Tropical Storm 11L
Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon 20170830 172800 -6.5 N/A 5.5% 22.22 6.49 40.0 SSMI16 16.4 30.5 16.4 30.5 16.3 30.5 Analysis Plot 20170830 200700 -8.0 N/A 61.6% 44.44 7.96 45.0 SSMI17 16.3 30.9 16.3 30.9 16.3 31.2 Analysis Plot 20170830 204400 -0.6 N/A 41.1% 22.22 .58 45.0 SSMI18 16.4 31.0 16.4 31.0 16.3 31.3 Analysis Plot 20170831 084200 50.3 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 35.29 60.0 SSMI17 16.5 32.9 16.5 32.9 16.5 32.9 Analysis Plot 20170831 092000 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 SSMI18 16.5 33.0 16.5 33.0 16.5 32.2 Analysis Plot 20170831 163012 4.4 N/A 50.7% 11.11 4.35 75.0 GMI 17.0 34.0 17.0 34.0 17.0 34.0 Analysis Plot 20170831 181524 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 75.0 SSMI15 17.0 34.0 17.0 34.0 17.1 34.1 Analysis Plot 20170831 203100 11.6 N/A 75.3% 88.88 11.57 100.0 SSMI18 17.2 34.6 17.2 34.5 17.2 34.5 Analysis Plot 20170901 054728 4.7 N/A 17.8% 11.11 4.72 100.0 GMI 18.0 36.0 18.0 36.2 18.0 36.2 Analysis Plot 20170901 090600 2.3 N/A 11.0% 77.77 2.26 100.0 SSMI18 18.2 36.5 18.2 36.7 18.2 36.7 Analysis Plot 20170901 154034 80.5 >85 kts 100.0% 33.33 65.46 95.0 AMSR2 18.5 37.8 18.7 38.0 18.7 38.0 Analysis Plot 20170901 202000 48.2 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 33.18 100.0 SSMI18 18.8 38.8 18.8 38.9 18.8 38.9 Analysis Plot 20170901 212300 48.7 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 33.71 100.0 SSMI17 18.8 39.0 18.9 39.1 18.9 39.1 Analysis Plot 20170901 212300 50.3 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 35.29 100.0 SSMI17 18.8 39.3 18.9 39.1 18.9 39.1 Analysis Plot 20170902 083200 36.7 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 21.74 100.0 SSMI16 19.1 41.3 19.1 41.6 19.1 41.6 Analysis Plot 20170902 085400 31.5 >65 kts 86.3% 22.22 16.46 100.0 SSMI18 19.0 41.8 18.9 41.9 18.9 41.9 Analysis Plot 20170902 095600 13.0 N/A 80.8% 22.22 12.99 100.0 SSMI17 19.0 42.1 18.9 42.3 18.9 42.3 Analysis Plot 20170902 161924 49.7 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 34.73 95.0 GMI 18.8 43.6 18.7 43.7 18.7 43.7 Analysis Plot 20170902 162340 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 95.0 AMSR2 18.8 43.5 18.8 43.5 18.8 43.5 Analysis Plot 20170902 210900 27.9 >65 kts 94.5% 11.11 12.89 95.0 SSMI17 18.5 44.5 18.5 44.8 18.5 44.8 Analysis Plot 20170903 053711 54.6 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 39.59 95.0 GMI 18.2 46.7 18.2 46.7 18.2 46.7 Analysis Plot 20170903 080900 36.0 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 21.01 95.0 SSMI16 18.2 47.0 18.2 46.9 18.2 46.9 Analysis Plot 20170903 213500 52.0 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 37.00 100.0 SSMI18 17.6 49.8 17.4 49.9 17.4 49.9 Analysis Plot 20170903 213600 51.5 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 36.54 100.0 SSMI18 17.5 50.1 17.4 49.9 17.4 49.9 Analysis Plot 20170904 064704 42.6 >65 kts 100.0% 77.77 27.64 100.0 SSMI15 17.0 51.8 17.0 51.7 17.0 51.7 Analysis Plot 20170904 101000 48.1 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 33.12 100.0 SSMI18 16.9 52.6 16.9 52.3 16.9 52.3 Analysis Plot 20170904 212400 69.3 >85 kts 100.0% 55.55 54.34 115.0 SSMI18 16.7 54.3 16.7 54.5 16.7 54.5 Analysis Plot 20170904 222400 69.6 >85 kts 100.0% 55.55 54.62 115.0 SSMI17 16.7 54.5 16.7 54.8 16.7 54.8 Analysis Plot 20170904 222400 69.1 >85 kts 100.0% 55.55 54.08 115.0 SSMI17 16.7 54.8 16.7 54.8 16.7 54.8 Analysis Plot 20170905 095900 101.7 >85 kts 100.0% 55.55 86.65 125.0 SSMI18 16.6 57.3 16.8 57.3 16.8 57.3 Analysis Plot 20170905 105900 94.6 >85 kts 100.0% 66.66 79.56 150.0 SSMI17 16.7 57.6 16.7 57.7 16.7 57.7 Analysis Plot 20170905 165238 105.1 >85 kts 100.0% 55.55 90.07 155.0 GMI 16.9 58.8 16.9 58.9 16.9 58.9 Analysis Plot 20170905 185248 80.5 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 65.53 160.0 SSMI15 17.0 59.5 17.0 59.2 17.0 59.2 Analysis Plot 20170905 221000 96.4 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 81.43 160.0 SSMI17 17.1 59.9 17.1 60.0 17.1 60.0 Analysis Plot 20170906 060922 99.4 >85 kts 100.0% 55.55 84.43 160.0 GMI 17.6 61.8 17.8 62.0 17.8 62.0 Analysis Plot 20170906 090700 100.4 >85 kts 100.0% 55.55 85.41 160.0 SSMI16 17.8 62.3 17.9 62.3 17.9 62.3 Analysis Plot 20170906 104500 88.9 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 73.93 160.0 SSMI17 18.0 63.1 18.0 63.1 18.0 63.1 Analysis Plot 20170906 224000 85.6 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 70.56 160.0 SSMI18 18.9 65.6 18.9 65.7 18.9 65.7 Analysis Plot 20170906 224100 84.2 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 69.20 160.0 SSMI18 19.0 66.0 18.9 65.7 18.9 65.7 Analysis Plot 20170907 073953 74.0 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 59.01 155.0 SSMI15 19.9 68.0 19.9 67.9 19.9 67.9 Analysis Plot 20170907 111400 66.8 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 51.76 155.0 SSMI18 20.2 68.9 20.2 68.8 20.2 68.8 Analysis Plot 20170907 164124 50.7 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 35.67 150.0 GMI 20.5 70.1 20.8 70.1 20.8 70.1 Analysis Plot 20170907 222900 64.3 >85 kts 100.0% 33.33 49.28 150.0 SSMI18 21.0 71.3 21.0 71.5 21.0 71.5 Analysis Plot 20170907 232700 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 150.0 SSMI17 21.0 71.5 21.0 71.5 21.1 71.8 Analysis Plot 20170907 232700 57.6 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 42.59 150.0 SSMI17 21.1 71.8 21.2 71.8 21.2 71.8 Analysis Plot 20170908 055958 78.3 >85 kts 100.0% 99.99 63.27 150.0 GMI 21.5 73.1 21.5 73.3 21.5 73.3 Analysis Plot 20170908 063137 75.5 >85 kts 100.0% 99.99 60.49 140.0 AMSR2 21.6 73.4 21.6 73.4 21.6 73.4 Analysis Plot 20170908 115800 70.6 >85 kts 100.0% 88.88 55.57 130.0 SSMI17 21.8 74.8 21.7 74.6 21.7 74.6 Analysis Plot 20170908 194614 56.9 >65 kts 100.0% 77.77 41.95 135.0 SSMI15 22.1 76.4 22.1 76.3 22.1 76.3 Analysis Plot 20170908 221100 61.7 >85 kts 100.0% 66.66 46.69 135.0 SSMI16 22.1 76.4 22.1 76.4 22.1 76.4 Analysis Plot 20170908 231300 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 135.0 SSMI17 22.1 76.8 22.1 76.8 21.8 76.9 Analysis Plot 20170908 231300 68.7 >85 kts 100.0% 66.66 53.71 140.0 SSMI17 22.1 77.2 22.1 77.1 22.1 77.1 Analysis Plot 20170909 084038 47.5 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 32.53 140.0 SSMI15 22.5 78.8 22.5 78.7 22.5 78.7 Analysis Plot 20170909 102200 42.6 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 27.59 140.0 SSMI16 22.5 78.7 22.5 78.7 22.5 78.7 Analysis Plot 20170909 114500 57.1 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 42.15 115.0 SSMI17 22.7 79.3 22.8 79.3 22.8 79.3 Analysis Plot 20170909 123100 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 115.0 SSMI18 22.7 79.4 22.7 79.4 22.9 79.9 Analysis Plot 20170909 162908 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 115.0 GMI 22.9 80.0 23.0 79.9 23.0 79.9 Analysis Plot 20170909 193225 45.0 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 30.01 110.0 SSMI15 23.3 80.4 23.2 80.3 23.2 80.3 Analysis Plot 20170909 234600 66.5 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 51.50 110.0 SSMI18 23.5 80.7 23.3 80.9 23.3 80.9 Analysis Plot 20170909 234600 66.8 >85 kts 100.0% 44.44 51.83 105.0 SSMI18 23.4 80.9 23.2 80.9 23.2 80.9 Analysis Plot 20170910 082535 20.2 >65 kts 57.5% 44.44 20.24 115.0 SSMI15 24.0 81.5 24.0 81.4 24.0 81.4 Analysis Plot 20170910 121600 36.9 >65 kts 100.0% 33.33 21.93 115.0 SSMI18 24.6 81.5 24.6 81.5 24.6 81.5 Analysis Plot 20170910 185355 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 100.0 AMSR2 25.7 81.7 25.7 81.7 24.7 81.9 Analysis Plot 20170910 233400 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 100.0 SSMI18 26.5 81.9 26.6 81.7 26.6 81.7 Analysis Plot 20170910 233400 1.8 N/A 39.7% 211.09 1.76 90.0 SSMI18 26.9 81.7 26.7 81.5 26.7 81.5 Analysis Plot 20170911 063258 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 90.0 GMI 28.3 82.2 28.1 82.7 28.1 82.7 Analysis Plot 20170911 070056 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 75.0 AMSR2 28.6 82.4 28.1 82.5 28.1 82.5 Analysis Plot 20170911 114100 3.8 N/A N/A 222.20 3.83 75.0 SSMI16 29.1 82.7 29.1 82.7 28.7 82.3 Analysis Plot 20170911 120300 1.4 N/A N/A 188.87 1.44 60.0 SSMI18 29.7 82.8 29.7 82.8 29.3 82.2 Analysis Plot 20170911 125800 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 SSMI17 30.0 82.9 30.0 82.9 30.5 83.8 Analysis Plot 20170911 161705 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 60.0 GMI 30.6 83.3 30.6 83.3 30.1 83.3 Analysis Plot 20170911 232300 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 40.0 SSMI18 31.9 84.4 31.9 84.4 31.0 84.3 Analysis Plot 20170912 001900 -0.2 N/A N/A 11.11 .20 40.0 SSMI17 32.1 84.6 32.1 84.6 31.6 84.2 Analysis Plot 20170912 093845 -0.3 N/A N/A 11.11 .33 40.0 SSMI15 33.5 86.0 33.5 86.0 33.1 85.7 Analysis Plot |
Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |