Tropical Storm 18P


Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 8.2.1
 

         Overpass     Inten           Ring    Ring          Wind           Forecast        Final        Target  
       Date    Time   Score  Meaning   Pct    Diam  BTdiff   Est   Sat    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon              
     20170502 185500 -920.0      N/A 100.0%  11.11    8.55  40.0 SSMI17 -13.0 -171.9  -12.6 -172.4  -12.6 -172.4 Analysis Plot     
     20170502 193000 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  40.0 SSMI18 -13.0 -172.0  -13.0 -172.0  -12.5 -171.8 Analysis Plot     
     20170503 042951   -4.2      N/A  49.3% 122.21    4.18  40.0 SSMI15 -13.1 -172.1  -13.1 -172.1  -12.7 -171.3 Analysis Plot     
     20170503 073200   45.5  >65 kts 100.0%  77.77   30.53  55.0 SSMI17 -12.7 -171.1  -12.7 -171.1  -12.6 -171.1 Analysis Plot     
     20170503 184200    5.6      N/A  78.1%  22.22    5.58  65.0 SSMI17 -12.9 -169.6  -12.7 -169.2  -12.7 -169.2 Analysis Plot     
     20170503 191700 -920.0      N/A 100.0%  22.22     .42  65.0 SSMI18 -13.0 -169.5  -12.7 -168.5  -12.7 -168.5 Analysis Plot     
     20170504 015914   37.0  >65 kts 100.0%  44.44   22.03  65.0    GMI -13.1 -169.0  -12.4 -168.2  -12.4 -168.2 Analysis Plot     
     20170504 071900   29.2  >65 kts  91.8%  44.44   14.20  80.0 SSMI17 -12.4 -168.1  -12.6 -167.8  -12.6 -167.8 Analysis Plot     
     20170504 075400   25.3  >65 kts  89.0%  33.33   10.26  80.0 SSMI18 -12.4 -168.0  -12.7 -167.7  -12.7 -167.7 Analysis Plot     
     20170504 075400   25.9  >65 kts  89.0%  33.33   10.94  80.0 SSMI18 -12.5 -167.8  -12.7 -167.7  -12.7 -167.7 Analysis Plot     
     20170504 151459   22.1  >65 kts 100.0%  22.22    7.13  80.0    GMI -12.7 -167.3  -12.8 -166.7  -12.8 -166.7 Analysis Plot     
     20170504 161921   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  80.0 SSMI15 -12.7 -167.3  -12.8 -166.6  -12.8 -166.6 Analysis Plot     
     20170504 190400    8.0      N/A  47.9%  77.77    8.01  85.0 SSMI18 -13.1 -166.7  -12.8 -166.5  -12.8 -166.5 Analysis Plot     
     20170505 052531 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  85.0 SSMI15 -13.2 -165.9  -13.5 -165.7  -13.5 -165.7 Analysis Plot     
     20170505 070600   60.8  >85 kts 100.0% 111.10   45.80  90.0 SSMI17 -13.6 -165.6  -13.6 -165.5  -13.6 -165.5 Analysis Plot     
     20170505 074200   57.8  >65 kts 100.0% 111.10   42.83  90.0 SSMI18 -13.6 -165.5  -13.7 -165.3  -13.7 -165.3 Analysis Plot     
     20170505 074200 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  90.0 SSMI18 -13.7 -165.4  -13.7 -165.3  -13.7 -165.3 Analysis Plot     
     20170505 155523   31.3  >65 kts  90.4%  66.66   16.25  90.0 SSMI15 -13.9 -164.8  -13.6 -164.3  -13.6 -164.3 Analysis Plot     
     20170505 173900   53.4  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   38.35  90.0 SSMI16 -13.9 -164.7  -13.3 -164.3  -13.3 -164.3 Analysis Plot     
     20170506 014920    0.4      N/A  32.9%  99.99     .42  90.0    GMI -13.5 -164.0  -13.2 -163.9  -13.2 -163.9 Analysis Plot     
     20170506 054100    7.9      N/A  15.1%  33.33    7.89  85.0 SSMI16 -13.1 -163.8  -13.2 -163.9  -13.2 -163.9 Analysis Plot     
     20170506 073000    6.4      N/A  45.2% 222.20    6.40  80.0 SSMI18 -13.4 -164.1  -13.4 -164.0  -13.4 -164.0 Analysis Plot     
     20170506 194400    7.1      N/A  28.8%  77.77    7.14  90.0 SSMI17 -13.5 -164.1  -13.5 -163.9  -13.5 -163.9 Analysis Plot     
     20170507 052700   17.7      N/A  49.3%  77.77   17.70  85.0 SSMI16 -14.2 -164.1  -14.4 -164.4  -14.4 -164.4 Analysis Plot     
     20170507 071700    5.9      N/A   9.6%  66.66    5.95  85.0 SSMI18 -14.7 -164.6  -14.7 -164.6  -14.7 -164.6 Analysis Plot     
     20170507 141321   17.4      N/A  11.0%  66.66   17.39  95.0    GMI -15.8 -164.8  -15.8 -164.8  -15.8 -164.8 Analysis Plot     
     20170507 193100   61.8  >85 kts 100.0%  66.66   46.75 115.0 SSMI17 -16.7 -164.9  -16.4 -164.7  -16.4 -164.7 Analysis Plot     
     20170508 051400   50.6  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   35.62 115.0 SSMI16 -17.2 -164.9  -17.4 -165.1  -17.4 -165.1 Analysis Plot     
     20170508 080600   42.9  >65 kts 100.0%  55.55   27.94 115.0 SSMI17 -17.6 -165.2  -17.7 -165.3  -17.7 -165.3 Analysis Plot     
     20170508 080500   41.1  >65 kts 100.0%  33.33   26.14 115.0 SSMI17 -17.8 -165.3  -17.8 -165.4  -17.8 -165.4 Analysis Plot     
     20170508 191800    7.4      N/A  37.0% 222.20    7.45 100.0 SSMI17 -18.8 -166.2  -18.9 -166.7  -18.9 -166.7 Analysis Plot     
     20170509 004655   25.2  >65 kts  65.7% 133.32   25.17  95.0    GMI -19.6 -166.6  -19.7 -166.6  -19.7 -166.6 Analysis Plot     
     20170509 075100   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  90.0 SSMI17 -20.3 -167.4  -20.7 -168.1  -20.7 -168.1 Analysis Plot     
     20170509 140639 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  90.0    GMI -21.1 -167.8  -21.1 -167.8  -22.1 -167.6 Analysis Plot     
     20170509 190500    6.9      N/A   N/A   66.66    6.89  60.0 SSMI17 -21.3 -166.9  -21.3 -166.9  -20.7 -167.4 Analysis Plot     
     20170509 194700 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  60.0 SSMI18 -21.4 -167.0  -21.4 -167.0  -20.9 -166.6 Analysis Plot     
     20170510 073600   -0.8      N/A   N/A   22.22     .79  35.0 SSMI17 -23.1 -168.1  -23.1 -168.1  -22.0 -167.6 Analysis Plot     
     20170510 131455   -0.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  35.0    GMI -24.6 -168.4  -24.6 -168.4  -23.9 -168.0 Analysis Plot     
 
 
Legend:

  - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position.

  - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere.

  - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km).

  - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater.
  - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85.

  - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall.

  - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs.

  - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data.