Tropical Storm 19E
Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon 20151015 065428 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 30.0 GMI 9.8 118.8 9.8 118.8 10.0 118.3 Analysis Plot 20151015 150100 -2.6 N/A 15.1% 222.20 2.57 30.0 SSMI18 10.2 119.6 10.2 119.6 10.4 119.4 Analysis Plot 20151016 025800 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 30.0 SSMI19 10.2 122.1 10.2 122.1 10.2 122.1 Analysis Plot 20151016 035200 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 30.0 SSMI18 10.2 122.1 10.2 122.1 9.7 122.8 Analysis Plot 20151016 035100 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 30.0 SSMI18 10.2 122.4 10.2 122.4 10.9 122.3 Analysis Plot 20151016 115317 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 25.0 SSMI15 10.1 124.1 10.1 124.1 9.6 124.0 Analysis Plot 20151017 024400 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 SSMI19 9.7 127.4 9.7 127.4 9.4 127.6 Analysis Plot 20151017 024500 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 SSMI17 9.7 127.4 9.7 127.4 9.4 127.6 Analysis Plot 20151017 033800 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 SSMI18 9.7 127.6 9.7 127.6 9.6 127.9 Analysis Plot 20151017 112919 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 45.0 SSMI15 9.5 128.9 9.5 128.9 9.3 128.9 Analysis Plot 20151017 152200 -0.0 N/A 56.2% 22.22 .04 50.0 SSMI19 9.4 129.6 9.4 129.6 9.4 129.4 Analysis Plot 20151017 152400 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 50.0 SSMI17 9.4 129.7 9.4 129.7 9.1 129.0 Analysis Plot 20151017 161700 -0.3 N/A 68.5% 33.33 .29 50.0 SSMI18 9.4 129.8 9.4 129.8 9.4 129.8 Analysis Plot 20151018 023200 6.0 N/A 38.4% 66.66 6.00 55.0 SSMI17 9.2 130.9 9.2 130.9 9.2 130.9 Analysis Plot 20151018 032700 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 SSMI18 9.2 130.9 8.9 131.0 8.9 131.0 Analysis Plot 20151018 032800 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 SSMI18 9.2 131.2 8.9 131.0 8.9 131.0 Analysis Plot 20151018 150900 0.7 N/A 41.1% 22.22 .67 65.0 SSMI19 9.5 133.3 9.5 133.3 9.5 133.3 Analysis Plot 20151018 151000 0.3 N/A 56.2% 22.22 .32 65.0 SSMI17 9.5 133.3 9.6 133.3 9.6 133.3 Analysis Plot 20151018 160500 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 65.0 SSMI18 9.5 133.4 9.4 133.4 9.4 133.4 Analysis Plot 20151019 035900 43.0 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 27.99 85.0 SSMI19 9.7 135.4 9.8 135.5 9.8 135.5 Analysis Plot 20151019 145800 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 95.0 SSMI17 9.9 137.8 9.9 137.6 9.9 137.6 Analysis Plot 20151020 034500 35.0 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 20.02 115.0 SSMI19 10.1 139.5 10.1 139.6 10.1 139.6 Analysis Plot 20151020 034700 44.0 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 29.02 115.0 SSMI17 10.1 139.5 10.1 139.7 10.1 139.7 Analysis Plot 20151020 044300 34.3 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 19.30 115.0 SSMI18 10.2 139.9 10.0 139.8 10.0 139.8 Analysis Plot 20151020 231602 80.9 >85 kts 100.0% 33.33 65.93 130.0 AMSR2 10.9 142.4 10.8 142.5 10.8 142.5 Analysis Plot 20151021 021600 55.7 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 40.67 125.0 SSMI16 10.9 142.7 10.9 142.9 10.9 142.9 Analysis Plot 20151021 033400 63.5 >85 kts 100.0% 33.33 48.52 125.0 SSMI17 11.1 143.1 11.0 142.9 11.0 142.9 Analysis Plot 20151021 043100 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 125.0 SSMI18 11.1 143.2 11.1 143.2 10.8 143.0 Analysis Plot 20151021 043100 46.3 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 31.25 125.0 SSMI18 11.3 143.4 11.1 143.1 11.1 143.1 Analysis Plot 20151021 113104 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 115.0 AMSR2 11.7 144.1 11.7 144.1 12.1 145.1 Analysis Plot 20151021 160900 59.3 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 44.28 105.0 SSMI19 12.0 144.5 11.9 144.6 11.9 144.6 Analysis Plot 20151021 161100 63.8 >85 kts 100.0% 55.55 48.81 105.0 SSMI17 12.1 144.6 11.9 144.6 11.9 144.6 Analysis Plot 20151021 170900 67.0 >85 kts 100.0% 55.55 52.00 105.0 SSMI18 12.1 144.6 12.0 144.7 12.0 144.7 Analysis Plot 20151021 193907 43.8 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 28.79 105.0 GMI 12.3 144.9 12.1 144.9 12.1 144.9 Analysis Plot 20151022 032200 41.0 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 25.99 105.0 SSMI17 12.6 145.6 12.6 145.4 12.6 145.4 Analysis Plot 20151022 042000 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 105.0 SSMI18 12.8 145.8 12.8 145.8 12.6 145.4 Analysis Plot 20151022 070641 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 105.0 GMI 12.9 145.9 12.9 145.9 12.4 146.1 Analysis Plot 20151022 154500 49.0 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 34.02 100.0 SSMI16 13.4 146.3 13.4 146.2 13.4 146.2 Analysis Plot 20151022 155700 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 100.0 SSMI19 13.6 146.4 13.3 146.2 13.3 146.2 Analysis Plot 20151022 165600 35.9 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 20.93 100.0 SSMI18 13.7 146.4 13.5 146.2 13.5 146.2 Analysis Plot 20151022 230404 14.7 N/A 53.4% 66.66 14.72 95.0 AMSR2 14.0 146.5 14.0 146.4 14.0 146.4 Analysis Plot 20151023 014800 14.3 N/A 68.5% 55.55 14.34 95.0 SSMI16 14.1 146.5 14.2 146.3 14.2 146.3 Analysis Plot 20151023 061310 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 95.0 GMI 14.9 146.3 14.9 146.3 14.5 145.9 Analysis Plot 20151023 131240 10.0 N/A 30.1% 55.55 9.99 105.0 SSMI15 15.7 146.2 15.8 146.3 15.8 146.3 Analysis Plot 20151023 144700 13.1 N/A 42.5% 44.44 13.08 105.0 SSMI16 15.8 146.2 16.1 146.2 16.1 146.2 Analysis Plot 20151023 154400 13.1 N/A 41.1% 55.55 13.08 105.0 SSMI17 16.0 146.2 16.2 146.2 16.2 146.2 Analysis Plot 20151023 164400 10.6 N/A 50.7% 55.55 10.57 105.0 SSMI18 16.1 146.2 16.5 146.2 16.5 146.2 Analysis Plot 20151023 193026 22.1 >65 kts 53.4% 77.77 22.06 105.0 GMI 16.4 146.1 16.8 146.3 16.8 146.3 Analysis Plot 20151024 013100 51.4 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 36.40 105.0 SSMI16 17.6 146.2 17.7 146.0 17.7 146.0 Analysis Plot 20151024 043600 47.1 >65 kts 100.0% 77.77 32.11 105.0 SSMI19 18.5 145.7 18.2 145.9 18.2 145.9 Analysis Plot 20151024 125003 13.3 N/A 12.3% 55.55 13.27 105.0 SSMI15 19.1 145.4 19.1 145.5 19.1 145.5 Analysis Plot 20151024 150300 9.3 N/A 67.1% 99.99 9.34 105.0 SSMI16 19.2 145.4 19.2 145.3 19.2 145.3 Analysis Plot 20151024 225316 7.5 N/A 13.7% 55.55 7.50 95.0 AMSR2 20.0 144.9 20.2 144.5 20.2 144.5 Analysis Plot 20151025 042300 48.1 >65 kts 100.0% 77.77 33.12 85.0 SSMI19 21.0 144.1 20.7 144.3 20.7 144.3 Analysis Plot 20151025 110339 24.6 >65 kts 72.6% 88.88 24.64 80.0 AMSR2 21.5 143.6 21.3 143.9 21.3 143.9 Analysis Plot 20151025 123335 12.3 N/A 53.4% 77.77 12.29 80.0 SSMI15 21.6 143.5 21.5 143.8 21.5 143.8 Analysis Plot 20151025 165500 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 80.0 SSMI19 21.9 143.4 21.9 143.4 22.1 143.5 Analysis Plot 20151026 051025 5.7 N/A 9.6% 222.20 5.72 70.0 GMI 23.9 142.2 23.9 142.2 23.5 142.5 Analysis Plot 20151026 122012 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 SSMI15 24.6 141.3 24.6 141.3 23.8 140.9 Analysis Plot 20151026 164100 -3.7 N/A N/A 222.20 3.73 50.0 SSMI19 24.8 141.2 24.8 141.2 24.5 142.1 Analysis Plot 20151026 183106 -9.6 N/A N/A 11.11 9.62 50.0 GMI 25.0 141.0 25.0 141.0 25.7 141.7 Analysis Plot 20151026 224226 -10.6 N/A 16.4% 188.87 10.60 50.0 AMSR2 25.8 137.8 25.8 137.8 25.8 137.7 Analysis Plot 20151027 041757 -8.0 N/A N/A 144.43 8.00 45.0 GMI 26.4 137.1 26.4 137.1 26.3 136.7 Analysis Plot 20151027 115256 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 40.0 SSMI15 26.5 135.5 26.5 135.5 26.9 135.8 Analysis Plot 20151027 144000 -2.1 N/A N/A 22.22 2.07 40.0 SSMI16 26.6 135.3 26.6 135.3 27.0 135.1 Analysis Plot 20151027 173937 -12.0 N/A N/A 22.22 11.99 40.0 GMI 26.8 134.8 26.8 134.8 26.8 134.8 Analysis Plot 20151027 214751 -2.7 N/A N/A 11.11 2.65 40.0 AMSR2 26.9 134.5 26.9 134.5 27.2 134.5 Analysis Plot |
Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |