Typhoon 15W


Passive Microwave (PMW) Intensity Information
Advanced Dvorak Technique
Version 9.1
 

       --Overpass--              --ARCHER--   Ring  Ring            Eye              BT   -Forecast-  
       Date    Time      Sat     Lat    Lon   Diam   Pct  TbDiff   Score  Meaning   Vmax  Lat    Lon                 
     20231007 025918     AMSR2    9.6  154.7   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   25.0   9.9  154.1 Analysis Plot     
     20231007 053430  SSMISF18   10.4  153.4   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   30.0   9.8  153.4 Analysis Plot     
     20231007 072714  SSMISF16   10.3  154.7   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   30.0   9.8  153.3 Analysis Plot     
     20231007 151527     AMSR2    9.4  153.9   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   35.0   9.8  152.9 Analysis Plot     
     20231007 181330  SSMISF18    8.3  153.8   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   35.0   9.8  152.7 Analysis Plot     
     20231007 194652  SSMISF17   10.1  153.5   112    3%    4.87   -4.87      N/A   35.0  10.0  152.9 Analysis Plot     
     20231008 034306     AMSR2   10.1  153.1   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   35.0   9.6  152.8 Analysis Plot     
     20231008 052141  SSMISF18   10.3  152.7   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   40.0   9.6  152.4 Analysis Plot     
     20231008 071401  SSMISF16   10.6  152.5   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   40.0   9.8  152.1 Analysis Plot     
     20231008 083606  SSMISF17   10.6  151.9   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   40.0   9.8  152.0 Analysis Plot     
     20231008 132136       GMI   11.5  151.3   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   45.0   9.9  151.9 Analysis Plot     
     20231008 155902     AMSR2   11.1  151.3   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   45.0  10.2  151.4 Analysis Plot     
     20231008 175939  SSMISF18   10.1  151.3   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   45.0  10.3  151.2 Analysis Plot     
     20231008 195210  SSMISF16   10.6  150.6   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   50.0  11.0  151.0 Analysis Plot     
     20231009 070238  SSMISF16   11.6  148.9    12    1%    5.75    5.75      N/A   60.0  11.6  148.9 Analysis Plot     
     20231009 082201  SSMISF17   11.4  148.9    34   N/A    2.06    2.06      N/A   60.0  11.6  148.8 Analysis Plot     
     20231009 174652  SSMISF18   12.9  147.4    12   61%    2.95    2.95      N/A   55.0  12.7  147.4 Analysis Plot     
     20231009 193838  SSMISF16   13.2  147.5    23  100%   23.76   38.76  >65 kts   60.0  13.5  146.8 Analysis Plot     
     20231009 205848  SSMISF17   13.5  147.1    23   57%    2.86    2.86      N/A   60.0  13.7  146.7 Analysis Plot     
     20231010 033121     AMSR2   14.1  145.7   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   70.0  14.1  145.7 Analysis Plot     
     20231010 080957  SSMISF17   14.8  145.3    34  100%   27.05   42.05  >65 kts   70.0  14.9  145.0 Analysis Plot     
     20231010 130932       GMI   15.4  144.9    23  100%   54.20   69.20  >85 kts   70.0  15.3  144.8 Analysis Plot     
     20231010 154502     AMSR2   15.6  144.5    12  100%   58.03   73.03  >85 kts   75.0  15.9  144.5 Analysis Plot     
     20231010 204422  SSMISF17   16.3  144.3    12  100%   36.61   51.61  >65 kts  100.0  16.7  144.1 Analysis Plot     
     20231011 041623     AMSR2   17.9  143.6    12  100%   68.48   83.48  >85 kts  140.0  17.8  143.7 Analysis Plot     
     20231011 062541  SSMISF18   18.4  143.4     5  100%   45.30   60.30  >85 kts  145.0  18.7  143.3 Analysis Plot     
     20231011 081909  SSMISF16   18.5  143.3     5  100%   52.26   67.26  >85 kts  145.0  19.0  143.2 Analysis Plot     
     20231011 162636     AMSR2   19.5  142.8    12  100%   61.62   76.62  >85 kts  155.0  20.1  143.1 Analysis Plot     
     20231011 185903  SSMISF18   19.6  142.9    12  100%   39.07   54.07  >65 kts  155.0  20.1  143.0 Analysis Plot     
     20231011 203051  SSMISF17   20.0  142.7    12  100%   41.01   56.01  >65 kts  155.0  20.2  143.0 Analysis Plot     
     20231011 234139       GMI   20.6  142.9    12  100%   52.03   67.03  >85 kts  155.0  20.5  143.1 Analysis Plot     
     20231012 032146     AMSR2   21.1  143.4    12  100%   56.41   71.41  >85 kts  150.0  21.3  143.4 Analysis Plot     
     20231012 061328  SSMISF18   22.0  143.4     5  100%   44.01   59.01  >65 kts  155.0  22.9  144.2 Analysis Plot     
     20231012 130102       GMI   22.9  144.4    12  100%   45.89   60.89  >85 kts  155.0  23.2  144.4 Analysis Plot     
     20231012 224817       GMI   25.1  146.7    23  100%   44.83   59.83  >65 kts  145.0  25.2  146.6 Analysis Plot     
     20231013 060157  SSMISF18   27.0  149.2   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A  115.0  28.1  149.8 Analysis Plot     
     20231013 073234  SSMISF17   27.4  149.1   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A  115.0  28.3  150.0 Analysis Plot     
     20231013 121017       GMI   29.2  150.8   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A  115.0  29.0  150.9 Analysis Plot     
     20231013 161157     AMSR2   31.6  153.7   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A  100.0  31.9  154.3 Analysis Plot     
     20231013 182900  SSMISF18   31.1  155.1   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   85.0  32.4  154.5 Analysis Plot     
     20231013 215426       GMI   33.0  155.6   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   85.0  33.1  155.3 Analysis Plot     
     20231014 041042  SSMISF18   36.4  159.9   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   80.0  36.5  159.9 Analysis Plot     
     20231014 060222  SSMISF16   36.8  160.3   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   70.0  37.4  161.1 Analysis Plot     
     20231014 072033  SSMISF17   37.6  161.6   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   70.0  37.7  161.4 Analysis Plot     
     20231014 112132       GMI   39.1  165.2   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   70.0  39.1  163.1 Analysis Plot     
     20231014 151237     AMSR2   41.7  165.4   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   60.0  41.3  166.3 Analysis Plot     
     20231014 182356  SSMISF16   42.1  169.3   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   65.0  42.3  168.3 Analysis Plot     
     20231014 194132  SSMISF17   42.6  168.9   N/A   N/A     N/A     N/A      N/A   65.0  42.6  168.9 Analysis Plot     
 
 
Legend

  - Overpass Date/Time are determined from satellite overpass of targeted TC (position determined from Best Track Lat/Lon position). Date is YYYYMMDD and time in HHMMSS (UTC).

  - Forecast (Best Track) and ARCHER positions (deg) of the TC center at overpass day/time. Positive/Negative: Latitude = North/South Hemisphere; Longitude = Eastern/Western Hemisphere.

  - BT Vmax is the concurrent ATCF Best Track (BT) wind speed intensity estimate (Vmax) value from either NOAA/National Hurricane Center (NHC) (North Atlantic and Northeast Pacific), NOAA/Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) (North-central Pacific) or Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) (Northwest Pacific, Indian Ocean, or Southwest Pacific).

  - Sat is the satellite descriptor providing the overpass. Currently the satellites used are the DMSP/SSMIS-16/17/18, GPM/GMI, and GCOM/AMSR2.

  - Ring Diam (km) indicates the estimated surface eyewall diameter if one is analyzed in the PMW imagery. The value listed is the average PMW-estimated inner eyewall edge diameter minus 10 km for eyewall slope. N/A indicates no appreciable eyewall is analyzed.

  - Ring Pct is the percentage of the analyzed "ring" (eyewall inner boundary) that is 1) colder than the eye Tb (the "hot spot" -- warmest eye pixel) by at least 20K, or 2) that is colder than 232K and colder than the eye Tb by 10K, whichever is greater. Values are red if Ring % ≤65,yellow/brown if Ring % ≤85 and green if Ring % >85. N/A indicates no appreciable eyewall is analyzed. A value over 85% is used in the intensity score by adding 15 points to it.

  - TbDiff is the difference between the warmest eye pixel and the warmest pixel on the eyewall. This value is used in the Intensity Score. N/A indicates no appreciable eyewall is analyzed.

  - Eye Score values are based on the strength and organization of the convective/eyewall signatures in the PMW imagery, and based on the ARCHER center location. They normally range from 0 to 100 with empirically-determined thresholds related to intensity (Vmax) in the "Meaning" column (≥20 suggests ≥65kts; ≥60 suggests ≥85kts). Scores are listed as negative, and not used by the ADT, when the NHC, CPHC, or JTWC Best Track Vmax is <55 kts in order to filter out occasional "false eye" cases. A value of -920 is used when the warmest eye pixel is <200K to prevent false positives; -930 means edge of overpass and <85% of eyewall is captured and therefore can't fully be analyzed.