Tropical Storm 04S
Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon 20170204 143800 -6.6 N/A 41.1% 22.22 6.57 35.0 SSMI18 -16.9 -56.5 -16.9 -56.5 -16.8 -56.5 Analysis Plot 20170204 151900 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 SSMI17 -17.0 -56.5 -17.0 -56.5 -16.8 -56.4 Analysis Plot 20170204 232244 -2.2 N/A 5.5% 211.09 2.20 35.0 SSMI15 -17.6 -56.6 -17.6 -56.6 -17.0 -56.4 Analysis Plot 20170205 023000 -4.6 N/A 57.5% 22.22 4.62 35.0 SSMI17 -17.5 -56.7 -17.5 -56.7 -17.1 -56.9 Analysis Plot 20170205 105757 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 GMI -17.8 -56.8 -17.8 -57.0 -17.8 -57.0 Analysis Plot 20170205 123422 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 35.0 SSMI15 -17.8 -56.8 -17.8 -56.8 -17.8 -57.0 Analysis Plot 20170205 150500 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 45.0 SSMI17 -17.6 -57.1 -17.6 -57.1 -17.7 -57.3 Analysis Plot 20170205 230814 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 45.0 SSMI15 -17.8 -57.2 -17.8 -57.2 -18.0 -57.8 Analysis Plot 20170206 001543 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 45.0 GMI -17.8 -57.2 -17.8 -57.2 -18.2 -58.0 Analysis Plot 20170206 021700 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 SSMI17 -18.0 -57.9 -18.0 -57.9 -18.6 -58.0 Analysis Plot 20170206 093747 6.4 N/A N/A 122.21 6.41 55.0 AMSR2 -18.4 -57.9 -18.4 -57.9 -18.0 -57.4 Analysis Plot 20170206 122656 8.7 N/A N/A 188.87 8.75 55.0 SSMI15 -18.5 -57.8 -18.5 -57.8 -18.0 -57.5 Analysis Plot 20170206 145100 4.6 N/A N/A 111.10 4.57 55.0 SSMI17 -18.3 -57.0 -18.3 -57.0 -18.5 -56.7 Analysis Plot 20170207 010300 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 SSMI16 -19.0 -56.4 -19.0 -56.4 -19.5 -56.2 Analysis Plot 20170207 020500 -6.6 N/A N/A 188.87 6.64 45.0 SSMI17 -19.2 -56.1 -19.2 -56.1 -19.1 -56.0 Analysis Plot 20170207 104826 -7.2 N/A 16.4% 111.10 7.16 45.0 GMI -19.9 -55.3 -19.9 -55.3 -20.1 -54.7 Analysis Plot 20170207 131500 -6.2 N/A 12.3% 211.09 6.19 45.0 SSMI16 -20.0 -55.2 -20.0 -55.2 -20.2 -54.5 Analysis Plot 20170207 143800 -6.3 N/A 1.4% 155.54 6.26 45.0 SSMI17 -20.2 -54.1 -20.2 -54.1 -20.1 -54.5 Analysis Plot 20170207 211553 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 45.0 AMSR2 -21.0 -53.2 -21.4 -53.8 -21.4 -53.8 Analysis Plot 20170208 000658 -17.7 N/A 100.0% 11.11 2.67 45.0 GMI -21.2 -53.0 -21.8 -53.4 -21.8 -53.4 Analysis Plot 20170208 004800 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 45.0 SSMI16 -21.1 -53.1 -21.1 -53.1 -21.7 -53.5 Analysis Plot 20170208 025400 -32.2 N/A 87.7% 22.22 17.25 40.0 SSMI18 -21.4 -53.2 -21.4 -53.2 -21.8 -53.1 Analysis Plot 20170208 152700 -35.6 N/A 100.0% 33.33 20.55 40.0 SSMI18 -22.8 -52.5 -22.8 -52.5 -22.8 -52.8 Analysis Plot 20170208 215819 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 40.0 AMSR2 -23.5 -52.5 -23.3 -53.1 -23.3 -53.1 Analysis Plot 20170209 000319 -12.5 N/A 68.5% 33.33 12.45 40.0 SSMI15 -23.6 -52.5 -23.6 -52.5 -23.4 -53.2 Analysis Plot 20170209 024300 48.7 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 33.74 55.0 SSMI18 -23.9 -53.4 -23.9 -53.4 -23.6 -53.4 Analysis Plot 20170209 100646 9.7 N/A 61.6% 44.44 9.69 55.0 AMSR2 -24.6 -53.9 -24.6 -53.9 -24.3 -54.2 Analysis Plot 20170209 132204 6.4 N/A 49.3% 44.44 6.36 55.0 SSMI15 -24.7 -54.0 -24.7 -54.0 -24.4 -54.6 Analysis Plot 20170209 210429 8.5 N/A 37.0% 122.21 8.50 60.0 AMSR2 -25.6 -55.8 -25.6 -55.8 -25.5 -56.2 Analysis Plot 20170210 001014 5.1 N/A 42.5% 66.66 5.15 60.0 SSMI15 -25.8 -56.0 -25.8 -56.0 -26.0 -56.4 Analysis Plot 20170210 002400 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 SSMI16 -25.7 -56.0 -25.7 -56.0 -26.2 -56.3 Analysis Plot 20170210 023100 -920.0 N/A 100.0% 22.22 .06 60.0 SSMI18 -26.7 -56.9 -26.7 -56.9 -27.2 -58.0 Analysis Plot 20170210 124714 1.8 N/A 37.0% 88.88 1.83 60.0 SSMI15 -28.0 -58.7 -28.0 -58.7 -28.1 -59.2 Analysis Plot 20170210 150000 -3.5 N/A N/A 44.44 3.47 45.0 SSMI18 -28.5 -60.7 -28.5 -60.7 -28.5 -60.5 Analysis Plot 20170211 001100 -4.1 N/A 1.4% 188.87 4.08 45.0 SSMI16 -29.4 -62.6 -29.4 -62.6 -28.9 -62.6 Analysis Plot 20170211 021900 -4.4 N/A 17.8% 133.32 4.44 40.0 SSMI18 -29.3 -63.0 -29.3 -63.0 -29.4 -63.3 Analysis Plot 20170211 095304 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 40.0 AMSR2 -30.0 -64.7 -30.0 -64.7 -30.0 -64.7 Analysis Plot 20170211 123010 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 40.0 SSMI15 -30.1 -64.9 -30.1 -64.9 -30.8 -65.9 Analysis Plot 20170211 144600 -2.5 N/A 20.5% 188.87 2.52 45.0 SSMI18 -30.7 -65.4 -30.7 -65.4 -31.1 -66.0 Analysis Plot 20170211 221647 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 45.0 GMI -31.1 -66.2 -31.1 -66.2 -31.0 -66.6 Analysis Plot |
Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |