Tropical Storm 25W
Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon 20151013 070300 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 25.0 SSMI17 12.5 -161.1 12.5 -161.1 12.8 -160.8 Analysis Plot 20151013 131401 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 25.0 GMI 13.0 -159.1 13.0 -159.1 13.9 -160.0 Analysis Plot 20151013 194000 -3.1 N/A N/A 77.77 3.06 30.0 SSMI19 13.7 -157.7 13.7 -157.7 13.5 -158.6 Analysis Plot 20151013 203100 -2.8 N/A 14.9% 277.75 2.77 30.0 SSMI18 13.7 -157.5 13.7 -157.5 14.0 -158.4 Analysis Plot 20151014 190200 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 40.0 SSMI16 15.0 -153.8 15.0 -153.8 15.9 -154.1 Analysis Plot 20151015 205400 4.4 N/A 71.2% 111.10 4.43 55.0 SSMI17 16.1 -147.8 16.1 -147.8 15.6 -146.6 Analysis Plot 20151015 214700 4.1 N/A 74.0% 44.44 4.11 55.0 SSMI18 16.1 -147.8 16.1 -147.8 15.5 -146.6 Analysis Plot 20151016 080600 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 SSMI17 15.9 -144.3 15.9 -144.3 15.9 -144.3 Analysis Plot 20151016 090000 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 SSMI18 16.0 -144.0 16.0 -144.0 15.4 -144.4 Analysis Plot 20151016 080600 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 SSMI17 15.9 -144.3 15.9 -144.3 15.9 -144.3 Analysis Plot 20151016 200700 5.2 N/A 24.7% 55.55 5.23 65.0 SSMI16 16.7 -143.1 16.8 -143.1 16.8 -143.1 Analysis Plot 20151016 214700 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 65.0 SSMI18 16.7 -141.9 16.7 -141.9 17.4 -143.1 Analysis Plot 20151017 063700 64.3 >85 kts 100.0% 99.99 49.34 80.0 SSMI16 17.6 -142.0 17.7 -141.8 17.7 -141.8 Analysis Plot 20151017 180909 16.6 N/A 82.2% 88.88 16.60 90.0 SSMI15 19.2 -140.3 18.7 -140.1 18.7 -140.1 Analysis Plot 20151017 195500 22.8 >65 kts 65.8% 88.88 22.80 90.0 SSMI16 18.8 -140.3 18.8 -140.1 18.8 -140.1 Analysis Plot 20151018 092100 41.8 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 26.85 105.0 SSMI19 19.8 -140.0 19.6 -140.2 19.6 -140.2 Analysis Plot 20151018 101700 57.7 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 42.70 105.0 SSMI18 19.8 -140.0 19.6 -140.1 19.6 -140.1 Analysis Plot 20151018 192700 67.5 >85 kts 100.0% 133.32 52.46 125.0 SSMI16 20.2 -140.3 20.3 -140.4 20.3 -140.4 Analysis Plot 20151018 215400 71.2 >85 kts 100.0% 111.10 56.17 125.0 SSMI19 20.4 -140.3 20.5 -140.4 20.5 -140.4 Analysis Plot 20151019 091000 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 105.0 SSMI17 20.9 -140.3 20.8 -140.3 20.8 -140.3 Analysis Plot 20151019 100400 57.1 >65 kts 100.0% 99.99 42.14 105.0 SSMI18 20.9 -140.3 20.8 -140.3 20.8 -140.3 Analysis Plot 20151019 214000 2.2 N/A 31.8% 222.20 2.20 100.0 SSMI19 21.2 -140.0 21.9 -139.7 21.9 -139.7 Analysis Plot 20151019 214200 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 100.0 SSMI17 21.2 -140.0 21.2 -140.0 21.7 -139.9 Analysis Plot 20151019 223700 1.8 N/A 26.0% 155.54 1.81 100.0 SSMI18 21.3 -140.0 21.5 -139.7 21.5 -139.7 Analysis Plot 20151020 085600 2.8 N/A 45.2% 122.21 2.76 90.0 SSMI17 21.9 -140.0 22.0 -140.1 22.0 -140.1 Analysis Plot 20151020 095200 1.1 N/A 12.3% 122.21 1.11 90.0 SSMI18 22.0 -140.0 22.0 -140.1 22.0 -140.1 Analysis Plot 20151020 212700 12.0 N/A 75.3% 133.32 12.04 80.0 SSMI17 22.5 -140.1 22.5 -140.1 22.5 -140.1 Analysis Plot 20151020 222400 55.1 >65 kts 100.0% 144.43 40.07 80.0 SSMI18 22.5 -140.1 22.5 -140.2 22.5 -140.2 Analysis Plot 20151021 011100 23.0 >65 kts 39.7% 122.21 22.97 75.0 GMI 22.7 -140.0 22.9 -140.1 22.9 -140.1 Analysis Plot 20151021 041546 4.9 N/A 45.2% 99.99 4.86 75.0 AMSR2 22.8 -140.1 22.7 -140.1 22.7 -140.1 Analysis Plot 20151021 091700 41.5 >65 kts 100.0% 99.99 26.47 70.0 SSMI16 22.9 -140.1 22.8 -140.3 22.8 -140.3 Analysis Plot 20151021 094000 41.1 >65 kts 100.0% 111.10 26.06 70.0 SSMI18 23.0 -140.3 23.0 -140.6 23.0 -140.6 Analysis Plot 20151021 162421 20.9 >65 kts 38.4% 111.10 20.93 75.0 AMSR2 23.4 -140.7 23.4 -140.7 23.4 -140.7 Analysis Plot 20151021 205500 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 90.0 SSMI16 23.4 -140.9 23.6 -141.0 23.6 -141.0 Analysis Plot 20151021 211200 48.0 >65 kts 100.0% 122.21 33.03 90.0 SSMI19 23.4 -141.1 23.6 -141.0 23.6 -141.0 Analysis Plot 20151021 211300 48.9 >65 kts 100.0% 122.21 33.90 90.0 SSMI17 23.4 -141.1 23.7 -141.1 23.7 -141.1 Analysis Plot 20151021 221100 69.1 >85 kts 100.0% 122.21 54.11 90.0 SSMI18 23.5 -141.1 23.8 -141.1 23.8 -141.1 Analysis Plot 20151022 032132 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 100.0 AMSR2 23.8 -141.6 23.9 -141.4 23.9 -141.4 Analysis Plot 20151022 083000 67.5 >85 kts 100.0% 99.99 52.46 100.0 SSMI17 24.1 -142.0 24.0 -142.2 24.0 -142.2 Analysis Plot 20151022 092800 72.8 >85 kts 100.0% 99.99 57.75 100.0 SSMI18 24.3 -142.3 24.0 -142.3 24.0 -142.3 Analysis Plot 20151022 203100 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 100.0 SSMI16 24.8 -144.0 24.9 -144.1 24.9 -144.1 Analysis Plot 20151022 210000 51.9 >65 kts 100.0% 111.10 36.93 100.0 SSMI17 24.9 -144.6 25.0 -144.5 25.0 -144.5 Analysis Plot 20151022 215800 46.9 >65 kts 100.0% 111.10 31.90 100.0 SSMI18 25.0 -144.8 25.0 -144.7 25.0 -144.7 Analysis Plot 20151023 070000 44.9 >65 kts 115.9% 144.43 29.91 95.0 SSMI16 25.5 -146.2 25.3 -146.5 25.3 -146.5 Analysis Plot 20151023 081700 38.3 >65 kts 100.0% 177.76 23.28 85.0 SSMI17 25.7 -146.8 25.4 -147.0 25.4 -147.0 Analysis Plot 20151023 104905 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 85.0 GMI 26.0 -147.5 25.7 -147.6 25.7 -147.6 Analysis Plot 20151023 161120 7.5 N/A 39.7% 133.32 7.53 80.0 AMSR2 26.2 -149.4 26.3 -148.7 26.3 -148.7 Analysis Plot 20151023 204600 14.6 N/A 17.8% 122.21 14.57 75.0 SSMI17 26.8 -150.1 26.8 -149.7 26.8 -149.7 Analysis Plot 20151023 214500 21.4 >65 kts 28.8% 133.32 21.39 75.0 SSMI18 26.9 -150.3 26.9 -149.9 26.9 -149.9 Analysis Plot 20151024 001113 1.9 N/A 41.1% 144.43 1.94 75.0 GMI 27.1 -150.7 26.9 -150.3 26.9 -150.3 Analysis Plot 20151024 030839 3.8 N/A 46.6% 111.10 3.76 70.0 AMSR2 27.4 -151.2 27.2 -151.1 27.2 -151.1 Analysis Plot 20151024 080400 0.9 N/A 43.8% 122.21 .85 65.0 SSMI17 27.7 -152.5 27.7 -152.5 27.9 -152.5 Analysis Plot 20151024 095713 4.1 N/A 30.1% 166.65 4.11 65.0 GMI 28.2 -153.5 28.0 -153.0 28.0 -153.0 Analysis Plot 20151024 151453 3.5 N/A 27.4% 111.10 3.50 60.0 AMSR2 29.3 -155.1 29.3 -155.1 29.2 -154.8 Analysis Plot 20151024 203000 4.9 N/A 23.3% 122.21 4.89 55.0 SSMI19 30.6 -156.8 30.6 -156.8 30.3 -156.8 Analysis Plot 20151024 203200 4.1 N/A 31.5% 133.32 4.06 55.0 SSMI17 30.7 -157.0 30.7 -157.0 30.4 -156.7 Analysis Plot 20151024 213200 2.9 N/A 21.9% 122.21 2.91 55.0 SSMI18 31.0 -157.4 31.0 -157.4 30.8 -157.3 Analysis Plot 20151025 021449 1.7 N/A 23.3% 88.88 1.69 55.0 AMSR2 32.4 -159.6 32.4 -159.6 32.1 -160.1 Analysis Plot 20151025 050000 7.9 N/A 13.7% 155.54 7.92 55.0 SSMI16 33.0 -160.4 33.0 -160.4 33.3 -161.3 Analysis Plot 20151025 075200 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 SSMI19 35.0 -163.5 35.0 -163.5 35.0 -164.2 Analysis Plot 20151025 141723 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 AMSR2 37.9 -167.8 37.9 -167.8 38.7 -169.3 Analysis Plot 20151025 160355 3.7 N/A N/A 88.88 3.65 55.0 SSMI15 38.5 -168.6 38.5 -168.6 39.3 -170.2 Analysis Plot |
Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |