Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison Tropical Cyclones AI Rapid Intensification Index     Sanvu at 04/21/23 18 UTC. Intensity = 40 kts, MPI = 142 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 2.2% 0.0% 11.0% RIPA Consensus 0.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 2.0% 0.3% 1.7% 0.6% 6.3% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 1.4% 0.2% 1.8% 0.3% 7.8% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.0% 1.5% 0.6% 9.9% Logistic Regression 0.6% 4.9% 1.5% 1.2% 1.2% 3.3% 0.6% 1.9% 0.5% 2.7% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Past 2023 W Pacific TCs