Tropical Storm 06W
Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon 20150503 220900 -7.0 N/A 50.7% 211.09 7.01 35.0 SSMI18 9.8 -140.4 9.8 -140.4 9.7 -140.8 Analysis Plot 20150504 070800 -2.0 N/A 30.1% 144.43 1.98 40.0 SSMI16 9.8 -139.9 9.8 -139.9 9.8 -140.4 Analysis Plot 20150504 090300 -2.2 N/A 28.8% 144.43 2.19 40.0 SSMI17 9.8 -139.7 9.8 -139.7 9.6 -140.3 Analysis Plot 20150504 194800 -930.0 N/A N/A 77.77 1247.7 50.0 SSMI16 9.6 -139.3 9.6 -139.3 10.1 -138.8 Analysis Plot 20150504 215700 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 50.0 SSMI18 9.6 -139.3 9.6 -139.3 9.4 -139.3 Analysis Plot 20150505 065500 36.2 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 21.22 55.0 SSMI16 9.4 -138.7 9.4 -138.7 9.3 -138.9 Analysis Plot 20150505 084900 38.9 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 23.95 55.0 SSMI17 9.5 -138.8 9.5 -138.8 9.2 -138.8 Analysis Plot 20150505 181216 1.3 N/A 58.9% 33.33 1.32 60.0 SSMI15 9.5 -138.2 9.5 -138.2 9.4 -138.1 Analysis Plot 20150505 193300 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 65.0 SSMI16 9.5 -138.0 9.5 -138.0 9.4 -137.9 Analysis Plot 20150505 212800 -930.0 N/A N/A 288.86 1272.4 65.0 SSMI17 9.5 -137.8 9.5 -137.8 9.9 -138.3 Analysis Plot 20150506 064300 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 75.0 SSMI16 9.5 -136.7 9.5 -136.8 9.5 -136.8 Analysis Plot 20150506 083700 6.4 N/A 38.4% 33.33 6.40 75.0 SSMI17 9.5 -136.4 9.8 -136.6 9.8 -136.6 Analysis Plot 20150506 103400 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 75.0 SSMI18 9.6 -136.1 9.6 -136.2 9.6 -136.2 Analysis Plot 20150506 192000 28.1 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 13.09 80.0 SSMI16 10.1 -134.9 10.4 -135.0 10.4 -135.0 Analysis Plot 20150506 211400 48.2 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 33.20 80.0 SSMI17 10.2 -134.6 10.5 -134.6 10.5 -134.6 Analysis Plot 20150507 040802 54.5 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 39.52 90.0 AMSR2 10.7 -133.6 11.1 -133.5 11.1 -133.5 Analysis Plot 20150507 210300 -930.0 N/A N/A 111.10 1266.0 100.0 SSMI17 12.3 -130.5 12.4 -131.0 12.4 -131.0 Analysis Plot 20150507 230000 5.4 N/A 61.6% 55.55 5.41 100.0 SSMI18 12.4 -130.1 12.3 -130.4 12.3 -130.4 Analysis Plot 20150508 045053 5.6 N/A 49.3% 144.43 5.61 100.0 AMSR2 12.8 -129.2 12.9 -128.7 12.9 -128.7 Analysis Plot 20150508 075800 61.3 >85 kts 100.0% 33.33 46.34 100.0 SSMI16 12.8 -128.9 12.7 -128.7 12.7 -128.7 Analysis Plot 20150508 095300 47.4 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 32.44 100.0 SSMI17 13.0 -128.5 13.1 -128.5 13.1 -128.5 Analysis Plot 20150508 131607 42.4 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 27.37 105.0 GMI 13.4 -127.8 13.3 -127.8 13.3 -127.8 Analysis Plot 20150508 190309 13.2 N/A 31.5% 33.33 13.18 105.0 SSMI15 13.8 -126.9 13.8 -127.0 13.8 -127.0 Analysis Plot 20150508 203500 51.4 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 36.35 105.0 SSMI16 14.0 -126.6 13.9 -126.7 13.9 -126.7 Analysis Plot 20150508 225000 -930.0 N/A N/A 311.08 1271.1 105.0 SSMI19 14.2 -126.3 14.2 -126.3 14.6 -126.4 Analysis Plot 20150509 023058 30.1 >65 kts 