Tropical Storm 11L
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Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target
Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon
20150928 062447 -7.2 N/A 11.0% 88.88 7.21 30.0 AMSR2 27.3 68.8 27.3 68.8 27.5 68.7 Analysis Plot
20150928 110500 -5.2 N/A N/A 33.33 5.23 30.0 SSMI19 27.5 69.0 27.5 69.0 27.4 69.7 Analysis Plot
20150928 172407 -3.5 N/A N/A 33.33 3.48 30.0 AMSR2 27.9 69.8 27.9 69.8 27.5 69.8 Analysis Plot
20150928 222100 -3.4 N/A N/A 111.10 3.41 30.0 SSMI17 27.5 70.3 27.5 70.3 27.1 70.2 Analysis Plot
20150929 081831 -4.1 N/A N/A 22.22 4.08 35.0 GMI 26.6 70.6 26.6 70.6 26.6 70.5 Analysis Plot
20150929 105000 -1.8 N/A N/A 22.22 1.76 35.0 SSMI17 26.6 70.8 26.6 70.8 26.9 70.7 Analysis Plot
20150929 220800 -1.8 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 SSMI17 26.0 71.0 26.0 71.0 25.2 71.4 Analysis Plot
20150930 061333 6.9 N/A 20.5% 66.66 6.86 60.0 AMSR2 25.5 72.2 25.3 71.9 25.3 71.9 Analysis Plot
20150930 125800 6.9 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 70.0 SSMI18 24.8 72.4 24.9 72.4 24.9 72.4 Analysis Plot
20150930 233600 48.9 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 33.92 100.0 SSMI19 23.9 73.0 23.9 73.0 23.9 73.0 Analysis Plot
20151001 001400 52.9 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 37.93 100.0 SSMI18 23.9 73.0 23.8 73.1 23.8 73.1 Analysis Plot
20151001 065646 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 105.0 AMSR2 23.5 73.6 23.5 73.6 23.3 73.8 Analysis Plot
20151001 120600 62.7 >85 kts 100.0% 55.55 47.71 110.0 SSMI19 23.1 73.8 23.1 73.8 23.1 73.8 Analysis Plot
20151001 124500 66.2 >85 kts 100.0% 55.55 51.16 110.0 SSMI18 23.1 73.8 23.2 73.8 23.2 73.8 Analysis Plot
20151001 175256 66.3 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 51.30 110.0 AMSR2 22.9 74.0 23.0 74.2 23.0 74.2 Analysis Plot
20151001 193750 48.7 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 33.74 115.0 SSMI15 23.0 74.4 23.0 74.4 23.0 74.4 Analysis Plot
20151001 232100 48.7 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 115.0 SSMI19 23.0 74.5 23.0 74.5 22.5 74.5 Analysis Plot
20151001 232200 62.3 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 47.27 115.0 SSMI19 22.9 74.4 22.8 74.5 22.8 74.5 Analysis Plot
20151002 083107 64.2 >85 kts 100.0% 66.66 49.19 115.0 SSMI15 23.3 74.7 23.1 74.7 23.1 74.7 Analysis Plot
20151002 115300 65.4 >85 kts 100.0% 66.66 50.44 115.0 SSMI19 23.3 74.8 23.3 74.8 23.3 74.8 Analysis Plot
20151002 123300 71.1 >85 kts 100.0% 66.66 56.12 115.0 SSMI18 23.4 74.8 23.4 74.8 23.4 74.8 Analysis Plot
20151002 183558 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 110.0 AMSR2 23.8 74.8 23.8 74.8 23.8 74.8 Analysis Plot
20151002 192220 54.3 >65 kts 100.0% 66.66 39.30 110.0 SSMI15 24.0 74.7 23.8 74.6 23.8 74.6 Analysis Plot
20151002 230800 45.0 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 30.00 110.0 SSMI17 24.2 74.6 24.1 74.3 24.1 74.3 Analysis Plot
20151003 064346 6.6 N/A 47.9% 44.44 6.61 110.0 AMSR2 25.0 73.4 24.9 73.4 24.9 73.4 Analysis Plot
20151003 081414 41.0 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 25.98 110.0 SSMI15 25.1 73.2 25.1 73.2 25.1 73.2 Analysis Plot
20151003 113900 65.1 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 50.06 115.0 SSMI19 25.6 72.6 25.4 72.6 25.4 72.6 Analysis Plot
