Tropical Depression 11W
Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon 20150703 160348 -3.5 N/A 37.0% 99.99 3.45 25.0 SSMI15 9.5 -171.3 9.5 -171.3 9.7 -171.2 Analysis Plot 20150703 164600 -2.4 N/A 35.6% 99.99 2.37 25.0 SSMI16 9.5 -171.2 9.5 -171.2 10.0 -171.4 Analysis Plot 20150703 183500 -2.3 N/A 65.8% 22.22 2.31 30.0 SSMI17 9.4 -170.0 9.4 -170.0 9.8 -170.6 Analysis Plot 20150703 184800 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 30.0 SSMI19 9.4 -170.0 9.4 -170.0 9.7 -170.4 Analysis Plot 20150704 065106 -4.6 N/A 5.5% 66.66 4.63 40.0 GMI 10.0 -168.7 10.0 -168.7 11.0 -168.5 Analysis Plot 20150704 083100 -4.6 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 40.0 SSMI18 11.0 -168.5 11.0 -168.5 11.0 -167.3 Analysis Plot 20150704 155038 -4.6 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 50.0 SSMI15 11.4 -166.2 11.4 -166.2 10.7 -166.2 Analysis Plot 20150704 083100 -4.6 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 40.0 SSMI18 11.0 -168.5 11.0 -168.5 11.0 -167.3 Analysis Plot 20150705 052808 -4.6 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 50.0 SSMI15 11.1 -163.9 11.1 -163.9 11.5 -163.3 Analysis Plot 20150705 071100 -1.7 N/A 47.9% 111.10 1.73 50.0 SSMI17 11.1 -163.3 11.1 -163.3 10.9 -163.0 Analysis Plot 20150705 072400 -1.2 N/A 49.3% 111.10 1.16 50.0 SSMI19 11.4 -163.1 11.4 -163.1 10.9 -162.9 Analysis Plot 20150705 081800 -3.9 N/A 38.4% 133.32 3.87 50.0 SSMI18 11.4 -162.8 11.4 -162.8 11.0 -162.7 Analysis Plot 20150705 180100 -6.4 N/A 30.1% 222.20 6.43 50.0 SSMI16 11.4 -161.1 11.4 -161.1 11.4 -160.5 Analysis Plot 20150705 200100 8.2 N/A 21.9% 177.76 8.25 55.0 SSMI19 11.4 -160.5 11.4 -160.5 11.5 -159.9 Analysis Plot 20150705 205600 8.2 N/A 32.9% 199.98 8.19 55.0 SSMI18 11.4 -160.3 11.4 -160.3 11.6 -159.8 Analysis Plot 20150706 052556 22.7 >65 kts 57.5% 77.77 22.66 60.0 SSMI15 11.7 -159.0 11.8 -159.1 11.8 -159.1 Analysis Plot 20150706 065900 22.7 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 70.0 SSMI17 11.8 -158.6 11.7 -158.7 11.7 -158.7 Analysis Plot 20150706 150925 54.0 >65 kts 100.0% 88.88 38.96 80.0 AMSR2 12.4 -157.0 12.3 -157.2 12.3 -157.2 Analysis Plot 20150706 171412 21.7 >65 kts 54.8% 88.88 21.70 80.0 SSMI15 12.5 -156.7 12.5 -157.0 12.5 -157.0 Analysis Plot 20150706 174800 66.6 >85 kts 100.0% 88.88 51.62 80.0 SSMI16 12.6 -156.5 12.7 -156.8 12.7 -156.8 Analysis Plot 20150706 193500 64.8 >85 kts 100.0% 77.77 49.85 85.0 SSMI17 12.8 -156.3 12.8 -156.3 12.8 -156.3 Analysis Plot 20150706 194800 74.3 >85 kts 100.0% 77.77 59.33 85.0 SSMI19 12.8 -156.3 12.7 -156.3 12.7 -156.3 Analysis Plot 20150706 204400 81.6 >85 kts 100.0% 77.77 66.60 85.0 SSMI18 12.9 -156.1 12.9 -156.2 12.9 -156.2 Analysis Plot 20150707 165932 81.6 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 120.0 SSMI15 14.8 -152.6 14.8 -152.6 14.4 -152.4 Analysis Plot 20150707 155228 84.6 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 69.63 120.0 AMSR2 14.7 -152.7 14.8 -152.5 14.8 -152.5 Analysis Plot 20150708 062721 84.6 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 120.0 SSMI15 15.8 -149.9 15.8 -149.9 15.9 -149.1 Analysis Plot 20150708 081300 54.3 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 39.26 115.0 SSMI17 15.5 -149.6 15.5 -149.6 15.5 -149.6 Analysis Plot 20150708 082600 65.5 >85 kts 100.0% 33.33 50.51 115.0 SSMI19 15.5 -149.6 15.6 -149.5 15.6 -149.5 Analysis Plot 20150708 092400 54.6 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 39.63 115.0 SSMI18 15.7 -149.2 15.6 -149.4 15.6 -149.4 Analysis Plot 20150708 190200 54.6 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 120.0 SSMI16 16.6 -147.6 17.5 -148.1 17.5 -148.1 Analysis Plot 20150708 210100 61.2 >85 kts 100.0% 33.33 46.19 120.0 SSMI19 16.7 -147.3 16.8 -147.3 16.8 -147.3 Analysis Plot 20150708 215900 59.1 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 44.13 120.0 SSMI18 16.8 -147.1 16.9 -147.1 16.9 -147.1 Analysis Plot 20150709 061111 47.6 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 32.61 125.0 SSMI15 17.3 -146.3 17.5 -146.1 17.5 -146.1 Analysis Plot 20150709 080100 32.9 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 17.93 125.0 SSMI17 17.7 -145.7 17.7 -145.5 17.7 -145.5 Analysis Plot 20150709 091200 58.6 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 43.63 125.0 SSMI18 17.8 -145.6 17.8 -145.2 17.8 -145.2 Analysis Plot 20150709 172603 41.2 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 26.19 135.0 SSMI15 18.2 -143.6 18.1 -143.6 18.1 -143.6 Analysis Plot 20150709 184800 38.3 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 23.33 135.0 SSMI16 18.3 -143.5 18.2 -143.5 18.2 -143.5 Analysis Plot 20150709 204800 39.7 >65 kts 100.0% 99.99 24.71 135.0 SSMI19 18.3 -143.3 18.1 -143.2 18.1 -143.2 Analysis Plot 20150709 214600 58.1 >65 kts 100.0% 99.99 43.11 135.0 SSMI18 18.3 -143.2 18.3 -143.1 18.3 -143.1 Analysis Plot 20150710 185744 58.1 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 105.0 SSMI15 18.4 -140.4 18.4 -140.4 18.3 -140.8 Analysis Plot 20150711 103000 58.1 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 90.0 SSMI18 18.2 -139.0 18.6 -138.4 18.6 -138.4 Analysis Plot 20150711 220200 58.1 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 80.0 SSMI19 19.0 -138.0 18.5 -138.1 18.5 -138.1 Analysis Plot 20150712 035828 7.4 N/A 42.5% 22.22 7.40 80.0 AMSR2 18.6 -137.7 18.6 -137.8 18.6 -137.8 Analysis Plot 20150712 071926 4.8 N/A 37.0% 244.42 4.85 80.0 SSMI15 18.7 -137.7 18.6 -137.5 18.6 -137.5 Analysis Plot 20150712 090300 3.0 N/A 16.4% 22.22 3.02 80.0 SSMI17 18.7 -137.6 18.5 -137.5 18.5 -137.5 Analysis Plot 20150712 091500 1.3 N/A 58.9% 22.22 1.25 80.0 SSMI19 18.8 -137.6 18.5 -137.5 18.5 -137.5 Analysis Plot 20150712 101600 48.7 >65 kts 100.0% 188.87 33.67 80.0 SSMI18 18.8 -137.5 18.7 -137.6 18.7 -137.6 Analysis Plot 20150712 161017 16.8 N/A 30.1% 22.22 16.85 85.0 AMSR2 19.0 -137.4 18.9 -137.4 18.9 -137.4 Analysis Plot 20150712 195000 56.2 >65 kts 100.0% 177.76 41.20 90.0 SSMI16 19.3 -137.2 19.3 -137.1 19.3 -137.1 Analysis Plot 20150712 214800 36.7 >65 kts 100.0% 177.76 21.71 90.0 SSMI19 19.5 -137.2 19.4 -137.1 19.4 -137.1 Analysis Plot 20150713 053023 45.1 >65 kts 100.0% 144.43 30.08 105.0 SSMI15 20.5 -137.1 20.4 -137.1 20.4 -137.1 Analysis Plot 20150713 085100 66.0 >85 kts 100.0% 144.43 50.98 105.0 SSMI17 20.8 -137.1 20.9 -137.0 20.9 -137.0 Analysis Plot 20150713 090200 71.9 >85 kts 100.0% 144.43 56.88 105.0 SSMI19 20.8 -137.1 21.0 -136.9 21.0 -136.9 Analysis Plot 20150713 100500 64.3 >85 kts 100.0% 133.32 49.28 105.0 SSMI18 21.2 -137.1 21.1 -136.9 21.1 -136.9 Analysis Plot 20150713 165153 20.3 >65 kts 47.9% 133.32 20.33 105.0 AMSR2 22.1 -136.9 22.0 -136.6 22.0 -136.6 Analysis Plot 20150713 183030 44.1 >65 kts 100.0% 133.32 