-------FORECAST----- ----ARCHER---- 50% cert 95% cert Eyewall Conf Alpha Eye Date/Time(UTC) Source Sensor Lat Lon Vmax Lat Lon radius radius radius Score Score Prob 20201121 21:15:00 METEOSAT NearIR 10.80 -54.95 35.0 10.92 -54.42 0.30 0.84 0.05 0.70 5.67 62.1 20201121 21:45:00 METEOSAT IR 10.79 -54.85 35.0 10.99 -54.26 0.32 0.90 0.05 0.74 5.29 98.6 20201121 22:15:00 METEOSAT IR 10.78 -54.75 35.0 11.01 -54.06 3.36 9.49 0.05 0.16 0.50 48.4 20201121 22:45:00 METEOSAT NearIR 10.78 -54.65 35.0 10.45 -54.42 0.51 1.44 0.10 0.42 3.29 43.6 20201121 23:15:00 METEOSAT NearIR 10.77 -54.55 35.0 10.67 -54.32 0.46 1.30 0.05 0.46 3.65 46.5 20201121 23:45:00 METEOSAT NearIR 10.76 -54.45 35.0 10.38 -54.14 0.46 1.31 0.05 0.46 3.62 47.2 20201122 00:15:00 METEOSAT NearIR 10.74 -54.34 35.0 10.54 -53.76 0.61 1.73 0.15 0.36 2.74 46.1 20201122 00:45:00 METEOSAT NearIR 10.73 -54.24 35.0 10.58 -53.79 0.83 2.34 0.35 0.28 2.03 41.1 20201122 01:15:00 METEOSAT NearIR 10.59 -53.96 40.0 10.59 -53.35 0.49 1.39 0.05 0.43 3.41 43.0 20201122 01:45:00 METEOSAT NearIR 10.59 -53.86 40.0 10.41 -53.30 0.26 0.74 0.05 0.78 6.44 65.0 20201122 02:15:00 METEOSAT IR 10.60 -53.75 40.0 10.48 -53.29 0.19 0.55 0.05 1.08 8.62 95.2 20201122 02:45:00 METEOSAT NearIR 10.60 -53.65 40.0 10.55 -53.14 0.18 0.52 0.10 1.10 9.19 73.2 20201122 03:15:00 METEOSAT IR 10.50 -53.26 50.0 10.57 -53.03 0.14 0.40 0.05 1.42 11.99 100.0 20201122 03:45:00 METEOSAT NearIR 10.49 -53.17 50.0 10.46 -52.92 0.26 0.72 0.15 0.80 6.58 68.5 20201122 04:15:00 METEOSAT IR 10.48 -53.09 50.0 10.43 -52.86 0.10 0.29 0.05 1.87 16.44 100.0 20201122 04:45:00 METEOSAT IR 10.47 -53.00 50.0 10.47 -52.67 0.14 0.39 0.10 1.45 12.23 100.0 20201122 05:15:00 METEOSAT IR 10.46 -52.91 50.0 10.41 -52.51 0.10 0.29 0.05 1.89 16.63 100.0 20201122 05:45:00 METEOSAT IR 10.44 -52.83 50.0 10.39 -52.52 0.11 0.31 0.15 1.75 15.22 100.0 20201122 06:15:00 METEOSAT IR 10.43 -52.74 50.0 10.41 -52.43 0.12 0.34 0.15 1.63 14.04 100.0 20201122 06:45:00 METEOSAT IR 10.42 -52.65 50.0 10.37 -52.32 0.09 0.27 0.10 2.01 17.82 100.0 20201122 07:15:00 METEOSAT IR 10.41 -52.56 50.0 10.36 -52.23 0.10 0.27 0.10 1.97 17.37 100.0 20201122 07:45:00 METEOSAT IR 10.39 -52.47 50.0 10.39 -52.14 0.12 0.34 0.15 1.60 13.79 100.0 20201122 08:15:00 METEOSAT IR 10.30 -52.12 100.0 10.40 -52.07 0.08 0.24 0.15 1.94 19.91 100.0 20201122 08:45:00 METEOSAT NearIR 10.30 -52.04 100.0 10.40 -51.97 0.10 0.29 0.15 1.15 16.14 96.8 20201122 09:15:00 METEOSAT NearIR 10.30 -51.96 100.0 10.40 -51.88 0.09 0.26 0.20 1.32 18.50 98.3 20201122 09:45:00 METEOSAT IR 10.30 -51.88 100.0 10.40 -51.83 0.09 0.25 0.10 1.84 18.99 100.0 20201122 10:15:00 METEOSAT NearIR 10.31 -51.79 100.0 10.38 -51.72 0.13 0.38 0.20 0.89 12.44 73.7 20201122 10:45:00 METEOSAT IR 10.31 -51.71 100.0 10.39 -51.66 0.13 0.36 0.10 1.21 13.13 100.0 20201122 11:15:00 AMSR2 85-92GHz 10.30 -51.89 100.0 10.36 -51.58 0.13 0.37 0.00 1.91 11.22 0.0 20201122 11:45:00 AMSR2 85-92GHz 10.30 -51.89 100.0 10.37 -51.49 0.13 0.37 0.00 1.91 10.60 0.0 20201122 12:15:00 AMSR2 85-92GHz 10.30 -51.89 100.0 10.37 -51.41 0.13 0.37 0.00 1.91 9.98 0.0 20201122 12:45:00 AMSR2 85-92GHz 10.30 -51.89 100.0 10.38 -51.33 0.13 0.37 0.00 1.91 9.38 0.0 20201122 13:00:00 AMSR2 85-92GHz 10.30 -51.89 100.0 10.47 -51.28 0.13 0.37 0.00 1.91 9.08 0.0 20201122 13:45:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 10.42 -51.25 90.0 10.63 -51.37 0.16 0.45 0.00 0.64 10.53 0.0 20201122 14:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.53 -51.39 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 11.99 0.0 20201122 14:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.54 -51.30 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 11.64 0.0 20201122 15:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.55 -51.21 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 11.16 0.0 20201122 15:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.56 -51.13 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 10.61 0.0 20201122 16:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.57 -51.04 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 10.04 0.0 20201122 16:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.58 -50.96 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 9.46 0.0 20201122 17:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.59 -50.87 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 8.91 0.0 20201122 17:45:00 METEOSAT NearIR 10.55 -50.52 90.0 10.00 -50.39 0.35 0.99 0.05 0.36 4.81 42.6 20201122 18:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.59 -50.69 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 7.87 0.0 20201122 18:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.60 -50.60 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 7.40 0.0 20201122 19:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.61 -50.51 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 6.95 0.0 20201122 19:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.61 -50.42 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 6.55 0.0 20201122 20:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.34 -50.63 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 5.40 0.0 20201122 20:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.34 -50.58 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 5.13 0.0 20201122 21:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.34 -50.54 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 4.87 0.0 20201122 21:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.34 -50.49 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 4.64 0.0 20201122 22:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.35 -50.45 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 4.41 0.0 20201122 22:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.35 -50.41 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 4.21 0.0 20201122 23:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.34 -50.37 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 4.01 0.0 20201122 23:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.34 -50.33 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 3.83 0.0 20201123 00:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.34 -50.29 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 3.66 0.0 20201123 00:30:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.34 -50.28 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 3.58 0.0 20201123 01:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.34 -50.22 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 3.35 0.0 20201123 01:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.35 -51.16 100.0 10.33 -50.18 0.14 0.39 0.00 1.54 3.21 0.0 20201123 02:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.69 -49.80 45.0 10.94 -49.82 0.27 0.75 0.00 1.12 6.26 0.0 20201123 02:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.69 -49.80 45.0 10.95 -49.77 0.27 0.75 0.00 1.12 6.15 0.0 20201123 03:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.69 -49.80 45.0 10.95 -49.73 0.27 0.75 0.00 1.12 6.00 0.0 20201123 03:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.69 -49.80 45.0 10.96 -49.68 0.27 0.75 0.00 1.12 5.83 0.0 20201123 04:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.69 -49.80 45.0 10.97 -49.64 0.27 0.75 0.00 1.12 5.65 0.0 20201123 04:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.69 -49.80 45.0 10.97 -49.59 0.27 0.75 0.00 1.12 5.45 0.0 20201123 05:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.69 -49.80 45.0 10.98 -49.55 0.27 0.75 0.00 1.12 5.26 0.0 20201123 05:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.69 -49.80 45.0 10.99 -49.51 0.27 0.75 0.00 1.12 5.07 0.0 20201123 06:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.69 -49.80 45.0 11.01 -49.47 0.27 0.75 0.00 1.12 4.87 0.0 20201123 06:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.69 -49.80 45.0 11.01 -49.43 0.27 0.75 0.00 1.12 4.68 0.0 20201123 07:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.69 -49.80 45.0 11.03 -49.39 0.27 0.75 0.00 1.12 4.50 0.0 20201123 07:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.69 -49.80 45.0 11.03 -49.35 0.27 0.75 0.00 1.12 4.32 0.0 20201123 08:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.69 -49.80 45.0 11.61 -49.11 0.27 0.75 0.00 1.12 4.15 0.0 20201123 08:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.69 -49.80 45.0 11.63 -49.06 0.27 0.75 0.00 1.12 3.99 0.0 20201123 09:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.69 -49.80 45.0 11.65 -49.02 0.27 0.75 0.00 1.12 3.83 0.0 20201123 09:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.69 -49.80 45.0 11.66 -48.97 0.27 0.75 0.00 1.12 3.68 0.0 20201123 10:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.69 -49.80 45.0 11.68 -48.92 0.27 0.75 0.00 1.12 3.54 0.0 20201123 10:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 10.69 -49.80 45.0 11.69 -48.87 0.27 0.75 0.00 1.12 3.40 0.0 20201123 11:15:00 METEOSAT NearIR 11.47 -48.78 40.0 11.49 -49.19 3.36 9.49 0.25 0.00 0.50 0.0 20201123 11:45:00 AMSR2 85-92GHz 11.44 -48.86 40.0 11.48 -49.09 0.37 1.06 0.00 0.57 4.34 0.0 20201123 12:15:00 AMSR2 85-92GHz 11.44 -48.86 40.0 11.49 -49.04 0.37 1.06 0.00 0.57 4.25 0.0 20201123 12:45:00 AMSR2 85-92GHz 11.44 -48.86 40.0 11.50 -48.99 0.37 1.06 0.00 0.57 4.15 0.0 20201123 13:15:00 AMSR2 85-92GHz 11.44 -48.86 40.0 11.52 -48.94 0.37 1.06 0.00 0.57 4.05 0.0 20201123 13:45:00 AMSR2 85-92GHz 11.44 -48.86 40.0 11.53 -48.89 0.37 1.06 0.00 0.57 3.94 0.0 20201123 14:15:00 AMSR2 85-92GHz 11.44 -48.86 40.0 11.60 -48.66 0.37 1.06 0.00 0.57 3.83 0.0 20201123 14:45:00 AMSR2 85-92GHz 11.44 -48.86 40.0 11.59 -48.59 0.37 1.06 0.00 0.57 3.72 0.0 20201123 15:15:00 AMSR2 85-92GHz 11.44 -48.86 40.0 11.60 -48.53 0.37 1.06 0.00 0.57 3.61 0.0 20201123 15:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.70 -48.10 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 3.50 0.0 20201123 16:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.69 -48.03 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 3.43 0.0 20201123 16:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.69 -47.97 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 3.36 0.0 20201123 17:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.68 -47.90 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 3.29 0.0 20201123 17:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.68 -47.83 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 3.21 0.0 20201123 18:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.67 -47.77 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 3.13 0.0 20201123 18:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.67 -47.70 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 3.05 0.0 20201123 19:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.66 -47.63 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 2.97 0.0 20201123 19:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.66 -47.57 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 2.89 0.0 20201123 20:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.90 -47.19 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 2.81 0.0 20201123 20:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.89 -47.13 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 2.74 0.0 20201123 21:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.88 -47.06 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 2.66 0.0 20201123 21:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.86 -47.00 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 2.59 0.0 20201123 22:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.85 -46.93 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 2.52 0.0 20201123 22:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.83 -46.86 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 2.45 0.0 20201123 23:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.80 -46.80 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 2.38 0.0 20201123 23:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.78 -46.73 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 2.31 0.0 20201124 00:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.78 -46.66 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 2.25 0.0 20201124 00:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.76 -46.60 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 2.19 0.0 20201124 01:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.73 -46.53 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 2.13 0.0 20201124 01:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.53 -48.53 40.0 11.73 -46.46 0.46 1.29 0.00 0.32 2.07 0.0 20201124 02:15:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.64 -46.45 30.0 12.12 -46.86 0.39 1.10 0.00 0.52 4.31 0.0 20201124 02:45:00 SSMI15 85-92GHz 11.64 -46.45 30.0 12.11 -46.79 0.39 1.10 0.00 0.52 4.26 0.0 20201124 03:15:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 11.61 -46.32 30.0 12.29 -46.53 0.30 0.84 0.00 0.91 5.57 0.0 20201124 03:45:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 11.61 -46.32 30.0 12.27 -46.46 0.30 0.84 0.00 0.91 5.48 0.0 20201124 04:15:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 11.61 -46.32 30.0 12.26 -46.39 0.30 0.84 0.00 0.91 5.36 0.0 20201124 04:45:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 11.61 -46.32 30.0 12.24 -46.33 0.30 0.84 0.00 0.91 5.22 0.0 20201124 05:15:00 SSMI18 85-92GHz 11.61 -46.32 30.0 12.22 -46.26 0.30 0.84 0.00 0.91 5.07 0.0