Tropical Storm 16W
Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon 20150814 030130 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 25.0 AMSR2 12.5 -150.3 12.5 -150.3 11.8 -151.1 Analysis Plot 20150814 083700 -4.0 N/A 17.8% 233.31 4.00 25.0 SSMI19 12.5 -149.6 12.5 -149.6 12.5 -149.7 Analysis Plot 20150814 151633 -4.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 30.0 AMSR2 12.9 -148.9 12.9 -148.9 12.6 -148.2 Analysis Plot 20150814 210800 -4.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 SSMI18 13.0 -148.0 13.0 -148.0 13.4 -148.0 Analysis Plot 20150814 211400 -6.5 N/A 15.1% 144.43 6.49 35.0 SSMI19 13.0 -148.0 13.0 -148.0 13.7 -147.4 Analysis Plot 20150815 034414 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 AMSR2 13.5 -147.0 13.5 -147.0 13.3 -146.6 Analysis Plot 20150815 065454 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 GMI 13.7 -146.6 13.7 -146.6 13.7 -146.6 Analysis Plot 20150815 094149 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 SSMI15 13.6 -146.8 13.6 -146.8 13.8 -146.2 Analysis Plot 20150815 095900 -2.3 N/A 20.5% 211.09 2.30 45.0 SSMI18 14.2 -146.0 14.2 -146.0 14.3 -145.3 Analysis Plot 20150815 155804 -4.3 N/A 17.8% 133.32 4.31 50.0 AMSR2 14.6 -145.4 14.6 -145.4 14.8 -145.0 Analysis Plot 20150815 210000 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 SSMI19 14.7 -144.9 14.7 -144.9 14.5 -145.1 Analysis Plot 20150816 094600 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 SSMI18 15.3 -143.7 15.3 -143.7 15.3 -143.7 Analysis Plot 20150816 174230 8.6 N/A 43.8% 111.10 8.57 65.0 SSMI15 16.0 -142.5 15.9 -142.7 15.9 -142.7 Analysis Plot 20150816 204700 4.9 N/A 58.9% 133.32 4.86 80.0 SSMI19 16.2 -142.2 16.0 -142.1 16.0 -142.1 Analysis Plot 20150816 222200 31.5 >65 kts 95.9% 111.10 16.51 80.0 SSMI18 16.3 -141.9 16.4 -142.0 16.4 -142.0 Analysis Plot 20150817 033341 44.3 >65 kts 100.0% 11.11 29.30 115.0 AMSR2 16.7 -141.1 16.8 -141.0 16.8 -141.0 Analysis Plot 20150817 093500 36.9 >65 kts 100.0% 88.88 21.90 115.0 SSMI18 17.2 -139.8 17.2 -139.6 17.2 -139.6 Analysis Plot 20150817 221000 52.1 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 37.15 115.0 SSMI18 18.2 -136.6 18.1 -136.7 18.1 -136.7 Analysis Plot 20150818 041628 8.1 N/A 27.4% 55.55 8.12 105.0 AMSR2 18.3 -135.1 18.3 -135.0 18.3 -135.0 Analysis Plot 20150818 092700 17.5 N/A N/A 33.33 17.46 105.0 SSMI19 18.7 -133.8 18.5 -133.6 18.5 -133.6 Analysis Plot 20150818 162856 7.3 N/A 60.3% 66.66 7.26 100.0 AMSR2 18.9 -131.6 18.8 -131.5 18.8 -131.5 Analysis Plot 20150818 220000 36.8 >65 kts 100.0% 88.88 21.76 100.0 SSMI19 18.8 -130.2 18.9 -130.3 18.9 -130.3 Analysis Plot 20150819 045957 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 100.0 AMSR2 18.9 -129.0 18.9 -129.0 18.9 -129.0 Analysis Plot 20150819 091500 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 