Tropical Storm 21S


Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 8.1.5
 

         Overpass     Inten           Ring    Ring          Wind           Forecast        Final        Target  
       Date    Time   Score  Meaning   Pct    Diam  BTdiff   Est   Sat    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon              
     20140328 234325   -2.3      N/A  16.9% 188.87    2.30  35.0 SSMI15 -13.2  -42.6  -13.2  -42.6  -12.4  -42.5 Analysis Plot     
     20140329 021600  -30.3      N/A  86.3%  66.66   15.25  35.0 SSMI16 -13.3  -42.8  -12.9  -42.5  -12.9  -42.5 Analysis Plot     
     20140329 031000   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  35.0 SSMI17 -13.3  -42.8  -13.3  -42.8  -12.0  -43.0 Analysis Plot     
     20140329 034853   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  35.0   TRMM -13.4  -42.8  -13.0  -42.7  -13.0  -42.7 Analysis Plot     
     20140329 044500   -6.2      N/A  71.2%  33.33    6.24  35.0 SSMI18 -13.4  -42.9  -13.4  -42.9  -12.6  -42.8 Analysis Plot     
     20140329 120254   -3.6      N/A  28.8%  55.55    3.65  45.0 SSMI15 -13.4  -43.2  -13.4  -43.2  -13.1  -43.3 Analysis Plot     
     20140329 172300  -45.9      N/A 100.0%  33.33   30.86  45.0 SSMI18 -13.7  -43.4  -13.5  -43.6  -13.5  -43.6 Analysis Plot     
     20140329 184031  -42.7      N/A 100.0%  33.33   27.74  45.0   TRMM -13.8  -43.5  -13.8  -43.8  -13.8  -43.8 Analysis Plot     
     20140330 020300   81.5  >85 kts 100.0%  22.22   66.49  90.0 SSMI16 -14.2  -44.0  -14.2  -44.0  -14.2  -44.0 Analysis Plot     
     20140330 025700   80.5  >85 kts 100.0%  33.33   65.53  90.0 SSMI17 -14.2  -44.0  -14.2  -44.1  -14.2  -44.1 Analysis Plot     
     20140330 043400   76.4  >85 kts 100.0%  22.22   61.43  90.0 SSMI18 -14.3  -44.1  -14.3  -44.3  -14.3  -44.3 Analysis Plot     
     20140330 153400   51.1  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   36.13 130.0 SSMI17 -14.9  -44.7  -14.9  -44.9  -14.9  -44.9 Analysis Plot     
     20140330 171000   55.9  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22   40.89 130.0 SSMI18 -15.0  -44.8  -15.1  -45.0  -15.1  -45.0 Analysis Plot     
     20140330 174532   61.3  >85 kts 100.0%  22.22   46.30 130.0   TRMM -15.1  -44.8  -15.1  -45.1  -15.1  -45.1 Analysis Plot     
     20140331 015000   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00 125.0 SSMI16 -15.4  -45.5  -15.6  -45.6  -15.6  -45.6 Analysis Plot     
     20140331 024400    0.3      N/A   8.2% 199.98     .34 125.0 SSMI17 -15.4  -45.5  -15.6  -45.6  -15.6  -45.6 Analysis Plot     
     20140331 042200   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00 125.0 SSMI18 -15.5  -45.6  -16.3  -45.7  -16.3  -45.7 Analysis Plot     
     20140331 142600 -930.0      N/A   N/A  222.20  1282.5  85.0 SSMI16 -16.3  -45.8  -16.8  -46.4  -16.8  -46.4 Analysis Plot     
     20140331 152000    2.1      N/A   N/A   88.88    2.10  85.0 SSMI17 -16.3  -45.8  -15.8  -45.8  -15.8  -45.8 Analysis Plot     
     20140331 165700    3.3      N/A   6.8% 133.32    3.28  85.0 SSMI18 -16.4  -45.8  -16.7  -46.0  -16.7  -46.0 Analysis Plot     
     20140401 013800 -930.0      N/A   N/A  199.98  1276.1  45.0 SSMI16 -17.1  -46.0  -17.1  -46.0  -18.1  -46.1 Analysis Plot     
     20140401 023200   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  45.0 SSMI17 -17.2  -46.0  -17.2  -46.0  -18.3  -46.1 Analysis Plot     
     20140401 041000   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  45.0 SSMI18 -17.3  -46.0  -17.3  -46.0  -17.2  -46.1 Analysis Plot     
 
 
Legend:

  - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position.

  - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere.

  - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km).

  - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater.
  - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85.

  - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall.

  - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs.

  - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data.