Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclones
AI Rapid Intensification Index   (Reference)

 

current One intensity image current One RI diff image

 


Ewiniar at 05/31/24 00 UTC. Intensity = 45 kts, MPI = 11 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
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RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Logistic Regression 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
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Ewiniar at 05/30/24 12 UTC. Intensity = 45 kts, MPI = 22 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
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RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Logistic Regression 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
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Ewiniar at 05/30/24 06 UTC. Intensity = 50 kts, MPI = 25 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Logistic Regression 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
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Ewiniar at 05/30/24 00 UTC. Intensity = 50 kts, MPI = 43 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Logistic Regression N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
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Ewiniar at 05/29/24 18 UTC. Intensity = 55 kts, MPI = 56 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
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RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Logistic Regression 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
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Ewiniar at 05/29/24 12 UTC. Intensity = 60 kts, MPI = 66 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Logistic Regression 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
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Ewiniar at 05/29/24 06 UTC. Intensity = 65 kts, MPI = 78 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Logistic Regression 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
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Ewiniar at 05/29/24 00 UTC. Intensity = 70 kts, MPI = 81 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Logistic Regression 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
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Ewiniar at 05/28/24 18 UTC. Intensity = 75 kts, MPI = 116 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 4.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 3.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 6.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Logistic Regression 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
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Ewiniar at 05/28/24 12 UTC. Intensity = 65 kts, MPI = 134 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 1.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Logistic Regression 1.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
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Ewiniar at 05/28/24 06 UTC. Intensity = 70 kts, MPI = 130 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 2.9% 8.0% 4.2% 3.3% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 1.9% 5.3% 2.8% 2.1% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 3.0% 6.5% 3.6% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Logistic Regression 2.8% 9.4% 4.8% 4.8% 4.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
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Ewiniar at 05/28/24 00 UTC. Intensity = 75 kts, MPI = 129 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 4.7% 13.7% 8.7% 7.3% 7.3% 2.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 3.1% 9.2% 5.8% 4.8% 4.8% 1.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 5.6% 11.7% 8.2% 5.4% 5.4% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Logistic Regression 3.9% 15.8% 9.2% 9.2% 9.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
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Ewiniar at 05/27/24 18 UTC. Intensity = 80 kts, MPI = 132 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 2.9% 13.0% 7.7% 6.7% 6.7% 5.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 1.9% 8.7% 5.1% 4.5% 4.4% 3.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 2.9% 11.0% 6.4% 4.7% 4.7% 8.6% 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Logistic Regression 3.0% 15.0% 8.9% 8.7% 8.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