93.2% 22.22 15.05 95.0 GMI 14.6 -125.7 14.6 -125.7 14.6 -125.7 Analysis Plot 20150509 074600 62.7 >85 kts 100.0% 22.22 47.68 105.0 SSMI16 15.0 -125.1 14.9 -125.1 14.9 -125.1 Analysis Plot 20150509 094000 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 105.0 SSMI17 15.2 -124.8 15.2 -124.8 15.2 -124.8 Analysis Plot 20150509 174806 99.1 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 84.13 130.0 AMSR2 16.1 -123.8 16.1 -123.9 16.1 -123.9 Analysis Plot 20150509 202100 87.8 >85 kts 100.0% 33.33 72.84 130.0 SSMI16 16.4 -123.6 16.5 -123.7 16.5 -123.7 Analysis Plot 20150509 221500 86.9 >85 kts 100.0% 33.33 71.89 130.0 SSMI17 16.6 -123.3 16.8 -123.5 16.8 -123.5 Analysis Plot 20150510 044120 86.4 >85 kts 105.8% 33.33 71.38 140.0 AMSR2 17.6 -123.0 17.7 -122.8 17.7 -122.8 Analysis Plot 20150510 073500 80.6 >85 kts 100.0% 33.33 65.62 140.0 SSMI16 18.1 -122.6 18.0 -122.6 18.0 -122.6 Analysis Plot 20150510 092800 65.0 >85 kts 100.0% 22.22 49.96 140.0 SSMI17 18.4 -122.5 18.3 -122.6 18.3 -122.6 Analysis Plot 20150510 094800 60.1 >85 kts 100.0% 22.22 45.08 140.0 SSMI19 18.6 -122.4 18.3 -122.5 18.3 -122.5 Analysis Plot 20150510 130426 14.4 N/A 43.8% 88.88 14.40 130.0 GMI 18.8 -122.3 18.9 -122.6 18.9 -122.6 Analysis Plot 20150510 200700 67.9 >85 kts 100.0% 66.66 52.90 115.0 SSMI16 20.0 -122.5 20.2 -122.1 20.2 -122.1 Analysis Plot 20150510 220100 39.2 >65 kts 100.0% 66.66 24.22 115.0 SSMI17 20.3 -122.7 20.5 -122.1 20.5 -122.1 Analysis Plot 20150510 222100 47.1 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 32.13 115.0 SSMI19 20.4 -122.7 20.5 -122.1 20.5 -122.1 Analysis Plot 20150511 052422 9.4 N/A 23.3% 33.33 9.39 105.0 AMSR2 21.7 -122.6 21.8 -122.5 21.8 -122.5 Analysis Plot 20150511 091600 2.7 N/A N/A 88.88 2.68 95.0 SSMI17 22.6 -123.4 22.6 -123.3 22.6 -123.3 Analysis Plot 20150511 111800 3.7 N/A 34.2% 122.21 3.68 80.0 SSMI18 23.1 -123.6 23.1 -123.7 23.1 -123.7 Analysis Plot 20150511 173248 24.4 >65 kts 60.3% 111.10 24.41 70.0 AMSR2 25.4 -125.2 25.8 -125.7 25.8 -125.7 Analysis Plot 20150511 195200 36.3 >65 kts 100.0% 99.99 21.35 70.0 SSMI16 26.5 -126.6 26.9 -126.6 26.9 -126.6 Analysis Plot 20150511 220500 3.6 N/A 24.7% 33.33 3.60 70.0 SSMI19 27.3 -127.6 27.3 -127.6 27.6 -127.8 Analysis Plot 20150511 234900 -930.0 N/A N/A 333.30 1276.0 70.0 SSMI18 27.9 -128.3 27.9 -128.3 28.4 -129.2 Analysis Plot 20150512 043053 8.6 N/A 16.4% 199.98 8.65 60.0 AMSR2 29.9 -131.1 29.9 -131.1 30.0 -131.5 Analysis Plot 20150512 092800 -930.0 N/A N/A 144.43 1271.9 45.0 SSMI18 32.7 -135.2 32.7 -135.2 32.6 -136.2 Analysis Plot 20150512 175415 -0.4 N/A N/A 333.30 .36 45.0 SSMI15 37.9 -142.0 37.9 -142.0 38.1 -141.7 Analysis Plot 20150512 193400 -1.3 N/A N/A 111.10 1.26 45.0 SSMI16 39.2 -143.6 39.2 -143.6 39.3 -143.6 Analysis Plot 20150512 212800 -3.9 N/A N/A 177.76 3.89 45.0 SSMI17 40.4 -144.9 40.4 -144.9 40.1 -145.3 Analysis Plot 20150512 215100 -2.9 N/A N/A 277.75 2.91 45.0 SSMI18 40.7 -145.3 40.7 -145.3 40.7 -145.5 Analysis Plot 20150513 033957 -930.0 N/A N/A 322.19 1279.1 45.0 AMSR2 44.2 -148.8 44.2 -148.8 43.8 -149.5 Analysis Plot |
Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |