CIMSS AI Rapid Intensification Index

Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclones
AI Rapid Intensification Index (Reference)

Gilma at 08/29/24 18 UTC. Intensity = 30 kts, MPI = 76 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.7%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.0%	1.0%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.3%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	2.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/29/24 12 UTC. Intensity = 30 kts, MPI = 69 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.0%	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/29/24 06 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 67 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.0%	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.5%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/29/24 00 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 70 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	4.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	12.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.0%	0.5%	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.5%	Logistic Regression	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/28/24 18 UTC. Intensity = 40 kts, MPI = 68 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.0%	1.1%	0.5%	0.5%	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	2.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/28/24 12 UTC. Intensity = 40 kts, MPI = 66 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	4.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%		0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	3.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	14.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%		0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.0%	0.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/28/24 06 UTC. Intensity = 45 kts, MPI = 57 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	4.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	3.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	12.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.0%	0.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/28/24 00 UTC. Intensity = 45 kts, MPI = 61 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	3.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	2.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	9.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/27/24 18 UTC. Intensity = 55 kts, MPI = 66 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/27/24 12 UTC. Intensity = 75 kts, MPI = 65 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	1.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	1.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	5.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/27/24 06 UTC. Intensity = 90 kts, MPI = 55 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/27/24 00 UTC. Intensity = 95 kts, MPI = 73 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/26/24 18 UTC. Intensity = 95 kts, MPI = 84 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.1%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.0%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/26/24 12 UTC. Intensity = 85 kts, MPI = 81 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.4%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	2.9%	3.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.2%	2.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	8.6%	9.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.7%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/26/24 06 UTC. Intensity = 85 kts, MPI = 71 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.4%	1.0%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	1.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.1%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	5.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.2%	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/26/24 00 UTC. Intensity = 90 kts, MPI = 64 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.5%	1.9%	1.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	1.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	5.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.2%	0.9%	0.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/25/24 18 UTC. Intensity = 100 kts, MPI = 65 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.3%	0.5%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/25/24 12 UTC. Intensity = 110 kts, MPI = 65 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.1%	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/25/24 06 UTC. Intensity = 115 kts, MPI = 73 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.5%	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.3%	0.1%	0.4%	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	1.4%	0.6%	1.5%	0.2%	1.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/25/24 00 UTC. Intensity = 110 kts, MPI = 81 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	5.4%	0.5%	0.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	2.0%	0.7%	1.4%	0.2%	0.