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Ewiniar at 05/27/24 12 UTC. Intensity = 85 kts, MPI = 138 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 3.5% 8.9% 5.5% 4.7% 4.7% 6.7% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 2.3% 6.0% 3.6% 3.1% 3.1% 4.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 5.2% 9.1% 6.8% 5.2% 5.2% 11.7% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Logistic Regression 1.8% 8.8% 4.3% 4.1% 4.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
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Ewiniar at 05/27/24 06 UTC. Intensity = 95 kts, MPI = 142 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 25.5% 32.8% 25.9% 25.9% 25.9% 32.8% 2.1% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 17.0% 22.0% 17.3% 17.4% 17.3% 21.8% 1.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 38.6% 37.9% 34.4% 34.4% 34.4% 53.3% 0.0% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Logistic Regression 12.4% 27.7% 17.5% 17.5% 17.5% 12.2% 4.1% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0%
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Ewiniar at 05/27/24 00 UTC. Intensity = 90 kts, MPI = 144 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 27.7% 32.5% 27.5% 27.5% 27.5% 34.7% 2.3% 7.4% 0.0% 0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 18.5% 21.9% 18.3% 18.5% 18.3% 23.0% 1.5% 4.9% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 42.4% 36.4% 36.3% 36.3% 36.3% 55.3% 0.0% 10.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Logistic Regression 13.1% 28.7% 18.6% 18.6% 18.6% 14.0% 4.6% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0%
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Ewiniar at 05/26/24 18 UTC. Intensity = 85 kts, MPI = 142 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.3% 2.7% 0.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 59.0% 67.3% 63.8% 63.8% 63.8% 56.2% 9.0% 23.1% 0.0% 0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 39.4% 45.7% 42.5% 43.1% 42.5% 37.5% 6.0% 15.4% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 77.1% 73.2% 73.2% 73.2% 73.2% 75.5% 0.0% 29.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Logistic Regression 40.9% 61.4% 54.4% 54.4% 54.4% 37.0% 18.1% 16.8% 0.0% 0.0%
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Ewiniar at 05/26/24 12 UTC. Intensity = 75 kts, MPI = 140 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% RIPA Consensus 54.1% 68.7% 66.0% 63.0% 61.3% 44.8% 7.6% 26.7% 10.9% 4.6%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 36.0% 46.0% 44.0% 42.3% 40.8% 29.9% 5.1% 17.8% 7.2% 3.1% Linear Discriminant Analysis 72.7% 73.7% 73.7% 67.6% 64.2% 56.0% 0.0% 29.9% 16.5% 6.6%
Logistic Regression 35.5% 63.8% 58.3% 58.3% 58.3% 33.5% 15.3% 23.6% 5.3% 2.6%
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Ewiniar at 05/26/24 06 UTC. Intensity = 55 kts, MPI = 145 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 1.8% 0.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% RIPA Consensus 35.5% 70.9% 63.5% 63.5% 48.7% 60.7% 27.9% 49.6% 28.5% 22.9%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 23.7% 47.8% 42.3% 42.5% 32.4% 40.4% 18.5% 33.0% 19.0% 15.6% Linear Discriminant Analysis 36.5% 64.7% 55.0% 55.0% 26.5% 49.5% 0.0% 45.9% 24.6% 24.2%
Logistic Regression 34.6% 77.1% 71.9% 71.9% 70.9% 71.9% 55.7% 53.3% 32.4% 21.5%
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Ewiniar at 05/26/24 00 UTC. Intensity = 50 kts, MPI = 149 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 1.7% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 45.2% 78.5% 71.9% 69.2% 59.3% 72.2% 38.8% 58.2% 37.5% 31.9%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 30.1% 52.9% 47.9% 46.2% 39.5% 48.1% 25.9% 39.6% 24.9% 21.2% Linear Discriminant Analysis 44.7% 71.7% 60.8% 55.5% 37.4% 58.9% 0.0% 51.0% 24.8% 27.2%
Logistic Regression 45.6% 85.3% 82.9% 82.9% 81.2% 85.6% 77.7% 65.3% 50.1% 36.6%
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One at 05/25/24 18 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 146 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% RIPA Consensus 4.9% 31.9% 20.5% 18.8% 16.8% 37.9% 18.4% 37.9% 20.8% 42.9%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 3.2% 21.6% 13.6% 12.6% 11.2% 25.2% 12.2% 25.2% 13.8% 28.6% Linear Discriminant Analysis 2.8% 16.8% 9.2% 5.8% 2.2% 18.9% 0.0% 34.6% 13.9% 41.0%
Logistic Regression 7.0% 47.0% 31.8% 31.8% 31.4% 56.8% 36.8% 41.2% 27.6% 44.8%
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One at 05/25/24 12 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 147 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 4.3% 27.3% 16.7% 14.4% 13.3% 36.3% 15.7% 37.5% 22.2% 45.8%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 2.9% 18.3% 11.1% 9.6% 8.9% 24.2% 10.4% 25.0% 14.7% 30.5% Linear Discriminant Analysis 2.9% 14.2% 8.7% 4.4% 2.3% 20.4% 0.0% 36.5% 18.8% 44.3%
Logistic Regression 5.8% 40.4% 24.7% 24.4% 24.4% 52.2% 31.4% 38.5% 25.5% 47.3%
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