20151003 122000 63.2 >85 kts 100.0% 33.33 48.17 115.0 SSMI18 25.6 72.4 25.5 72.3 25.5 72.3 Analysis Plot
20151003 174118 20.5 >65 kts 53.4% 33.33 20.46 120.0 AMSR2 26.2 71.4 26.3 71.1 26.3 71.1 Analysis Plot
20151003 190532 20.5 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 130.0 SSMI15 26.8 70.7 26.5 70.8 26.5 70.8 Analysis Plot
20151003 225500 10.0 N/A 64.4% 22.22 9.99 130.0 SSMI17 27.3 70.3 27.1 69.8 27.1 69.8 Analysis Plot
20151003 225600 9.5 N/A 64.4% 22.22 9.51 130.0 SSMI19 27.6 70.0 27.2 69.7 27.2 69.7 Analysis Plot
20151003 233800 9.6 N/A 61.6% 22.22 9.59 115.0 SSMI18 27.5 69.2 27.2 69.5 27.2 69.5 Analysis Plot
20151004 075340 4.8 N/A 19.2% 144.43 4.80 105.0 SSMI15 29.5 67.8 29.2 68.2 29.2 68.2 Analysis Plot
20151004 112400 1.5 N/A 28.8% 99.99 1.46 105.0 SSMI19 30.4 67.2 30.1 67.2 30.1 67.2 Analysis Plot
20151004 120600 1.9 N/A 23.3% 177.76 1.90 100.0 SSMI18 30.5 67.0 30.1 67.0 30.1 67.0 Analysis Plot
20151004 185245 3.1 N/A 21.9% 88.88 3.14 90.0 SSMI15 32.0 66.5 31.7 66.6 31.7 66.6 Analysis Plot
20151004 224400 5.2 N/A N/A 11.11 5.20 90.0 SSMI19 32.7 66.2 32.4 66.0 32.4 66.0 Analysis Plot
20151004 232700 3.3 N/A 13.7% 166.65 3.28 80.0 SSMI18 32.6 65.8 32.4 65.8 32.4 65.8 Analysis Plot
20151005 062855 18.8 N/A 53.4% 33.33 18.77 75.0 AMSR2 33.8 65.3 33.6 65.6 33.6 65.6 Analysis Plot
20151005 111000 1.5 N/A 30.1% 55.55 1.54 75.0 SSMI19 34.5 64.9 34.3 65.1 34.3 65.1 Analysis Plot
20151005 115300 1.0 N/A 6.8% 55.55 .96 75.0 SSMI18 34.7 64.9 34.4 65.1 34.4 65.1 Analysis Plot
20151005 173045 11.8 N/A 30.1% 33.33 11.81 75.0 AMSR2 35.3 64.3 35.2 64.5 35.2 64.5 Analysis Plot
20151005 223200 14.3 N/A 46.6% 22.22 14.30 75.0 SSMI17 35.9 63.9 36.0 63.9 36.0 63.9 Analysis Plot
20151005 231500 9.9 N/A 12.3% 22.22 9.92 75.0 SSMI18 36.2 63.4 36.1 63.8 36.1 63.8 Analysis Plot
20151006 053326 15.9 N/A 20.5% 33.33 15.91 75.0 AMSR2 37.1 62.0 36.9 62.4 36.9 62.4 Analysis Plot
20151006 105400 3.7 N/A 34.2% 133.32 3.75 75.0 SSMI19 37.8 60.2 37.8 60.5 37.8 60.5 Analysis Plot
20151006 113900 7.2 N/A 11.0% 122.21 7.19 70.0 SSMI18 37.9 60.4 38.0 60.3 38.0 60.3 Analysis Plot
20151006 163647 14.7 N/A 17.8% 22.22 14.74 70.0 AMSR2 38.4 59.2 38.5 58.7 38.5 58.7 Analysis Plot
20151006 222000 8.2 N/A 43.8% 155.54 8.23 70.0 SSMI19 39.3 55.9 39.3 55.3 39.3 55.3 Analysis Plot
20151006 230400 5.3 N/A 8.2% 166.65 5.30 70.0 SSMI18 39.4 55.5 39.4 55.1 39.4 55.1 Analysis Plot
20151007 070506 3.0 N/A 13.7% 144.43 2.99 65.0 SSMI15 40.3 50.5 39.9 50.7 39.9 50.7 Analysis Plot
20151007 104100 3.0 N/A N/A 199.98 2.99 65.0 SSMI19 40.7 48.1 40.7 47.9 40.7 47.9 Analysis Plot
20151007 154141 3.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 AMSR2 41.0 45.6 41.0 45.6 40.7 44.4 Analysis Plot
20151007 202500 0.5 N/A N/A 88.88 .47 60.0 SSMI19 41.4 42.0 41.4 42.0 41.0 41.0 Analysis Plot
20151007 211100 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 SSMI18 41.5 41.5 41.5 41.5 40.9 40.5 Analysis Plot
20151008 084600 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 SSMI19 42.3 33.9 42.3 33.9 42.4 33.8 Analysis Plot
20151008 093100 0.3 N/A N/A 22.22 .27 55.0 SSMI18 42.4 33.5 42.4 33.5 42.3 32.7 Analysis Plot
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Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |
