Tropical Storm 15L
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Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 |
Overpass Inten Ring Ring Wind Forecast Final Target
Date Time Score Meaning Pct Diam BTdiff Est Sat Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon
20170917 100100 0.0 N/A 32.9% 22.22 .03 55.0 SSMI17 13.1 55.1 13.1 55.1 12.9 55.3 Analysis Plot
20170917 220200 52.3 >65 kts 100.0% 44.44 37.33 65.0 SSMI18 13.8 57.6 13.9 57.6 13.9 57.6 Analysis Plot
20170918 020144 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 75.0 GMI 14.1 58.3 14.0 58.2 14.0 58.2 Analysis Plot
20170918 053143 35.3 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 20.32 80.0 AMSR2 14.4 59.0 14.3 58.9 14.3 58.9 Analysis Plot
20170918 132930 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 100.0 GMI 14.6 59.9 14.6 59.9 14.7 60.0 Analysis Plot
20170918 184521 36.6 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 21.64 110.0 SSMI15 15.0 60.5 15.0 60.4 15.0 60.4 Analysis Plot
20170919 075159 55.2 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 40.25 135.0 SSMI15 15.9 62.1 15.9 62.1 15.9 62.1 Analysis Plot
20170919 094300 52.9 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 37.95 135.0 SSMI16 15.9 62.2 15.9 62.2 15.9 62.2 Analysis Plot
20170919 075159 55.2 >65 kts 100.0% 22.22 40.25 135.0 SSMI15 15.9 62.1 15.9 62.1 15.9 62.1 Analysis Plot
20170920 015259 76.7 >85 kts 100.0% 11.11 61.75 150.0 GMI 17.2 64.6 17.2 64.5 17.2 64.5 Analysis Plot
20170920 093000 80.3 >85 kts 100.0% 55.55 65.31 140.0 SSMI16 17.8 65.4 17.9 65.4 17.9 65.4 Analysis Plot
20170921 060128 83.6 >85 kts 100.0% 111.10 68.56 100.0 AMSR2 19.4 68.2 19.4 68.1 19.4 68.1 Analysis Plot
20170921 122555 68.6 >85 kts 114.1% 88.88 53.58 100.0 GMI 19.9 68.7 20.0 68.8 20.0 68.8 Analysis Plot
20170922 014428 20.8 >65 kts 49.3% 66.66 20.78 110.0 GMI 20.9 70.1 21.0 70.1 21.0 70.1 Analysis Plot
20170922 064402 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 110.0 AMSR2 21.4 70.5 21.4 70.5 20.6 69.6 Analysis Plot
20170922 204900 14.0 N/A 1.4% 44.44 13.98 110.0 SSMI16 23.0 71.3 23.2 71.4 23.2 71.4 Analysis Plot
20170923 104100 17.7 N/A 26.0% 66.66 17.66 105.0 SSMI16 24.8 72.0 24.8 72.1 24.8 72.1 Analysis Plot
20170923 121454 22.2 >65 kts 61.6% 88.88 22.19 105.0 GMI 25.2 72.1 25.1 72.1 25.1 72.1 Analysis Plot
20170923 221700 55.6 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 40.62 100.0 SSMI16 26.2 72.5 26.0 72.3 26.0 72.3 Analysis Plot
20170924 013626 19.6 N/A 41.1% 55.55 19.56 100.0 GMI 26.8 72.5 26.8 72.3 26.8 72.3 Analysis Plot
20170924 102800 37.2 >65 kts 100.0% 66.66 22.23 100.0 SSMI16 27.9 72.7 28.0 72.6 28.0 72.6 Analysis Plot
20170924 202300 42.1 >65 kts 100.0% 55.55 27.05 90.0 SSMI16 29.2 73.0 29.2 72.8 29.2 72.8 Analysis Plot
20170925 100500 2.0 N/A N/A 99.99 2.00 75.0 SSMI16 30.6 73.0 30.6 73.1 30.6 73.1 Analysis Plot
20170925 210900 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 70.0 SSMI16 31.6 73.1 31.5 73.0 31.5 73.0 Analysis Plot
20170926 012830 2.7 N/A 5.5% 222.20 2.72 70.0 GMI 32.2 73.1 32.0 73.2 32.0 73.2 Analysis Plot
20170926 061657 3.5 N/A 11.0% 99.99 3.51 65.0 AMSR2 32.7 73.1 32.7 73.3 32.7 73.3 Analysis Plot
20170926 111159 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 65.0 GMI 33.1 73.1 33.4 73.4 33.4 73.4 Analysis Plot
20170926 195800 1.4 N/A 6.8% 144.43 1.39 60.0 SSMI16 34.0 73.0 34.0 73.0 34.1 73.0 Analysis Plot
20170927 101939 3.5 N/A N/A 33.33 3.52 60.0 GMI 35.2 72.9 35.2 72.9 35.3 72.9 Analysis Plot
20170927 201900 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 65.0 SSMI16 36.1 72.2 35.9 72.0 35.9 72.0 Analysis Plot
20170928 012114 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 65.0 GMI 36.7 71.7 36.7 71.7 36.7 71.7 Analysis Plot
20170929 002911 -0.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 55.0 GMI 36.9 66.6 36.9 66.6 36.2 66.5 Analysis Plot
20170929 064623 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 50.0 AMSR2 37.1 64.1 37.1 64.1 37.0 64.1 Analysis Plot
20170930 074452 -930.0 N/A N/A N/A 0.00 50.0 GMI 39.4 51.2 39.4 51.2 39.0 50.7 Analysis Plot
20170930 090900 -8.0 N/A 27.4% 77.77 8.05 50.0 SSMI16 39.3 51.5 39.3 51.5 39.4 50.5 Analysis Plot
20170930 224854 -5.1 N/A 6.8% 144.43 5.06 45.0 GMI 42.4 42.9 42.4 42.9 41.9 42.9 Analysis Plot
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Legend: - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position. - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere. - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km). - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater. - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85. - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs. - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data. |
