Tropical Storm 27W
Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon 20151117 031726 -4.0 N/A 53.4% 22.22 4.00 25.0 GMI 4.7 -162.2 4.7 -162.2 4.5 -162.1 Analysis Plot 20151117 074200 -3.5 N/A 53.4% 55.55 3.51 35.0 SSMI17 4.2 -161.4 4.2 -161.4 4.4 -160.7 Analysis Plot 20151117 143228 -31.4 N/A 98.6% 77.77 16.44 40.0 AMSR2 5.0 -159.2 5.0 -159.2 5.0 -159.0 Analysis Plot 20151117 165114 -9.1 N/A 71.2% 66.66 9.11 40.0 SSMI15 5.1 -158.9 5.1 -158.9 5.2 -158.6 Analysis Plot 20151117 201900 -43.3 N/A 100.0% 88.88 28.33 45.0 SSMI19 5.8 -157.8 5.3 -157.8 5.3 -157.8 Analysis Plot 20151118 025610 -56.0 N/A 100.0% 55.55 40.96 50.0 AMSR2 5.9 -156.4 5.6 -156.4 5.6 -156.4 Analysis Plot 20151118 061500 -10.6 N/A 68.5% 33.33 10.58 50.0 SSMI16 6.2 -156.0 6.2 -156.0 5.7 -155.8 Analysis Plot 20151118 073000 11.8 N/A 39.7% 33.33 11.78 65.0 SSMI17 5.9 -155.6 5.9 -155.6 6.0 -155.7 Analysis Plot 20151118 085100 12.8 N/A 82.2% 44.44 12.79 65.0 SSMI18 6.3 -155.0 6.3 -155.0 6.0 -155.3 Analysis Plot 20151118 153524 2.5 N/A 23.3% 55.55 2.46 65.0 GMI 6.6 -154.1 6.8 -154.1 6.8 -154.1 Analysis Plot 20151118 200500 6.6 N/A 1.4% 55.55 6.56 55.0 SSMI19 6.9 -153.6 6.9 -153.6 7.4 -152.5 Analysis Plot 20151118 201000 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 SSMI17 6.9 -153.6 6.9 -153.6 7.3 -153.0 Analysis Plot 20151118 213200 33.1 >65 kts 89.0% 33.33 18.06 55.0 SSMI18 7.1 -153.4 7.1 -153.4 7.9 -153.1 Analysis Plot 20151119 030522 33.9 >65 kts 95.9% 22.22 18.92 55.0 GMI 7.8 -152.4 7.8 -152.4 8.6 -151.9 Analysis Plot 20151119 034021 51.8 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 36.81 55.0 AMSR2 7.8 -152.4 8.6 -151.8 8.6 -151.8 Analysis Plot 20151119 063043 8.8 N/A 84.9% 11.11 8.77 55.0 SSMI15 7.9 -152.2 7.9 -152.2 8.8 -151.6 Analysis Plot 20151119 084100 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 SSMI18 9.0 -150.7 9.0 -150.7 8.9 -150.6 Analysis Plot 20151119 085500 4.0 N/A 47.9% 111.10 4.01 55.0 SSMI19 9.1 -150.6 9.1 -150.6 9.2 -150.5 Analysis Plot 20151119 155652 31.7 >65 kts 100.0% 11.11 16.75 65.0 AMSR2 9.4 -149.6 9.5 -149.8 9.5 -149.8 Analysis Plot 20151119 195700 1.4 N/A 16.4% 122.21 1.38 75.0 SSMI17 10.0 -149.0 9.6 -149.0 9.6 -149.0 Analysis Plot 20151119 211900 0.0 N/A 9.6% 44.44 .01 75.0 SSMI18 10.0 -148.8 10.0 -148.8 10.1 -148.9 Analysis Plot 20151120 084700 8.6 N/A 84.9% 44.44 8.64 100.0 SSMI17 10.6 -146.9 10.5 -146.6 10.5 -146.6 Analysis Plot 20151120 152422 57.4 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 42.42 100.0 GMI 10.9 -145.1 10.8 -145.0 10.8 -145.0 Analysis Plot 20151120 191600 58.2 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 43.25 100.0 SSMI16 11.1 -144.6 10.9 -144.4 10.9 -144.4 Analysis Plot 20151120 211800 44.2 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 29.16 100.0 SSMI19 11.1 -143.5 11.1 -143.5 11.1 -143.5 Analysis Plot 20151121 025228 58.9 >65 kts 100.0% 11.11 43.92 115.0 GMI 11.4 -142.0 11.5 -142.2 11.5 -142.2 Analysis Plot 20151121 032945 43.1 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 28.10 115.0 AMSR2 11.4 -142.0 11.6 -141.9 11.6 -141.9 Analysis Plot 20151121 083400 29.2 >65 kts 100.0% 11.11 14.25 115.0 SSMI17 12.1 -140.6 12.1 -140.6 12.1 -140.6 Analysis Plot 20151121 095800 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 115.0 SSMI18 12.2 -140.3 12.1 -140.2 12.1 -140.2 Analysis Plot 20151121 160606 24.7 >65 kts 52.1% 44.44 24.72 115.0 GMI 12.8 -138.5 12.9 -138.3 12.9 -138.3 Analysis Plot 20151121 203400 43.5 >65 kts 100.0% 77.77 28.48 110.0 SSMI16 12.9 -137.9 13.1 -137.4 13.1 -137.4 Analysis Plot 20151121 210600 43.3 >65 kts 100.0% 66.66 28.30 110.0 SSMI19 13.1 -137.3 13.1 -137.2 13.1 -137.2 Analysis Plot 20151121 211100 42.2 >65 kts 100.0% 66.66 27.21 110.0 SSMI17 13.2 -137.2 13.2 -137.1 13.2 -137.1 Analysis Plot 20151121 223500 36.8 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 21.79 110.0 SSMI18 13.3 -137.0 13.3 -136.9 13.3 -136.9 Analysis Plot 20151122 041225 10.8 N/A 28.8% 55.55 10.77 105.0 AMSR2 13.8 -135.8 13.8 -135.4 13.8 -135.4 Analysis Plot 20151122 090400 35.8 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 20.84 105.0 SSMI16 14.3 -135.0 14.2 -135.1 14.2 -135.1 Analysis Plot 20151122 094600 33.0 >65 kts 95.9% 44.44 18.01 105.0 SSMI18 14.7 -134.3 14.5 -134.3 14.5 -134.3 Analysis Plot 20151122 095800 39.9 >65 kts 100.0% 66.66 24.92 105.0 SSMI19 14.7 -134.3 14.5 -134.2 14.5 -134.2 Analysis Plot 20151122 202900 46.1 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 31.11 90.0 SSMI16 15.4 -132.5 15.4 -132.7 15.4 -132.7 Analysis Plot 20151122 222200 28.3 >65 kts 93.2% 33.33 13.31 90.0 SSMI18 15.8 -132.1 15.7 -132.2 15.7 -132.2 Analysis Plot 20151123 023838 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 90.0 GMI 16.2 -131.7 16.1 -131.8 16.1 -131.8 Analysis Plot 20151123 045636 48.9 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 33.92 90.0 AMSR2 16.3 -131.6 16.4 -131.6 16.4 -131.6 Analysis Plot 20151123 064815 53.4 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 38.41 90.0 SSMI15 16.4 -131.6 16.4 -131.6 16.4 -131.6 Analysis Plot 20151123 095100 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 90.0 SSMI17 16.8 -131.4 16.8 -131.4 17.3 -131.6 Analysis Plot 20151123 155552 16.6 N/A 39.7% 44.44 16.58 90.0 GMI 17.3 -131.3 17.6 -131.8 17.6 -131.8 Analysis Plot 20151123 182601 34.6 >65 kts 98.6% 99.99 19.62 90.0 SSMI15 17.5 -131.3 18.0 -131.9 18.0 -131.9 Analysis Plot 20151123 201500 35.2 >65 kts 100.0% 88.88 20.22 90.0 SSMI16 17.9 -131.6 18.3 -132.1 18.3 -132.1 Analysis Plot 20151123 221000 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 90.0 SSMI18 18.1 -131.8 18.6 -132.1 18.6 -132.1 Analysis Plot 20151123 221800 43.9 >65 kts 100.0% 99.99 28.85 90.0 SSMI19 18.1 -131.8 18.5 -132.0 18.5 -132.0 Analysis Plot 20151124 040234 2.7 N/A 63.0% 44.44 2.66 85.0 AMSR2 19.1 -132.7 18.7 -132.8 18.7 -132.8 Analysis Plot 20151124 093800 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 80.0 SSMI17 19.6 -133.3 19.6 -133.3 18.9 -134.3 Analysis Plot 20151124 181502 6.6 N/A 23.3% 133.32 6.55 75.0 SSMI15 19.9 -134.6 19.9 -134.6 19.8 -135.1 Analysis Plot 20151124 194400 7.0 N/A 5.5% 133.32 6.95 60.0 SSMI16 19.4 -134.2 19.4 -134.2 19.0 -134.5 Analysis Plot 20151124 220400 2.6 N/A 19.2% 66.66 2.60 60.0 SSMI19 19.7 -134.7 19.7 -134.7 19.5 -135.1 Analysis Plot 20151125 044549 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 50.0 AMSR2 20.2 -135.5 20.2 -135.5 19.9 -135.8 Analysis Plot 20151125 092500 -1.4 N/A 11.9% 88.88 1.41 45.0 SSMI17 20.5 -136.5 20.5 -136.5 20.6 -136.8 Analysis Plot 20151125 165521 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 40.0 AMSR2 21.5 -138.1 21.5 -138.1 21.7 -137.3 Analysis Plot 20151125 214300 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 SSMI18 22.3 -138.8 22.3 -138.8 22.2 -138.1 Analysis Plot 20151125 215000 -6.8 N/A 2.7% 288.86 6.77 35.0 SSMI19 22.3 -138.8 22.3 -138.8 22.4 -138.4 Analysis Plot 20151126 013409 -5.2 N/A 5.5% 188.87 5.24 35.0 GMI 23.0 -139.2 23.0 -139.2 23.0 -139.2 Analysis Plot 20151126 035017 -4.3 N/A 9.6% 88.88 4.34 35.0 AMSR2 23.4 -139.7 23.4 -139.7 23.5 -139.8 Analysis Plot 20151126 090000 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 SSMI18 24.6 -141.1 24.6 -141.1 24.6 -141.5 Analysis Plot 20151126 090600 -12.4 N/A 17.8% 144.43 12.42 35.0 SSMI19 25.0 -141.6 25.0 -141.6 24.7 -141.4 Analysis Plot 20151126 145412 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 GMI 26.2 -143.3 26.2 -143.3 26.7 -143.3 Analysis Plot 20151126 155815 -6.2 N/A 35.6% 44.44 6.22 35.0 AMSR2 26.6 -143.9 26.6 -143.9 26.7 -143.9 Analysis Plot 20151126 213500 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 SSMI19 28.0 -146.4 28.0 -146.4 27.2 -147.9 Analysis Plot |
Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |