Hurricane 15E


Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information
Advanced Dvorak Technique
Version 9.1
 

       --Overpass--              --ARCHER--   Ring  Ring            Eye              BT   -Forecast-  
       Date    Time      Sat     Lat    Lon   Diam   Pct  TbDiff   Score  Meaning   Vmax  Lat    Lon                 
     20231003 090350     AMSR2   11.4 -106.7    46   N/A    4.49   -4.49      N/A   35.0  11.9 -107.3 Analysis Plot     
     20231003 122947  SSMISF16   12.3 -106.4   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   35.0  12.2 -107.6 Analysis Plot     
     20231003 135222  SSMISF17   12.8 -106.6   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   35.0  12.4 -107.7 Analysis Plot     
     20231003 232833  SSMISF18   13.6 -107.8    68   19%    0.81   -0.81      N/A   35.0  13.1 -107.8 Analysis Plot     
     20231004 010223  SSMISF17   13.0 -107.6    68    7%    2.74   -2.74      N/A   35.0  13.3 -107.9 Analysis Plot     
     20231004 073723       GMI   13.9 -108.0   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   40.0  13.8 -108.2 Analysis Plot     
     20231004 190318       GMI   15.6 -109.1   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   45.0  15.2 -108.7 Analysis Plot     
     20231004 203719     AMSR2   15.5 -109.0   146   29%    0.89   -0.89      N/A   45.0  15.2 -108.9 Analysis Plot     
     20231004 231510  SSMISF18   15.3 -108.8   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   45.0  15.5 -109.1 Analysis Plot     
     20231005 010828  SSMISF16   15.9 -108.7   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   45.0  15.6 -109.4 Analysis Plot     
     20231005 085031     AMSR2   16.1 -109.4   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   45.0  15.8 -109.6 Analysis Plot     
     20231005 115100  SSMISF18   16.7 -109.1   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   50.0  15.8 -109.7 Analysis Plot     
     20231005 132452  SSMISF17   16.8 -109.2   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   50.0  15.9 -109.8 Analysis Plot     
     20231005 230200  SSMISF18   16.6 -110.2   135   32%    0.81    0.81      N/A   55.0  16.0 -110.1 Analysis Plot     
     20231006 005435  SSMISF16   16.7 -110.1   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   55.0  15.8 -110.1 Analysis Plot     
     20231006 072420       GMI   16.3 -110.3    34   50%    0.42    0.42      N/A   60.0  15.9 -110.3 Analysis Plot     
     20231006 093437     AMSR2   17.1 -110.6   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   60.0  16.3 -110.5 Analysis Plot     
     20231006 113658  SSMISF18   16.4 -109.4   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   60.0  16.3 -110.6 Analysis Plot     
     20231006 132951  SSMISF16   16.9 -109.6   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   60.0  16.5 -110.4 Analysis Plot     
     20231006 202607     AMSR2   16.4 -110.9   190   10%    1.11    1.11      N/A   60.0  16.4 -111.2 Analysis Plot     
     20231006 224932  SSMISF18   17.1 -111.5   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   60.0  16.5 -111.6 Analysis Plot     
     20231007 004141  SSMISF16   17.1 -112.5   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   60.0  16.4 -111.6 Analysis Plot     
     20231007 020357  SSMISF17   15.6 -112.1   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   60.0  16.4 -111.7 Analysis Plot     
     20231007 112357  SSMISF18   15.9 -112.2   157   28%    1.89    1.89      N/A   55.0  16.1 -112.2 Analysis Plot     
     20231007 131619  SSMISF16   16.0 -112.6    79    7%    0.51    0.51      N/A   55.0  16.2 -112.2 Analysis Plot     
     20231007 175638       GMI   15.8 -112.8   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   55.0  16.3 -112.3 Analysis Plot     
     20231007 210837     AMSR2   15.4 -112.6    34   97%   18.75   33.75  >65 kts   55.0  16.1 -112.5 Analysis Plot     
     20231008 002913  SSMISF16   15.7 -112.9    79   29%    9.73    9.73      N/A   60.0  16.3 -112.6 Analysis Plot     
     20231008 014937  SSMISF17   15.7 -112.3    23   N/A    5.32    5.32      N/A   60.0  16.4 -112.7 Analysis Plot     
     20231008 071257       GMI   16.2 -112.8   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   60.0  16.4 -112.7 Analysis Plot     
     20231008 092103     AMSR2   16.6 -112.6   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   60.0  16.5 -112.5 Analysis Plot     
     20231008 111112  SSMISF18   16.3 -112.8   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   60.0  16.7 -112.5 Analysis Plot     
     20231008 130311  SSMISF16   16.3 -112.5    68   43%    2.46    2.46      N/A   60.0  16.9 -112.8 Analysis Plot     
     20231008 142415  SSMISF17   16.5 -112.4    79   42%   14.49   14.49      N/A   60.0  17.0 -112.8 Analysis Plot     
     20231009 124958  SSMISF16   17.4 -112.3   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   55.0  18.5 -111.8 Analysis Plot     
     20231009 140949  SSMISF17   17.2 -111.9   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   55.0  18.6 -111.6 Analysis Plot     
     20231009 205645     AMSR2   17.7 -110.9     5   32%    1.63    1.63      N/A   60.0  18.2 -110.7 Analysis Plot     
     20231010 012235  SSMISF17   18.2 -110.4    23   92%   14.29   29.29  >65 kts   65.0  18.4 -110.1 Analysis Plot     
     20231010 090806     AMSR2   18.5 -109.1    34  100%   25.00   40.00  >65 kts   70.0  18.8 -108.8 Analysis Plot     
     20231010 123623  SSMISF16   18.7 -108.4    23   97%   19.18   34.18  >65 kts   80.0  19.1 -108.1 Analysis Plot     
     20231010 165104       GMI   19.1 -107.5    23  100%   55.92   70.92  >85 kts   80.0  19.4 -107.4 Analysis Plot     
     20231010 200232     AMSR2   19.5 -106.8    23  100%   70.20   85.20  >85 kts  105.0  19.6 -106.6 Analysis Plot     
     20231010 235107  SSMISF16   19.9 -105.9   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A  120.0  20.3 -105.4 Analysis Plot     
     20231011 010908  SSMISF17   20.6 -105.2   246   59%    1.36    1.36      N/A  120.0  20.4 -105.3 Analysis Plot     
 
 
Legend

  - Overpass Date/Time are determined from satellite overpass of targeted TC (position determined from Best Track Lat/Lon position). Date is YYYYMMDD and time in HHMMSS (UTC).

  - Forecast (Best Track) and ARCHER positions (deg) of the TC center at overpass day/time. Positive/Negative: Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Eastern/Western Hemisphere.

  - BT Vmax is the concurrent ATCF Best Track (BT) wind speed intensity estimate (Vmax) value from either NOAA/National Hurricane Center (NHC) (North Atlantic and Northeast Pacific), NOAA/Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) (North-central Pacific) or Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) (Northwest Pacific, Indian Ocean, or Southwest Pacific).

  - Sat is the satellite descriptor providing the overpass. Currently the satellites used are the DMSP/SSMIS-16/17/18, GPM/GMI, and GCOM/AMSR2.

  - Ring Diam (km) indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter if one is analyzed in the PMW imagery. The value listed is the average PMW-estimated inner eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km for eyewall slope. N/A indicates no appreciable eyewall is analyzed.

  - Ring Pct is the percentage of the analyzed "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the eye Tb (the "hot spot" -- warmest eye pixel) by at least 20K, or 2) that is colder than 232K and colder than the eye Tb by 10K, whichever is greater. Values are red if Ring % ≤65,yellow/brown if Ring % ≤85 and green if Ring % >85. N/A indicates no appreciable eyewall is analyzed. A value over 85% is used in the intensity score by adding 15 points to it.

  - TbDiff is the difference between the warmest eye pixel and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. This value is used in the Intensity Score. N/A indicates no appreciable eyewall is analyzed.

  - Eye Score values are based on the strength and organization of the convective/eyewall signatures in the PMW imagery, and based on the ARCHER center location. They normally range from 0 to 100 with empirically-determined thresholds related to intensity (Vmax) in the "Meaning" column (≥20 suggests ≥65kts; ≥60 suggests ≥85kts). Scores are listed as negative, and not used by the ADT, when the NHC, CPHC, or JTWC Best Track Vmax is <55 kts in order to filter out occasional "false eye" cases. A value of -920 is used when the warmest eye pixel is <200K to prevent false positives; -930 means edge of overpass and <85% of eyewall is captured and therefore can't fully be analyzed.