100.0 SSMI19 18.9 -128.0 18.9 -128.0 18.9 -128.4 Analysis Plot 20150819 171101 75.6 >85 kts 100.0% 77.77 60.63 110.0 AMSR2 18.9 -126.3 18.9 -126.2 18.9 -126.2 Analysis Plot 20150819 214100 51.3 >65 kts 100.0% 77.77 36.28 115.0 SSMI17 18.9 -125.4 18.8 -125.7 18.8 -125.7 Analysis Plot 20150819 232500 48.1 >65 kts 100.0% 77.77 33.08 115.0 SSMI18 18.9 -125.2 18.9 -125.3 18.9 -125.3 Analysis Plot 20150820 104000 42.1 >65 kts 100.0% 66.66 27.07 115.0 SSMI18 19.1 -124.0 19.0 -124.2 19.0 -124.2 Analysis Plot 20150820 175436 12.3 N/A 45.2% 66.66 12.35 105.0 AMSR2 19.2 -123.3 19.1 -123.3 19.1 -123.3 Analysis Plot 20150820 231300 4.3 N/A 21.9% 144.43 4.30 105.0 SSMI18 19.4 -123.0 19.5 -122.8 19.5 -122.8 Analysis Plot 20150821 102900 11.0 N/A 43.8% 44.44 10.98 100.0 SSMI19 19.4 -122.3 19.3 -122.5 19.3 -122.5 Analysis Plot 20150821 230100 14.7 N/A 68.5% 22.22 14.67 90.0 SSMI18 20.3 -122.7 20.0 -122.6 20.0 -122.6 Analysis Plot 20150822 101500 7.5 N/A 16.4% 77.77 7.50 80.0 SSMI19 21.4 -123.0 21.4 -123.0 21.4 -123.0 Analysis Plot 20150822 174050 9.9 N/A 9.6% 33.33 9.90 80.0 AMSR2 22.3 -123.2 22.3 -123.2 22.3 -123.2 Analysis Plot 20150822 224600 55.5 >65 kts 100.0% 66.66 40.48 80.0 SSMI19 23.0 -123.5 23.0 -123.4 23.0 -123.4 Analysis Plot 20150823 043722 64.0 >85 kts 100.0% 66.66 49.01 80.0 AMSR2 23.9 -123.7 23.6 -123.4 23.6 -123.4 Analysis Plot 20150823 100300 73.7 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 58.68 90.0 SSMI19 24.4 -123.8 24.3 -123.9 24.3 -123.9 Analysis Plot 20150823 223300 53.8 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 38.81 115.0 SSMI19 26.1 -125.4 26.0 -125.6 26.0 -125.6 Analysis Plot 20150824 095100 64.0 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 48.95 110.0 SSMI19 28.7 -127.9 29.0 -128.4 29.0 -128.4 Analysis Plot 20150824 190158 73.2 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 58.19 110.0 SSMI15 31.7 -130.0 31.9 -130.2 31.9 -130.2 Analysis Plot 20150824 221100 1.1 N/A 16.4% 55.55 1.10 110.0 SSMI17 32.3 -130.3 33.3 -130.3 33.3 -130.3 Analysis Plot 20150824 221700 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 110.0 SSMI19 32.7 -130.5 33.2 -130.9 33.2 -130.9 Analysis Plot 20150825 042704 7.5 N/A 14.7% 255.53 7.45 80.0 AMSR2 35.1 -131.1 34.9 -130.9 34.9 -130.9 Analysis Plot 20150825 094300 7.5 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 70.0 SSMI18 35.9 -131.2 35.9 -131.2 35.8 -131.6 Analysis Plot 20150825 220200 3.2 N/A 1.4% 155.54 3.16 60.0 SSMI19 38.6 -132.2 38.6 -132.2 39.1 -133.4 Analysis Plot 20150826 033445 3.2 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 AMSR2 39.7 -132.4 39.7 -132.4 40.3 -133.8 Analysis Plot 20150826 093200 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 SSMI18 41.1 -132.3 41.1 -132.3 40.7 -132.8 Analysis Plot |
Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |