-------FORECAST----- ----ARCHER---- 50% cert 95% cert Eyewall Conf Alpha Eye Date/Time(UTC) Source Sensor Lat Lon Vmax Lat Lon radius radius radius Score Score Prob 20231112 15:20:00 GMI 89GHz 7.20 139.88 25.0 7.75 138.92 0.68 0.65 0.24 1.31 6.93 27.3 20231112 15:50:00 GMI 89GHz 7.20 139.88 25.0 7.75 138.91 0.68 0.65 0.24 1.31 6.87 27.3 1 :: SSMISF17 89GHz 7.20 139.85 25.0 7.10 140.00 0.99 0.35 0.35 0.66 4.79 13.3 20231112 16:50:00 HIMAWARI SWIR 7.20 139.83 25.0 5.38 140.64 1.42 0.50 0.50 0.43 3.33 0.0 20231112 17:20:00 SSMISF17 89GHz 7.20 139.85 25.0 7.10 139.97 0.99 0.35 0.35 0.66 3.02 13.3 alpha0= al:ph:a= 7.75 138.88 0.00 20231112.00 165000.0 7.75 138.84 20231112.00 172000.00 0.00 0.00 20231112.00 175000.0 20231112 18:50:00 HIMAWARI SWIR 7.20 139.77 25.0 5.45 140.72 1.74 0.35 0.62 0.36 2.73 0.0 20231112 19:50:00 SSMISF18 89GHz 7.20 139.73 25.0 6.80 140.44 1.67 1.05 0.59 0.06 2.84 1.0 20231112 20:20:00 SSMISF18 89GHz 7.20 139.73 25.0 6.90 139.63 1.67 1.05 0.59 0.06 2.74 1.0 alpha0= al:ph:a= 7.15 140.08 0.00 20231112.00 195000.0 7.25 139.25 20231112.00 202000.00 0.00 0.00 20231112.00 205000.0 20231112 21:20:00 SSMISF18 89GHz 7.20 139.73 25.0 6.89 139.60 1.67 1.05 0.59 0.06 2.66 1.0 20231112 21:50:00 SSMISF16 89GHz 7.30 138.87 25.0 5.80 139.22 1.00 0.15 0.36 0.64 4.73 1.0 20231112 22:20:00 SSMISF16 89GHz 7.30 138.87 25.0 5.79 139.22 1.00 0.15 0.36 0.64 4.48 1.0 20231112 22:50:00 SSMISF16 89GHz 7.30 138.87 25.0 5.79 139.20 1.00 0.15 0.36 0.64 4.37 1.0 20231112 23:20:00 SSMISF16 89GHz 7.30 138.87 25.0 5.78 139.19 1.00 0.15 0.36 0.64 4.26 1.0 20231112 23:50:00 SSMISF16 89GHz 7.30 138.87 25.0 5.77 139.18 1.00 0.15 0.36 0.64 4.14 1.0 20231113 00:20:00 HIMAWARI Vis 7.28 138.80 25.0 5.93 140.29 0.94 0.20 0.33 0.41 5.07 0.0 20231113 00:50:00 HIMAWARI Vis 7.28 138.79 25.0 5.28 138.79 1.19 0.25 0.42 0.33 3.98 0.0 20231113 01:20:00 SSMISF16 89GHz 7.30 138.87 25.0 5.76 139.15 1.00 0.15 0.36 0.64 3.78 1.0 20231113 01:50:00 HIMAWARI Vis 7.27 138.76 25.0 5.29 139.02 1.25 0.40 0.44 0.32 3.78 0.0 20231113 02:20:00 SSMISF16 89GHz 7.30 138.87 25.0 5.60 138.57 1.00 0.15 0.36 0.64 3.55 1.0 20231113 02:50:00 GMI 89GHz 7.10 138.20 25.0 6.35 138.91 0.88 0.45 0.31 0.84 5.37 7.8 2 :: SSMISF17 89GHz 7.10 138.18 25.0 7.30 136.97 0.94 0.70 0.33 0.73 5.04 4.8 20231113 03:50:00 SSMISF17 89GHz 7.10 138.18 25.0 7.29 136.97 0.94 0.70 0.33 0.73 3.61 4.8 20231113 04:50:00 HIMAWARI IR 7.09 138.14 25.0 5.29 139.00 4.38 0.15 1.55 0.32 1.08 6.3 20231113 05:20:00 HIMAWARI Vis 7.09 138.12 25.0 7.04 136.76 0.90 0.20 0.32 0.42 5.27 0.0 alpha0= al:ph:a= 5.57 138.50 0.00 20231113.00 45000.0 5.55 138.48 20231113.00 52000.00 0.00 0.00 20231113.00 55000.0 20231113 06:20:00 HIMAWARI SWIR 7.07 138.10 25.0 5.10 138.40 1.95 0.50 0.69 0.32 2.44 0.0 20231113 07:20:00 HIMAWARI SWIR 7.05 138.08 25.0 5.17 137.40 2.18 0.40 0.77 0.29 2.17 0.0 20231113 07:50:00 HIMAWARI SWIR 7.04 138.06 25.0 5.11 137.54 1.91 0.20 0.68 0.33 2.48 0.0 alpha0= al:ph:a= 5.52 138.44 0.00 20231113.00 72000.0 6.48 139.28 20231113.00 75000.00 0.00 0.00 20231113.00 82000.0 20231113 08:50:00 HIMAWARI IR 8.02 138.90 25.0 6.10 139.40 9.49 0.50 3.36 0.08 0.50 1.5 20231113 09:20:00 HIMAWARI IR 7.98 138.88 25.0 6.11 139.54 9.49 0.35 3.36 0.11 0.50 3.1 20231113 09:50:00 HIMAWARI IR 7.97 138.87 25.0 6.52 140.25 9.49 0.35 3.36 0.07 0.50 1.3 20231113 10:20:00 HIMAWARI SWIR 7.95 138.85 25.0 8.65 139.73 6.80 0.05 2.41 0.12 0.70 0.0 20231113 10:50:00 SSMISF17 89GHz 7.94 138.83 25.0 7.94 138.83 1.16 1.25 0.41 0.44 4.08 3.2 20231113 11:20:00 SSMISF17 89GHz 7.94 138.83 25.0 7.93 138.83 1.16 1.25 0.41 0.44 3.76 3.2 20231113 11:50:00 SSMISF17 89GHz 7.94 138.83 25.0 7.92 138.81 1.16 1.25 0.41 0.44 3.67 3.2 20231113 12:20:00 SSMISF17 89GHz 7.94 138.83 25.0 7.90 138.79 1.16 1.25 0.41 0.44 3.58 3.2 20231113 12:50:00 SSMISF17 89GHz 7.94 138.83 25.0 7.89 138.78 1.16 1.25 0.41 0.44 3.48 3.2 20231113 13:20:00 SSMISF17 89GHz 7.94 138.83 25.0 7.88 138.76 1.16 1.25 0.41 0.44 3.39 3.2 20231113 13:50:00 SSMISF17 89GHz 7.94 138.83 25.0 7.87 138.75 1.16 1.25 0.41 0.44 3.30 3.2 20231113 14:20:00 GMI 89GHz 7.85 138.72 25.0 7.90 138.87 1.41 0.60 0.50 0.23 3.37 1.1 20231113 14:50:00 GMI 89GHz 7.85 138.72 25.0 7.89 138.86 1.41 0.60 0.50 0.23 3.38 1.1 20231113 15:50:00 HIMAWARI SWIR 6.17 139.80 25.0 4.22 140.18 2.63 0.05 0.93 0.25 1.80 0.0 20231113 16:20:00 HIMAWARI SWIR 6.15 139.81 25.0 4.20 140.16 2.87 0.25 1.02 0.23 1.65 0.0 20231113 17:50:00 HIMAWARI SWIR 6.11 139.82 25.0 5.01 140.53 7.03 0.10 2.49 0.12 0.67 0.0 20231113 18:50:00 HIMAWARI IR 6.09 139.84 25.0 5.74 141.10 9.49 0.30 3.36 0.06 0.50 0.3 2 :: SSMISF18 89GHz 4.53 140.50 20.0 4.53 140.50 1.28 1.40 0.45 0.33 3.70 1.0 20231113 20:50:00 HIMAWARI IR 4.50 140.50 20.0 2.52 140.20 2.27 0.05 0.80 0.42 2.09 35.3 2 :: SSMISF16 89GHz 4.48 140.50 20.0 4.13 139.55 1.23 0.80 0.43 0.38 3.87 2.7 2 :: SSMISF17 89GHz 4.45 140.50 20.0 4.30 139.55 1.62 0.80 0.57 0.09 2.94 0.6 20231114 01:50:00 HIMAWARI Vis 4.36 140.44 20.0 2.44 139.91 1.15 0.15 0.41 0.34 4.12 0.0 20231114 02:20:00 HIMAWARI Vis 4.35 140.43 20.0 2.45 139.82 1.12 0.45 0.40 0.35 4.22 0.0 20231114 03:50:00 HIMAWARI Vis 4.33 140.38 20.0 2.38 139.95 0.83 0.35 0.30 0.45 5.68 0.0 20231114 04:50:00 AMSR2 89GHz 4.31 140.34 20.0 4.36 140.19 1.00 1.20 0.35 0.64 4.74 4.1 20231114 05:50:00 HIMAWARI Vis 4.30 140.30 20.0 2.32 140.00 1.56 0.20 0.55 0.27 3.03 0.0 20231114 06:20:00 HIMAWARI IR 4.29 140.28 20.0 2.29 140.28 1.75 0.25 0.62 0.48 2.72 0.9 alpha0= al:ph:a= 3.95 139.36 0.00 20231114.00 55000.0 3.94 139.32 20231114.00 62000.00 0.00 0.00 20231114.00 65000.0 20231114 07:20:00 HIMAWARI SWIR 4.29 140.23 20.0 2.31 140.36 2.05 0.35 0.73 0.31 2.31 0.0 20231114 09:50:00 HIMAWARI SWIR 4.28 140.11 20.0 5.63 140.06 7.61 0.40 2.69 0.11 0.62 0.0 2 :: SSMISF17 89GHz 4.28 140.09 20.0 4.38 140.09 1.67 1.05 0.59 0.06 2.83 0.1 20231114 11:50:00 HIMAWARI SWIR 4.29 140.02 20.0 2.44 140.77 5.01 0.50 1.77 0.15 0.95 0.0 20231114 12:20:00 HIMAWARI SWIR 4.30 139.99 20.0 2.32 140.29 6.13 0.40 2.17 0.13 0.77 0.0 alpha0= al:ph:a= 3.95 139.09 0.00 20231114.00 115000.0 3.96 139.04 20231114.00 122000.00 0.00 0.00 20231114.00 125000.0 20231114 13:50:00 HIMAWARI SWIR 4.31 139.91 20.0 3.61 139.81 3.96 0.35 1.40 0.18 1.20 0.0 20231114 14:50:00 HIMAWARI SWIR 4.33 139.86 20.0 2.38 140.19 4.20 0.05 1.49 0.17 1.13 0.0 20231114 15:20:00 HIMAWARI SWIR 4.34 139.84 20.0 2.37 139.91 3.90 0.50 1.38 0.18 1.22 0.0