Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison Tropical Cyclones AI Rapid Intensification Index   (Reference)     Bualoi at 09/29/25 18 UTC. Intensity = 30 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% Logistic Regression 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Bualoi at 09/29/25 12 UTC. Intensity = 50 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.6% 13.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 0.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.2% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.6% 6.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0% Logistic Regression 0.9% 3.7% 1.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------               Bualoi at 09/29/25 06 UTC. Intensity = 60 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 4.4% 12.3% 4.2% 1.4% 2.3% 2.8% 1.0% 7.7% 2.7% 11.5% RIPA Consensus 1.0% 8.7% 5.1% 4.1% 3.1% 5.1% 1.4% 6.7% 1.2% 7.5% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 2.1% 9.9% 4.7% 3.1% 2.7% 4.3% 1.2% 7.0% 1.6% 8.7% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.5% 5.0% 2.8% 1.8% 0.0% 5.6% 1.6% 5.6% 1.4% 10.4% Logistic Regression 1.5% 12.5% 7.3% 6.3% 6.1% 4.5% 1.1% 7.9% 0.9% 4.5% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Bualoi at 09/29/25 00 UTC. Intensity = 65 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 4.0% 12.5% 3.3% 5.2% 2.6% 4.8% 1.3% 4.2% 2.0% 9.6% RIPA Consensus 0.8% 7.6% 4.5% 4.4% 3.1% 2.4% 0.4% 2.5% 0.3% 1.3% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 1.8% 9.2% 4.1% 4.7% 2.9% 3.1% 0.7% 3.1% 0.8% 4.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.8% 0.0% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% Logistic Regression 1.4% 12.0% 8.2% 8.1% 6.2% 3.1% 0.7% 5.1% 0.5% 2.4% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Bualoi at 09/28/25 18 UTC. Intensity = 80 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 37.3% 37.1% 34.4% 17.8% 11.2% 15.4% 3.6% 8.4% 3.4% 6.3% RIPA Consensus 12.6% 28.4% 25.4% 25.4% 19.6% 12.6% 3.2% 3.8% 0.8% 1.4% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 20.8% 31.3% 28.3% 22.8% 16.8% 13.5% 3.3% 5.3% 1.6% 3.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 13.3% 21.6% 15.7% 15.7% 7.6% 13.4% 2.4% 0.1% -0.0% 0.1% Logistic Regression 12.0% 35.3% 35.1% 35.1% 31.7% 11.9% 4.0% 7.5% 1.6% 2.6% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Bualoi at 09/28/25 12 UTC. Intensity = 70 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 10.1% 39.3% 21.3% 18.2% 7.0% 18.7% 2.4% 6.6% 1.1% 6.9% RIPA Consensus 8.9% 25.2% 20.7% 20.7% 15.0% 10.2% 3.0% 5.7% 1.0% 2.0% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 9.3% 29.9% 20.9% 19.9% 12.3% 13.0% 2.8% 6.0% 1.0% 3.6% Linear Discriminant Analysis 9.4% 18.7% 13.8% 13.8% 3.3% 8.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% Logistic Regression 8.5% 31.7% 27.7% 27.7% 26.6% 12.0% 3.9% 11.0% 1.9% 3.8% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Bualoi at 09/28/25 06 UTC. Intensity = 70 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 19.6% 48.2% 51.3% 37.5% 19.5% 45.7% 11.0% 16.4% 3.8% 11.1% RIPA Consensus 25.9% 43.7% 40.4% 40.4% 31.2% 23.5% 9.1% 9.1% 2.4% 2.4% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 23.8% 45.1% 44.0% 39.4% 27.2% 30.9% 9.7% 11.5% 2.8% 5.3% Linear Discriminant Analysis 32.7% 38.8% 33.9% 33.9% 15.4% 22.3% 7.