-------FORECAST----- ----ARCHER---- 50% cert 95% cert Eyewall Conf Alpha Eye Date/Time(UTC) Source Sensor Lat Lon Vmax Lat Lon radius radius radius Score Score Prob 20180815 09:45:48 GOES16 NearIR 37.67 45.60 30.0 37.55 43.61 0.74 2.10 0.05 0.30 2.25 57.5 20180815 10:15:48 GOES16 NearIR 37.72 45.59 30.0 37.20 46.22 1.46 4.14 0.30 0.17 1.15 45.8 20180815 10:45:48 GMI 85-92GHz 37.77 45.59 30.0 37.77 45.59 0.27 0.76 0.00 1.09 6.21 0.0 20180815 11:15:48 GMI 85-92GHz 37.77 45.59 30.0 37.82 45.58 0.27 0.76 0.00 1.09 6.14 0.0 20180815 11:45:48 GMI 85-92GHz 37.77 45.59 30.0 37.87 45.58 0.27 0.76 0.00 1.09 6.01 0.0 20180815 12:15:48 GMI 85-92GHz 37.77 45.59 30.0 37.91 45.57 0.27 0.76 0.00 1.09 5.86 0.0 20180815 12:45:48 GMI 85-92GHz 37.77 45.59 30.0 37.96 45.56 0.27 0.76 0.00 1.09 5.69 0.0 20180815 13:15:48 GMI 85-92GHz 37.77 45.59 30.0 38.01 45.55 0.27 0.76 0.00 1.09 5.51 0.0 20180815 13:45:48 GMI 85-92GHz 37.77 45.59 30.0 37.97 45.89 0.27 0.76 0.00 1.09 5.32 0.0 20180815 14:15:48 GOES16 Vis 38.02 46.00 35.0 37.95 45.87 0.30 0.86 0.45 0.44 5.51 74.0 20180815 14:45:48 GMI 85-92GHz 37.77 45.59 30.0 38.07 46.00 0.27 0.76 0.00 1.09 4.94 0.0 20180815 15:15:48 GMI 85-92GHz 37.77 45.59 30.0 38.13 46.00 0.27 0.76 0.00 1.09 4.76 0.0 20180815 15:45:48 GMI 85-92GHz 37.77 45.59 30.0 38.19 45.99 0.27 0.76 0.00 1.09 4.57 0.0 20180815 16:15:48 GMI 85-92GHz 37.77 45.59 30.0 38.24 45.98 0.27 0.76 0.00 1.09 4.40 0.0 20180815 16:45:48 GOES16 Vis 38.30 45.96 35.0 38.23 45.83 0.35 0.98 0.45 0.39 4.85 80.6 20180815 17:15:48 GOES16 IR 38.36 45.93 35.0 38.64 45.90 0.34 0.95 0.05 0.72 5.01 100.0 20180815 17:45:48 GOES16 Vis 38.43 45.91 35.0 38.60 45.78 0.38 1.08 0.50 0.36 4.39 95.7 20180815 18:15:48 GOES16 NearIR 38.49 45.87 35.0 38.82 45.78 0.35 0.99 0.05 0.60 4.80 99.9 20180815 18:45:48 GMI 85-92GHz 37.77 45.59 30.0 38.56 45.85 0.27 0.76 0.00 1.09 3.60 0.0 20180815 19:15:48 GMI 85-92GHz 37.77 45.59 30.0 38.76 45.80 0.27 0.76 0.00 1.09 3.47 0.0 20180815 19:45:48 GOES16 NearIR 38.83 45.79 35.0 38.81 45.25 0.34 0.97 0.10 0.60 4.87 81.2 20180815 20:15:48 GMI 85-92GHz 37.77 45.59 30.0 38.90 45.76 0.27 0.76 0.00 1.09 3.21 0.0 20180815 20:45:48 GOES16 IR 38.97 45.72 35.0 38.77 45.37 0.51 1.45 0.15 0.54 3.28 98.0 20180815 21:15:48 GMI 85-92GHz 37.77 45.59 30.0 39.04 45.68 0.27 0.76 0.00 1.09 2.98 0.0 20180815 21:45:48 GOES16 NearIR 39.11 45.63 35.0 39.16 45.47 0.44 1.24 0.30 0.48 3.82 90.5 20180815 22:15:48 GOES16 IR 39.18 45.59 35.0 38.90 45.46 0.42 1.20 0.20 0.61 3.96 95.9 20180815 22:45:48 GOES16 NearIR 39.25 45.54 35.0 38.95 45.54 0.40 1.12 0.25 0.53 4.24 98.2 20180815 23:15:48 SSMI18 85-92GHz 39.14 45.62 35.0 39.33 45.49 0.47 1.32 0.00 0.30 3.52 0.0 20180815 23:45:48 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 39.40 45.44 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 5.14 0.0 20180816 00:15:48 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 39.48 45.39 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 5.06 0.0 20180816 00:45:48 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 39.56 45.33 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 4.95 0.0 20180816 01:15:48 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 39.49 45.25 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 4.83 0.0 20180816 01:45:48 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 39.53 45.25 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 4.70 0.0 20180816 02:15:48 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 39.60 45.20 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 4.56 0.0 20180816 02:45:48 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 39.67 45.14 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 4.42 0.0 20180816 03:15:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 39.75 45.08 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 4.28 0.0 20180816 03:45:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 39.82 45.00 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 4.14 0.0 20180816 04:15:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 39.90 44.94 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 4.00 0.0 20180816 04:45:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 39.99 44.87 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 3.87 0.0 20180816 05:15:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 40.06 44.77 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 3.73 0.0 20180816 05:45:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 40.15 44.70 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 3.60 0.0 20180816 06:15:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 40.25 44.65 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 3.48 0.0 20180816 06:45:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 40.35 44.57 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 3.36 0.0 20180816 07:15:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 40.47 44.47 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 3.24 0.0 20180816 07:45:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 40.58 44.39 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 3.13 0.0 20180816 08:15:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 40.67 44.26 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 3.02 0.0 20180816 08:45:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 40.77 44.18 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 2.92 0.0 20180816 09:15:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 40.85 44.05 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 2.82 0.0 20180816 09:45:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 39.33 45.49 35.0 40.95 43.96 0.32 0.91 0.00 0.78 2.72 0.0 20180816 10:15:49 GMI 85-92GHz 40.96 43.91 35.0 41.03 43.83 0.42 1.18 0.00 0.42 3.99 0.0 20180816 10:45:49 GMI 85-92GHz 40.96 43.91 35.0 41.12 43.72 0.42 1.18 0.00 0.42 3.94 0.0 20180816 11:15:49 GMI 85-92GHz 40.96 43.91 35.0 41.21 43.61 0.42 1.18 0.00 0.42 3.88 0.0 20180816 11:45:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 41.27 43.53 35.0 41.30 43.49 0.34 0.97 0.00 0.68 4.85 0.0 20180816 12:15:49 GOES16 Vis 41.39 43.38 35.0 41.46 43.25 0.23 0.66 0.10 0.55 7.15 81.0 20180816 12:45:49 GOES16 Vis 41.47 43.26 35.0 41.42 43.06 0.30 0.84 0.35 0.45 5.66 75.3 20180816 13:15:49 GOES16 Vis 41.56 43.14 35.0 41.56 42.97 0.26 0.73 0.05 0.51 6.49 74.5 20180816 13:45:49 GOES16 Vis 41.96 43.32 35.0 41.79 42.99 0.32 0.91 0.10 0.42 5.24 73.1 20180816 14:15:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 41.27 43.53 35.0 41.89 43.37 0.34 0.97 0.00 0.68 4.39 0.0 20180816 14:45:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 41.27 43.53 35.0 41.96 43.26 0.34 0.97 0.00 0.68 4.26 0.0 20180816 15:15:49 GOES16 Vis 42.04 43.14 40.0 41.97 42.87 0.29 0.81 0.25 0.46 5.88 66.0 20180816 15:45:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 41.27 43.53 35.0 42.13 43.02 0.34 0.97 0.00 0.68 4.01 0.0 20180816 16:15:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 41.27 43.53 35.0 42.22 42.90 0.34 0.97 0.00 0.68 3.89 0.0 20180816 16:45:49 GOES16 Vis 42.31 42.76 40.0 42.43 42.42 0.36 1.02 0.05 0.38 4.67 62.0 20180816 17:15:49 GOES16 Vis 42.41 42.62 40.0 42.53 42.42 0.36 1.01 0.05 0.38 4.68 64.9 20180816 17:45:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 41.27 43.53 35.0 42.52 42.51 0.34 0.97 0.00 0.68 3.52 0.0 20180816 18:15:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 41.27 43.53 35.0 42.61 42.36 0.34 0.97 0.00 0.68 3.40 0.0 20180816 18:45:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 41.27 43.53 35.0 42.72 42.22 0.34 0.97 0.00 0.68 3.29 0.0 20180816 19:30:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 41.27 43.53 35.0 42.70 41.65 0.34 0.97 0.00 0.68 3.13 0.0 20180816 19:45:49 GOES16 NearIR 42.75 