Tropical Storm 15L
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Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target
Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon
20161004 213100 -5.7 N/A 21.9% 77.77 5.68 45.0 SSMI16 24.0 61.0 24.0 61.0 23.5 60.7 Analysis Plot
20161004 223700 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 45.0 SSMI17 24.2 61.2 24.2 61.2 23.6 61.4 Analysis Plot
20161004 223700 -3.8 N/A 43.8% 66.66 3.78 45.0 SSMI17 24.3 61.4 24.3 61.4 23.9 60.9 Analysis Plot
20161005 083937 -3.4 N/A 5.5% 55.55 3.42 45.0 GMI 24.3 61.8 24.3 61.8 24.5 61.9 Analysis Plot
20161005 090200 -2.3 N/A N/A 22.22 2.27 45.0 SSMI16 24.3 61.8 24.3 61.8 24.6 62.0 Analysis Plot
20161005 110700 -3.9 N/A 23.3% 44.44 3.87 45.0 SSMI17 24.6 62.1 24.6 62.1 24.7 62.6 Analysis Plot
20161005 182615 -42.5 N/A 100.0% 44.44 27.54 45.0 GMI 25.4 63.2 25.0 63.3 25.0 63.3 Analysis Plot
20161005 212500 -4.4 N/A 67.1% 55.55 4.38 50.0 SSMI16 25.2 63.4 25.2 63.4 25.0 63.5 Analysis Plot
20161005 222300 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 50.0 SSMI17 25.4 63.6 25.4 63.6 25.4 64.3 Analysis Plot
20161005 222300 -7.5 N/A 63.0% 55.55 7.45 50.0 SSMI17 25.5 63.8 25.5 63.8 25.2 63.5 Analysis Plot
20161005 231900 -11.5 N/A 46.6% 55.55 11.53 50.0 SSMI18 25.6 63.8 25.6 63.8 25.2 63.7 Analysis Plot
20161006 054625 4.8 N/A 53.4% 55.55 4.81 60.0 AMSR2 26.2 64.5 26.3 64.4 26.3 64.4 Analysis Plot
20161006 074403 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 SSMI15 26.4 64.6 26.4 64.6 26.3 64.6 Analysis Plot
20161006 095400 6.1 N/A 83.6% 33.33 6.11 60.0 SSMI16 26.4 64.7 26.4 64.7 26.4 64.5 Analysis Plot
20161006 105300 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 SSMI17 26.7 64.8 26.7 64.8 26.8 65.3 Analysis Plot
20161006 114900 38.0 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 23.04 60.0 SSMI18 26.6 64.7 26.6 64.7 26.9 64.6 Analysis Plot
20161006 183746 26.1 >65 kts 91.8% 22.22 11.13 75.0 SSMI15 27.4 65.1 27.4 65.1 27.2 65.1 Analysis Plot
20161006 212100 38.5 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 23.49 75.0 SSMI16 27.5 65.1 27.5 65.1 27.3 65.0 Analysis Plot
20161006 221100 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 75.0 SSMI17 27.6 65.1 27.6 65.1 27.3 65.1 Analysis Plot
20161006 230700 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 75.0 SSMI18 27.6 65.2 27.6 65.2 27.3 65.3 Analysis Plot
20161007 072827 5.9 N/A 15.1% 99.99 5.87 85.0 SSMI15 27.4 65.2 27.6 65.4 27.6 65.4 Analysis Plot
20161007 082932 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 85.0 GMI 27.3 65.2 27.8 65.3 27.8 65.3 Analysis Plot
20161007 094100 5.4 N/A 9.6% 111.10 5.42 85.0 SSMI16 27.3 65.2 27.7 65.3 27.7 65.3 Analysis Plot
20161007 104000 5.7 N/A 11.0% 111.10 5.67 85.0 SSMI17 27.3 65.2 27.5 65.3 27.5 65.3 Analysis Plot
20161007 113600 7.8 N/A N/A 99.99 7.75 65.0 SSMI18 27.7 65.2 27.7 65.2 27.8 65.3 Analysis Plot
20161007 181549 4.5 N/A 11.0% 111.10 4.48 65.0 GMI 27.4 65.3 27.4 65.3 27.1 65.4 Analysis Plot
20161007 215800 6.9 N/A 8.2% 122.21 6.86 55.0 SSMI17 26.9 65.2 26.9 65.2 26.8 65.3 Analysis Plot
20161007 225500 3.4 N/A 1.4% 122.21 3.40 55.0 SSMI18 26.8 65.1 26.8 65.1 26.6 65.4 Analysis Plot
20161008 073700 -6.5 N/A N/A 111.10 6.48 45.0 GMI 26.0 65.6 26.0 65.6 25.9 65.5 Analysis Plot
20161008 092800 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 45.0 SSMI16 26.0 65.6 26.0 65.6 25.8 65.4 Analysis Plot
20161008 102800 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 45.0 SSMI17 25.7 65.6 25.7 65.6 25.4 65.6 Analysis Plot
20161008 224100 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 45.0 SSMI18 24.7 65.8 24.7 65.8 24.2 66.5 Analysis Plot
20161008 224100 -4.5 N/A 11.8% 199.98 4.47 45.0 SSMI18 24.6 65.8 24.6 65.8 24.7 66.3 Analysis Plot
20161009 061724 -28.1 N/A 93.2% 66.66 13.05 45.0 AMSR2 24.3 65.7 24.3 65.3 24.3 65.3 Analysis Plot
20161009 111300 -11.8 N/A 20.5% 77.77 11.78 45.0 SSMI18 24.3 65.7 24.3 65.7 24.0 65.5 Analysis Plot
20161009 171425 -0.2 N/A 67.1% 77.77 .18 50.0 AMSR2 24.0 65.4 23.6 65.1 23.6 65.1 Analysis Plot
20161009 222900 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 SSMI18 24.2 65.3 24.2 65.3 23.7 65.0 Analysis Plot
20161009 223000 4.0 N/A N/A 55.55 3.99 55.0 SSMI18 24.4 65.3 24.4 65.3 24.3 65.1 Analysis Plot
20161010 072628 5.9 N/A 21.9% 77.77 5.88 55.0 GMI 24.9 65.2 24.7 65.0 24.7 65.0 Analysis Plot
20161010 171308 -6.6 N/A 19.2% 199.98 6.61 50.0 GMI 25.9 65.2 25.9 65.2 26.1 65.2 Analysis Plot
20161010 191503 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 50.0 SSMI15 26.2 65.4 26.2 65.4 26.3 65.3 Analysis Plot
20161010 221900 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 50.0 SSMI18 26.5 65.5 26.5 65.5 26.2 64.9 Analysis Plot
20161010 230000 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 50.0 SSMI17 26.5 65.5 26.5 65.5 26.9 65.6 Analysis Plot
20161011 060427 -7.4 N/A 16.4% 111.10 7.35 50.0 AMSR2 27.0 65.8 26.9 65.6 26.9 65.6 Analysis Plot
20161011 080839 -6.9 N/A 20.5% 99.99 6.86 50.0 SSMI15 27.0 65.9 27.0 65.9 27.0 65.7 Analysis Plot
20161011 094400 -1.3 N/A 28.8% 88.88 1.28 50.0 SSMI16 27.1 65.9 27.1 65.9 27.0 65.8 Analysis Plot
20161011 112800 -3.1 N/A 42.5% 66.66 3.05 50.0 SSMI17 27.2 66.1 27.2 66.1 27.1 65.7 Analysis Plot
20161011 170405 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 AMSR2 27.4 66.0 27.4 66.0 27.3 65.7 Analysis Plot
20161011 185833 19.3 N/A 49.3% 66.66 19.33 70.0 SSMI15 27.4 66.3 27.3 66.2 27.3 66.2 Analysis Plot
20161011 221500 39.7 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 24.74 70.0 SSMI16 27.4 66.4 27.1 66.4 27.1 66.4 Analysis Plot
20161012 064832 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 80.0 AMSR2 27.7 66.9 27.7 66.9 27.8 67.0 Analysis Plot
20161012 072955 44.8 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 29.80 80.0 SSMI15 27.8 67.0 27.8 66.9 27.8 66.9 Analysis Plot
20161012 101700 41.5 >65 kts 100.0% 66.66 26.49 80.0 SSMI16 27.9 67.0 27.9 66.9 27.9 66.9 Analysis Plot
20161012 111300 53.7 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 38.68 80.0 SSMI17 28.2 67.1 28.0 66.8 28.0 66.8 Analysis Plot
20161012 170152 66.9 >85 kts 100.0% 77.77 51.92 85.0 GMI 28.6 66.9 28.5 66.8 28.5 66.8 Analysis Plot
20161012 174546 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 85.0 AMSR2 28.7 66.9 28.7 66.9 28.7 66.9 Analysis Plot
20161012 184359 47.7 >65 kts 100.0% 66.66 32.66 95.0 SSMI15 29.0 66.7 28.8 66.6 28.8 66.6 Analysis Plot
20161012 212500 69.8 >85 kts 100.0% 66.66 54.77 95.0 SSMI16 29.1 66.6 28.9 66.6 28.9 66.6 Analysis Plot
20161013 062517 16.7 N/A 54.8% 55.55 16.66 115.0 GMI 30.7 66.2 30.7 65.9 30.7 65.9 Analysis Plot
20161013 071313 17.2 N/A 52.1% 55.55 17.19 115.0 SSMI15 30.9 66.0 30.9 65.8 30.9 65.8 Analysis Plot