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% Logistic Regression 19.1% 48.6% 46.9% 46.9% 46.9% 24.7% 10.3% 17.0% 4.6% 4.8% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Bualoi at 09/28/25 00 UTC. Intensity = 70 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 14.3% 22.3% 8.8% 10.0% 5.8% 20.5% 5.7% 11.7% 6.7% 9.7% RIPA Consensus 16.4% 40.5% 35.1% 35.1% 26.8% 18.6% 6.3% 8.1% 1.8% 3.2% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 15.7% 34.4% 26.3% 26.7% 19.8% 19.2% 6.1% 9.2% 3.4% 5.3% Linear Discriminant Analysis 18.7% 34.0% 25.6% 25.6% 10.7% 16.9% 5.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% Logistic Regression 14.2% 47.0% 44.6% 44.6% 42.9% 20.2% 7.7% 15.6% 3.6% 6.2% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Bualoi at 09/27/25 18 UTC. Intensity = 65 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 10.2% 22.6% 16.7% 9.5% 5.9% 16.7% 3.2% 6.9% 5.9% 15.3% RIPA Consensus 7.6% 29.9% 22.2% 21.8% 16.4% 13.2% 4.1% 8.1% 1.7% 6.0% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 8.5% 27.4% 20.3% 17.7% 12.9% 14.3% 3.8% 7.6% 3.1% 9.1% Linear Discriminant Analysis 8.3% 22.9% 13.7% 13.0% 4.4% 11.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.2% 2.9% Logistic Regression 7.0% 36.9% 30.7% 30.7% 28.5% 15.2% 5.1% 14.6% 3.2% 9.1% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Bualoi at 09/27/25 12 UTC. Intensity = 75 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 19.3% 31.7% 24.8% 12.5% 6.2% 13.4% 1.8% 9.3% 6.5% 3.1% RIPA Consensus 11.3% 29.7% 23.6% 23.4% 18.5% 11.1% 3.0% 4.1% 0.6% 1.6% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 14.0% 30.3% 23.9% 19.8% 14.3% 11.8% 2.6% 5.8% 2.5% 2.1% Linear Discriminant Analysis 14.1% 25.6% 17.4% 17.2% 8.6% 12.6% 3.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% Logistic Regression 8.6% 33.8% 29.7% 29.7% 28.3% 9.5% 2.8% 7.9% 1.1% 3.0% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Bualoi at 09/27/25 06 UTC. Intensity = 75 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 9.9% 25.9% 21.5% 22.7% 1.0% 14.0% 1.6% 12.4% 3.6% 6.5% RIPA Consensus 22.6% 51.4% 44.0% 44.0% 37.6% 23.9% 8.1% 7.8% 1.5% 2.7% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 18.3% 42.9% 36.5% 36.9% 25.4% 20.5% 5.9% 9.2% 2.1% 3.9% Linear Discriminant Analysis 28.4% 47.8% 33.7% 33.7% 22.5% 26.1% 8.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% Logistic Regression 16.7% 55.0% 54.3% 54.3% 52.7% 21.6% 8.1% 14.6% 2.9% 5.3% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Bualoi at 09/27/25 00 UTC. Intensity = 75 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 3.4% 25.4% 19.9% 7.0% 4.5% 4.8% 0.5% 4.9% 0.6% 6.0% RIPA Consensus 42.0% 57.8% 54.9% 54.3% 53.1% 33.8% 15.3% 11.3% 3.0% 4.4% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 29.0% 47.0% 43.2% 38.5% 36.9% 24.1% 10.4% 9.2% 2.1% 4.9% Linear Discriminant Analysis 60.4% 56.9% 51.2% 50.0% 47.5% 37.9% 18.0% 5.1% 1.0% 1.1% Logistic Regression 23.5% 58.7% 58.7% 58.7% 58.7% 29.7% 12.7% 17.6% 5.0% 7.8% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Bualoi at 09/26/25 18 UTC. Intensity = 70 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 8.4% 28.3% 19.1% 6.2% 2.7% 13.6% 2.7% 2.4% 0.5% 9.3% RIPA Consensus 42.8% 65.7% 59.1% 58.7% 53.3% 46.2% 24.6% 22.2% 8.5% 10.3% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 31.3% 53.1% 45.7% 41.1% 36.4% 35.3% 17.3% 15.5% 5.8% 9.9% Linear Discriminant Analysis 58.4% 64.5% 54.0% 53.1% 42.7% 44.4% 23.2% 13.1% 4.0% 2.8% Logistic Regression 27.2% 66.8% 64.3% 64.3% 64.0% 48.0% 26.0% 31.2% 13.1% 17.8% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Bualoi at 09/26/25 12 UTC. Intensity = 60 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 19.4% 37.9% 13.4% 20.9% 8.6% 23.0% 6.1% 6.4% 5.8% 15.3% RIPA Consensus 6.7% 30.8% 19.8% 18.7% 12.5% 20.1% 6.4% 15.4% 4.4% 8.4% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 10.9% 33.1% 17.6% 19.4% 11.2% 21.0% 6.3% 12.4% 4.8% 10.7% Linear Discriminant Analysis 7.8% 25.4% 12.8% 10.5% 3.6% 17.8% 5.1% 9.6% 2.4% 4.1% Logistic Regression 5.5% 36.2% 26.8% 26.8% 21.5% 22.4% 7.8% 21.2% 6.4% 12.8% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Bualoi at 09/26/25 06 UTC. Intensity = 60 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 3.5% 27.8% 12.2% 9.6% 3.2% 11.7% 2.7% 3.1% 1.3% 10.4% RIPA Consensus 8.8% 32.7% 20.7% 19.1% 13.0% 18.9% 6.1% 13.2% 4.1% 7.9% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 7.0% 31.0% 17.8% 15.9% 9.7% 16.4% 4.9% 9.8% 3.1% 8.7% Linear Discriminant Analysis 10.7% 29.5% 16.1% 12.9% 5.0% 15.9% 4.8% 9.6% 2.3% 3.3% Logistic Regression 6.8% 36.0% 25.3% 25.3% 21.0% 21.8% 7.4% 16.9% 5.8% 12.5% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Bualoi at 09/26/25 00 UTC. Intensity = 60 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 2.0% 5.2% 2.5% 0.5% 0.3% 3.6% 0.5% 1.8% 0.3% 3.2% RIPA Consensus 7.0% 32.2% 19.7% 18.6% 12.0% 18.9% 5.7% 11.6% 3.2% 10.1% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 5.3% 23.1% 13.9% 12.6% 8.1% 13.8% 3.9% 8.3% 2.2% 7.8% Linear Discriminant Analysis 9.9% 29.7% 15.4% 13.3% 5.4% 17.1% 4.7% 8.6% 1.8% 8.4% Logistic Regression 4.2% 34.6% 24.0% 24.0% 18.6% 20.7% 6.7% 14.6% 4.6% 11.9% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Bualoi at 09/24/25 00 UTC. Intensity = 40 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 1.4% 6.4% 4.0% 1.0% 0.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% RIPA Consensus 4.3% 23.9% 9.3% 6.8% 5.8% 12.4% 3.0% 11.6% 4.0% 17.3% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 3.3% 18.0% 7.5% 4.8% 4.0% 8.6% 2.0% 7.7% 2.6% 11.6% Linear Discriminant Analysis 5.6% 23.5% 9.6% 4.6% 4.6% 9.4% 2.4% 18.2% 5.3% 24.2% Logistic Regression 3.0% 24.4% 8.9% 8.9% 7.0% 15.4% 3.7% 5.0% 2.7% 10.5% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 09/23/25 18 UTC. Intensity = 30 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 5.0% 11.9% 4.3% 2.6% 0.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.2% 1.3% 0.4% RIPA Consensus 2.0% 23.6% 8.2% 5.8% 4.2% 16.1% 4.6% 17.4% 7.4% 29.7% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 3.0% 19.7% 6.9% 4.7% 3.0% 11.4% 3.1% 11.6% 5.3% 19.9% Linear Discriminant Analysis 1.8% 19.4% 5.9% 1.4% 1.2% 8.6% 2.4% 26.7% 9.4% 39.5% Logistic Regression 2.3% 27.9% 10.6% 10.2% 7.3% 23.7% 6.8% 8.1% 5.4% 19.9% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 09/23/25 12 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 3.6% 8.3% 2.9% 2.6% 0.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.9% 2.6% 0.6% RIPA Consensus 2.0% 19.3% 6.3% 4.1% 3.3% 14.3% 4.1% 15.0% 6.2% 18.9% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 2.5% 15.6% 5.1% 3.6% 2.5% 10.4% 2.9% 10.2% 5.0% 12.7% Linear Discriminant Analysis 1.6% 14.9% 4.6% 0.9% 0.9% 7.5% 2.3% 24.2% 8.4% 28.4% Logistic Regression 2.4% 23.8% 8.0% 7.3% 5.7% 21.1% 5.8% 5.8% 4.0% 9.3% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------