29.15 105.0 SSMI15 22.2 -136.9 22.2 -136.6 22.2 -136.6 Analysis Plot 20150713 193600 63.5 >85 kts 100.0% 122.21 48.50 95.0 SSMI16 22.3 -136.5 22.5 -136.5 22.5 -136.5 Analysis Plot 20150713 213400 50.9 >65 kts 100.0% 122.21 35.87 95.0 SSMI19 22.5 -136.5 22.5 -136.5 22.5 -136.5 Analysis Plot 20150713 223700 63.4 >85 kts 100.0% 122.21 48.44 95.0 SSMI18 22.6 -136.5 22.7 -136.5 22.7 -136.5 Analysis Plot 20150714 034801 22.4 >65 kts 67.1% 111.10 22.44 95.0 AMSR2 23.2 -136.5 23.3 -136.8 23.3 -136.8 Analysis Plot 20150714 083800 54.9 >65 kts 100.0% 99.99 39.85 90.0 SSMI17 24.0 -136.5 24.0 -136.7 24.0 -136.7 Analysis Plot 20150714 095300 46.7 >65 kts 100.0% 99.99 31.68 90.0 SSMI18 24.3 -136.5 24.1 -136.6 24.1 -136.6 Analysis Plot 20150714 222400 9.5 N/A 45.2% 99.99 9.52 90.0 SSMI18 26.3 -136.3 26.2 -136.4 26.2 -136.4 Analysis Plot 20150715 043147 16.0 N/A 1.4% 99.99 15.96 90.0 AMSR2 27.0 -136.3 27.3 -136.1 27.3 -136.1 Analysis Plot 20150715 082700 5.5 N/A N/A 77.77 5.50 85.0 SSMI17 27.8 -135.9 28.3 -136.0 28.3 -136.0 Analysis Plot 20150715 094200 14.3 N/A 45.2% 211.09 14.27 85.0 SSMI18 28.0 -135.8 28.4 -135.8 28.4 -135.8 Analysis Plot 20150715 163737 8.9 N/A 20.5% 122.21 8.93 80.0 AMSR2 29.6 -135.3 29.6 -135.1 29.6 -135.1 Analysis Plot 20150715 190900 8.9 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 80.0 SSMI16 30.1 -135.0 30.1 -135.1 30.1 -135.1 Analysis Plot 20150715 205500 8.9 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 80.0 SSMI17 30.5 -134.9 30.5 -134.9 30.3 -134.7 Analysis Plot 20150715 221200 8.9 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 80.0 SSMI18 30.7 -134.8 30.5 -134.9 30.5 -134.9 Analysis Plot 20150716 033901 8.9 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 70.0 AMSR2 31.6 -134.5 31.4 -134.8 31.4 -134.8 Analysis Plot 20150716 081600 16.2 N/A 27.4% 66.66 16.17 65.0 SSMI17 32.2 -134.4 32.4 -134.6 32.4 -134.6 Analysis Plot 20150716 093200 16.2 N/A N/A 55.55 16.23 65.0 SSMI18 32.4 -134.4 32.5 -134.4 32.5 -134.4 Analysis Plot 20150716 223200 16.2 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 50.0 SSMI19 34.7 -134.0 34.7 -134.0 34.2 -133.1 Analysis Plot 20150717 092100 16.2 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 40.0 SSMI18 36.8 -134.3 36.8 -134.3 36.5 -134.8 Analysis Plot 20150717 202100 -3.0 N/A N/A 33.33 3.02 30.0 SSMI16 38.0 -135.7 38.0 -135.7 38.3 -135.1 Analysis Plot 20150717 221700 -3.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 30.0 SSMI19 38.4 -136.1 38.4 -136.1 38.8 -136.5 Analysis Plot 20150717 232500 -1.0 N/A N/A 22.22 1.00 30.0 SSMI18 38.5 -136.4 38.5 -136.4 39.0 -136.5 Analysis Plot 20150718 060500 -1.5 N/A N/A 22.22 1.49 25.0 SSMI16 39.5 -136.6 39.5 -136.6 39.5 -137.1 Analysis Plot 20150718 075100 -1.1 N/A N/A 33.33 1.11 25.0 SSMI17 39.8 -137.0 39.8 -137.0 39.4 -137.8 Analysis Plot 20150718 090900 -0.4 N/A N/A 22.22 .37 25.0 SSMI18 40.2 -137.5 40.2 -137.5 39.5 -138.2 Analysis Plot 20150718 184533 -0.4 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 25.0 SSMI15 41.4 -139.7 41.4 -139.7 40.6 -140.5 Analysis Plot 20150718 200600 -0.4 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 25.0 SSMI16 41.6 -140.3 41.6 -140.3 40.5 -141.0 Analysis Plot 20150718 215300 -3.0 N/A N/A 177.76 2.96 25.0 SSMI17 41.7 -140.9 41.7 -140.9 40.7 -140.8 Analysis Plot |
Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |