  100.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141031 142600   -3.4      N/A  21.9%  55.55    3.45  40.0 SSMI18  10.1  100.8   10.1  100.8   10.3  100.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141101 003000   -2.6      N/A   N/A   22.22    2.61  40.0 SSMI17   9.4  101.7    9.4  101.7    9.4  101.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141101 130800   -3.8      N/A  20.5%  22.22    3.75  35.0 SSMI17   9.5  103.0    9.5  103.0    9.6  102.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141101 141500   -0.7      N/A   N/A   22.22     .67  35.0 SSMI18   9.6  103.1    9.6  103.1    9.7  102.9 Analysis Plot     
     20141101 234300   -7.9      N/A  74.0%  33.33    7.87  40.0 SSMI16  10.3  104.8   10.1  104.8   10.1  104.8 Analysis Plot     
     20141101 234300   -8.4      N/A  80.8%  33.33    8.41  40.0 SSMI16  10.4  105.1   10.1  104.8   10.1  104.8 Analysis Plot     
     20141102 030500 -930.0      N/A   N/A   66.66  1246.6  45.0 SSMI18  10.1  105.3   10.1  105.3   10.5  105.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141102 030500   -9.4      N/A  78.1%  44.44    9.41  45.0 SSMI18  10.3  105.6   10.3  105.6   10.5  105.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141102 122200   17.2      N/A  93.2%  22.22    2.19  70.0 SSMI16  11.6  107.1   11.5  107.2   11.5  107.2 Analysis Plot     
     20141102 220619   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  75.0 SSMI15  13.1  108.9   13.0  109.1   13.0  109.1 Analysis Plot     
     20141102 233100   23.1  >65 kts 100.0%  11.11    8.11  75.0 SSMI16  13.1  108.9   13.0  109.2   13.0  109.2 Analysis Plot     
     20141103 025300   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  90.0 SSMI18  13.5  109.5   13.4  109.8   13.4  109.8 Analysis Plot     
     20141103 025300   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  90.0 SSMI18  13.8  109.7   13.4  109.4   13.4  109.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141103 120700   43.5  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   28.46  90.0 SSMI16  15.1  110.5   14.9  110.5   14.9  110.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141103 232000    1.8      N/A  43.8%  88.88    1.77  95.0 SSMI16  16.6  110.8   16.6  110.5   16.6  110.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141104 013300   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  95.0 SSMI17  17.0  110.7   16.9  110.1   16.9  110.1 Analysis Plot     
     20141104 104333    4.6      N/A   N/A   33.33    4.56  90.0 SSMI15  18.7  109.8   18.2  109.7   18.2  109.7 Analysis Plot     
     20141104 115300 -930.0      N/A   N/A  177.76  1272.8  90.0 SSMI16  18.9  109.7   18.9  109.7   18.0  109.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141104 140900 -930.0      N/A   N/A  222.20  1269.5  85.0 SSMI17  19.2  109.6   19.2  109.6   19.4  109.6 Analysis Plot     
     20141104 151600    5.2      N/A  12.3% 111.10    5.21  85.0 SSMI18  19.4  109.5   19.4  109.5   19.5  109.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141104 230800    3.0      N/A   N/A   22.22    3.03  60.0 SSMI16  20.9  108.3   20.9  108.3   20.6  108.5 Analysis Plot     
     20141105 012100    4.5      N/A   N/A   88.88    4.50  60.0 SSMI17  21.1  108.3   21.1  108.3   20.7  108.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141105 023000   -3.1      N/A   N/A   66.66    3.10  45.0 SSMI18  21.2  108.1   21.2  108.1   20.8  108.0 Analysis Plot     
     20141105 102644   -7.1      N/A   N/A   66.66    7.10  30.0 SSMI15  22.1  106.6   22.1  106.6   22.3  106.3 Analysis Plot     
     20141105 113900 -930.0      N/A   N/A  166.65  1280.7  30.0 SSMI16  22.3  106.4   22.3  106.4   22.6  105.1 Analysis Plot     
     20141105 135400 -930.0      N/A   N/A   99.99  1280.3  30.0 SSMI17  22.6  105.8   22.6  105.8   22.8  105.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141105 150200   -7.8      N/A   N/A   66.66    7.81  30.0 SSMI18  22.7  105.7   22.7  105.7   22.7  105.4 Analysis Plot     
     20141105 225500   -3.1      N/A   N/A   22.22    3.07  30.0 SSMI16  23.1  105.0   23.1  105.0   22.4  104.4 Analysis Plot     
 
 
Legend:

  - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position.

  - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere.

  - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km).

  - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater.
  - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85.

  - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall.

  - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs.

  - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data.