Tropical Storm 15W


Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information
Hurricane Intensity Estimation (HIE) Algorithm
Version 9.0
 

         Overpass     Inten           Ring    Ring          Wind           Forecast        Final        Target  
       Date    Time   Score  Meaning   Pct    Diam  BTdiff   Est   Sat    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon    Lat    Lon              
     20210804 161111   -1.1      N/A   N/A   11.11    1.08  30.0  AMSR2  29.8 -147.7   29.8 -147.7   30.1 -147.6 Analysis Plot     
     20210804 203034   -4.3      N/A   4.1%  33.33    4.32  30.0 SSMI16  30.6 -147.6   30.6 -147.6   30.5 -147.8 Analysis Plot     
     20210804 222800   -0.3      N/A   N/A   44.44     .25  30.0 SSMI17  30.9 -147.6   30.9 -147.6   30.7 -148.0 Analysis Plot     
     20210805 031119   -4.9      N/A  12.3%  11.11    4.88  40.0  AMSR2  32.0 -147.4   32.0 -147.4   32.2 -147.8 Analysis Plot     
     20210805 075346   -0.6      N/A   N/A   99.99     .57  40.0 SSMI18  32.7 -147.8   32.7 -147.8   31.8 -147.8 Analysis Plot     
     20210805 084011   -3.2      N/A  31.5%  44.44    3.25  40.0 SSMI16  32.8 -147.9   32.8 -147.9   32.7 -148.2 Analysis Plot     
     20210805 101352   -2.1      N/A   N/A  144.43    2.09  40.0 SSMI17  33.1 -147.9   33.1 -147.9   32.8 -147.6 Analysis Plot     
     20210805 201639   -1.2      N/A   9.6% 144.43    1.16  40.0 SSMI16  34.8 -148.5   34.8 -148.5   34.8 -148.2 Analysis Plot     
     20210805 221517 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  40.0 SSMI17  35.1 -148.7   35.1 -148.7   35.1 -149.4 Analysis Plot     
     20210806 073954   -2.6      N/A   8.2%  66.66    2.64  50.0 SSMI18  36.5 -151.5   36.5 -151.5   36.5 -151.5 Analysis Plot     
     20210806 082707    5.3      N/A   9.6%  66.66    5.31  55.0 SSMI16  36.4 -151.7   36.4 -151.7   36.4 -151.4 Analysis Plot     
     20210806 095923    N/A      N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A  55.0 SSMI17  36.6 -152.1   36.6 -152.1   36.4 -152.0 Analysis Plot     
     20210806 151829    N/A      N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A  55.0    GMI  37.3 -154.3   37.3 -154.3   37.4 -154.3 Analysis Plot     
     20210806 155644   24.9  >65 kts  89.0%  44.44    9.93  55.0  AMSR2  37.5 -154.7   37.5 -154.7   37.6 -155.1 Analysis Plot     
     20210806 185537 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  55.0 SSMI16  37.7 -155.1   37.7 -155.1   38.2 -156.6 Analysis Plot     
     20210806 194351 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  55.0 SSMI18  37.8 -155.5   37.8 -155.5   37.9 -154.5 Analysis Plot     
     20210806 195817 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  55.0 SSMI16  37.9 -155.6   37.9 -155.6   38.2 -154.5 Analysis Plot     
     20210806 220136    1.8      N/A   N/A   33.33    1.81  55.0 SSMI17  38.1 -156.7   38.1 -156.7   38.4 -156.9 Analysis Plot     
     20210807 030116    2.2      N/A  49.3%  22.22    2.21  55.0  AMSR2  38.9 -159.1   38.9 -159.1   38.5 -159.4 Analysis Plot     
     20210807 064916    9.2      N/A  50.7%  33.33    9.18  55.0 SSMI15  39.1 -160.1   39.1 -160.1   38.1 -160.4 Analysis Plot     
     20210807 150030 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  45.0  AMSR2  39.6 -164.7   39.6 -164.7   39.7 -164.9 Analysis Plot     
     20210807 193056 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  45.0 SSMI18  39.7 -166.1   39.7 -166.1   39.7 -166.5 Analysis Plot     
     20210808 044446 -930.0      N/A   N/A     N/A    0.00  45.0 SSMI16  40.3 -170.9   40.3 -170.9   40.0 -171.6 Analysis Plot     
 
 
Legend:

  - Date/Time are determined from PMW imagery at Forecast (initial guess) Lat/Lon position.

  - Positive/Negative Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Western/Eastern Hemisphere.

  - "Ring Diam" value indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter in km (the MI eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km).

  - "Ring Pct" is the percentage of the "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) in the eye by 20K, or 2) the percentage that is a) colder than 232K and b) colder than the "hot spot" by 10K, whichever is greater.
  - Values are red if Ring % <= 65, yellow/brown if Ring % <= 85 and green if Ring % > 85.

  - "Tb diff" is the difference between the "hot spot" (warmest eye pixel) and the warmest pixel on the eyewall.

  - Intensity score are listed as negative, and not used, when the JTWC or NHC estimated Vmax is <55 kts in order to rule out weak but highly symmetric TCs.

  - Error messages in intensity scores: -920 is used when the hottest pixel in the eye is <200K, to prevent false positives; -930 means <85% of eyewall has observations/data.