41.45 40.0 42.48 41.07 0.54 1.54 0.05 0.40 3.09 61.4 20180816 20:15:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 41.27 43.53 35.0 42.86 41.27 0.34 0.97 0.00 0.68 2.97 0.0 20180816 20:45:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 41.27 43.53 35.0 42.97 41.10 0.34 0.97 0.00 0.68 2.87 0.0 20180816 21:15:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 41.27 43.53 35.0 43.08 40.93 0.34 0.97 0.00 0.68 2.78 0.0 20180816 21:45:49 SSMI17 85-92GHz 41.27 43.53 35.0 43.19 40.76 0.34 0.97 0.00 0.68 2.69 0.0 20180816 22:15:49 SSMI18 85-92GHz 43.19 40.67 40.0 43.26 40.56 0.33 0.94 0.00 0.73 5.00 0.0 20180816 22:45:49 GOES16 NearIR 43.36 40.37 40.0 43.26 40.13 0.29 0.82 0.30 0.71 5.79 99.8 20180816 23:15:49 SSMI18 85-92GHz 43.19 40.67 40.0 43.47 40.20 0.33 0.94 0.00 0.73 4.83 0.0 20000120 18229 G16 IR 43.62 39.92 40.0 43.27 39.37 3.36 9.49 0.05 0.08 0.50 39.1 20000120 18229 G16 NearIR 43.67 39.83 40.0 43.37 39.24 0.88 2.48 0.05 0.26 1.91 67.2 20000120 18229 G16 NearIR 43.82 39.55 40.0 43.97 39.52 0.69 1.96 0.05 0.32 2.42 66.8 20000120 18229 G16 IR 43.80 39.50 40.0 43.62 38.81 0.67 1.89 0.05 0.46 2.51 75.6 20000120 18229 G16 NearIR 43.90 39.30 40.0 43.87 38.78 0.36 1.02 0.15 0.58 4.65 80.5 20000120 18229 G16 NearIR 43.95 39.20 40.0 44.00 38.68 0.31 0.89 0.10 0.66 5.34 98.0 20000120 18229 G16 IR 44.15 38.79 40.0 43.95 38.23 3.36 9.49 0.10 0.21 0.50 52.5 20000120 18229 G16 NearIR 44.15 38.79 40.0 44.35 38.34 0.31 0.86 0.05 0.67 5.49 97.1 20000120 18229 G16 NearIR 44.26 38.59 40.0 44.28 38.55 1.40 3.94 0.15 0.18 1.20 49.1 20000120 18229 G16 IR 44.36 38.38 40.0 44.99 37.99 3.36 9.49 0.05 0.10 0.50 41.7 20000120 18229 G16 NearIR 44.47 38.17 40.0 44.65 38.31 3.03 8.57 0.05 0.11 0.55 29.1 20000120 18229 G16 NearIR 44.58 37.95 40.0 45.10 38.02 2.41 6.80 0.05 0.12 0.70 28.8 20000120 18229 G16 NearIR 44.69 37.74 40.0 45.01 38.16 1.41 3.99 0.15 0.18 1.19 47.9 20180817 06:15:00 GMI 85-92GHz 43.81 39.58 40.0 44.89 37.81 0.32 0.90 0.00 0.81 3.97 0.0 20180817 06:45:00 GMI 85-92GHz 43.81 39.58 40.0 45.02 37.55 0.32 0.90 0.00 0.81 3.83 0.0 20180817 07:15:00 GMI 85-92GHz 43.81 39.58 40.0 45.15 37.29 0.32 0.90 0.00 0.81 3.70 0.0 20180817 07:45:00 GMI 85-92GHz 43.81 39.58 40.0 45.30 37.06 0.32 0.90 0.00 0.81 3.57 0.0 20180817 08:15:00 GMI 85-92GHz 43.81 39.58 40.0 45.41 36.78 0.32 0.90 0.00 0.81 3.44 0.0 20180817 08:45:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 43.19 40.67 40.0 45.54 36.53 0.33 0.94 0.00 0.73 2.62 0.0 20180817 09:15:00 GMI 85-92GHz 45.60 36.39 40.0 45.66 36.28 0.30 0.84 0.00 0.91 5.60 0.0 20180817 10:00:00 GMI 85-92GHz 45.60 36.39 40.0 45.86 35.89 0.30 0.84 0.00 0.91 5.46 0.0 20180817 10:15:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 45.88 35.84 40.0 45.92 35.77 0.29 0.83 0.00 0.94 5.70 0.0 20180817 10:45:00 METEOSAT NearIR 46.05 35.50 40.0 47.60 33.70 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 20180817 11:00:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 45.88 35.84 40.0 46.11 35.37 0.29 0.83 0.00 0.94 5.57 0.0 20180817 11:45:00 METEOSAT IR 46.30 34.97 40.0 46.60 34.57 0.30 0.86 0.10 0.77 5.53 87.0 20180817 12:15:00 METEOSAT NearIR 46.42 34.70 40.0 47.97 32.89 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.0 20180817 12:45:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 45.88 35.84 40.0 46.61 34.17 0.29 0.83 0.00 0.94 5.07 0.0 20180817 13:15:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 45.88 35.84 40.0 46.71 33.95 0.29 0.83 0.00 0.94 4.91 0.0 20180817 13:30:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 45.88 35.84 40.0 46.76 33.79 0.29 0.83 0.00 0.94 4.82 0.0 20180817 14:00:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 45.88 35.84 40.0 46.88 33.51 0.29 0.83 0.00 0.94 4.66 0.0 20180817 14:30:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 45.88 35.84 40.0 46.99 33.21 0.29 0.83 0.00 0.94 4.50 0.0 20180817 15:00:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 45.88 35.84 40.0 47.14 32.94 0.29 0.83 0.00 0.94 4.33 0.0 20180817 15:30:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 45.88 35.84 40.0 47.25 32.62 0.29 0.83 0.00 0.94 4.17 0.0 20180817 16:00:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 45.88 35.84 40.0 47.35 32.29 0.29 0.83 0.00 0.94 4.02 0.0 20180817 16:30:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 45.88 35.84 40.0 47.49 32.00 0.29 0.83 0.00 0.94 3.87 0.0 20180817 17:00:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 45.88 35.84 40.0 47.63 31.71 0.29 0.83 0.00 0.94 3.73 0.0 20180817 17:45:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 45.88 35.84 40.0 47.79 31.20 0.29 0.83 0.00 0.94 3.52 0.0 20180817 18:15:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 45.88 35.84 40.0 47.93 30.89 0.29 0.83 0.00 0.94 3.39 0.0 20180817 18:30:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 45.88 35.84 40.0 48.48 31.51 0.29 0.83 0.00 0.94 3.33 0.0 20180817 19:15:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 45.88 35.84 40.0 48.67 31.02 0.29 0.83 0.00 0.94 3.15 0.0 20180817 19:37:15 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.74 30.74 40.0 0.60 -1.45 0.40 1.13 0.00 0.48 0.00 0.0 20180817 20:00:00 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.74 30.74 40.0 48.83 30.49 0.40 1.13 0.00 0.48 4.18 0.0 20180817 20:45:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 48.92 30.28 40.0 49.04 29.99 0.38 1.08 0.00 0.53 4.34 0.0 20180817 21:00:00 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.94 30.24 40.0 49.10 29.82 0.30 0.85 0.00 0.90 5.50 0.0 20180817 21:45:00 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.94 30.24 40.0 49.29 29.28 0.30 0.85 0.00 0.90 5.33 0.0 20180817 22:15:00 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.94 30.24 40.0 49.41 28.95 0.30 0.85 0.00 0.90 5.19 0.0 20180817 22:45:00 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.94 30.24 40.0 49.54 28.58 0.30 0.85 0.00 0.90 5.05 0.0 20180817 23:00:00 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.94 30.24 40.0 49.60 28.42 0.30 0.85 0.00 0.90 4.97 0.0 20180817 23:30:00 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.94 30.24 40.0 49.72 28.05 0.30 0.85 0.00 0.90 4.81 0.0 20180818 00:00:00 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.94 30.24 40.0 49.84 27.69 0.30 0.85 0.00 0.90 4.65 0.0 20180818 00:30:00 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.94 30.24 40.0 49.93 27.38 0.30 0.85 0.00 0.90 4.49 0.0 20180818 01:00:00 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.94 30.24 40.0 50.06 27.05 0.30 0.85 0.00 0.90 4.34 0.0 20180818 01:30:00 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.94 30.24 40.0 50.12 26.70 0.30 0.85 0.00 0.90 4.18 0.0 20180818 02:00:00 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.94 30.24 40.0 50.22 26.34 0.30 0.85 0.00 0.90 4.03 0.0 20180818 02:45:00 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.94 30.24 40.0 50.38 25.81 0.30 0.85 0.00 0.90 3.81 0.0 20180818 03:15:00 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.94 30.24 40.0 50.49 25.46 0.30 0.85 0.00 0.90 3.67 0.0 20180818 03:30:00 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.94 30.24 40.0 50.52 25.25 0.30 0.85 0.00 0.90 3.61 0.0 20180818 04:15:00 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.94 30.24 40.0 50.70 24.73 0.30 0.85 0.00 0.90 3.41 0.0 20180818 04:30:00 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.94 30.24 40.0 50.72 24.50 0.30 0.85 0.00 0.90 3.35 0.0 20180818 05:00:00 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.94 30.24 40.0 50.86 24.18 0.30 0.85 0.00 0.90 3.23 0.0 20180818 05:45:00 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.94 30.24 40.0 51.01 23.61 0.30 0.85 0.00 0.90 3.06 0.0 20180817 20:21:22 SSMI17 85-92GHz 48.94 30.24 40.0 0.64 -1.55 0.30 0.85 0.00 0.90 0.00 0.0