20161013 100400 10.5 N/A 26.0% 66.66 10.55 115.0 SSMI16 31.0 65.9 31.1 65.7 31.1 65.7 Analysis Plot
20161013 105900 4.9 N/A 8.2% 155.54 4.88 115.0 SSMI17 31.5 65.4 31.0 65.2 31.0 65.2 Analysis Plot
20161013 120200 14.1 N/A 45.2% 44.44 14.08 110.0 SSMI18 31.7 65.0 31.6 65.0 31.6 65.0 Analysis Plot
20161013 160934 2.6 N/A 35.6% 122.21 2.60 110.0 GMI 32.5 64.3 32.4 64.2 32.4 64.2 Analysis Plot
20161013 165305 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 110.0 AMSR2 32.5 64.3 32.2 63.9 32.2 63.9 Analysis Plot
20161013 183053 12.7 N/A 21.9% 55.55 12.73 95.0 SSMI15 33.3 63.6 33.1 63.9 33.1 63.9 Analysis Plot
20161013 212000 20.2 >65 kts 30.1% 55.55 20.21 95.0 SSMI16 33.4 63.4 33.3 63.4 33.3 63.4 Analysis Plot
20161013 222000 2.5 N/A 21.9% 122.21 2.53 95.0 SSMI17 34.0 62.7 33.4 62.8 33.4 62.8 Analysis Plot
20161014 065342 4.6 N/A N/A 222.20 4.57 75.0 SSMI15 35.2 59.7 35.0 60.1 35.0 60.1 Analysis Plot
20161014 092300 4.0 N/A N/A 211.09 4.01 75.0 SSMI16 35.3 59.5 35.1 60.0 35.1 60.0 Analysis Plot
20161014 104500 4.3 N/A N/A 222.20 4.32 75.0 SSMI17 35.7 58.5 35.6 58.9 35.6 58.9 Analysis Plot
20161014 114900 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 75.0 SSMI18 35.8 58.1 35.7 58.7 35.7 58.7 Analysis Plot
20161014 151732 2.8 N/A N/A 177.76 2.81 70.0 GMI 35.8 57.9 35.8 57.9 35.7 57.5 Analysis Plot
20161014 181456 0.8 N/A N/A 33.33 .79 65.0 SSMI15 36.3 56.3 36.3 56.3 35.9 56.0 Analysis Plot
20161014 213600 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 65.0 SSMI16 36.4 56.1 36.4 56.1 36.0 55.5 Analysis Plot
20161014 220900 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 65.0 SSMI17 36.7 55.1 36.7 55.1 36.8 55.4 Analysis Plot
20161015 142537 7.3 N/A 6.1% 222.20 7.34 65.0 GMI 39.0 50.2 38.6 50.4 38.6 50.4 Analysis Plot
20161015 164047 4.6 N/A 6.8% 199.98 4.62 75.0 AMSR2 39.0 50.1 39.0 50.1 39.0 50.1 Analysis Plot
20161015 180117 4.0 N/A N/A 188.87 4.02 75.0 SSMI15 39.4 49.7 39.4 49.7 39.0 49.8 Analysis Plot
20161015 211800 2.9 N/A 24.7% 188.87 2.87 75.0 SSMI18 39.4 49.2 39.4 49.2 39.2 48.9 Analysis Plot
20161016 052743 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 75.0 GMI 39.4 48.0 39.4 48.0 39.5 48.6 Analysis Plot
20161016 101700 3.7 N/A N/A 222.20 3.69 75.0 SSMI17 39.2 47.5 39.2 47.7 39.2 47.7 Analysis Plot
20161016 133336 8.2 N/A 16.4% 88.88 8.15 75.0 GMI 39.0 47.0 38.7 46.7 38.7 46.7 Analysis Plot
20161016 154554 1.4 N/A 9.6% 111.10 1.44 75.0 AMSR2 39.1 46.6 39.2 46.3 39.2 46.3 Analysis Plot
20161017 043703 7.5 N/A 24.7% 211.09 7.45 70.0 GMI 40.7 45.3 40.8 45.6 40.8 45.6 Analysis Plot
20161017 052339 5.9 N/A 35.6% 177.76 5.86 65.0 AMSR2 40.7 45.5 40.6 45.8 40.6 45.8 Analysis Plot
20161017 162936 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 65.0 AMSR2 41.5 44.4 41.7 44.1 41.7 44.1 Analysis Plot
20161018 042655 2.1 N/A 13.7% 99.99 2.07 60.0 AMSR2 45.6 40.2 45.6 40.2 44.9 39.8 Analysis Plot
20161018 063738 4.7 N/A N/A 99.99 4.65 60.0 SSMI15 45.9 39.9 45.9 39.9 45.3 39.3 Analysis Plot
20161018 085800 3.9 N/A N/A 111.10 3.94 55.0 SSMI16 46.2 39.8 46.2 39.8 46.2 38.7 Analysis Plot
20161018 114826 2.0 N/A N/A 66.66 2.05 55.0 GMI 48.6 38.7 48.6 38.7 48.5 37.2 Analysis Plot
20161018 153554 5.8 N/A 13.7% 122.21 5.75 55.0 AMSR2 50.2 37.7 50.2 37.7 50.8 35.9 Analysis Plot
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Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |