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.8%	0.6%	1.2%	0.1%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	4.2%	1.2%	0.8%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	6.0%	2.0%	4.3%	0.6%	2.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	3.0%	2.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/24/24 18 UTC. Intensity = 85 kts, MPI = 94 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	5.8%	2.0%	1.7%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.6%	6.0%	0.9%	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	1.8%	5.0%	1.1%	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	15.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	4.9%	2.0%	1.3%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	1.7%	2.5%	2.7%	0.3%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	4.0%	2.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/24/24 12 UTC. Intensity = 80 kts, MPI = 99 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	1.8%	6.1%	2.7%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	3.4%	5.5%	0.8%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.9%	5.6%	1.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	9.2%	14.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	3.9%	10.0%	4.8%	2.8%	1.7%	1.6%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.8%	2.3%	2.4%	0.3%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	6.0%	14.0%	7.0%	5.0%	3.0%	3.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/24/24 06 UTC. Intensity = 85 kts, MPI = 89 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	3.4%	4.1%	3.6%	1.3%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	3.5%	5.9%	1.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	3.4%	5.4%	1.7%	0.4%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	9.3%	14.8%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	3.2%	6.0%	3.3%	1.6%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	1.1%	3.0%	3.5%	0.5%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	3.0%	8.0%	3.0%	2.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/24/24 00 UTC. Intensity = 90 kts, MPI = 91 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	7.5%	9.3%	6.5%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	3.0%	5.4%	0.8%	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	4.1%	6.3%	2.2%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	8.1%	13.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	4.7%	8.1%	4.7%	2.4%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	1.0%	2.9%	2.5%	0.4%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	2.0%	7.0%	3.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/23/24 18 UTC. Intensity = 95 kts, MPI = 95 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.9%	2.4%	1.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	2.3%	3.7%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	1.9%	3.4%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	6.5%	10.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	1.9%	5.7%	2.6%	1.1%	0.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.3%	0.9%	0.6%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	3.0%	9.0%	4.0%	2.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/23/24 12 UTC. Intensity = 100 kts, MPI = 97 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	2.1%	3.2%	0.8%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	2.6%	3.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.4%	3.7%	0.5%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	7.0%	9.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	1.5%	7.1%	2.4%	0.7%	0.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.8%	1.7%	1.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	1.0%	11.0%	4.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/23/24 06 UTC. Intensity = 105 kts, MPI = 98 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	1.2%	1.4%	1.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	2.6%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.4%	1.0%	0.7%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	6.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.6%	2.7%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.9%	1.5%	0.9%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	4.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/22/24 18 UTC. Intensity = 110 kts, MPI = 104 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	7.0%	4.2%	1.4%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.5%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.1%	1.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	4.5%	5.1%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	1.5%	1.8%	0.8%	0.4%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	2.0%	6.0%	2.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/22/24 06 UTC. Intensity = 100 kts, MPI = 128 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	16.4%	18.4%	4.8%	2.6%	0.9%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	3.8%	3.9%	3.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	6.9%	7.5%	3.5%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	10.5%	10.5%	8.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	9.2%	9.7%	2.4%	1.3%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.8%	1.1%	0.3%	0.2%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	2.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/22/24 00 UTC. Intensity = 95 kts, MPI = 131 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	4.9%	7.8%	5.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%	SHIPS Consensus	8.5%	9.3%	5.5%	4.6%	3.2%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	7.6%	8.9%	5.5%	3.8%	2.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	15.4%	17.0%	13.5%	11.2%	8.8%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	14.4%	7.4%	4.7%	1.8%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	9.1%	10.8%	3.1%	2.5%	0.7%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
									Bayesian	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	24.0%	7.0%	4.0%	2.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/21/24 18 UTC. Intensity = 90 kts, MPI = 131 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	24.2%	26.4%	11.1%	6.4%	2.4%	3.2%	0.1%	0.1%	SHIPS Consensus	20.3%	15.4%	7.9%	6.7%	3.9%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	21.3%	18.1%	8.7%	6.6%	3.5%	1.1%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	27.9%	20.2%	15.7%	13.1%	10.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	39.6%	54.2%	39.0%	21.2%	12.2%	5.1%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	27.7%	25.0%	8.0%	6.9%	1.4%	1.4%	0.2%	0.1%
									Bayesian	5.5%	0.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	55.0%	82.0%	67.0%	36.0%	22.0%	7.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/21/24 12 UTC. Intensity = 75 kts, MPI = 138 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	16.6%	37.5%	17.5%	9.9%	5.0%	3.7%	0.6%	0.3%	SHIPS Consensus	9.3%	15.8%	6.8%	5.5%	3.7%	5.0%	3.4%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	11.1%	21.2%	9.5%	6.6%	4.0%	4.7%	2.6%	0.1%	SHIPS-RII	15.4%	20.5%	15.1%	12.5%	10.0%	14.1%	9.9%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	28.3%	55.2%	38.7%	25.4%	18.0%	13.8%	0.8%	0.1%	Logistic Regression	10.7%	22.3%	5.1%	3.9%	1.0%	1.0%	0.2%	0.1%
									Bayesian	1.7%	4.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	40.0%	73.0%	60.0%	41.0%	31.0%	24.0%	1.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/21/24 06 UTC. Intensity = 65 kts, MPI = 127 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	11.1%	28.5%	18.1%	5.1%	6.1%	4.5%	0.8%	0.8%	SHIPS Consensus	11.9%	24.9%	9.7%	8.0%	5.3%	7.6%	4.7%	2.8%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	11.6%	25.8%	11.8%	7.2%	5.5%	6.8%	3.7%	2.3%	SHIPS-RII	15.6%	25.0%	18.1%	15.2%	12.4%	19.2%	13.8%	8.3%
AI-RI and DTOPS	15.0%	31.2%	24.0%	16.0%	16.0%	18.2%	2.9%	0.4%	Logistic Regression	17.7%	38.1%	10.4%	8.6%	2.9%	3.2%	0.3%	0.2%
									Bayesian	2.3%	11.7%	0.7%	0.3%	0.6%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	19.0%	34.0%	30.0%	27.0%	26.0%	32.0%	5.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/21/24 00 UTC. Intensity = 60 kts, MPI = 145 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	2.6%	22.8%	9.6%	2.7%	2.4%	7.8%	2.3%	1.5%	SHIPS Consensus	6.8%	14.0%	7.5%	6.1%	4.6%	7.5%	5.2%	3.1%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	5.7%	16.2%	8.0%	5.2%	4.0%	7.5%	4.4%	2.7%	SHIPS-RII	15.2%	23.7%	18.3%	15.8%	13.0%	20.3%	15.0%	9.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	10.3%	29.4%	18.3%	12.8%	10.2%	15.4%	7.6%	0.7%	Logistic Regression	3.9%	14.6%	3.8%	2.4%	0.6%	1.6%	0.6%	0.4%
									Bayesian	1.2%	3.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.3%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	18.0%	36.0%	27.0%	23.0%	18.0%	23.0%	13.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/20/24 18 UTC. Intensity = 50 kts, MPI = 126 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.1%	2.7%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	2.4%	1.6%	2.7%	SHIPS Consensus	3.2%	6.4%	4.6%	3.8%	3.1%	6.4%	5.7%	3.5%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.4%	5.5%	3.5%	2.8%	2.3%	5.3%	4.6%	3.2%	SHIPS-RII	9.1%	16.9%	13.3%	11.1%	9.1%	18.8%	16.9%	10.3%
AI-RI and DTOPS	2.5%	5.8%	2.6%	2.0%	1.5%	7.2%	7.3%	2.3%	Logistic Regression	0.3%	2.0%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
									Bayesian	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	5.0%	9.0%	5.0%	4.0%	3.0%	12.0%	13.0%	2.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/20/24 12 UTC. Intensity = 45 kts, MPI = 113 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.1%	0.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.7%	0.4%	0.9%	SHIPS Consensus	1.7%	4.0%	3.4%	2.8%	0.0%	5.0%	5.3%	3.4%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	1.3%	3.1%	2.5%	2.0%	0.0%	3.9%	4.1%	2.8%	SHIPS-RII	5.2%	11.9%	10.0%	8.3%	0.0%	15.0%	16.0%	10.3%
AI-RI and DTOPS	1.0%	4.8%	2.0%	1.5%	1.0%	8.3%	11.7%	0.9%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	2.0%	9.0%	4.0%	3.0%	2.0%	16.0%	23.0%	1.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/20/24 06 UTC. Intensity = 45 kts, MPI = 135 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%	0.1%	0.4%	1.5%	SHIPS Consensus	2.0%	5.3%	4.0%	3.3%	2.7%	5.6%	5.9%	3.8%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	1.4%	4.0%	3.0%	2.5%	2.0%	4.2%	4.5%	3.2%	SHIPS-RII	5.9%	15.7%	12.0%	9.8%	8.1%	16.8%	17.6%	11.5%
AI-RI and DTOPS	1.0%	8.2%	3.6%	2.1%	1.0%	8.0%	13.7%	1.2%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	2.0%	16.0%	7.0%	4.0%	2.0%	16.0%	27.0%	1.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/20/24 00 UTC. Intensity = 50 kts, MPI = 138 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.7%	4.6%	2.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.6%	0.5%	4.9%	SHIPS Consensus	3.4%	7.8%	5.4%	4.4%	3.5%	7.0%	6.1%	3.9%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.7%	7.0%	4.5%	3.3%	2.7%	5.4%	4.7%	4.1%	SHIPS-RII	9.9%	20.9%	15.5%	13.0%	10.5%	20.8%	18.0%	11.5%
AI-RI and DTOPS	4.3%	21.3%	12.6%	8.1%	5.6%	13.8%	25.7%	4.4%	Logistic Regression	0.3%	2.1%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%
									Bayesian	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	8.0%	38.0%	23.0%	16.0%	11.0%	27.0%	51.0%	4.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/19/24 18 UTC. Intensity = 50 kts, MPI = 133 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	1.7%	5.9%	0.6%	0.8%	1.0%	2.6%	4.8%	7.9%	SHIPS Consensus	3.3%	6.6%	4.9%	4.1%	3.3%	6.7%	5.7%	3.4%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.9%	6.3%	3.8%	3.2%	2.7%	5.7%	5.4%	4.5%	SHIPS-RII	9.3%	17.6%	14.2%	12.1%	9.8%	20.0%	16.8%	10.2%
AI-RI and DTOPS	3.3%	6.9%	3.3%	2.4%	2.0%	4.3%	5.4%	4.9%	Logistic Regression	0.3%	2.0%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
									Bayesian	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	5.0%	8.0%	6.0%	4.0%	3.0%	6.0%	6.0%	2.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/19/24 12 UTC. Intensity = 45 kts, MPI = 123 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.2%	3.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	7.0%	4.4%	SHIPS Consensus	3.6%	6.4%	4.7%	4.0%	3.1%	6.4%	6.3%	4.1%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.8%	5.6%	3.7%	2.9%	2.3%	5.1%	6.4%	4.1%	SHIPS-RII	10.4%	17.3%	13.9%	11.7%	9.3%	19.0%	18.5%	12.1%
AI-RI and DTOPS	2.1%	4.1%	2.2%	1.5%	1.0%	1.1%	4.5%	2.2%	Logistic Regression	0.3%	1.9%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%
									Bayesian	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	4.0%	5.0%	4.0%	3.0%	2.0%	1.0%	2.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/19/24 06 UTC. Intensity = 45 kts, MPI = 128 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	1.3%	7.1%	1.4%	0.8%	1.0%	1.9%	1.5%	5.0%	SHIPS Consensus	3.4%	6.6%	4.9%	4.1%	3.2%	6.0%	0.1%	3.9%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.9%	6.7%	4.0%	3.2%	2.6%	4.9%	0.4%	4.1%	SHIPS-RII	9.7%	17.1%	14.0%	11.9%	9.5%	17.7%	0.0%	11.5%
AI-RI and DTOPS	3.6%	7.0%	3.2%	2.4%	2.0%	1.4%	1.2%	2.5%	Logistic Regression	0.4%	2.7%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%
									Bayesian	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	6.0%	7.0%	5.0%	4.0%	3.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/19/24 00 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 139 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.1%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.4%	1.2%	4.4%	SHIPS Consensus	2.3%	5.2%	3.9%	3.2%	2.5%	5.3%	5.2%	4.3%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	1.7%	4.1%	3.0%	2.4%	1.8%	4.1%	4.2%	4.3%	SHIPS-RII	6.7%	14.0%	11.4%	9.4%	7.5%	15.8%	15.4%	12.7%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.5%	3.5%	1.6%	1.0%	0.5%	0.7%	1.1%	2.7%	Logistic Regression	0.2%	1.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.3%	0.3%	0.3%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	1.0%	6.0%	3.0%	2.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gilma at 08/18/24 18 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 146 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.4%	1.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.6%	3.7%	9.2%	SHIPS Consensus	2.5%	4.2%	3.4%	2.8%	0.0%	5.1%	5.0%	0.1%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.0%	3.4%	2.5%	2.0%	0.0%	3.9%	4.6%	2.4%	SHIPS-RII	7.2%	11.0%	9.9%	8.2%	0.0%	14.9%	14.4%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.7%	2.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.5%	0.8%	2.3%	6.1%	Logistic Regression	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%	0.4%	0.6%	0.4%
									Bayesian	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	1.0%	3.0%	2.0%	2.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	3.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sevene at 08/18/24 12 UTC. Intensity = 30 kts, MPI = 154 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.1%	3.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	1.0%	4.0%	12.0%	SHIPS Consensus	2.4%	4.6%	3.5%	2.8%	0.0%	5.3%	5.4%	4.4%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	1.8%	4.4%	2.7%	2.1%	0.0%	4.2%	5.0%	6.3%	SHIPS-RII	7.2%	13.5%	10.5%	8.5%	0.0%	15.8%	15.6%	12.8%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.5%	2.9%	0.7%	0.6%	0.0%	1.0%	2.5%	7.0%	Logistic Regression	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.5%	0.5%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	1.0%	2.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	1.0%	1.0%	2.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------